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Guest Post: The Emperor Is Naked

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Submitted by Karen Roche and JT Long of The Gold Report  (5/4/12),

A "paralyzed" Federal Reserve Bank, in its "final days," held hostage by Wall Street "robots" trading in markets that are "artificially medicated" are just a few of the bleak observations shared by David Stockman, former Republican U.S. Congressman and director of the Office of Management and Budget. He is also a founding partner of Heartland Industrial Partners and the author of The Triumph of Politics: Why Reagan's Revolution Failed and the soon-to-be released The Great Deformation: How Crony Capitalism Corrupts Free Markets and Democracy. The Gold Report caught up with Stockman for this exclusive interview at the recent Recovery Reality Check conference.

The Gold Report: David, you have talked and written about the effect of government-funded, debt-fueled spending on the stock market. What will be the real impact of quantitative easing?

David Stockman: We are in the last innings of a very bad ball game. We are coping with the crash of a 30-year–long debt super-cycle and the aftermath of an unsustainable bubble.

Quantitative easing is making it worse by facilitating more public-sector borrowing and preventing debt liquidation in the private sector—both erroneous steps in my view. The federal government is not getting its financial house in order. We are on the edge of a crisis in the bond markets. It has already happened in Europe and will be coming to our neighborhood soon.

TGR: What should the role of the Federal Reserve be?

DS: To get out of the way and not act like it is the central monetary planner of a $15 trillion economy. It cannot and should not be done.

The Fed is destroying the capital market by pegging and manipulating the price of money and debt capital. Interest rates signal nothing anymore because they are zero. The yield curve signals nothing anymore because it is totally manipulated by the Fed. The very idea of "Operation Twist" is an abomination.

Capital markets are at the heart of capitalism and they are not working. Savers are being crushed when we desperately need savings. The federal government is borrowing when it is broke. Wall Street is arbitraging the Fed's monetary policy by borrowing overnight money at 10 basis points and investing it in 10-year treasuries at a yield of 200 basis points, capturing the profit and laughing all the way to the bank. The Fed has become a captive of the traders and robots on Wall Street.

TGR: If we are in the final innings of a debt super-cycle, what is the catalyst that will end the game?

DS: I think the likely catalyst is a breakdown of the U.S. government bond market. It is the heart of the fixed income market and, therefore, the world's financial market.

Because of Fed management and interest-rate pegging, the market is artificially medicated. All of the rates and spreads are unreal. The yield curve is not market driven. Supply and demand for savings and investment, future inflation risk discounts by investors—none of these free market forces matter. The price of money is dictated by the Fed, and Wall Street merely attempts to front-run its next move.

As long as the hedge fund traders and fast-money boys believe the Fed can keep everything pegged, we may limp along. The minute they lose confidence, they will unwind their trades.

On the margin, nobody owns the Treasury bond; you rent it. Trillions of treasury paper is funded on repo: You buy $100 million (M) in Treasuries and immediately put them up as collateral for overnight borrowings of $98M. Traders can capture the spread as long as the price of the bond is stable or rising, as it has been for the last year or two. If the bond drops 2%, the spread has been wiped out.

If that happens, the massive repo structures—that is, debt owned by still more debt—will start to unwind and create a panic in the Treasury market. People will realize the emperor is naked.

TGR: Is that what happened in 2008?

DS: In 2008 it was the repo market for mortgage-back securities, credit default obligations and such. In 2008 we had a dry run of what happens when a class of assets owned on overnight money goes into a tailspin. There is a thunderous collapse.

Since then, the repo trade has remained in the Treasury and other high-grade markets because subprime and low-quality mortgage-backed securities are dead.

TGR: Walk us through a hypothetical. What happens when the fast-money traders lose confidence in the Fed's ability to keep the spread?

DS: They are forced to start selling in order to liquidate their carry trades because repo lenders get nervous and want their cash back. However, when the crisis comes, there will be insufficient private bids—the market will gap down hard unless the central banks buy on an emergency basis: the Fed, the European Central Bank (ECB), the people's printing press of China and all the rest of them.

