Guest Post: Consequences To Expect If The U.S. Invades Iran

Tyler Durden's picture

Submitted by Brandon Smith from

Consequences To Expect If The U.S. Invades Iran

Let’s be honest, quite a few Americans love a good war, especially those Americans who have never had to bear witness to one first hand.  War is the ultimate tribally vicarious experience.  Anyone, even pudgy armchair generals with deep-seated feelings of personal inadequacy, can revel in the victories and actions of armies a half a world away as if they themselves stood on the front lines risking possible annihilation at the hands of dastardly cartoon-land “evil doers”.  They may have never done a single worthwhile thing in their lives, but at least they can bask in the perceived glory of their country’s military might. 

This attitude of swollen ego through proxy is not limited to the “Right” side of the political spectrum as some might expect.  In fact, if the terrifyingly demented presidency of Barack Obama has proven anything so far, it is that elements of the “Left” are just as bloodthirsty as any NeoCon, and just as ready to blindly support the political supremacy of their “side” regardless of any broken promises, abandoned principles, or openly flaunted hypocrisies.  No matter how reasonable or irrefutable the arguments against a particular conflict are, there will ALWAYS be a certain percentage of the populace which ignores all logic and barrels forward to cheerlead violent actions which ultimately only benefit a select and elite few.

They do this, though they rarely openly admit it, because of unbalanced and irrational biases which drive their decision making processes.  In the case of the wars in the Middle East, the common public argument boils down to one of “self defense”.  “They are coming to get us!”  At least, that is what we are constantly told.  And I’m sure that some Americans out there truly believe this.  However, in their heart of hearts, others instead relish the idea of imposing their world views and philosophical systems upon others, even if it means using cluster bombs and predator drones.

Some people simply hate Muslims, for one reason or another.  Some people believe that war will bring with it economic gain.  Some are so afraid of what they do not comprehend that they only feel secure by attacking it.  Some believe that the U.S. citizenry is morally obligated to become entangled with governments like Israel’s, and support them without question as if they are infallible, though they are often just as corrupt as the governments we are directed to despise.  And yet others (for religious purposes), actually clamor for Middle Eastern destruction in the desperate hopes that their version of biblical prophecy will be vindicated.  Ultimately, most Americans who support continued destruction in the Middle East, or anywhere else for that matter, do so out a selfish need for private absolution and elevation, not out of a sincere sense of patriotism, and not because nations like Afghanistan, Iraq, Libya, or Iran present a legitimate danger to their safety.

These men and women have invested their very identities into the mechanizations of collective war.  They will not be swayed by evidence or honorable arguments.  Any criticism of the actions of the collective will immediately be treated as a personal attack on their individual character, causing their minds to shut down completely.

As far as Iran is concerned, I am not here to convince the war-drum pounding zombie hoards infesting the mentally impotent sewage soaked wastelands of my country that their rationalizations for raining laser guided death on the third world is a “reprehensible thing”.  Given their impenetrable biases, which I listed above, that would be a complete waste of time. 

I could, indeed, point out how in 1953 the U.S. and Britain overthrew the democratically elected leader of Iran, Mohammad Mossaddegh, because he refused to allow global corporate interests to exploit his country’s oil resources.  I could outline how the forced CIA installation of the Shah in Iran and the creation of his secret police led to the torture and murder of thousands of innocent people.  I could list similar covert activities over the past 100 years or so, in countries all over the world, which have created the now universal disdain the third world has for the U.S. government.  I could even show them a PBS special from 1987 which effectively details this history and warns of what is now going on today.  The kind of mainstream news coverage that networks currently blacklist honest and daring journalists for:

But what about all the nuclear talk being shoved down our throats lately?  Doesn’t this supersede any historical concerns between Iran and the U.S.?  What if the terrorists get their hands on “the bomb”?! 

