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No Tax Refund for Californians, Now Official





In what is likely the last step before officially declaring insolvency, California has halted the processing of state tax refunds. Per California State Controller John Chiang's office, "Unfortunately, we have asked the California Franchise Tax Board not to send over tax refund claims beginning today because we will not be able to process them and have them out the door by Feb.

 
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13.9% Defaults Expected This Year





S&P expects the US corporate default rate to reach all-time high of 13.9% this year, a significant revision of its previous projection a 7.6% base-case and the consequence of “a substantial worsening of the economy and the financial environment.

 
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Weekly CDS Change Update Per DTCC





As CDS traders are aware, two months ago, or about the same time Chris Cox wanted to turn everyone that had even the remotest connection to trading CDS into soap, the DTCC started disclosing everything it knows (not all that much) about the CDS market on a weekly basis. At Zero Hedge, we are starting a weekly column that looks at the net additions and reductions, and ergo, net change in the CDS market, from both a notional and contractual point of view, based on DTCC data.

 
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Fannie, Freddie, FHLB About To Remind World Of Their Pathetic Existence





As Bloomberg reported last week, Tuesday, January 27, may be much more than consumer confidence / Case-(C)hiller day. On Tuesday the Federal Housing Finance Agency, the government oversight agency run by Jim Lockheart, will announce a new set of parameters for capital requirements and investment restrictions for Freddie, Fannie, and the Federal Home Loan Banks. Freddie and Fannie, which were nationalized in September, hold a combined $1.7 trillion in mortgages between them.

 
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NY Governor Paterson Forced to Cancel Davos Boondoggle As State On The Verge





First AIG with their million dollar, manicure and pedicure all-inclusive trips to the Pacific coast a few days after a $100 billion dollar rescue by taxpayers, and now David Paterson, governor of a virtually bankrupt NY State.

 
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Breaking News: GE Capital Corp May Be Cut By Moody's, AAA Rating on Downgrade Review





Uh Oh... Splinters forming among the rating agency community (link)

****UPDATE****

GE immediately issues following statement (no, they definitely did not see this coming)

Statement from GE Regarding Moody’s Review

Business Wire

 
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New Issuance Fever Hits Market





The primary debt market has taken advantage of people throwing money into the TARP pit, with two high yield energy companies on deck to raise capital over the next few hours (or as long as there is an uptick to the market): Chesapeake, in the form of $500 million 6 year notes, and Inergy, raising $200 million 6 year notes, both to refinance existing debt. As mattress are overflowing with worthless pieces of paper, it is likely that both these issues will be quickly digested by the market...

 
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Uh Oh, The Second California Home Rush In Trouble





Paul Kedrosky points out something that will put a dent in many of the talking heads' arguments about housing picking up again in the beat down states. Seems Wells Fargo's 30 Year conforming mortgage is up something like 90+ bps from the several week ago trough of 4.7%. Can't be good. Especially knowing where 30 years Treasuries trade, and all the agency paper being bought by the Treasury with every dollar printed.

 
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Chapter 7 Cases Poised To Surge





The liquidations of Circuit City and Linens 'N Things are just the beginning. As we discussed recently, the dea(r)th of distressed financing will crimp the plans of any companies who plan to brave the current crisis through traditional Chapter 11 bankruptcies.

 
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NY Governor Paterson Forced to Cancel Davos Boondoggle As State On The Verge





First AIG with their million dollar, manicure and pedicure all-inclusive trips to the Pacific coast a few days after a $100 billion dollar rescue by taxpayers, and now David Paterson, governor of a virtually bankrupt NY State.

 
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Lawyers Paid Better Than Ever as Creditors Lose Shirts





We have written extensively on the subject (here and here), and we feel it is about time mainstream media paid a little more attention to this very troubling issue.

 
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Jefferies Tries to Rebuild Its Restructuring Group





Jefferies, the self proclaimed "largest investment bank left out there" today announced that it has hired 2 managing directors to replace the massive defections in its restructuring group, which for all intents and purposes, picked up and left to join Moelis & Co.

 
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I Am Geithner's Total Lack Of Surprise: Freddie Asks for Another $35 Billion





Freddie Mac, which is already owned by the U.S. government, has said it will ask the U.S. Treasury for another $35 billion. The company said its Q4 losses will drive its net worth below zero... again...

 
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Late Sunday Headlines





  • Pfizer Offers $66.8 Billion for Wyeth (Bloomberg)
  • 8x levered auto supplier at 16 pts up CDS anyone?
 
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