The question is: Will the central banks be able to do that now, given that they have already expanded their balance sheets? The Fed balance sheet was $900 billion (B) when Lehman crashed in September 2008. It took 93 years to build it to that level from when the Fed opened for business in November 1914. Bernanke then added another $900B in seven weeks and then he took it to $2.4 trillion in an orgy of money printing during the initial 13 weeks after Lehman. Today it is nearly $3 trillion. Can it triple again? I do not think so. Worldwide it's the same story: the top eight central banks had $5 trillion of footings shortly before the crisis; they have $15 trillion today. Overwhelmingly, this fantastic expansion of central bank footings has been used to buy or discount sovereign debt. This was the mother of all monetizations.

TGR: Following that path, what happens if there are no buyers? Do the governments go into default?

DS: The U.S. Treasury needs to be in the market for $20B in new issuances every week. When the day comes when there are all offers and no bids, the music will stop. Instead of being able to easily pawn off more borrowing on the markets—say 90 basis points for a 5-year note as at present—they may have to pay hundreds of basis points more. All of a sudden the politicians will run around with their hair on fire, asking, what happened to all the free money?

TGR: What do the politicians have to do next?

DS: They are going to have to eat 30 years worth of lies and by the time they are done eating, there will be a lot of mayhem.

TGR: Will the mayhem stretch into the private sector?

DS: It will be everywhere. Once the bond market starts unraveling, all the other risk assets will start selling off like mad, too.

TGR: Does every sector collapse?

DS: If the bond market goes into a dislocation, it will spread like a contagion to all of the other asset markets. There will be a massive selloff.

I think everything in the world is overvalued—stocks, bonds, commodities, currencies. Too much money printing and debt expansion drove the prices of all asset classes to artificial, non-economic levels. The danger to the world is not classic inflation or deflation of goods and services; it's a drastic downward re-pricing of inflated financial assets.

TGR: Is there any way to unravel this without this massive dislocation?

DS: I do not think so. When you are so far out on the end of a limb, how do you walk it back?

The Fed is now at the end of a $3 trillion limb. It has been taken hostage by the markets the Federal Open Market Committee was trying to placate. People in the trading desks and hedge funds have been trained to front run the Fed. If they think the Fed's next buy will be in the belly of the curve, they buy the belly of the curve. But how does the Fed ever unwind its current lunatic balance sheet? If the smart traders conclude the Fed's next move will be to sell mortgage-backed securities, they will sell like mad in advance; soon there would be mayhem as all the boys and girls on Wall Street piled on. So the Fed is frozen; it is petrified by fear that if it begins contracting its balance sheet it will unleash the demons.

TGR: Was there some type of tipping that allowed certain banks to front run the Fed?

DS: There are two kinds of front-running. First is market-based front-running. You try to figure out what the Fed is doing by reading its smoke signals and looking at how it slices and dices its meeting statements. People invest or speculate against the Fed's next incremental move.

Second, there is illicit front-running, where you have a friend who works for the Federal Reserve Board who tells you what happened in its meetings. This is obviously illegal.

But frankly, there is also just plain crony capitalism that is not that different in character and it's what Wall Street does every day. Bill Dudley, who runs the New York Fed, was formerly chief economist for Goldman Sachs and he pretends to solicit an opinion about financial conditions from the current Goldman economist, who then pretends to opine as to what the economy and Fed might do next for the benefit of Goldman's traders, and possibly its clients. So then it links in the ECB, Bank of Canada, etc. Is there any monetary post in the world not run by Goldman Sachs?

The point is, this is not the free market at work. This is central bank money printers and their Wall Street cronies perverting what used to be a capitalist market.

TGR: Does this unwinding of the Fed and the bond markets put the banking system back in peril, like in 2008?

DS: Not necessarily. That is one of the great myths that I address in my book. The banking system, especially the mainstream banking system, was not in peril at all. The toxic securitized mortgage assets were not in the Main Street banks and savings and loans; these institutions owned mostly prime quality whole loans and could have bled down the modest bad debt they did have over time from enhanced loan loss reserves. So the run on money was not at the retail teller window; it was in the canyons of Wall Street. The run was on wholesale money—that is, on repo and on unsecured commercial paper that had been issued in the hundreds of billions by financial institutions loaded down with securitized toxic garbage, including a lot of in-process inventory, on the asset side of their balance sheets.

