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Greek Reports Peg PSI Participation At "Over 75%"

Tyler Durden's picture




 

With less than 4 hours until the Greek PSI deadline (8pm GMT), the time to start spreading rumors has arrived. Sure enough, courtesy of Reuters:

  • SENIOR GREEK GOVT OFFICIAL SAYS TAKE-UP IN DEBT SWAP EXCEEDED 75 PCT LATE LAST NIGHT

Needless to say this conflicts with what all other media reports on the topic in this latest headline frenzy. Then again, in the game of the Schrodinger PSI, where the quantum participation state is 0% or 100% depending on whether one collapses the Lie function, the only sure thing is that there will be a Dead Schrodinger Cat bounce before the CAC is triggered shortly and the market tests just how firewalled it is to a Greek CDS trigger.

More from Reuters:

Greece's bond swap is going well, the country's finance minister told a cabinet meeting on Thursday ahead of a 2000 GMT deadline, one cabinet member told reporters.

 

"Venizelos informed the cabinet that the PSI (debt swap) is going well, there are no surprises," said a minister who took part in the meeting and declined to be named.

 

Athens must secure the deal as part of a financial bailout that will allow it to redeem debt coming due in less than two weeks. Missing that repayment would potentially destabilize the euro zone's financial system and undermine the euro

 

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Thu, 03/08/2012 - 12:22 | 2236189 Cdad
Cdad's picture

Credit event, bitchez!

Thu, 03/08/2012 - 12:24 | 2236199 Chappy
Chappy's picture

They'll just change the rules again.  Nobody said they were playinjg for keep-sees...

Thu, 03/08/2012 - 12:28 | 2236226 Vampyroteuthis ...
Vampyroteuthis infernalis's picture

Let them change the rules. If the CDS are not triggered, a lot of small investors will be wiped out resulting in the dominoes toppling. SHTF moment is on the way no matter what!

Thu, 03/08/2012 - 12:53 | 2236358 JPM Hater001
JPM Hater001's picture

When I first started wholesaling insurance in the wirehouses and knew nothing about investing a wise broker once said to me: When "everyone" is cheering and "everyone" is excited...get the fuck out.  And when they all exclaim "stop I cant take it anymore" buy like it's prom night at an Asian whorehouse and there are half price specials everywhere.

I'm out.

Thu, 03/08/2012 - 13:51 | 2236567 The Big Ching-aso
The Big Ching-aso's picture

 

 

Anybody know what kinda weed they smoke in Greece?   Is it like PCP laden hash cut with heroin?

 

Thu, 03/08/2012 - 18:01 | 2237435 Buck Johnson
Buck Johnson's picture

I know, they keep lying and changing the rules and doing anything and everything to make sure they don't call a Credit event.  It's almost a sick joke.

Thu, 03/08/2012 - 12:23 | 2236190 Chappy
Chappy's picture

Woot!

Thu, 03/08/2012 - 12:23 | 2236193 SHEEPFUKKER
SHEEPFUKKER's picture

Oh, o.k. tks. I feel so much better now. 

Thu, 03/08/2012 - 12:25 | 2236198 Cognitive Dissonance
Cognitive Dissonance's picture

All lies are truth until (successfully) challenged.

Who (meaning what author-ity) wants to step up to the plate and declare the Emperor naked as the day he was born?

Fri, 03/09/2012 - 01:15 | 2238577 StychoKiller
StychoKiller's picture

"What's the use of getting sober, when you're just gonna get drunk again?"

Thu, 03/08/2012 - 12:25 | 2236202 firstdivision
firstdivision's picture

L-Oil-L!  When is the Fed going to issue a negitive statement to counter this so the "speculators" leave oil alone?

Thu, 03/08/2012 - 12:25 | 2236204 Tsar Pointless
Tsar Pointless's picture

I'll pull out the line from dearly-departed Mother Bates once more:

"It's lies. It's all lies!"

