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Gold/Silver Plunge-fest

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Gold down over $100, and Silver down over 15% - someone is liquidating. Rumors vary from very prominent hedge funds to Central European (as in geographically) central banks. Bottom line is, it is a self-fulfilling prophecy at this point and will continue until every last seller is out, and until the margin calls end.

UPDATE: Silver <$30 -17%

 

Charts: Bloomberg

 

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Fri, 09/23/2011 - 13:29 | 1702173 Segestan
Fri, 09/23/2011 - 13:32 | 1702204 Bill Lumbergh
Bill Lumbergh's picture

A Yahoo! Message Board is our source for a news item of this magnitude...I think I will wait that one out before buying some more metals.

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 13:30 | 1702184 lieutenantjohnchard
lieutenantjohnchard's picture

pretty clear it's a liquidation event. that said, for a true believer it still is painful.

like many i did not put my last dime in gold and silver. so i'll be buying the physical on the way down, although i must say i have no idea where the bottom rests.

nevertheless, i'll say it again:

we few, we happy few, we band of gold and silver holders.

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 13:30 | 1702187 Deadpool
Deadpool's picture

now we know why JPM had a $2200 target while being short 500,000 contracts. Pump and uber dump....

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 15:33 | 1702883 Ruffcut
Ruffcut's picture

Yep, JPmorgue is trying to make up with millions on shorting metals for the CDS risks in europe banks for trillions.

Going short but going to fall way short. THe only other option is pump the equity markets to the fucking moon. Get ready to go long? It is their only play left.

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 13:30 | 1702188 Moneyswirth
Moneyswirth's picture

Wait a minute!  I thought Tyler never posts about declining PMs!!!  They told me so!

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 13:31 | 1702198 Augustus
Augustus's picture

The supposed buyers seem to already have filled their trucks.

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 16:09 | 1703035 tekhneek
tekhneek's picture

Indeed.

Even when I'm down 20%+ I'd still rather sit on a monster box and eat my cake at the same time.

Sitting on a pile of benjamins would be pretty cool but I don't know if there's cake involved.

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 13:32 | 1702199 Piranhanoia
Piranhanoia's picture

Think it is paper selling to save someones highly exposed ass so as not to insure economic collapse upon the collective ass?  I sure would like to see facts where a bank or a sovereign is actually selling phys when they are going to need it for money in..............

 

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 13:32 | 1702203 Subprime JD
Subprime JD's picture

This is a fucking gift! Silver looking very attractive, but gold has a ways to go until I start backing up the truck

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 13:34 | 1702219 Debtless
Debtless's picture

I am selling blood, semen and an extra kidney here to go long on a few shiny bars at this price.

I'm sorry, did all the global debt problems get fixed last night and nobody mentioned it yet? 

Both fucking hands at these prices.

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 13:38 | 1702252 Ms. Erable
Ms. Erable's picture

Wait for that knife to hit the floor first. I'm thinking Tues/Wed next week @24.50-ish on the not-quite-as-barbarous metal.

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 14:00 | 1702413 Smiddywesson
Smiddywesson's picture

Yes, very probable, possibly with a head fake to the upside on Monday to make me sweat and think about re-entering.  This is not over yet.

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 15:10 | 1702781 tmosley
tmosley's picture

Well said.  I wouldn't be surprised to see sub-20, or a total blowout (paper to zero) if the rumors of COMEX default circulating today turn out to be true.

Sat, 09/24/2011 - 14:47 | 1705698 trav7777
trav7777's picture

you're a fucking idiot.

the paper price IS the price.  You can buy as much as you want within spitting distance of spot, MORON

Sat, 09/24/2011 - 14:46 | 1705695 trav7777
trav7777's picture

maybe...but all the industrial metrics are telling you that semiprecious metals are going to get bludgeoned.

You guys keep insisting silver is some kind of special PM when it clearly isn't.  Christ, just watch WTI for your direction cues.  Platinum trading cheap of gold isn't a headwind for silver

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 13:38 | 1702254 Al Huxley
Al Huxley's picture

Oh, those aren't an issue any more. Neither is US federal debt, deficit, state and municipal debt. All's well on those fronts now, which is what makes the USD and Treasuries such sterling quality safe havens.

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 13:35 | 1702227 rumblefish
rumblefish's picture

My AGQ position...ouch. stops be damned. blew right through.

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 14:01 | 1702421 Smiddywesson
Smiddywesson's picture

AGQ down 28% so far.  No wonder it blew the stops.  This is a bloodbath.

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 14:18 | 1702536 Freddie
Freddie's picture

AGQ seems to be holding down 29%.  I am thinking of buying some.  Anyone know what Cramer is saying? He always seems to be helpful.

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 13:35 | 1702232 swissaustrian
swissaustrian's picture

<--- This is the (intraday) bottom

<--- It only costs $ 5 to dig it out of the ground

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 13:35 | 1702235 the iD
the iD's picture

more! more! my phizz doesnt get any less shiney or any lighter and the 3x inverse call protection will allow me to both roll down to lower strikes while simultaneously allowing me to purchase more of the phizz at this depressed price w/ the paper profits. first the deflation scares the Bernank, then he prints. bada bing, bada boom. and now you all should be aware of the dangers of the papersilver and papergold trade and the difference between it and physical. the paper portion is a ponzi like all other paper trades. luckily, given time, the reality of a basis on a finite resource and supply/demand will overcome.