The run was on investment banks that were really hedge funds in financial drag. The Goldmans and Morgan Stanleys did not really need trillion-dollar balance sheets to do mergers and acquisitions. Mergers and acquisitions do not require capital; they require a good Rolodex. They also did not need all that capital for the other part of investment banking—the underwriting business. Regulated stocks and bonds get underwritten through rigged cartels—they almost never under-price and really don't need much capital. Their trillion dollar balance sheets, therefore, were just massive trading operations—whether they called it customer accommodation or proprietary is a distinction without a difference—which were funded on 30 to 1 leverage. Much of the debt was unstable hot money from the wholesale and repo market and that was the rub—the source of the panic.

Bernanke thought this was a retail run à la the 1930s. It was not; it was a wholesale money run in the canyons of Wall Street and it should have been allowed to burn out.

TGR: Let's get back to our ballgame. What is to keep the U.S. population from saying, please Fed save us again?

DS: This time, I think the people will blame the Fed for lying. When the next crisis comes, I can see torches and pitch forks moving in the direction of the Eccles building where the Fed has its offices.

TGR: Let's talk about timing. On Dec. 31, the tax cuts expire, defense cuts go into place and we hit the debt ceiling.

DS: That will be a clarifying moment; never before have three such powerful vectors come together at the same time— fiscal triple witching.

First, the debt ceiling will expire around election time, so the government will face another shutdown and it will be politically brutal to assemble a majority in a lame duck session to raise it by the trillions that will be needed. Second, the whole set of tax cuts and credits that have been enacted over the last 10 years total up to $400–500B annually will expire on Dec. 31, so they will hit the economy like a ton of bricks if not extended. Third, you have the sequester on defense spending that was put in last summer as a fallback, which cannot be changed without a majority vote in Congress.

It is a push-pull situation: If you defer the sequester, you need more debt ceiling. If you extend the tax expirations, you need a debt ceiling increase of $100B a month.

TGR: What will Congress do?

DS: Congress will extend the whole thing for 60 or 90 days to give the new president, if he hasn't demanded a recount yet, an opportunity to come up with a plan.

To get the votes to extend the debt ceiling, the Democrats will insist on keeping the income and payroll tax cuts for the 99% and the Republicans will want to keep the capital gains rate at 15% so the Wall Street speculators will not be inconvenienced. It is utter madness.

TGR: It is like chasing your tail. How does it stop?

DS: I do not know how a functioning democracy in the ordinary course can deal with this. Maybe someone from Goldman Sachs can come and put in a fix, just like in Greece and Italy. The situation is really that pathetic.

TGR: Greece has come up with some creative ways to bring down its sovereign debt without actually defaulting.

DS: The Greek debt restructuring was a farce. More than $100B was held by the European bailout fund, the ECB or the International Monetary Fund. They got 100 cents on the dollar simply by issuing more debt to Greece. For private debt, I believe the net write-down was $30B after all the gimmicks, including the front-end payment. The rest was simply refinanced. The Greeks are still debt slaves, and will be until they tell Brussels to take a hike.

TGR: Going back to the triple-witching hour at year-end, if the debt ceiling is raised again, when do we start to see government layoffs and limitations on services?

DS: Defense purchases and non-defense purchases will be hit with brutal force by the sequester. As we go into 2013, there will be a shocking hit to the reported GDP numbers as discretionary government spending shrinks. People keep forgetting that most government spending is transfer payments, but it is only purchases of labor and goods that go directly into the GDP calculations, and it is these accounts that will get smacked by the sequester of discretionary defense and non-defense budgets.

TGR: I would think to unemployment numbers as well.

DS: They will go up.

Just take one example. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics monthly report, there are 650,000 or so jobs in the U.S. Postal Service alone. That is 650,000 people who pretend to work at jobs that have more or less been made obsolete and redundant by the Internet and who are paid through borrowings from Uncle Sam because the post office is broke. Yet, the courageous ladies and gentlemen on Capitol Hill cannot even bring themselves to vote to discontinue Saturday mail delivery; they voted to study it! That is a measure of the loss of capacity to rationally cognate about our fiscal circumstance.

TGR: In the midst of this volatility, how can normal people preserve, much less expand their wealth?

DS: The only thing you can do is to stay out of harm's way and try to preserve what you can in cash. All of the markets are rigged or impaired. A 4% yield on blue chip stocks is not worth it, because when the thing falls apart, your 4% will be gone in an hour.

TGR: But if the government keeps printing money, cash will not be worth as much, either, right?

DS: No, I do not think we will have hyperinflation. I think the financial system will break down before it can even get started. Then the economy will go into paralysis until we find the courage, focus and resolution to do something about it. Instead of hyperinflation or deflation there will be a major financial dislocation, which means painful re-pricing of financial assets.