On this issue, I could easily interject the fact that countries supposedly hostile to the U.S., like North Korea, have long had nuclear capability, and certainly the means to use infiltrators to deliver that technology, yet, we haven’t sent the Western war machine after them.  I would also set the record straight by mentioning that the ONLY country in the world that has used a nuclear weapon against another is the U.S.  I could educate these people on the exposure of secret Israeli nuclear weapons programs since the 1970’s, and the fact that Israel even attempted to illegally sell this technology to Apartheid South Africa:

I could try to clear the air by reminding the uninformed that Secretary of Defense Leon Panetta recently admitted that Iran has no nuclear weapons capability.  And, that this fact was repeated by an Iranian nuclear scientist, Sharhram Amiri, who defected to the U.S. in 2010 with the help of the CIA in the hopes that he could be used to disseminate propaganda on “secret” nuclear weapons programs in his former homeland.  Instead, he only reinforced the assertion that there are no such programs:

With the CIA made to look foolish, they have now decided that Amiri is “peripheral” to the Iranian nuke programs, and is no longer a solid source of information.  I could follow by pointing out how decidedly convenient this is…

What about all the similarities between the lies on WMD’s in Iraq and the rhetoric against Iran today?  What about the disinformation put forward by the IAEA and its cadre of foreign policy yes-men?

What about the fact that back when Iran was run by our own puppet leader, the Shah, an iron-fisted sociopathic dictator, we were more than happy that the country was developing nuclear power plants:

Sorry, but sharing this information with the warmongering percentage of our American culture is futile.  None of this data means a thing to them.  For these people, it’s not about facts; it’s about foggy perception, uncontrolled emotion, and false identity.  Understanding the situation only complicates their pursuit of the next collectivist high; that frenetic freak frenzy that takes hold of a population and makes them swarm like mad bees, or hungry piranha, poisoning and devouring everything in their path.

With this in mind, the only recourse I could possibly think of to wake them up to their philosophical and moral folly is to expose them to very real and debilitating consequences they will face in their everyday lives in the wake of expanded conflict on the part of the U.S.  That is to say, you may hate Iran, you may hate Iranians, you may despise Muslims, you may be driven by a childish need to live vicariously through the exploits of your government, or, you might actually believe the hype that Iran is in league with Al-Qaeda, that they really are after nuclear weapons in a diabolical plot to harm Americans, and you might truly believe that Israel is that “beacon of freedom” in the Middle East and that all its neighbors must be pacified for the sake of democracy.  At bottom, whatever your deepest intentions, and whatever you might think, this is irrelevant in the face of the inevitable costs of war.  If you support such a war, here is how it will affect you when it breaks loose:

Exploding Oil Prices

The U.S. has had a ban on Iranian oil imports since 1979, however, Iran still supplies about 5% of the global oil market.  This might not seem like much, but Iran also has the means and ability to shut down the Straight of Hormuz, which is one of two major petroleum choke points in the world.  Around 17 million barrels of oil per day are shipped through the Straight of Hormuz, or about 20% of all oil traded worldwide.

In 2006, during the last major Iran war scare, experts predicted gasoline price increases in excess of $10 a gallon if Iran was invaded.

This would devastate the U.S. economy, which is already hanging by a thin thread.  Iran has announced this past weekend it will cease all oil shipments to Britain and France in protest of their support of economic sanctions.  This alone is causing oil to spike today.  A global energy crisis will financially decimate average citizens who will have their savings sapped by extreme price inflation, not just in gasoline, but in all goods that require the use of gasoline in their production and shipping.  If you like this idea, then by all means, support an invasion of Iran.

War Domino Effect

In January of 2010, I wrote an article for Neithercorp Press entitled “Will Globalists Trigger Yet Another World War”.  In that article, I warned about the dangers of an invasion of Iran or Syria being used to foment a global conflict, in order to create a crisis large enough to distract the masses away from the international banker created economic collapse:

In 2006, Iran signed a mutual defense pact with its neighbor, Syria, which is also in the middle of its own turmoil and possible NATO intervention.  Syria has strong ties to Russia, and even has a revamped Russian naval base off its coast, a fact rarely mentioned by the mainstream media.  Both Russia and China have made their opposition clear in the case of any Western intervention in Iran or Syria.  An invasion by the U.S. or Israel in these regions could quickly intensify into wider war between major world powers.  If you like the idea of a world war which could eventually put you and your family in direct danger, then by all means, support an invasion of Iran.