Thu, 03/08/2012 - 12:26 | 2236208 NEOSERF
NEOSERF's picture

Phew, I was really worried because EVERY OTHER DATA POINT IN THIS 2 YR SLOW MOTION TRAIN WRECK LED ME TO BELEIVE THAT THIS IS REALLY A FREE, OPEN and UNMANIPULATED PROCESS where Greece could really not get whatever frikken % participation it needed to avoid armageddon...

Thu, 03/08/2012 - 12:26 | 2236209 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

Thank goodness. All is well. Time to sell the precious metals and go all in on the ponzi scheme.

Thu, 03/08/2012 - 12:26 | 2236211 LookingWithAmazement
LookingWithAmazement's picture

Over 75% - mission accomplished. No CDS trigger, no credit event. Friday relief rally. Told you so. Boring world we live in.

Thu, 03/08/2012 - 12:30 | 2236240 adr
adr's picture

and a multi trillion dollar market for CDS contracts just became worthless. Good-bye bank earnings.

Thu, 03/08/2012 - 14:06 | 2236623 LookingWithAmazement
LookingWithAmazement's picture

Hell no. Banks voluntarily write off debt. No CDS troubles.

Thu, 03/08/2012 - 12:27 | 2236213 Burr's 2nd Shot
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The act of observation collapses the wave function.  So, if one doesn't observe a default, it never happened (or is always happening, I can't quite seem to get it straight).

Thu, 03/08/2012 - 12:27 | 2236217 adr
adr's picture

Of course the PSI was going to be met. It was about as voluntary as a Russian soldier going up against the Germans at Stalingrad. Sure the city held but millions died and there was nothing left of it.

Thu, 03/08/2012 - 12:30 | 2236237 Habyarimana
Habyarimana's picture

 Are all Greece problems solved now, what is next ?

Why are the banks happy ? What's in fact meant by 'CDS'

 

 

Thu, 03/08/2012 - 12:35 | 2236271 johnQpublic
johnQpublic's picture

cds, core distraction scenario....

Thu, 03/08/2012 - 12:30 | 2236242 YesWeKahn
YesWeKahn's picture

"unnamed" minister, very credible.

Thu, 03/08/2012 - 12:32 | 2236249 azzhatter
azzhatter's picture

but .....but.... that CNBC girl with large breasts and homely face said it's a done deal and all is well. She is going to do some ouzo and screw the greek navy

Thu, 03/08/2012 - 12:34 | 2236265 valley chick
valley chick's picture

do they have 75% or not?  I am getting dizzy....

Thu, 03/08/2012 - 12:38 | 2236284 aleph0
aleph0's picture

 

 

Last night   ...  LOL
Tomorrow we get the truth about "today" !

Thu, 03/08/2012 - 12:41 | 2236298 youngman
youngman's picture

We won´t know until 1 am EST...

Thu, 03/08/2012 - 12:43 | 2236309 Village Smithy
Village Smithy's picture

Me thinks that the lady (Venizelos) doth protest too much.

Thu, 03/08/2012 - 12:47 | 2236330 John Law Lives
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"Needless to say this conflicts with what all other media reports on the topic in this latest headline frenzy. Then again, in the game of the Schrodinger PSI, where the quantum participation state is 0% or 100% depending on whether one collapse the Lie function, the only sure thing is that there will be a Dead Schrodinger Cat bounce before the CAC is triggered shortly and the market tests just how firewalled it is to a Greek CDS trigger."

This paragraph merits consideration for a Pulitzer Prize under the category of "Explanatory Reporting".

Good stuff!

Thu, 03/08/2012 - 12:54 | 2236360 spanish inquisition
spanish inquisition's picture

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Schr%C3%B6dinger%27s_cat 

According to objective collapse theories, superpositions are destroyed spontaneously (irrespective of external observation) when some objective physical threshold (of time, mass, temperature, irreversibility, etc.) is reached. Thus, the cat would be expected to have settled into a definite state long before the box is opened. This could loosely be phrased as "the cat observes itself," or "the environment observes the cat."

