Guest Post: Whack-A-Mole

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Fri, 07/29/2011 - 10:44 | 1504708 voshnishki
voshnishki's picture

The collapse has started. 

Fri, 07/29/2011 - 10:48 | 1504745 Biggvs
Biggvs's picture

Yep, I'll wager the "relief rally" will be small and then the pain can really get started. Until the Fed announces QE3, anyway.

Fri, 07/29/2011 - 11:05 | 1504831 DoChenRollingBearing
DoChenRollingBearing's picture

I guess I am going to have to say the below all day.  My duty as I see it.



To: Tea Party members of the House:

Do.Not.Give.In.  Remember why we elected you.  Stop the spending, stop the cozy deals.  Stop the robbery of hte American people.  The ONLY way to right the ship (and it WILL be very painful) is to STOP the spending.  You know it, and we know it.


To: Valued Zero Hedge readers and commentators:

Buy.Gold.Now.  Tell you members of Congress: NO!  To a BAD deal.


Fri, 07/29/2011 - 11:14 | 1504893 Ghordius
Ghordius's picture

I know I will be junked to oblivion for this: it would help if the Tea Party would have some coherent strategy and policy.

If there is any, I don't see it. I'd go so far to say that when it comes to foreign policy (don't tell me it's not important with USD 2'000 billions budget for defence related expenses - it's for "foreign matters") the Republicans never had any coherent policy that held longer then two years.

Fri, 07/29/2011 - 12:09 | 1505182 Jena
Jena's picture

Herding the Tea Party is like herding cats.  Despite the best efforts of the Democrats and much of the media to categorize them, they aren't all Republicans.  They have no coherent policies or strategies because they have no real organization.  Many of the 'members' (and I use the term loosely) are new to politics, so aside from the Constitution, Declaration of Independence, Federalist Papers and other historical documents, they don't know how the political game is played and they don't seem to care.  Whether it's all a good thing or not -- at least this is a discussion that we wouldn't otherwise be having.  

Fri, 07/29/2011 - 13:39 | 1505635 Pegasus Muse
Pegasus Muse's picture

Tea Party members are not easily herded because, unlike their bought-and-paid-for Judas colleagues, they have not sold out to the Gangster Bankster Racketeers for 30 pieces of silver.

Fri, 07/29/2011 - 10:50 | 1504757 baby_BLYTHE
baby_BLYTHE's picture


QE 2 ends with the dollar looking to breakthrough to all-time lows, inflation running rampant (6-9% per annum) and 10-year treasury yielding a meger 2.85%.

The American people are getting absolutely slaughtered!

Wish I could attend that primary dealer meeting today and bust open some heads

Fri, 07/29/2011 - 10:57 | 1504788 Iriestx
Iriestx's picture

Wish that Norwegian nutjob had picked this meeting instead of that daycare island.

Fri, 07/29/2011 - 10:58 | 1504796 Ghordius
Ghordius's picture

Hot avatar. ;-)

9% Inflation this year, 7 years of this and all debt is halved. Sounds like a solution.

Makes me so sad that 1) this might be the "plan" and 2) how millions of people will have to suffer...

Take me with you to the meeting, I'll bring my trusty automatic...

Fri, 07/29/2011 - 10:55 | 1504784 slaughterer
slaughterer's picture

Sorry to disappoint you, but the relief rally will probably put the S&P over 1400 in 10 days.     

Fri, 07/29/2011 - 11:00 | 1504807 Stoploss
Stoploss's picture

In case no one is paying attention there is a 12 point spread.

Fri, 07/29/2011 - 10:48 | 1504741 Caviar Emptor
Caviar Emptor's picture

Biflation, bitchez! 

What else can explain economic contraction in the middle of rising costs?

Core PCE was the only data point that came in way above expectation. 

Fri, 07/29/2011 - 10:48 | 1504747 PicassoInActions
PicassoInActions's picture

I think tuesday there will be a big rally. Till that time i better observe from outside.

Viva BDM ( Benya Da Men) or Ruller of the HP.

Fri, 07/29/2011 - 10:49 | 1504750 buzzsaw99
buzzsaw99's picture

The stock market is too the economy. Bitchez

Fri, 07/29/2011 - 10:49 | 1504753 newstreet
newstreet's picture

Shock Doctrine.   How many times will we fall for this?