How painful will the re-pricing be? I think the public already knows that it will be really terrible. A poll I saw the other day indicated that 25% of people on the verge of retirement think they are in such bad financial shape that they will have to work until age 80. Now, the average life expectancy is 78. People's financial circumstances are so bad that they think they will be working two years after they are dead!

TGR: Finally, what is your investment model?

DS: My investing model is ABCD: Anything Bernanke Cannot Destroy: flashlight batteries, canned beans, bottled water, gold, a cabin in the mountains.

TGR: Thank you very much.

[Stockman was the keynote speaker at last weekend's Casey Research Recovery Reality Check Summit. This event featured legendary contrarian investor Doug Casey, high-end natural resource broker Rick Rule, New York Times bestselling author John Mauldin and 28 other financial luminaries. Over the three-day summit, they provided investors with asset-protection action plans and actionable investment advice. And even if you were unable to attend, you can still hear every recorded presentation in the Summit Audio Collection. Learn more here.]

David Stockman is a former U.S. politician and businessman, serving as a Republican U.S. Representative from the state of Michigan 1977–1981 and as the director of the Office of Management and Budget under President Ronald Reagan 1981–1985. He is the author of The Triumph of Politics: Why Reagan's Revolution Failed and the soon-to-be released The Great Deformation: How Crony Capitalism Corrupts Free Markets and Democracy.

[Stockman was the keynote speaker at last weekend's Casey Research Recovery Reality Check Summit. This event featured legendary contrarian investor Doug Casey, high-end natural resource broker Rick Rule, New York Times bestselling author John Mauldin and 28 other financial luminaries. Over the three-day summit, they provided investors with asset-protection action plans and actionable investment advice. And even if you were unable to attend, you can still hear every recorded presentation in the Summit Audio Collection. Learn more here.]

Want to read more exclusive Gold Report interviews like this? Sign up for our free e-newsletter, and you'll learn when new articles have been published. To see a list of recent interviews with industry analysts and commentators, visit our Exclusive Interviews page.

Disclosure:

From time to time, Streetwise Reports LLC and its directors, officers, employees or members of their families, as well as persons interviewed for articles on the site, may have a long or short position in securities mentioned and may make purchases and/or sales of those securities in the open market or otherwise.

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Tue, 05/08/2012 - 18:21 | 2408399 midtowng
midtowng's picture

It's OK. I heard on CNBC that the Fed and the politicians have it all under control.

Stop worrying and buy an iPad.

Tue, 05/08/2012 - 18:22 | 2408400 veyron
veyron's picture

I'm told that fondling an iPad is more empowering than fondling gold ...

Tue, 05/08/2012 - 18:28 | 2408414 Manthong
Manthong's picture

..and a source of essential vitamins and minerals.

Tue, 05/08/2012 - 18:33 | 2408420 nope-1004
nope-1004's picture

One word to explain this new economic experiment:  Benocide.

 

Tue, 05/08/2012 - 19:12 | 2408498 resurger
resurger's picture

Dear Muppet,

We at Goldman Sachs now accept Gold as collateral in the Reverse Repo market

The contract Conditions

1- Goldman pays you Cash

2- You supply Goldman with Physical Gold as collateral

3- Margin (Bold Hair Cut): 0%

4- You pay Interest LIBOR + US Treasury CDS Credit Spread (Current Status AAA)

5- If the price of Gold exceeds the fix price, we have no margin call.

6- If the price of Gold drops, you have no margin call.

Note: GS does not Repo gold

 

Kindly Sign Here,

Tue, 05/08/2012 - 19:16 | 2408507 knukles
knukles's picture

Or buy a politician and enter the 1% with no risk.

Ah, the nefarious Virginia PAC's of yore.

Tue, 05/08/2012 - 19:24 | 2408524 resurger
resurger's picture

Hello Sir,

Our representative Max Fischer will contact you shortly.

 

Sincere Regards,

GS High Networth Muppets Division

"We are dedicated to Fuck you 24/7"

 

Tue, 05/08/2012 - 19:47 | 2408555 ratso
ratso's picture

Roche and Long have written a ridiculous article based on a failure to understand the Fed's mandate.