Dollar Collapse

Make no mistake, the U.S. dollar is already on the verge of collapse, along with the U.S. economy.  Bilateral trade agreements between BRIC and ASEAN nations are sprouting up everywhere the past couple months, and these agreements are specifically designed to end the dollar’s status as the world reserve currency.  An invasion of Iran will only expedite this process.  If global anger over the resulting chaos in oil prices doesn’t set off a dump of the dollar, the eventual debt obligation incurred through the overt costs of war will.  Ron Paul has always been right; it doesn’t matter whether you think invasion is a good idea or not.  We simply CANNOT afford it.  America is bankrupt.  Our only source of income is our ability to print money from thin air.  Each dollar created to fund new wars brings our currency ever closer to its demise.

This combination of disastrous economic policy and disastrous foreign policy has actually been used before.  Great Britain once sat in the position of economic authority that the U.S. sits in today, and the pound sterling was once considered the world reserve because it was required in the global trade of oil, just as the dollar is now.  However, British intrigues in the Middle East, and more specifically in Egypt, led them into extreme debt.  In the 1940’s and 1950’s, international banks led by America and France threatened to dump British Treasury Bonds in response to their efforts to dominate Middle Eastern oil.  Does any of this sound familiar? 

This ultimately led to considerable devaluation of the pound.  In 1967, the death blow was finally delivered when Prime Minister Harold Wilson artificially reduced the British exchange rate by 14% overnight!  Meaning, in the span of a single evening, British citizens lost 14% of their buying power, and every product they went out to buy the next day would cost them 14% more.

It would be practical to mention that the move to destroy the British pound came right in time for the implementation of new programs for the construction of the European Union, and the Euro, the new supranational currency which would later become the standard.  The EU and the Euro never could have come about while the Pound Sterling remained a world reserve.  Just another amazing coincidence I’m sure, and one that couldn’t possibly have any relation to what is happening to the dollar in 2012, right…? 

So, if you like the idea of losing 14% or more of your buying power overnight, and having that financial loss blamed on the tides of war, rather than on the corporate bankers who actually created the mess, then by all means, support an invasion of Iran.

Civil Liberties Destroyed

Do you like being able to walk down the street without having to suffer through constant pat-downs by low wage brain-dead cretins in blue gloves?  Does it make you feel good to know that if you are ever arrested, whether you are guilty or not, you are guaranteed by law to receive a fair trial by your peers in a civilian court with a lawyer by your side?  Do you enjoy taking a long drive with the family without facing check points, and predator drones constantly overhead every time you put the top down to feel the wind in your hair?  Don’t get too comfortable, folks!  These “luxuries” will soon be a thing of the past, especially as the U.S. financial situation deteriorates and war escalates.  Think of all the new threats the elites in our government can use to rationalize the usurpation of Constitutional protections when war with Iran, or Syria, or Russia, or China, or all of them at once, breaks out.

The term “terrorist” will take on a whole different dynamic.  Great national dangers often facilitate broader definitions of who is and who is not an “enemy of the state”.  Crisis gives wings to legislation like the NDAA.  In this kind of despotic environment, no one, even those citizens who support the state in nearly all of its enterprises, is safe.  Maybe you love the idea of war with Iran, but at the same time, hate the idea of having a TSA goon manhandling your wife or daughter in a train station or on a street corner.  Good luck with that.  Speaking out could be treated as disruption of national security measures.  Off to the gulag with you!

The “greater good” somehow always entails the dissolution of civil liberties for the common man.  Invariably, the establishment in power favors no one, save a highly connected few.  Being pro-establishment does not necessarily protect you from a government given free reign to do whatever it pleases in wartime.  In the end, everyone is fair game.

If this is the kind of America you want to live in, by all means, support an invasion of Iran.

