This page has been archived and commenting is disabled.

Groundhog Phil vs. Joe LaVorgna Prediction Success Rate

Tyler Durden's picture


Pretty much self-explanatory. It would appear that the Pennsylvania rodent is missing out on a lot of NBC Universal-contributor cash by not having a comedy TV friendly presence. As for the accuracy win rate in the groundhog vs permabull race, there really is no contest...

courtesy of John Lohman


- advertisements -

Comment viewing options

Select your preferred way to display the comments and click "Save settings" to activate your changes.
Fri, 02/03/2012 - 02:08 | Link to Comment Steverino
Steverino's picture

LMAO... P-Bill FTW...

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 02:13 | Link to Comment Michael
Michael's picture

Looks like a collapse on-risk off day ahead of the NFP report.

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 05:22 | Link to Comment AldousHuxley
Fri, 02/03/2012 - 05:41 | Link to Comment Poor Grogman
Poor Grogman's picture

I dont know these two but the ginea pig seems to have more of a clue

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 07:41 | Link to Comment Zero Govt
Zero Govt's picture

You need to get Robert Prechter of Elliott Wave in this perma-bull(shit) competition

Prechter 2009-2012: 5% Win Rate

Prechter on Gold: beyond clueless (that's a statistical number of almost zero)

Prechter on timing S&P, DOW, Nasdaq: 6% Win Rate

Prechter on knowing he's diabolical at predicting/timing markets: 2% Win Rate

Prechter would win this competition easy

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 08:21 | Link to Comment johnu1978
johnu1978's picture

It's getting better by the day!



Fri, 02/03/2012 - 08:27 | Link to Comment EyeQ
EyeQ's picture

If you're talking about the one on the left - that's a ground hog, am not sure about the one on the right - could be a guinea pig I guess.

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 09:51 | Link to Comment Toolshed
Toolshed's picture

Guinea Pig? For the love of god man......that's Joe La Vorgna! The other guy happens to be a ground hog.

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 03:03 | Link to Comment Eireann go Brach
Eireann go Brach's picture

LaVorgna looks like he was spawned from the same massive foreheaded alien that also shit Tim Geitner out it's arse!

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 04:45 | Link to Comment UP Forester
UP Forester's picture

Too bad they're not blonde, like their brother, Beavis.

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 08:25 | Link to Comment johnQpublic
johnQpublic's picture

IPO in the offing for the groundhog then?

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 02:11 | Link to Comment PSEUDOLOGOI

silver bitchez!

citibank just gave me 10K @ 0% till november for a capped fee of $75.00


guess what i bought with it....

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 02:19 | Link to Comment jonjon831983
jonjon831983's picture

One of the below:

1) 1000x leveraged short gold etf?

2) GLD

3) 3D HDTV

4) a few iPads

5) Physical Bullion

6) None of the above 

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 02:27 | Link to Comment PSEUDOLOGOI


but it was lost in a boating accident before delivery took place


Fri, 02/03/2012 - 07:20 | Link to Comment newstreet
newstreet's picture

Just received one of these offers myself.  What's this about?

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 09:17 | Link to Comment trav7777
trav7777's picture

surely the real silverbugz who talk only about physical with no margin and how bugz never use leverage or paper will be here momentarily to cheerlead you

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 02:11 | Link to Comment pleseus
pleseus's picture

Punxsutawney Joe is going to piss gold and silver out his pecker for 6 more weeks.

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 02:16 | Link to Comment Caviar Emptor
Caviar Emptor's picture

Go Phil! 

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 02:22 | Link to Comment jonjon831983
jonjon831983's picture

I guess there's more to that pesky cutie pie's face than it seems.

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 03:08 | Link to Comment Mister Ponzi
Mister Ponzi's picture

Last month, it was easy to guess a strong NFP numer as Joe LaWronga's estimate was not above consensus for the first time for months. Today, his forecast of +170K is considerably above average although I think I remember that last week the number was even higher. So, I guess we are in for a print below the average estimate of 146K.

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 03:22 | Link to Comment spankthebernank
spankthebernank's picture

Only on ZH would you get this in depth analysis...bravo. So basically Lavorgna is guessing, must be nice to make all those FRN for 'takin a stab at it'

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 04:44 | Link to Comment golldstein
golldstein's picture

I don't think anybody is good at predicting the markets.

Like Tyler Golden-balls, I was expecting the great collapse years ago.

Stocks did well last year.  Who would have guessed it?

At least women still have tits.  Hey, it's something to believe in.

I try to look on the brightside.

The only person who gets it correct consistently is Mike Shedlock.

The guy knows his stuff. 

But he still fucks up from time to time.

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 17:20 | Link to Comment Matt
Matt's picture

The important thing here is, why did someone go to university and why are they getting paid if they produce the same results as a coin toss?

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 12:30 | Link to Comment ebworthen
ebworthen's picture

Joe Bologna!


Hell, he should be playing Blackjack.

Thank you for this, really, I needed to see that after weeks of market pumping on CNBC.

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 04:23 | Link to Comment ultimate warrior
ultimate warrior's picture

LaVorgna is related to megamind

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 05:59 | Link to Comment Dick Darlington
Dick Darlington's picture

Lol, fookin priceless!

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 06:26 | Link to Comment Rot-10
Rot-10's picture

Maybe Phil will win the DJFX jacket

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 06:38 | Link to Comment props2009
props2009's picture

The crash is coming

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 07:51 | Link to Comment Bahamas
Bahamas's picture

Lavorgna looks like a hydrocephalus

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 08:04 | Link to Comment HD
HD's picture

CNBC has no journalistic integrity left at all. Not that they are alone - "news" today is just pandering to whatever generates the most viewers or clicks. They all have some political agenda or simply pander to those that do.

CNBC is just one long money manager commercial - look at their advertisers, then look at their guests.  Dare to question the BS - you won't be coming back.

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 08:23 | Link to Comment Kaaos
Kaaos's picture

"I don't think anybody is good at predicting the markets."

Predicting is difficult, especially predicting the future...


Fri, 02/03/2012 - 09:09 | Link to Comment wonderatitall
wonderatitall's picture





Fri, 02/03/2012 - 08:29 | Link to Comment Rider
Rider's picture

Tyler please do a FED VS Groundhog!!

FED has no chance

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 09:25 | Link to Comment Downtoolong
Downtoolong's picture

Wow, LaVorgna beat the coin toss by 1%. So that's what being a one percenter is all about.


Mon, 07/02/2012 - 17:28 | Link to Comment RacerX
RacerX's picture

ha ha.. awesome. Does Phil have a $29.95 newsletter?

Do NOT follow this link or you will be banned from the site!