Guest Post: What’s next…

Tyler Durden's picture

Submitted by Simon Black of Sovererign Man

Guest Post: What’s next…

One of the things that’s really unique about this part of the world is having access to so many people with first-hand experience of living under Soviet rule.

It’s a bizarre thing to say, but the stories they have to tell are extraordinary.

Last night I had dinner with some friends, including one woman who was just a child at the end of World War II.

She explained to me that her family had been wealthy landowners near the capital city… until the Soviet-controlled government came in, confiscated all of their property, and shipped the adults off to Siberia.

“There were so many opportunities to leave beforehand,” she explained, ”but they just never thought things would ever get that bad here. Everyone saw what happened in other countries, but my family never expected that it would happen to them.”

While most people probably aren’t going to end up in Siberia anytime soon, the lesson is still valuable.

It’s easy to look around the world and think “It can’t happen here. It won’t happen here.” But this is really foolish thinking.

Governments steal, then spend, other people’s money with reckless abandon. They conjure paper currency out of thin air, rob the future earnings of generations which have not even been born, and create mind-numbing barriers to real growth.

These are not people who can be trusted to do the right thing.

Here in Europe, the Greek government is helping itself to its citizens’ bank accounts; the Italian government is working with banks to freeze customers out of their accounts without warning.

Spanish police are embroiled in a bloody struggle against bazooka-weilding workers who are protesting austerity measures. EU leaders in Brussels have announced their intention to impose capital controls as part of a ‘rescue plan’.

This is today’s reality. It can happen here, it probably will happen here. And frankly, it’s all unfolding almost exactly as it has so many times before throughout history:

1. A nation rises to greatness and becomes wealthy based on sound principles and the hard work of initial generations.

2. Eventually, being wealthy becomes the natural expectation… an entitlement, rather than a goal to work hard for and achieve.

3. A nation begins living beyond its means to maintain the high life without the hard work, leveraging its credibility to trade tomorrow’s production for today’s consumption.

4. Living beyond its means eventually becomes unsustainable. Government begins to slowly, then staggeringly, devalue its currency.

5. The market (i.e. people) finally wake up to the fraud being perpetrated.

6. Financial repression usually follows– high taxes which steal from the productive, negative real interest rates which steal from the savers, etc.

7. Capital flight comes next. People take their money and run.

8. Governments implement capital controls, border controls, price and wage controls, and anything else they can do to maintain the status quo. People find out who the police are really there to protect and serve.

9. Capitulation (default) is the endgame; the system resets itself and begins anew.

This is nothing new. From the 3rd Dynasty of Ur (2000 BC) to Medieval Venice to the familiar stories of Rome and the Ottoman Empire, the world is full of monuments to the past greatness of failed civilizations.

We’re seeing the same pattern unfolding now. And sure, anything’s possible. Maybe the skies open up and the unicorns come out to play and the whole world manages to fix itself without skipping a beat.

But let’s live in reality: there are consequences when nations go bankrupt. And nearly every western nation on the planet is insolvent. That is a fact.

Certainly, the lies from our political leaders are entertaining. But how many more revolutions, riots, defaults, bank runs, stimulus packages, nationalizations, tax increases, pension grabs, etc. will it take to acknowledge what’s happening?

Can anyone afford to keep ignoring reality? Can you?

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sablya's picture

These things apparently take much longer than anyone expects.  Just as Rome wasn't built in a day, neither did it collapse in a day.  Oh, sure, there came a day when it did collapse, when the barbarians burned Rome to the ground, but there were probably people for a long time before that watching it slowly unfold.  

Nowadays, the Central Bankers can seemingly endlessly postpone the inevitable.  Just when you think something is about to happen, nothing happens.  

wandstrasse's picture

right, human imaginanation works with simple terms, even if the thinker is smart / highly educated. One of these terms is 'Apocalypse', a sudden big bang which changes everything... Hardly anyone who lived through one of the many real apocalypses throughout history experienced it as overall, nation- or worldwide apocalypse... maybe a personal apocalypse. We are amidst such an apocalypse and many of us are asking .. when TF will it happen? I started to read Archipel Gulag.. scary and depressing and everyday more real.

Troll Magnet's picture

the world as we know it is ending as we speak. hell, it's been ending for awhile now. we just don't know it yet because we're just a bunch of frogs in water that is slowly warming up. but it will start to boil sooner or later. by then it'll be too late.

busterbloodvessel's picture

A great video. How do you Americans tolerate this? It will be a sad day when they introduce this in the UK.