Objective collapse theories require a modification of standard quantum mechanics to allow superpositions to be destroyed by the process of time evolution.

Loosly translated, if the experiment was started in 1935, we can be pretty sure the cat is dead. Even the many worlds interpretation does not have room for an 75 year old cat. I believe we have reached the objective collapse theory based on length of time. Even though the box in still closed regarding Greek default, the "its alive" rumors are no longer possible.

So the only for thing TPTB have left is to never open the Greek default box, let the captured media record victory, mark it down in the history books and lay the groundwork for the legend of the great Greek/Euro save, print alot of money for creditors and hope everyone plays along.

Thu, 03/08/2012 - 13:06 | 2236397 rupeshpatel
rupeshpatel's picture

TYLER with respect .. greek authorities wouldnt put these statements out if it wasnt true .. it makes no sense. Think you called this one wrong mate.

 

RUPESH PATEL (CSC)

Thu, 03/08/2012 - 13:09 | 2236413 Tsar Pointless
Tsar Pointless's picture

I'm sure they're going to show you the documents with full detail, showing the particpiation rate to be "over 75%", rupeshpatel.

I mean, we're shown everything in detail by our leaders, no matter where we live - Greece, the USA, Spain, Japan. Never are we lied to.

They can say what they want - we will have to believe them. What other choice do we have?

Thu, 03/08/2012 - 13:22 | 2236462 Gomie
Gomie's picture

Agreed. And now it is being reported as exceeding 80%. Seems like a lot of people here didn't get their wish and were completely wrong.

Thu, 03/08/2012 - 13:12 | 2236423 neverm0re
neverm0re's picture

Oh, doomsday has been cancelled yet again! What are you going to do if in a few hours they announce a participation rate of 90 percent? Hang yourself?

Thu, 03/08/2012 - 13:16 | 2236441 youngman
youngman's picture

same thing I always do...buy more gold and silver.....lets see if you owned one of these bonds..you just lost 50% or more.....time will tell if it is more..like total.....now if you bought CDS´s on these bonds and that is not exercised...then you lost 100%......not seeing much upside here in the old soverign debt bond game..

Thu, 03/08/2012 - 13:52 | 2236569 rupeshpatel
rupeshpatel's picture

well i personally would like the market to sell off as im short but i dont think it will happen with the news coming out of Athens.

i take on board that politicians misleed where they can .. but there would be no use in lying about this 2 hours before the result which is a black and white situation.

investors in the 90% greek law bonds will give the green light. why? well simple .. why would you want to be left to sue a sovereign state which is bust anyway through courts at huge financial expense with lawyers / financial experts raping you for the next 10 + years. most hedge fund managers will have blown themselves up and moved on to another fund (or a nice pile in surrey) in that time frame.

guys, there isnt going to be a blow up anytime soon, 75+ % participation is enough to initiate CACs. CDS will pay out .. and thats that.

RUPESH PATEL (CSC) 

 

 

Thu, 03/08/2012 - 13:53 | 2236576 rupeshpatel
rupeshpatel's picture

the markets will rally like a MOFO on friday for SURE.

RUPESH PATEL (CSC)

Thu, 03/08/2012 - 13:55 | 2236583 SovietCong
SovietCong's picture

Probably the first time ever when I see ZH discussing Lie algebra and quantum physics (pretty funny, about the cat) instead of mocking all those math PhD's writing algos and their pimples. Times change or what.

Thu, 03/08/2012 - 17:20 | 2237287 Diogenes
Diogenes's picture

So if you own Greek bonds and the PSI scheme works you keep 30% of your money... but if it doesn't work you lose 70% of your money... is that how it works?

Thu, 03/08/2012 - 19:21 | 2237670 neverm0re
neverm0re's picture

"lets see if you owned one of these bonds.."

LOL, no. And since it's now kinda official that the 90 percent have been achieved, it's no loss for the ordinary person. Those who gamble with uncovered CDS, too bad :D

The only ones suffering are the vultures. Well, whenever you're gambling eventually you'll  lose my friends XD

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