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 13:43 | 1702287 disabledvet
disabledvet's picture

U do remind us in event of a (god forbid!) nuclear exchange "the bugs are on the survival list."

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 13:36 | 1702238 Bill Lumbergh
Bill Lumbergh's picture

Feels like the market is convulsing...S&P 500 jumping 3-4 points in a minute now and again on every rumor while gold and silver are being flushed down the toilet...welcome to The Twilight Zone.

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 13:36 | 1702240 THE DORK OF CORK
THE DORK OF CORK's picture

Absolute carnage - even for all physical holders this hurts.

I just hope yee all have enough cash to get through this.

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 13:46 | 1702311 High Plains Drifter
High Plains Drifter's picture

this too shall pass.........yawn............

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 13:49 | 1702338 Bill Lumbergh
Bill Lumbergh's picture

Most every one of the mining equities are pummeled...either a great buying opportunity or have your head handed to you...time will tell how this plays out.

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 14:06 | 1702468 Smiddywesson
Smiddywesson's picture

Absolute carnage - even for all physical holders this hurts.

Actually, I didn't plan on selling my physical at any particular price target until the whole financial collapse was said and done, so no, I don't really feel any pain from the drop in prices.  If I had to sell, that would be different, but knowing all along the cash out time was in the distant future has made me pretty much immune.

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 14:40 | 1702645 tmosley
tmosley's picture

Well said.  I am a buyer of silver until my wage doesn't buy silver any more.  That's all there is to it.  Drop that shit to $2 an ounce , and have physical available at that price, and I will buy it up.  I'll have to buy a damn missle silo to store it all.

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 14:56 | 1702723 scratch_and_sniff
scratch_and_sniff's picture

Yeah, $2 sounds good to me, even i will buy it at that price. How many ounces could i buy after playing paper games?

http://i53.tinypic.com/2nitcec.png

 

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 15:24 | 1702787 tmosley
tmosley's picture

Depends how well you played them.  If you got caught the wrong way, then you won't be able to buy much at all.

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 15:47 | 1702944 Motley Fool
Motley Fool's picture

I hope you have some gold too tmosely.

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 13:36 | 1702241 Tao 4 the Show
Tao 4 the Show's picture

Volatility doesn't seem to be suppressed in the metals, does it? The behavioral mod guys play a hard game on the nubes. So many will be selling when they should be buying. As Sinclair says, using margin on metals is suicide for most. Better to stay with physical and forget the daily swings.

Buying opportunities are coming for the strong of heart.

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 13:36 | 1702243 Al Huxley
Al Huxley's picture

$100/day - only 16 days to 0! Can't see any other possible outcome here! Time to trade it in for fine government linen...

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 13:39 | 1702258 Bill Lumbergh
Bill Lumbergh's picture

Beautiful!

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 13:37 | 1702246 TradingJoe
TradingJoe's picture

PM bottom is IN when margin calls end AND markets get "their" HOPIUM again! I believe on/around Oct12th that is! Or a little before that, depends if we hold 1000-950 on the S&P :))) !

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 13:41 | 1702273 Al Huxley
Al Huxley's picture

Comex options expire on Tuesday. Watch the bottom magically coincide with that date.

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 13:52 | 1702371 knukles
knukles's picture

Or, within the week thereafter.

Remember, many of the options holders will be comfortable settling and holding long positions in futures contracts.....
And we've seen the newly futurized delivery takers taken to the cleaners after settlement to flush any remaining weak hands out of the woodwork.
Proabably'll happen again.... What better time to really have some surprises happen after a price change of this magnitude.

If you're gonna fuck 'em, fuck 'em good and hard.

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 15:46 | 1702941 Arkadaba
Arkadaba's picture

Jesse's take on it makes sense to me: Net Asset Value of Certain Precious Metal Trusts and Funds

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 13:37 | 1702247 Zola
Zola's picture

The problem is not so much the move itself (everything can tank) but the way it was brought about, this smell of such corruption it is unbelievable . and of course once the selling starts margin calls pile up etc... Whoever did this at JPM needs to get shot

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 18:15 | 1703695 Rhodin
Rhodin's picture

I agree, EXCEPT:  Only honorable enemies deserve a firing squad. 

 Not sure what to do with this crew.  Gibbets come to mind.  Not the American style, used to display hanged bodies of the worst criminals in colonial times, but a more ancient style, intended to feed the worst of the condemmed to the crows.

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 13:37 | 1702248 GIABO
GIABO's picture

Keep coming down, Just bought 40 more zips for my stash.

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 13:40 | 1702264 MiningJunkie
MiningJunkie's picture

Guess where gold settled on July 1 2011?

 

$1484.00

 

What is the big deal?