HoofHearted's picture

"the world ends not with a bang but with a whimper"

tobus's picture

Give me liberty or give me... like whatever?

I think that's the proud quote on which the USA was founded. It was something like that anyway.

Kobe Beef's picture

Liberty is so 1700's. We've got Freedumb now. As in, Americans are free to be as stupid, childish, and dependent as they choose.

RECISION's picture

Even during a shooting, total-war, the WWII Axis Powers still took years to collapse.  And even then it was only after being invaded and occupied - or nuked.

For most of the people, most of the time, it is just depressing and austere -and the fireworks are happening ...somewhere else.

So don't hold your breath waiting for it all to end.  TPTB can drag this on far past your ability to bet against it.  They are using your money against you afterall.

So, except in the most unlikely event that somehow red-hot fighting erupts around you, just expect to be cycled through the wringer for year after year after year and bleed white. 

Welcome to your place in the world Plebs.

CompassionateFascist's picture

60 days and counting. Then: IranWar spikes oil, kills dollar, System collapses, Martial Law regime descends on us. Invest in lead.

Vic Vinegar's picture

Greenie for you because your countdown is moving. But I digress from that as...

...acknowledging that this is "not a chatroom" let's keep this short:

  • Don't start shooting in 60 days.  It's going to end terribly for you if you do.
  • Don't hate on the Jewish people.  Most people of the Jewish faith are no different than you or I.

You are a smart guy.  It's pretty good to be alive and it's nice to have someone as intelligent as you here.

Troll Magnet's picture

i personally don't hate jews. but i do hate it when jews are in charge and they are in charge of way too many things. they just have an uncanny ability to fuck up things beyond any recognition and cause pain for innocent people. just mind your own goddamn business and keep your misery and "suffering" to yourself.

Tinky's picture

Your "analysis" would be more accurate if you were to substitute "men" (as opposed to women) for "jews".

Vic Vinegar's picture

This isn't a chat room!  You don't understand what we are talking about.

Are you ugly or fat?  

Troll Magnet's picture

jews can't help themselves. they really can't. they are control freaks and when you mix in the fact that they have no land of their own and are/will be (welcomed or unwelcomed) guests forever wherever they are, it becomes highly volatile as they inevitably undermine their hosts and start fucking them over. what goes around comes around i always say.

Vic Vinegar's picture

I was replying to someone else but let me reply to you for a moment.  You noted:

but i do hate it when jews are in charge and they are in charge of way too many things. they just have an uncanny ability to fuck up things beyond any recognition and cause pain for innocent people. 

Think on what you just typed.  

Troll Magnet's picture

i'm thinking...tell me when to stop. my head hurts.

lasvegaspersona's picture

Vic and Troll

LOTS of top doctors are Jewish. Skilled and honorable too. 

this sites rages against bankers borders on the insane. Hitler used this rage to kill many, after all the head of the German central bank was jewish...but it is not the bankers who spend spend spend, it is 'we the people', through our politicians. Look at Bernacke. He knows the story. Do you really think he wants to take the rap like Rudy von Havenstein? When he tells politicians to spend less I believe he means it. DC knows we are screwed and the Fed is going to do its best to slow down the train. Politicians won't help though. They will spend til they drop.

Vic Vinegar's picture

When he tells politicians to spend less I believe he means it. DC knows we are screwed and the Fed is going to do its best to slow down the train.

Totally agree.  Ben B is just doing the best with the cards he was dealt.  

jeff montanye's picture

no he isn't.  he could have enforced the laws against fraudulent loans during the housing bubble and sought the power to reorganize lehman brothers in an orderly fashion a la the fdic.  he is a tool of the status quo bankster cabal as was greenspan.  

 

Race Car Driver's picture

Looking at all your posts on this thread - you're fulla shit.

lasvegaspersona's picture

Vic and Troll

LOTS of top doctors are Jewish. Skilled and honorable too. 

this sites rages against bankers borders on the insane. Hitler used this rage to kill many, after all the head of the German central bank was jewish...but it is not the bankers who spend spend spend, it is 'we the people', through our politicians. Look at Bernacke. He knows the story. Do you really think he wants to take the rap like Rudy von Havenstein? When he tells politicians to spend less I believe he means it. DC knows we are screwed and the Fed is going to do its best to slow down the train. Politicians won't help though. They will spend til they drop.