Wed, 05/09/2012 - 08:02 | 2409464 StychoKiller
StychoKiller's picture

[quote] DS: My investing model is ABCD: Anything Bernanke Cannot Destroy: flashlight batteries, canned beans, bottled water, gold, a cabin in the mountains. [/quote]

Hmm, where have I heard this before? :>D

Tue, 05/08/2012 - 18:32 | 2408422 Hobbleknee
Hobbleknee's picture

Yes, there are more important things to discuss, like gay marriage and lesbians for president.

Tue, 05/08/2012 - 19:18 | 2408513 knukles
knukles's picture

And uncivilized gay Muslims sewing gold into their baggy clothes.

And who the fuck gave Hobbleknee the ding?
Deserves to be mistakenly held for interrogation by teh DEA on a piss only diet. 

Tue, 05/08/2012 - 19:46 | 2408553 nmewn
nmewn's picture

And sterno heated Mormon dog fillets with soy sauce (still kinda tough) balanced on the hood of a 100k Fisker "green people car" (a little crunchy) being dragged to Georgetown U by a diesel belching tow truck as a mascot to preposterous female preppy's everywhere who wouldn't be caught dead at Walmart!

I was the number five green on him ;-)

Tue, 05/08/2012 - 19:51 | 2408566 ChrisFromMorningside
ChrisFromMorningside's picture

You're giving the sheep too much credit. A discussion about gay marriage might actually result in some brain activity.

The discussion topics of the day in "mainstream" America are more like ... Kim Kardashian is banging Kanye West, who the newest "Real Housewive" is feuding with, the Octomom's upcoming porn movie, etc.

Go to Radar.com and weep for what once was Western Civilization.

And, just remember that there are probably twice as many people in America that follow Kim Kardashian's every movement than there are people who even know what the "Federal Reserve" is.

Tue, 05/08/2012 - 20:56 | 2408667 AldousHuxley
AldousHuxley's picture

don't shake any hands @ the Bohemian Grove

where your presidents come from, and California politicians go to participate in gay orgy and public urination

 

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sCDs9Vs2iYM

 

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dPb-PN9F2Pc

 

Goolgle "Bohemian Grove Mandaly Camp" and  you will find out why they close schools while spending 50% of your taxes on military industrial complex waste.

 

Bechtel bitches.

 

 

Wed, 05/09/2012 - 01:24 | 2409146 Treason Season
Treason Season's picture

Say a Hail Mary for recommending "Goolge" and for confession start using

Startpage.com

Tue, 05/08/2012 - 18:39 | 2408440 stocktivity
stocktivity's picture

Canadian market now down for the year. That leaves our rigged market about the last one standing up for the year.

Tue, 05/08/2012 - 19:15 | 2408510 mendigo
mendigo's picture

They are reporting that the exit of Greece will prove bullish

Tue, 05/08/2012 - 20:44 | 2408646 jus_lite_reading
jus_lite_reading's picture

Gentlemen, THIS is what the ULTIMATE PONZI looks like... the Federal Reserve of United Ponzi

If anyone thinks that this will end well, please let me know what intense illegal narcotic you are smoking so I can enjoy that short bliss as well...

The countdown to the end has already begun... clock set at T-42 days before the European shit hits the fan, T-101 days before the global cancer spreads to MENA, T- 130 days before the shit hits Asia and T-226 days before the shit hits the fan in the US.... all in my opinion

Tue, 05/08/2012 - 18:28 | 2408402 ebworthen
ebworthen's picture

ABCD = Anything Bernanke Cannot Destroy

Perhaps he forgets about FDR confiscating gold and the Supine Court and Robo-signing confisating property?

At this point I'm feeling there is nothing TPTB cannot destroy in their quest of oppression.

If they are willing to bailout any and every bank and corporation while allowing Corzining, debauchement of the currency, $16 Trillion deficit, market manipulation, etc., where will they stop and who will stop them?

Tue, 05/08/2012 - 20:43 | 2408640 macholatte
macholatte's picture

 

.....where will they stop and who will stop them?

 

I've come to the conclusion that they're just a bunch of fuck-ups.  Unfortunately, they are fools with power who will not stop until they have come to the end of the road. It is then that they will look around to blame someone else for taking the wrong turn.

 

“There is a theory which states that if ever anyone discovers exactly what the Universe is for and why it is here, it will instantly disappear and be replaced by something even more bizarre and inexplicable. There is another theory which states that this has already happened.”
-- Douglas Adams
Tue, 05/08/2012 - 22:31 | 2408825 PersonalRespons...
PersonalResponsibility's picture

I'm agnostic but reading what you wrote, an "amen" popped into my brain.