If You Can’t See The Big Picture, You Can’t See A Thing…

The relentless drive for war in the Middle East is not about “spreading democracy”.  It is not about terrorism.  It is not about oil (at least for the most part).  It is not about Israel (at least, not the Israeli people).  It is not even about corporate profiteering by the Military Industrial Complex.  War in the Middle East is about changing the way our country and our world operates, culturally, socially, financially, and politically.  War opens doors to social re-engineering that could never be accomplished otherwise.  War creates fear, panic, rage, and allows dystopian fallacies to reign supreme.  War, unjust and dishonorable war, makes countries weak, and ripe for violent change. 

Iran is not a threat to our way of life, and never has been.  But, war in Iran could easily upset the core of our entire country, and leave us wayward strangers in the land we were born.

While much of the rhetoric of preemptive invasion that America has been awash in these past few months is carefully crafted and disseminated by government entities whose intentions are far from honest, its effectiveness is mute without the helping hand of a thoughtless subsection of the public.  Every decade or so, a new generation of idiot spawn comes of age to be willingly sacrificed on the chopping block of globalist conquest.  This new decade brings with it the promise of not just more of the same, but perhaps the most costly tithe to the gods of war ever made in our country’s history.  This is not our fight.  This is a fight we are being conned into undertaking for the profit of others, and thus, it is a fight we cannot win.  Perhaps when the blind mobs of this nation feel the abrupt sting of their foolishness in their narrow day-to-day existence, they will finally understand…


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FrankThinkTank's picture

Haha @ Haaretz. The New York Times of the ME. 

DaveyJones's picture

which just shows you how bad the NYT is....

Arthor Bearing's picture

Haaretz is the only voice for peace in the major media there. Even if you don't agree with all of their editorial positions you have to admit they are a net force for good in a country ruled by hawkish religious nutcases.

defencev's picture

I frankly have not read a piece of shit as this "article" for a very long time. The author bullshiting in this blog left and right with his "forecasts" which never come true.

1. Russians will never enter into direct military conflict with US be it Syria, Iran or anything else. On the contrary they just will be glad to rip benefits of higher oil prices.

2. US should not spend a cent on the war. The bill will be readily and happily picked by Saudis and other Sunni Arabs.


3. What is this bullshit about all these pat downs  : the war will be swift: just to eliminate Iranian capacities to produce nuclear weapons or shut Straits of Hormuz

4. Dollar is not going to weaken. Where this bullshit coming from? On the contrary , it will strengen as usual safe haven.

What else? This guy is worthless shit himself, however eloquently he tries to brush his opponents in simiar way...

5. And, yes, of course such a war will end the recession. Is not that what Mark Faber  talking about?

Alasdair's picture

Well then what are we waiting for?  I know we were told that the Iraq invasion would be short and pay for itself.  Unfortunately that didn't work out.  So I guess we're due!

defencev's picture

Well then what are we waiting for?

We are waiting for Obama to be removed from the office.

Rynak's picture

Someone is trying to compete with MDB.

Barbarians_R_Us's picture

I agree with your contentions, except point 3. The war "could" be swift. But the U.S. has a huge need to keep employed hundreds of thousands of soldiers who would otherwise come back home and add to the unemployment roster. Definitely something Obamalongdingdong can't have happen before Nov.

JoBob's picture

The war will be swift and the dollar will not weaken?


I mean...REALLY? Defencev, you're a riot!   /sarc.

defencev's picture

Really. In what world you , guys, are living? Ahmadinejad is a clown albeit a malicious one. I wouldl put him in the category of Jokers. You are listening to  all these fucking muslim propaganda about mighty Iranians. This is just bullshit. That will be swift.

And the Dollar will strengthen. And Saudis will pay for this. You, guys, here is a bunch of brainwashed idiots. And remember:

the very fact that Sarah Palin thinks that Iranian regime is evil does not mean that it is not.

Rynak's picture

I for one am living in a world, in which i am not selling out my conscience for wealth.