Fri, 07/29/2011 - 10:49 | 1504754 RobotTrader
RobotTrader's picture



Whats up with the XRT or XLY?  Nobody wants to sell retail stocks.  Everyone knows that the U.S. Consumer is unfazed from all this mess.

But the GDX?  Well, that's another story.......

Just a good old fashioned "selling panic" by overleveraged anarchists.

Fri, 07/29/2011 - 10:57 | 1504792 slaughterer
slaughterer's picture

Equities are saying right now:

We have lift off.


Fri, 07/29/2011 - 11:05 | 1504840 HelluvaEngineer
HelluvaEngineer's picture

Just the required gap fill.  Odd, seems to mostly happen on down days.

Fri, 07/29/2011 - 10:50 | 1504758 malikai
malikai's picture

I've got some long shorts on. You know, the ones that go past the knees. Does this make me ready for the market?

Fri, 07/29/2011 - 10:51 | 1504762 r101958
r101958's picture

The data is ok. It is what they do with it after they get it that is not ok.

Fri, 07/29/2011 - 10:55 | 1504763 BaBaBouy
BaBaBouy's picture

This Recovery Scam is bullshit.


The US media is behind the alleged fantasy recovery.


The BBC had a report on last night from a homeless shelter in the south, full of new homeless FROM THE MIDDLE CLASS!


They were all screaming there has never been any Recovery.


All The While the FAT SACKS, JPM & Wall Streeter MBA's are buying new $500,000 Lambourginis's ...

Fri, 07/29/2011 - 11:06 | 1504823 Ghordius
Ghordius's picture

A serious question from outside the US: what is or was exactly the "middle class"? I'm typing this from a country where 60% of the households rent. Would you count them as "lower class" because of this?

Fri, 07/29/2011 - 11:10 | 1504866 blunderdog
blunderdog's picture

middle-class = working class with great capacity for self-delusion

Fri, 07/29/2011 - 11:20 | 1504871 DoChenRollingBearing
DoChenRollingBearing's picture

The American Middle Class does not have to worry each day about where they will sleep nor where their next meal comes from.

Plenty of the Middle Class here rents.  My definition is that most Europeans are my definition of the Middle Class.

But, the Middle Class is in danger from America's and Europe's "Less than AAA-rated Governments."

Fri, 07/29/2011 - 11:04 | 1504836 Abitdodgie
Abitdodgie's picture

Who wants a recovery these are "Happy Days" I have never made as much money and when there is no more to be had off to the philippines and live life to the full , Thankyou Ben,Tim Obummer 

Fri, 07/29/2011 - 10:52 | 1504764 ElvisDog
ElvisDog's picture

I agree with one of his comments that this is a time to sit on your hands and wait and see what happens. I think a collapse or a sharp rally are equally likely.

Fri, 07/29/2011 - 10:52 | 1504767 bob_dabolina
bob_dabolina's picture

Vacuum tubes are smoking

Fri, 07/29/2011 - 10:52 | 1504768 sabra1
sabra1's picture

time to start a war, like now maybe?

Fri, 07/29/2011 - 10:53 | 1504770 FrankIvy
FrankIvy's picture

This is not a support of QE2.

This is a support of logic.

The author claims: " but with a 0.4% quarter right in the heart of QE2, it is clear it did nothing to help the real economy."

There is an unstated assumption in this poor conclusion that there wouldn't have been negative or zero growth without QE2.  In other words, if without QE2 we would have had -5% GDP, then clearly a 0.4% quarter would be considered a great QE2 success (by those in favor of fiat devaluation).

Point is, this is basic logic, and the author can't be taken seriously if he doesn't understand it.

Finally, when we will dispel the myth that a + GDP number, preferably above 3%, is somehow the only indication of a "healthy" economy?  One of the largest problems facing us is the misconception that yoy positive GDP growth should be the goal indefinitely.

Fri, 07/29/2011 - 11:06 | 1504843 oogs66
oogs66's picture

jobs would be part of the 'real' economy, and qe2 did nothing for those

Fri, 07/29/2011 - 12:45 | 1505362 FrankIvy
FrankIvy's picture

You've made the same mistake as the author.

If there are 400k unemployed, that doesn't mean QE2 did nothing.  There may have been 600k without it.

Fri, 07/29/2011 - 10:55 | 1504773 NuYawkFrankie
NuYawkFrankie's picture

Any news from Boaner? 