Tue, 05/08/2012 - 18:25 | 2408404 endicott glacier
endicott glacier's picture

Read Ben's latest book "The art of whispering sweet nothing F*&K yous in taxpayer ears and be rewarded for it"

Tue, 05/08/2012 - 18:25 | 2408407 fonzannoon
fonzannoon's picture

Okay....so cash is the answer...?

Fk me

Tue, 05/08/2012 - 22:03 | 2408776 Yes_Questions
Yes_Questions's picture

 

 

I think he meant stacking what could be traded for cash.

Should it still be around?

 

..

 

Yeah, I'm not sure either.

 

 

Tue, 05/08/2012 - 23:56 | 2409028 Nobody For President
Nobody For President's picture

Yep, the answer is Cash:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WQcgcmZvv28&feature=related 

 

The question, however, is unknown.

 

Tue, 05/08/2012 - 18:30 | 2408418 Rathmullan
Rathmullan's picture

And he or she have massive boils, brown stuff running down the back of the legs, leprosy and syphilis as well.

Tue, 05/08/2012 - 19:48 | 2408558 azzhatter
azzhatter's picture

Sounds like Geithner after a session with Ben

Tue, 05/08/2012 - 22:05 | 2408779 Yes_Questions
Yes_Questions's picture

 

 

ew

Tue, 05/08/2012 - 18:32 | 2408424 Widowmaker
Widowmaker's picture

The Fed is THE institute of incorporated monetary fraud.

They don't regulate it, they assure it.

Give me sound money!

Tue, 05/08/2012 - 21:25 | 2408727 Chicken_Little
Chicken_Little's picture

Among all the gloom and doom, someone sent me a link that gave me a little hope that there are good people still left. If any of you are Nam vets, this will mean alot. I met one USAF PJ (Blue Beret) in Alabama and he was one hell of a great guy.  Enjoy:

http://www.pilotsofamerica.com/forum/showthread.php?t=42816

Chicken out.

Tue, 05/08/2012 - 18:35 | 2408426 fonzannoon
fonzannoon's picture

I like how the gold report interviewed a guy who said when the shtf he wants cash....

Tue, 05/08/2012 - 18:35 | 2408430 NotApplicable
NotApplicable's picture

This interview was interesting up until the point where Stockton starts in about the Fed being unable to further expand its balance sheet.

What he doesn't realize is that he's looking backwards, and his conventional wisdom isn't true any longer. Why? Because it's the EXACT same conventional wisdom that denied the possibility of the 2008 expansion. It was true up until the second it wasn't.

As long as CBs exist, they will print and buy up everything necessary to keep the game going for another instant. Hell, Stockton's own prediction of how the cascading defaults will occur guarantee it. Things are certainly going to break, but it's an easy bet that the criminals will lay the loss on anyone except themselves.

Tue, 05/08/2012 - 18:55 | 2408465 PivotalTrades
PivotalTrades's picture

So what you are saying is that they can pull it off. They have found the Fountain Of Prosperity...expand the balance sheet to infinity

Tue, 05/08/2012 - 20:06 | 2408590 CrashisOptimistic
CrashisOptimistic's picture

They CAN pull it off.

The thing that stops them is something out of their control.  Oil.

But beyond that, do not think they cannot do whatever they must.  If there is massive selling of Treasuries and the selling is straining their buys, then they will have the sellers killed.

They Will Do Anything To Keep The Ball Rolling And Civilization From Mass Deaths.

And so would you.

Tue, 05/08/2012 - 20:39 | 2408635 Kayman
Kayman's picture

CrashisOptimistic

So... will they resurrect Hank ?  "Give me $700 billion or I plug the kid ?"

Or... Will Ben buy the entire world with FRN's ?

I fully agree that TPTB will continue the circle-jerk because that is all they know, but sooner and not later, the real economy will not function at all.

Pattycake does not generate real wealth.

Wed, 05/09/2012 - 00:32 | 2409090 BooMushroom
BooMushroom's picture

.

Or... Will Ben buy the entire world with FRN's ?

It's been working pretty well so far, and will continue to work until people stop trading tangible goods for ANY AMOUNT of FRNs.