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 13:40 | 1702265 MountainMan
MountainMan's picture

King Turd News didn't see this one coming///

 

http://kingworldnews.com/kingworldnews/King_World_News.html

 

 

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 13:40 | 1702268 The Deleuzian
The Deleuzian's picture

I'm surprised the load got shot in two days...had suspicion 1650ish was the target, but over a month or two!!...but taking a step back..it's just returning into the rising uptrend from the 08' lows!  So much for the bubble blowing up crowd!  Silver is a little bit more strange...I suspect premiums at the local coin shop went way up...You would be a fool not to start nibbling at silver at around $30...But then again, silver was always easier to push around...

If this was the deflationary plunge some have been looking for...why is the S&P flat to up?  Makes no sense...If the banksters want to let the little guy back up the truck!!! I'm your Huckleberry!!!

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 13:40 | 1702269 The Deleuzian
The Deleuzian's picture

I'm surprised the load got shot in two days...had suspicion 1650ish was the target, but over a month or two!!...but taking a step back..it's just returning into the rising uptrend from the 08' lows!  So much for the bubble blowing up crowd!  Silver is a little bit more strange...I suspect premiums at the local coin shop went way up...You would be a fool not to start nibbling at silver at around $30...But then again, silver was always easier to push around...

If this was the deflationary plunge some have been looking for...why is the S&P flat to up?  Makes no sense...If the banksters want to let the little guy back up the truck!!! I'm your Huckleberry!!!

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 13:42 | 1702270 Duffminster
Duffminster's picture

I feel fairly certain that the Chinese are taking the opportunity to sell their 30 year treasuries into strength and buying orders for delivery hand over fist at these levels.   Once COMEX solves its delivery problems for options expiration next Tuesday we will see a very steep and hard bounce with Gold heading towards $2000 very quickly. 

The macro story behind gold is only getting better and that is why the Western Monetary "authorities" are in full on throw every dirty trick in the book to get the margined longs, who have no real macro vision, to fold.   Its a very health consolidation and sets the stage for the opening of the Pan Asian Gold Exchange next month and the beginning of the end of the paper manipulations by the Den of thieves who want everyone to believe that currency based soley on debt will hold value over the long run.

 

Duffminster

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 13:41 | 1702272 meatball
meatball's picture

Bulls are always annoying, whether they are metals or stocks. Take 'em to the cleaners!

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 13:41 | 1702274 Conax
Conax's picture

Damn! Check out the volumes that are being traded- 87,000 contracts dropped AG from $33-

In gold, 15,000,000 contracts at just one point, and this has gone on all morning.

At least in '08-'09 they had the decency to take it down gradually.

Netdania charts have a volume window. It is stunning to watch. Massive trade-big drop, then repeats every minute.

Now where's that sharp knife...

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 13:41 | 1702277 grekko
grekko's picture

It'll go back up soon.  Fiat can't last that much longer.

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 13:42 | 1702281 Danielius
Danielius's picture

whats the big deal?  I mean, really.  What IS the big deal?  Too much heat?

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 13:42 | 1702283 Uptown
Uptown's picture

Just called my silver and gold dealer. We laughed for a good 20 minutes. Good times.

 

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 13:44 | 1702286 mfoste1
mfoste1's picture

what the fuck do people not get? I keep seeing idiot port managers questioning this sell-off. During liquidation mode, the demand for USD rises significantly. Indicies and commodities sell for USD. Supply of USD rapidly evaporating, pushing value of USD up. XAU and XAG are very highly(-tve) correlated against money supply expansion. The market is getting the picture that the Fed will not be coming to the rescue for sometime. I'm fucking sick and tired of seeing managers of OPM questioning this, this is scary. These people should NOT be responsible for anyone's money but their own....

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 15:13 | 1702786 Rynak
Rynak's picture

The "markets" - including you - merely "finally get", what they were supposed to believe weeks ago already.

In other words: They don't get it at all, so that they may get what they think they do not get :)

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 15:23 | 1702831 Duffminster
Duffminster's picture

I only manage my own money but I have a question.  If its across the board liquidation, why are silver and gold being singled out for this type of sell off when the other commodities are relatively flat and when the stock market is holding around zero during the sell off.

Why aren't stocks and corn and wheat and so on being liquidated.  This appears to me like a desperation chart painting move likely to throw both silver and gold into backwardization as we enter the historically bullish 4th quarter for the metals and at time when the Chinese are trying to rotate out of US Debt and the Pan Asian Gold Exchange is getting ready to take the wind out of the COMEX and London precious metals exchanges and bullion banks to pull these classic GATA playbook raids.  

I don't know, for me, the Fed will have to monetize and they better get moving quickly or it will be too late.  I believe that they believe they can use gold to manipulate perception and that is what they are doing.  I wonder how much physical silver is actually available at $30 today?   How much physical gold available at $1640.   Looks like full on backwardization is upon us just as the physical buying seasons is upon us. 