That pretty much trumps any of your false arguments you could bring up, at least regarding integrity, BITCH! Actually, strike that.... i think i'd have more symphathy towards people who honestly sell their sexuality for wealth, than you selling yourself out something more serious.

DaveyJones's picture

How are those alternative history books coming? Yes, the dollar never weakens. All wars are swift, especially with a country and military so strong (and unstretched) as ours. You think "direct" military conflict is the only way Russia can "fight" us? Eveyone has a line in the sand. Everyone is worried that we may "lose it." We are the best evidence for that concern. China might have an opinion and some leverage too.   

Mr Kurtz's picture

Spirt of Truth: Say you don't mind if I just refer to from now on as sot do ya?  I assume the reference to Hitler was meant to invoke an analogy to Israel's 'final solution' to the Palestinian Question? Well why didn't you say so in the first place.

Chuck Walla's picture

Hitler just made Margaret Sanger and George Bernard Shaw manifest in reality.  Why do you think the Progressives and Obama are so hot fro eugenics and Planned Parenthood?

Abitdodgie's picture

Fox says America has just declared war on Iran through congress.

xela2200's picture

You might want to change your handle to Delusion of Truth.

ZeroPoint's picture

You are a thread jacking piece of shit.

fuu's picture

A little misleading on this headline:

Ron Paul Wins Maine Caucus With Twice As Many Votes As Mitt Romney In Vote Delayed Due To Snowstorm


He did not win the overall caucus, he came in first in the delayed county. He is still down by 100 odd votes.

Deo vindice's picture

Top picture looks about right.  His timeline has been moved up a bit.

Timelines are always liable to change. But events still happen.

NumberNone's picture

Timetables!  Love it when a plan comes together!!

General Wesley Clark on MidEast Timetables..  

Banksters's picture

Trav and Robo can't comment right now, World of Warlock takes most of their  time. 

jesus_quintana's picture

Only in the US would Obama be described as left wing. And therein lies much of your problem.

RockyRacoon's picture

You betcha (to channel Ms Palin)!  If we had a nice war, even Billy Kristol and Chuck Krauthammer would sing the praises of Barack Obama.  They would, of course, have great and glorious denigration of each tactical move, but, overall they'd love the general strategy.  Look at how the Libyan excursion was second-guessed in the present tense and pilloried in the past tense.   Shoulda, woulda, coulda.

At the present time all the war mongers like these guys have nothing to talk about on Fox.   I'm sure they love opining about the current crop of candidates of the Republican Party... NOT.   They need some red meat to really shine at what they do best.   And you all know what that is.

Mr Lennon Hendrix's picture

Does that translate into "You bet you"?  She is almost as literate as Obama.

RockyRacoon's picture

Surely you aren't comparing the literacy of the two?  I see no comparison.  That is not, of course, any reflection on either one's competence nor abilities.   Each of them has his/her own strengths.

Mr Lennon Hendrix's picture

Have you ever watched Obama give a speech without a telepromter?  He is an imbecile.  I have some friends who are very talented acotrs.  They are great story tellers, good looking, and funny.  But they are obtuse when it comes to logic. 

This is Obama.  A good story teller, good looking, and...actually Obama can't tell a joke, but none the less, he is an actor, and yes, on his own he can't construct a well versed sentence.

LFMayor's picture

ROFL.   "who be rangin, mutha fuckas?"

RockyRacoon's picture

We'll just have to differ on that.   That's fine.   I'm reminded of Dr Paul who appears to be a bumbling old man.   His intellect and deep knowledge makes it nearly impossible to convey any useful information in the regular media sound bite.  That need to dumb-down his rhetoric is what makes him appear less fluid.   I feel that Obama is in a constant struggle to lower his speaking to a level that is comprehensible to the average couch tater.   It's not easy.

The folk who run down the Prez but won't watch the various speeches he gives isn't helpful.  Preconceived notions might become wobbly were one to actually try to watch with an objective eye.   Can't have that, eh?  Romney has done some teleprompter appearances lately but not much is said.   It's part of the landscape in modern media, good or bad.