"I'll give you a million USD for that cheeseburger."
"Fuck no. Come back with something of value."

Until that seems reasonable, the "buying the entire world with FRNs" will continue apace.

Tue, 05/08/2012 - 18:36 | 2408431 Arnold Ziffel
Arnold Ziffel's picture

DS: My investing model is ABCD: Anything Bernanke Cannot Destroy: flashlight batteries, canned beans, bottled water, gold, a cabin in the mountains.

 

He sounds pretty pessimistic.

Tue, 05/08/2012 - 22:20 | 2408796 Yes_Questions
Yes_Questions's picture

 

 

and rational

Tue, 05/08/2012 - 18:36 | 2408433 Pairadimes
Pairadimes's picture

Not only is the emperor naked, but he is starting to look like one of those dudes in the 'Bodies' exhibits that were all the rage at museums back in the days when people were actually spending money on things other than gas, precious metals, ammo and and igadgets.

Tue, 05/08/2012 - 18:37 | 2408434 TNTARG
TNTARG's picture

Indeed. So much for the balloon to be inflated before it explodes.

Absolutely agree with his investment model. If you don't know what to do, take a vacation. You may not be able to travel again any time soon after the recon.

Tue, 05/08/2012 - 18:43 | 2408449 zerotohero
zerotohero's picture

can never go wrong with a vacay - except to Greece.........

Tue, 05/08/2012 - 18:39 | 2408442 zerotohero
zerotohero's picture

bit a dis bit a dat - cash, gold, silver, food, essentials - be prepared for a shit storm should it happen - get on with life and don't make a hobby out of being Chicken Little.

Tue, 05/08/2012 - 18:41 | 2408444 Joebloinvestor
Joebloinvestor's picture

I think the plan is to crash the precious metal market first.

Those in charge of the Fed have the same attiude as those at the EPA as far as I am concerned.

Tue, 05/08/2012 - 18:42 | 2408448 zerotohero
zerotohero's picture

I would not be surprised in the least.

Tue, 05/08/2012 - 18:43 | 2408450 NotApplicable
NotApplicable's picture

Rape, Pillage and Burn, FTMFW!

Tue, 05/08/2012 - 19:08 | 2408491 EclecticParrot
EclecticParrot's picture

'A cage went in search of a bird.'

Tue, 05/08/2012 - 23:05 | 2408883 Ranger4564
Ranger4564's picture

When the asswipes come out to decry Gold / Silver, that it's a relic, no sane person would rely on G / S, that it's worthless hunks of metal, so on... they're not trying to convince you and me, they could not care less about us... they're signalling to the rest of the barbaric world that the most greatest Civilized States of United America would never consider accepting such crap for any payments that may be due, in the potential future, if there was in fact a remote bat's chance in Hell of a trade surplus. And if they were as sophisticated as they pretend, as sophisticated as us, they would not want that crap either.

What they're trying to do is make the barbarians believe that paper printed in the best country on Earth in all of history, is worth a hell of a lot more than any archaic hunk of metal you could find anywhere.  Just think of the tons of other metals that would rain down on you if you don't believe the hype.

It's unfortunately (for them, not me) no longer working on the Chinese, Iranians, Indians, Russians, Brazilians, Greeks, Italians, Swiss, etc, etc, etc.  It is however working on most of the bestest Americans.  Somehow, the rest of the world wants Gold, only American's seem to want Dollars. No surprise really.

What a joke it is.  Just about everyone is ready to start aiming their barrels towards the US to stop the printing / threats / attacks, to force feed us some of their metals as it is stated in politest of companies, while we think we have the upper hand and quicker draw. One of these days, some kid will bring his weapons to the school and cause mayhem to stop the bully.  Come High Noon, we'll see.  195 countries against a single nation.  OK, I know, England will be right beside us, pulling the strings.  "I said go Right!"

Wed, 05/09/2012 - 08:54 | 2409566 Chief KnocAHoma
Chief KnocAHoma's picture

You're knda sorta right... they are also signaling...

"No you really don't want our gold for that oil.... here have some good green paper."

Wed, 05/09/2012 - 20:58 | 2411851 Ranger4564
Ranger4564's picture

Right, I realized afterwards that part is not clearly stated in my comment... i meant that as well... I think that's much of what's happening.  By having these buffoons come out and tell everyone, including the american populace, they sound more legitimate when they speak to other nations.

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