I continue to believe we get a major bounce off of options expiration and that the concensus view of gold $2000 by year end is on target.  That is my bet and I'm sticking with it.  I'm sticking with gold and silver long term because the long term charts remain very compelling as does the macro story which still boils down to outcomes, indefinite continuing QE from the Fed and a more gradual devaluation of paper currency or sovereign default due to crashing markets, slumping economies, deflation and depression which ultimately leads to oblitaration of currency and bond values as tax revenues drop straight down and debt blows up leading the sharpest possible drop in paper currencies. 

What is the other liklihood in your opinion.  I don't see any other likely outcomes.  Either way, real money, hard cold cash, not encumbered by insolvement counter parties and unrepayable debt loads, like the dollar and Euro both have, holds value and the long term and continuing supressive actions by the monetary authorities to try to dissuade people from the notion that gold is money actually puts substantial long range profit potential under gold and silver as that illusion is dispelled by the growing chaos of of a melt down in the global banking order.

 

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 18:47 | 1703729 Thought criminal
Thought criminal's picture

---

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 13:43 | 1702289 the not so migh...
the not so mighty maximiza's picture

man... its like i am 17 again and my 16 year old girlfriend with braces is blowing me... ouch..ouch ouch

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 13:43 | 1702291 Young_wise_one
Young_wise_one's picture

Volatility has to go somewhere, it is being ripped out of the rates and currency markets, only to rear its ungly head in others!

 

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 13:43 | 1702292 feeb
feeb's picture

Anyone else remember the Wynter Benton post about 2 months ago?
She said the silver derivative contracts would go exponential
If silver held over $36 for 60 straight days. Well, with this
Opex timed move that sure reset the clock, didn't it!? And just shy
Of 2 months at that.

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 16:22 | 1703096 tekhneek
tekhneek's picture

Yes... but all they did is remove more physical from the vaults with this discount. They might have saved their asses this time, but I wouldn't be surprised if we're not far from the end of the COMEX/LBMA manipulation which will send PMs to the moon in all currencies.

This is most likely a last ditch effort to shake out weak hands, acquire physical, and hope they can keep the circus going awhile longer before PAGE bends them over and fucks them gently with a sandpaper condom using baby powder lube.

Who knows though.

Sat, 09/24/2011 - 14:49 | 1705702 trav7777
trav7777's picture

that is EXACTLY what you idiots said the LAST TIME silver crashed

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 13:44 | 1702293 Young_wise_one
Young_wise_one's picture

Volatility has to go somewhere, it is being ripped out of the rates and currency markets, only to rear its ungly head in others!

 

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 15:34 | 1702889 bid the soldier...
bid the soldiers shoot's picture

Volatility = crooks

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 13:43 | 1702294 americanspirit
americanspirit's picture

The wolves know that if you can panic the herd that the weak ones will fall behind where they can be picked off easily. Thing is, we all KNOW that this panic is engineered. If you have physical just sit tight - you didn't buy it for short term profit did you - not the way the IRS taxes PM sales? So you haven't lost anything at all, just taking a little ride. Look beyond the horizon of immediate events and remember why you bought physical. Better yet, get out a few of those beautiful silver Eagles and go to bed tonight with them under your pillow. The Silver Fairy has marvellous things in store for those who simply know how to wait patiently.

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 14:06 | 1702471 chindit13
chindit13's picture

Engineered?  Please, this entire week across the entire spectrum of markets has been utter panic.  NOBODY is that clever to "engineer" something like this.

There are no gods.

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 15:16 | 1702807 Rynak
Rynak's picture

Actually, all that was necessary, was someone not doing anything. I think that can be done without godlike powers.

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 16:05 | 1703027 The Deleuzian
The Deleuzian's picture

Are you a sentinel, Tyler! there are sentinels in the compound

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 13:44 | 1702298 I am a Man I am...
I am a Man I am Forty's picture

somebody took away benny boys printing press

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 13:45 | 1702300 HoardeBilly
HoardeBilly's picture

The LCS was nearly out of silver rounds during my lunchtime visit...i took some odd 1z bars off their hands tho.  They have pictures of a squirrel, a baby bear, lovebirds, woodpecker, and an owl...  .999 good enough for me.  :)

BTFD as close as I can.  :)

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 16:10 | 1703043 The Deleuzian
The Deleuzian's picture

You may have lucked out my friend...Are those Mount Everest Mint bars?  Check the back..Circa@ 1974...Those are prized!!!

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 13:46 | 1702312 FaithEqualsZero
FaithEqualsZero's picture

Who fucking cares! Let it drop...great! I'll buy some more. Trouble is eventually there will be no physical stuff left to buy. So long as the monetary system is fiat/confidence based paper promises for nothing. It will devalue and physical Au/Ag will raise in value. Those selling to cover their gambling on equities will be sorry when it boomerangs back after the Fed gives in and redoubles its QExx efforts. Physical PM's are for long term saving..paper is for short term gambling

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 13:46 | 1702314 alexanderstollznow
alexanderstollznow's picture

this site cracks me up! 

gold was off 1.5% on wednesday, 3.5% on thursday, and currently off another 3.5%, and the lead story says "someone is selling".  i would say a whole bunch of people are selling!  then someone says 'oh, Paulson?' - like, he runs the only hedge fund in the world.   it is only notable because the collective wisdom on ZH talks each other into a view that gold will rally forever.  meantime, the $ is up about 6% over the last month, and ALL commodities are down vs a month ago, as priced in $.  amazing!

likewise with QE.  for months there was endless posting, including at an editorial level, about how there was going to be QE3, QE4, etc, and the Fed was just waiting for a bit of stock market weakness to 'justify' it.  QE IS DEAD. it was never going to happen.  even now, one of the posts above said 'bernanke failed to deliver the expected QE3'.  NOONE with any sense was expected QE3, and the post FOMC price action shows that beyond doubt.