Rynak's picture


Only in the US would Obama be described as left wing. And therein lies much of your problem.

(Not) Only in the US would bush be described as republican.

JennaChick's picture

Markets are showing that an armada of US fleet will throw over everything on their way in Iran, at least the FX market. I don't believe that anybody will attack Iran, there is no proof that they have anything that even resembles a nuke.

Rynak's picture

That also was the case for iraq.

The difference regarding iran, has nothing to do with WMDs (just as with iraq).... instead, it has to do with geopolitics.... ya want WW3? Then attack iran, and indirectly possibly trigger a nuclear strike... by WESTERN forces.... more specifically, israel.

pkea's picture

could the elite have decided to let the dominos fall, and start WW3 and blame Iran for the financial collapse? 


you got it right.

 it is all iran's fault( roll my eyes)

Zeff's picture

Answer of this German Muslim scholar when he was asked about terrorism and Islam : He said : Who started the first world war ? Muslims ??
Who started the second world war ? Muslims ??
Who killed about 20 millions of Aborigines in Australia ? Muslims ??
Who sent the nuclear bombs of Hiroshima and Nagasaki ? Muslims ??
Who killed more than 100 millions of Indians in North America ? Muslims ??
Who killed more than 50 millions of Indians in south America ? Muslims ??
Who took about 180 millions of African people as slaves and 88% of them died and was thrown in Atlantic ocean ? Muslims ??
No , They weren't Muslims

SilverDoctors's picture

It's not looking good folks.  Greece will default in under a month unless The Fed rides to the rescue...could the elite have decided to let the dominos fall, and start WW3 and blame Iran for the financial collapse? 

Clueless Economist's picture

Who wrote this article?  A damn Commie?

atomic180's picture

I guess the internet has been turned back on in Iran...a few JDM's will do the trick... best use of my tax dollars in a while...whats the point of having an war machine if you dont use it...its about time we got some payback for the taking of our embasy and hostages...

BigJim's picture

Shooting down one of their airliners and killing 290 civilians not 'payback' enough for you? Sponsoring Saddam's Iran-Iraq war, leading to 1 million Iranian deaths, not payback enough for you?

atomic180's picture

Being serious and IMHO: Letting Iran get the BOMB after they have avowed to throughly destroy Isreal (regardless of my position on Isreal) is completely unacceptable and worth tactically neutering Iran... 

prole's picture

Pls neuter yourself TIA

If someone ever asks you what you do, just say, "I prepare and disseminate the justifications for genocide."

atomic180's picture

Histoy lesson...Holocaust...Iran atomic bomb...

TheFourthStooge-ing's picture

atomic180 is just another copy and paste "mission poster". He posts the same crap on every other article about Iran, ignoring that his boilerplate message has been thoroughly discredited.



Kaiser Doomheiser's picture

Dear Atomic Douchebag: In 1953 the CIA overthrew the democratically elected government of Iran and instituted the terror and torture regime of the Shah. (Something about oil.) This coup was orchestrated from within the US embassy. In 1979 the Iranian people overthrew the Shah, and in an attempt to avoid a repeat and another few decades of misery, they occupied the US embassy. You've never heard this in the corporate media because their job is to rile your jingoistic fervor rather than to help you understand the true facts of the situation. In your case they have done a fine job.

atomic180's picture

Thanks for the history lesson but what does this have to do with the destruction of Isreal and the reason for a first strike on Irans nuclear installations...enough talk lets just get it done...

TheFourthStooge-ing's picture

"mission poster" atomic180 said:

Thanks for the history lesson but what does this have to do with the destruction of Isreal and the reason for a first strike on Irans nuclear installations...enough talk lets just get it done...

Translation: Thanks for the history lesson but what does history have to do with lies? Let's incinerate some Iranian children.


atomic180's picture

In place of Jewish children as Iran has prescribed...your arguments are full of holes and disinformation...simply put Iran is the instigator regardles of past history...

xela2200's picture

Nobody in this forum understands his humor.