Sure looks like a Boaner relief-rally to me. Zzzzzz........

Fri, 07/29/2011 - 10:58 | 1504794 Milton Waddams
Milton Waddams's picture

'Dumb money', er longs, blew all their cash dressing-up their portfolios at the end of the quarter in an effort to appeal to even 'dumber money', er sophisticated investors.

Fri, 07/29/2011 - 10:58 | 1504795 RobotTrader
RobotTrader's picture



Nice reversals in:





Looks like the crisis is over.

Fri, 07/29/2011 - 11:01 | 1504812 Internet Tough Guy
Internet Tough Guy's picture

Yes, 7 off the world record high. You should be working on your apology to General Jim, momo. You will fold like a cheap suit when gold hits 1650. You must be puking up blood. LOL.

Fri, 07/29/2011 - 11:03 | 1504824 espirit
espirit's picture

Go long NoBuTrader... on PPT volume?

You need a better gig than this.

Fri, 07/29/2011 - 11:08 | 1504839 fuu
fuu's picture

00:00:30 attention span.


Is that a $1633.80 print I see? 

Fri, 07/29/2011 - 11:07 | 1504845 BCTwelve
BCTwelve's picture

The question really becomes, which, and how much, of these do I short when I play the "Fade RT" trade

Fri, 07/29/2011 - 11:18 | 1504919 lieutenantjohnchard
lieutenantjohnchard's picture

it's more art than science. for example. last week he was braying that the dow was heading for 15000. dow then went on a five day bender to the downside. a good guide is that the more boastful he becomes the closer you come to the big reversal. but seriously. he changes his tune from post to post. so never take anything the man says as indicative of what he believes. he doesn't trade contrary to his acronym. he is scared to death and owns just a couple of stocks. again, his words, not mine.

Fri, 07/29/2011 - 11:09 | 1504865 lieutenantjohnchard
lieutenantjohnchard's picture

an even nicer long reversal in your top call (december 2010 post) for 2011: std. from $13.75 to $10.30.

has you pair of pants arrived from gentleman jim sinclair? he hates to see a man wear skirts.

Fri, 07/29/2011 - 11:00 | 1504805 Caviar Emptor
Caviar Emptor's picture

Middle class decimation will continue: the big game will just continune without you if you've been cut out. That's the plan 

Fri, 07/29/2011 - 11:00 | 1504806 BaBaBouy
BaBaBouy's picture

Funny, NONE of the $Trillions War Spending is on the table...

Fri, 07/29/2011 - 11:02 | 1504815 Caviar Emptor
Caviar Emptor's picture

Why do you think? 

Too many big boyz making way too much money off that gravy train

Fri, 07/29/2011 - 11:00 | 1504808 sbenard
sbenard's picture

ES rallying off 200-day MA again.


Absolutely surreal!

Fri, 07/29/2011 - 11:01 | 1504809 r101958
r101958's picture

Plunge Prevention Team is hard at work. Dow recovers about 90pts in last hour.....on what? Obama speech? Yaaaah....ok. My guess PPT and the market now expects QE3.

Fri, 07/29/2011 - 11:09 | 1504862 johnnynaps
johnnynaps's picture

That team is the dream team! Watch the government market close in the green today.

Fri, 07/29/2011 - 11:00 | 1504810 Caviar Emptor
Caviar Emptor's picture

QE3 will save the market, not the economy. 

More middle class decimation

Fri, 07/29/2011 - 11:29 | 1504981 Alasdair
Alasdair's picture

Excellent point.  Few know the difference.

Fri, 07/29/2011 - 11:01 | 1504813 DoChenRollingBearing
DoChenRollingBearing's picture

To: Tea Party members of the House:

Do.Not.Give.In.  Remember why we elected you.  Stop the spending, stop the cozy deals.  Stop the robbery of hte American people.  The ONLY way to right the ship (and it WILL be very painful) is to STOP the spending.  You know and we know it.


To: Valued Zero Hedge readers and commentators:

Buy.Gold.Now.  Tell you members of Congress: NO!  To a BAD deal.

Fri, 07/29/2011 - 11:03 | 1504829 Caviar Emptor
Caviar Emptor's picture

They ain't gonna stop private security firms in Iraq from making billions. And they ain't gonna stop billions going to make sure bankers can still wear Gucci. And they all own stock

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