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 14:22 | 1702554 Libertarian777
Libertarian777's picture

Not quite. Everyone hasn't been saying gold will go up forever.

What we've all been saying is the price of gold is tightly correlated to the money supply.

We've all said if fed raised interest rates to double digits tomorrow and stopped all the swaps etc. that gold/silver would take a bath.

This itself is a liquidaton though, whatever the price you paid for physical, in holding a 1 oz gold coin is there ANY risk that a counterparty will not deliver that gold coin? no.

Has the counterparty risk of the European banks, Greek crises, US government shutdown or US debt ceiling issue being reached been resolved? no.

So why would anyone sell off the only asset that has no counterparty risk?

Because its the only asset that's performed over the last 3 years, both in real terms and nominal terms.

Either way, if you believe, buy, if you don't short. If you're agnostic stand aside.

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 15:14 | 1702799 xtop23
xtop23's picture

QE never going to happen? You are an idiot. Of course it wil. 

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 15:56 | 1702978 Rynak
Rynak's picture

But you and everyone must BEG for it... you cannot just expect it. Everyone is supposed to behave as bernankes bitch.

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 13:50 | 1702315 Roger Knights
Roger Knights's picture

If (unlikely) European central banks are selling to raise cash, the price could fall further. (But wouldn't they try to make a private sale to China and India first? Unless they were really in need of cash tomorrow.)

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 13:46 | 1702316 The Deleuzian
The Deleuzian's picture

Surprised the load got shot in two days...$1650ish was a good target on a correction but over a month or two!!!  Taking a step back, it's just returning to the rising uptrend form the 08' lows..So much for the 'gold-bubble blowing up crowd!!'  Silver is kind of a head twister... But if the banksters want the little guy to back the truck up!  I'm your Huckleberry!!!

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 13:46 | 1702318 alexanderstollznow
alexanderstollznow's picture

this site cracks me up! 

gold was off 1.5% on wednesday, 3.5% on thursday, and currently off another 3.5%, and the lead story says "someone is selling".  i would say a whole bunch of people are selling!  then someone says 'oh, Paulson?' - like, he runs the only hedge fund in the world.   it is only notable because the collective wisdom on ZH talks each other into a view that gold will rally forever.  meantime, the $ is up about 6% over the last month, and ALL commodities are down vs a month ago, as priced in $.  amazing!

likewise with QE.  for months there was endless posting, including at an editorial level, about how there was going to be QE3, QE4, etc, and the Fed was just waiting for a bit of stock market weakness to 'justify' it.  QE IS DEAD. it was never going to happen.  even now, one of the posts above said 'bernanke failed to deliver the expected QE3'.  NOONE with any sense was expected QE3, and the post FOMC price action shows that beyond doubt.

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 14:21 | 1702548 Spastica Rex
Spastica Rex's picture

Wait, what? Could you repeat what you just wrote?

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 13:46 | 1702319 Mitch Comestein
Mitch Comestein's picture

I tried to buy silver coins from a local deailer today when SIV was at 32.50.  I told him I would over 2 over spot  He said that he would buy all I had at that price. 

...basically, I was told to pound sand.

 

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 13:53 | 1702372 SilverRhino
SilverRhino's picture

Physical silver is going to vanish and premiums are going to skyrocket this and next week.    I sure as fuck ain't selling a dime of it.

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 13:47 | 1702323 Park city skier
Park city skier's picture

Instead of a LSAP expanding the fiat worlds by a trillion $USD, the Gold market is staring to price in  a Greek default could trigger other defaults creating a 1 to 2 trillion $USD equivalent of fiat money obligation destruction. Gold loses its value as fiat money gets destroyed and when debt takes a 70% haircut, fiat money is lost poof. The Europeans have a history of nationalizing banks. We could see big European banks common equity wiped out, their bond holders would get a 20% new stake in equity and the countries of origin take a 80 % new equity share.  Lots of fiat would be destroyed in the process.  It’s  a possibility to consider.  Volker editorial this week in the NY times may have been read by more Central bankers than our FED.  

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 13:48 | 1702326 sabra1
sabra1's picture

it's china! they'll buy it all back with useless US treasuries!

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 13:48 | 1702328 Hugh_Jorgan
Hugh_Jorgan's picture

Remember this selloff is comprised of almost entirely of PAPER PM contract liquidations. Watch for a new upshot based on accumulation of PHYSICAL PMs at an opportunistic lower initial cost, it could be the boost that sends Au to $2000/oz and Ag to $100/oz. The world isn't getting MORE stable, monetary policy isn't getting tighter. On the contrary, all things global-economic are getting worse, as the PM bugs all understand.