Troll Magnet's picture

yeah and lots of landlords are jewish, too, as are bankers, "economists," fucking lawyers, media hacks and slimy politicians. are they talented? sure. but they are also cursed with no land of their own and for that they've been holding the world hostage for how long now? and save your holocaust bullshit. the jews have gotten their redemption through their own acts of terrorism, mass murders, theft, robbery and of course, 4,389,139,874,253,905,246 films (and counting) about the holocaust. and as a result of greenspan and bernanke's actions alone, BILLIONS are and will continue to suffer. isn't that enough?

Ineverslice's picture

Agreed, but along the way I think there are always sharp dislocations,  events that act as "steps-down "in the curve if you will that occur infrequently and act as sudden reversions to the mean....whatever.

AnonymousCitizen's picture

History may not repeat itself, but it rhymes.

Second verse, same as the first.

Uber Vandal's picture

Lord Byron said it best:

Here is the moral of all human tales –

‘Tis but the same rehearsal of the past,

First freedom and then glory – when that fails,

Wealth, vice, corruption, barbarism at last;

And history with all her volumes vast

Hath but one page.

 

Also, running did not work so well for the passengers on the Hamburg-Amerikan Line ship St. Louis in 1939.

I am also sure that some people in the past fled to Neutral countries, such as the Netherlands, and that did not stop the Panzers from rolling across the borders in 1940.

groundedkiwi's picture

anyone with half a brain should understand why switzerland was neutral. Not only neutral but untouchable during WW2. Every asshole in thevworld needed somewhere to do business in the midst of millions of good honest people dying for bankers neutrality.

phungus_mungus's picture

Recession/Depression got us World War I

Recession/Depression got us World War II

Recession/Depression will get us World War III

reader2010's picture

WWIII got started on 9/11/2001.

groundedkiwi's picture

WW1/2they needed people. Drones now goodbye people.

andrewp111's picture

It is when everyone assumes the Central Bankers will save the day that they will run out of road to kick the can.  The endagame will be actual shortages of energy that cannot be covered by any means.  Then the end to growth comes real fast.

 

And since every country that amounts to anything will be insolvent, there will be no place to hide.

CrockettAlmanac.com's picture

Renewal is a lie! Carousel is a lie! You don't have to die!

Cursive's picture

@Dead Canary

The Carousel concept was was not in the book.  Great movie, though.

NemoDeNovo's picture

You can IGNORE Reality as LONG as you want, questions really is......

How long can you IGNORE the Consequences of Reality?

 

Thats the Big One

groundedkiwi's picture

so long as the bank balance is plus anyone can ignore reality.

arizona11912's picture

Simon Black is a fraud. I get his daily writings. He tells half truths to scare you into investing in his Chilean farm he is trying to unload. I went this guys fraudulent conference last year. It was a circle jerk of referrals of his alleged friends. I heard one guy saying at Simon's conference saying the following: "You can sell anything to Americans."

Beware of this guy. Just sayin...

 

Beware bitchez..

 

 

Troll Magnet's picture

arizona,
who out there isn't trying to sell shit? from eric sprott to ben shalom shalom, every single motherfucker is out to sell their shit. some of it is pure bullshit and in the case of my pot dealer, some of it is really really good shit.

Bringin It's picture

Ironicly, pot makes you impervious to PTB mind kneading.

Cursive's picture

@arizona11912

If there are hot Chilean women there, I know I guy who might be interested.  Simon should write more about the hot Chilean women...

arizona11912's picture

@Cursive,

 

Writing about Chilean women might not be a bad idea for him. Better than trying to unload his farm on unsuspecting investors.

arizona11912's picture

Simon Black is a fraud. I get his daily writings. He tells half truths to scare you into investing in his Chilean farm he is trying to unload. I went this guys fraudulent conference last year. It was a circle jerk of referrals of his alleged friends. I heard one guy saying at Simon's conference saying the following: "You can sell anything to Americans."

Beware of this guy. Just sayin...

 

Beware bitchez..

 

 

Vic Vinegar's picture

No way.  I moved to Asia to start an upscale pet care business because of Simon. 

So here I am, shaving a dog's nuts in Ho Chi Minh City for five cents an hour as Simon continues to "dine with friends" and charge people to let them know how much government sucks. 

Ignore Simon at your own peril!