All you non-PM-invested hecklers had better get your bibs on, you will feast on crow...

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 13:51 | 1702351 High Plains Drifter
High Plains Drifter's picture

some people never learn. they don't understand the gold and silver bull market we have been in since about 2001. nothing has gotten fixed. nothing is better. on cnbc they laugh and say that gold and silver are not the holder of value like we all thought they were? oh really says i?  i have patience. i shall watch as this story unfolds. the end of the year is not here yet. so we wait.........

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 13:56 | 1702391 Conax
Conax's picture

"I am wounded but not slain,
 I will lay me down to bleed a while, and rise to fight again" ~ Highland Chief

a green for you, sir.

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 13:48 | 1702330 FoieGras
FoieGras's picture

Someone is liquidating? Some fund?

What a bunch of hogwash. What goes up goes down. No explanation needed. This is how markets have been workign for 100s of years.

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 13:51 | 1702362 sabra1
sabra1's picture

until the Bernank came around!!!

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 14:01 | 1702420 faustian bargain
faustian bargain's picture

...still waiting for the US Dollar to regain that lost 97% of its purchasing power, eh? Don't hold your breath.

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 15:40 | 1702914 NotApplicable
NotApplicable's picture

What goes down will stay down, once it's dead.

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 14:43 | 1702655 tmosley
tmosley's picture

Yeah, no explinations needed, or wanted.  We don't care how the market works at all!

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 13:48 | 1702331 High Plains Drifter
High Plains Drifter's picture

i tell you all. look this gift horse in the mouth and back up the truck ladies and gentlemen.  you will not regret it..........now i am talking about physical bullion here, not that goofy slv and gld. forget about them. ignore them. they are made of the stuff of fools.....

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 13:48 | 1702333 bbq on whitehou...
bbq on whitehouse lawn's picture

Whoo hoo a triple digit day in gold :)

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 13:48 | 1702334 Debugas
Debugas's picture

"Contracts not being honored is why the price is down"

 

So does it mean paper SLV parting the physical for good ?

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 13:52 | 1702373 High Plains Drifter
High Plains Drifter's picture

yeh and in all of this bullshit going on in the paper gold and silver market, what has happened to the premiums on physical?  not a damn thing.....

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 13:49 | 1702340 mspgrandi
mspgrandi's picture

BTFD....

 

ok bought at 39...

bought at 38

bought at 37

Bought at 36

35.. 34... 33... 32.... 31....   need an aspirin

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 13:51 | 1702365 punxsutawney phil
punxsutawney phil's picture

you will be selling at 30 29 28 27 26.......

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 13:58 | 1702401 HoardeBilly
HoardeBilly's picture

Why?  Just wait for it to go up again.  :)

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 13:49 | 1702341 meatball
meatball's picture

Donald Trump nailed the top.

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 13:53 | 1702379 High Plains Drifter
High Plains Drifter's picture

oh come on. donald trump?  give me a break...

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 13:49 | 1702342 mfoste1
mfoste1's picture

XAU and XAG markets sending clear message today.....Ive got the strange suspicion that the fed may be forced to let markets regress back to FV.....This is going to be a painful process. Look out below.

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 13:50 | 1702345 Cone of Uncertainty
Cone of Uncertainty's picture

Upvote me if you could give a rats fuck about the fiat price of silver.

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 13:50 | 1702348 EB1
EB1's picture

I'm long for a trade.  I bought yesterday at 35.22 for a trade and sold out 10 minutes later because I didn't trust it for a bounce.  Now I'm long just under 30.  Hope the knife I caught doesn't cut me but this isn't Enron, it's SLV. 

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 13:51 | 1702349 Satsumagoat
Satsumagoat's picture

I"m one of those of you that couldn't or didn't want to buy PM's at those prices.  I thought what to do, what to do.  What I did was to try to get some money together by playing the Inverse ETF's and looking to some Fibonacci Analysis.  I'm an idiot at it so I subscribed to Prechter's Elliot wave and just watched the top happen.  Then EWI called the following out on Wednesday 

EWI-"Specifically, both metals could be at the end of bullish triangles, which could lead to an upward thrust. In order to eliminate this possibility, gold must decline beneath $1702 and silver must break $38.70. Once both metals break these respective levels, the triangle potentials will be eliminated and the odds toward the bigger picture declines will continue to grow. Thereafter, gold's downside target is $1038 (±$5), while silver should descend into the low $20s."

So I had bought I'm in 200 shares of ZSL.  Now I'm going to buy DZZ to short gold here today based off of this.  Then, I'll take my profits and buy PM's.

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 17:05 | 1703364 Diogenes
Diogenes's picture

Eliot wave is bullshit. If you can trade off Eliot waves you could trade just as well off the entrails of goats. Same for Fibonnaci.

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 13:51 | 1702350 I am a Man I am...
I am a Man I am Forty's picture

paulson wants to spend weekdays in the hamptons, investing is more fun when you make money and everyone thinks you are a genius

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 13:51 | 1702354 lizzy36
lizzy36's picture

Forced liquidation knows no moving averages.

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 13:51 | 1702355 Augustus
Augustus's picture

Those losing faith should simply replay the interviews with Sprott.  Not that he has a clue, just that he will keep the religion alive.

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 13:51 | 1702356 ??
??'s picture

if you missed it a good contribution from earlier

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/panic-and-perspective-wall-street-art-cash...

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 13:51 | 1702357 Robslob
Robslob's picture

 

 

Just checked my safe...yup...my PMs still feel and look the same...heavy and shiny

 

If you buy gold or silver bullion as an "investment" you are a dumbass. 

 

I just added 10 oz of AGE and 100 oz ASE last Friday...no regrets...something wicked this way comes.

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 13:58 | 1702399 mspgrandi
mspgrandi's picture

why do you buy it then? To build an house in silver bricks? or to hygenize your toothbrusher? Let s say something bad happens to you today (which i hope not ) and you are forced to sell assets to raise cash , your Silv is only wirth the paper money is quoted in

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 14:03 | 1702431 TCA
TCA's picture

I buy PMs because they are the only thing that is real in the financial world anymore.  Yes, they are subject to market forces and all kinds of chicanery, but they are not fictional in terms of worth as just about everything else in the current financial system is.

I also buy to build an inheritance for my grandchildren.  Someday they will thank me for it.

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 14:45 | 1702670 tmosley
tmosley's picture

How many Zimbabwe dollars can I get for my silver brick?  How much can the Confederate dollar buy?

How much will your dollars buy you next year?

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 13:51 | 1702359 chindit13
chindit13's picture

If this is Paulson selling, somebody (GS prop desk?) is going to hammer every large position Paulson has in a small cap stock and force him to puke it out.

In the market, there are no friends, only victims.

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 13:52 | 1702364 The Deleuzian
The Deleuzian's picture

If the banksters want the little guy to back up the truck!  I'm your Huckleberry!!

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 13:57 | 1702397 High Plains Drifter
High Plains Drifter's picture

Bon Appetit... call tulving or sanders or bullion direct and order some of those junk bags.....

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 13:54 | 1702381 TCA
TCA's picture

I buy $100 worth of silver each month (all I can afford) regardless of the price.  Who cares what the current market price is?  Just buy and hold.  Eventually you will have a lot of hard currency saved.  PMs will always have value, unlike stocks or the $US.

Your life is too short to watch your portfolio day after day.  That is the road to stress, panic and eventual death.  Just be smart.  Greed will eventually turn around and eat you.

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 14:00 | 1702417 High Plains Drifter
High Plains Drifter's picture

that is correct. its about buy and hold .  its about retaining value, not making paper profits...this show going on now is just a distraction,  but in the end, it means nothing..

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 14:59 | 1702740 OldTrooper
OldTrooper's picture

Great approach, TCA.  The paper-bugs don't think the same way.  Doesn't make them 'wrong', just illustrates different approaches to life, I think.

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 13:54 | 1702382 Gubbmint Cheese
Gubbmint Cheese's picture

(recent) History can be your friend..

Gold price March 2008 - $1030 while the S&P was at 1359

Gold price Oct 2008 - $680 (off 33%) while the S&P was at 839 (market was off 38%)

To think gold woul dbuck THIS falling market trend suggests you don't understand how it works.

Nothing new here.. nothing "broken", nothing "different".

 

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 13:57 | 1702392 Roger Knights
Roger Knights's picture

So the failure of miners to keep up with gold now looks like prescience. (It's been said that miners lead the price of gold--and they did, until recently.)

But this looks like a replay of 2008--PMs are about to bounce as sharply as they fell--and then fall and rise again.

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 13:57 | 1702393 MonkeySmoke
MonkeySmoke's picture

I'm lovin it!!! Traded gold for silver and have a bigger stack to trade when the GSR reverts!!! Lovin it!!!

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 13:57 | 1702395 goldfreak
goldfreak's picture

going to coin show tomorrow....should be interesting

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 17:12 | 1703410 55 men
55 men's picture

Where?

 

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 13:57 | 1702396 robertocarlos
robertocarlos's picture

Somebody set us up the bomb. Make your time.

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 13:58 | 1702398 mainuh1
mainuh1's picture

Over the last ten years I have seen gold and silver soar and tank numerous times. However, both were still worth comparatively more than the dollar and gutted stock certficates. Both have been like a baraometer for the health of the dollar - high PM value, low dollar value. Also, gold and silver are metals that have uses beyond currency - they have value for manufacturing. As more uses and decreasing quantities of the metals are found, the better the investment because both metals are getting harder to mine and as a result more precious. I bought my physical gold at $350 an ounce and silver at $7 an ounce and due to the inflated worth of the dollar see these PMs as a hedge against the devaluing dollar.

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 13:58 | 1702400 mainuh1
mainuh1's picture

Over the last ten years I have seen gold and silver soar and tank numerous times. However, both were still worth comparatively more than the dollar and gutted stock certficates. Both have been like a baraometer for the health of the dollar - high PM value, low dollar value. Also, gold and silver are metals that have uses beyond currency - they have value for manufacturing. As more uses and decreasing quantities of the metals are found, the better the investment because both metals are getting harder to mine and as a result more precious. I bought my physical gold at $350 an ounce and silver at $7 an ounce and due to the inflated worth of the dollar see these PMs as a hedge against the devaluing dollar.

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 13:58 | 1702403 NEOSERF
NEOSERF's picture

Question is are they liquidating because they have to for redemptions or recapitalization or because they want to....

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 13:58 | 1702405 Exposer of Inte...
Exposer of Internet Shills's picture

Anyone who has been following G/S for the last 10 years knows we used to talk about the day when 5-10 dollar a day moves in silver would come and 100+ dollar a day moves in gold.  Well, they're here.  You know what that means?  We are on the right track for some explosive moves UP, so BTBD  (But The Blessed Dip)

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 14:09 | 1702492 The Deleuzian
The Deleuzian's picture

Absolutely EOI, Puplava et al.. were fortune telling 'back home years ago' about this.. I'm excited now!!!  My take is the intermission between 2nd and 3rd phase of this secular bull in the PM's may not last very long...Where are we going:

$5000+for the King

$150+for the White Knight

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 14:17 | 1702509 The Deleuzian
The Deleuzian's picture

Welcome to the 7th inning stretch Zher's

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 13:59 | 1702411 MountainMan
MountainMan's picture

Buy copper, bitchez.

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 13:59 | 1702412 Irish66
Irish66's picture

Morgan Stanley CEO Moved To Quash Rumor About European Bank Exposure -Fox Business's Gasparino Last update: 9/23/2011 1:50:27 PM DOW JONES NEWSWIRES Morgan Stanley (MS) Chief Executive James Gorman called analysts to quash a rumor that the firm faced heavy losses due to its exposure to European banks, Fox Business Network's Charles Gasparino reported Friday. Gorman then ordered Morgan Stanley's traders to buy the firm's own debt in a bid to demonstrate its own financial health, Gasparino added. Gorman told bank analyst Richard Bove that Morgan Stanley's "net exposure" to French banks in particular was "zero," according to Gasparino's report. Full story at http://www.foxbusiness.com/markets/2011/09/23/morgan-stanley-bounces-aft...

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 14:00 | 1702416 Flatchestynerdette
Flatchestynerdette's picture

this makes no sense whatsoever. UUP is down slight. Gold is down heavy and priced in dollars. the 10 year is plus 08 on the yield. the market is up 50 pts at 2pm. where is the money going?

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 14:01 | 1702419 Zola
Zola's picture

Mining companies NEED TO WAKE THE FUCK UP and start buying back their stocks and raise their dividends higher than treasuries. Only then can they stop these blatant short raids on their stocks.

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 14:01 | 1702424 TzaristBondHolder
TzaristBondHolder's picture

iShares Silver Trust Holdings Dropped 30.29 Tons Yesterday
23 Sep 2011

Silver holdings in the iShares Silver Trust, the biggest exchange-traded fund backed by silver, decreased 30.29 tons to 9,868.49 metric tons as of yesterday (Bloomberg)

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 14:02 | 1702425 Chain Gun Smoke
Chain Gun Smoke's picture

I bought at $1850... FFFFFFFFFUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUu

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 14:03 | 1702434 TzaristBondHolder
TzaristBondHolder's picture

and I bought silver at $38

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Fri, 09/23/2011 - 14:03 | 1702437 TzaristBondHolder
TzaristBondHolder's picture

and I bought silver at $38

CCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCC

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 14:03 | 1702438 TzaristBondHolder
TzaristBondHolder's picture

and I bought silver at $38

CCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCC

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 14:03 | 1702439 TzaristBondHolder
TzaristBondHolder's picture

and I bought silver at $38

CCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCC

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 14:04 | 1702442 TzaristBondHolder
TzaristBondHolder's picture

and I bought silver at $38

CCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCC

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 14:04 | 1702443 TzaristBondHolder
TzaristBondHolder's picture

and I bought silver at $38

CCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCC

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 14:04 | 1702444 TzaristBondHolder
TzaristBondHolder's picture

and I bought silver at $38

CCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCC

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 14:04 | 1702445 TzaristBondHolder
TzaristBondHolder's picture

and I bought silver at $38

CCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCC

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 14:03 | 1702446 TzaristBondHolder
TzaristBondHolder's picture

and I bought silver at $38

CCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCC

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 14:04 | 1702448 TzaristBondHolder
TzaristBondHolder's picture

and I bought silver at $38

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 14:04 | 1702449 TzaristBondHolder
TzaristBondHolder's picture

and I bought silver at $38

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 14:04 | 1702450 TzaristBondHolder
TzaristBondHolder's picture

and I bought silver at $38

Fri, 09/23/2011 - 14:04 | 1702451 TzaristBondHolder
TzaristBondHolder's picture

and I bought silver at $38

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