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Initial Rally Fades In PMs, FX, And Equities Post LTRO

Tyler Durden's picture




 

EURUSD and equity markets are undecided, European sovereigns have rallied modestly back to earlier day tights but no further (and Portuguese debt is underperforming), and credit markets in Europe are leaking modestly wider so far. The biggest movers initially appeared to be AUD (carry FX as we noted earlier) and the precious metals (with Silver outperforming Gold so far). Cable (GBP) is weakening relative to USD and EUR and that is holding DXY up a little here. Treasuries are doing better. As we post, the USD is now strengthening, ES is losing steam, and gold and silver are slipping back. CONTEXT is lower than pre-LTRO as risk is leaking off for now.

 

 

Trying to aggregate all the moving parts, we note that CONTEXT (ourt broad risk proxy) is now lower than pre-LTRO but there remains a lot of volatility in the various assets:

 

European Sovereigns this week are unch but Portugal is really starting to lose it again...

 

Corporate credit markets are also leaking wider (lower on the chart) as financials modestly outperform for now...

 

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Wed, 02/29/2012 - 06:52 | 2207218 UP Forester
UP Forester's picture

More time to stack....

Wed, 02/29/2012 - 07:06 | 2207242 Ghordius
Ghordius's picture

... and time is money! ;-)

Wed, 02/29/2012 - 06:52 | 2207219 Colombian Gringo
Colombian Gringo's picture

Gold and Silver, to the moon Alice!

Wed, 02/29/2012 - 06:56 | 2207224 Poor Grogman
Poor Grogman's picture

Must be time for a PM smack down.
Cmon boys do your stuff, truck is waitin...

Wed, 02/29/2012 - 07:22 | 2207241 zhandax
zhandax's picture

Silver expiration today?  Smackdown, you say?  They will make the good effort.  The closing price remains to be seen.  But as of today, there is a ton of new liquidity out there and no shortage of chart monkeys who realize silver is a better bet than stocks...

Wed, 02/29/2012 - 07:09 | 2207243 Gief Gold Plox
Gief Gold Plox's picture

I too have been waiting for one. Not that I like loosing value, but I am not really loosing anything since I own only physical. It's the folk that hold cash that think it's purchasing power has somehow magically increased, despite being printer all the time. So why not use that and enlarge my pile a bit cheaper this time around?

Wed, 02/29/2012 - 07:25 | 2207269 The Swedish Chef
The Swedish Chef's picture

If you have a truck for buying silver after the smacksown, why didn´t you just go last month and bought at the same prices?

Wed, 02/29/2012 - 13:13 | 2208528 Poor Grogman
Poor Grogman's picture

Oh shit I never thought of that.?!

Wed, 02/29/2012 - 06:58 | 2207226 Yen Cross
Yen Cross's picture

Lest we also not forget the shitty (core CPI & CPI eur YoY prints) a little while ago.

Wed, 02/29/2012 - 06:58 | 2207227 number cruncher
number cruncher's picture

ltro v2 := priced in

Wed, 02/29/2012 - 07:04 | 2207240 BW
BW's picture

Silver is above 37.  What smackdown?

Wed, 02/29/2012 - 07:10 | 2207247 mammoth mo
mammoth mo's picture

You know -you can see market manipulation in play.

Numbers come out  - stock futures head up - until people realize 800 banks are broke as a joke.  Numbers start coming down and the printing presses start up again. Can't let reality into the market.

 

 

Wed, 02/29/2012 - 07:21 | 2207261 surf0766
surf0766's picture

When I saw 800 I thought oh shit. Anyone know how many bnks had access to it? Is 800 75% or 50% or 25% of the number of banks that asked for it?

Wed, 02/29/2012 - 07:21 | 2207259 mammoth mo
mammoth mo's picture

So now the number is being reported as 713 billion.

 

Somehow this is better than 529 billion.....

 

Futures still going up.

 

They are even broker than thought - and this is bullish?

Wed, 02/29/2012 - 08:03 | 2207317 BW
BW's picture

US Dollar is crashing.

Wed, 02/29/2012 - 09:01 | 2207404 engineertheeconomy
engineertheeconomy's picture

just take the 50 yr fuel price chart and turn it upside down

there is no recourse left for the psychopaths in power other than to start printing ten thousand dollar bills

Wed, 02/29/2012 - 07:28 | 2207273 TigerTrail
TigerTrail's picture

Global Rally is here to stay. Buy Equities / Gold / Silver / Short Dollar / Long Euro - Forget what ZH Reports. Always the opposite happens. Buy Buy and Buy.

Wed, 02/29/2012 - 07:38 | 2207282 wandstrasse
wandstrasse's picture

How many opposite of the opposite iterations do you recommend? And BTW, where shall one start?

Wed, 02/29/2012 - 07:29 | 2207276 TigerTrail
TigerTrail's picture

We are in a "New Bull Market" across the Globe

Wed, 02/29/2012 - 07:32 | 2207278 drwillia
drwillia's picture

GLD & SLV

sheepgetslaughtered.blogspot.com

Wed, 02/29/2012 - 07:44 | 2207291 youngman
youngman's picture

Todays move by the ECB and soon the Fed is supposed to be a backdrop for bankers interest in buying soverign debt....I bet some of it leaks to PM´s.....

Wed, 02/29/2012 - 07:47 | 2207298 TigerTrail
TigerTrail's picture

@ Youngman - Your pic suggests that lately you have been trading EUR/USD Pair.

Wed, 02/29/2012 - 08:04 | 2207320 youngman
youngman's picture

More like I have been trading beer for vodka....

Wed, 02/29/2012 - 08:01 | 2207314 Comay Mierda
Comay Mierda's picture

spx about to crash priced in silver.

http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=SPY:SLV&p=D&yr=1&mn=0&dy=0&id=p12494010995

 its obvious that an important support line just broke.  strong down trend will continue

Wed, 02/29/2012 - 08:28 | 2207343 cnhedge
cnhedge's picture

this is the last ltro, and the take up is not good.

http://www.jinrongbaike.com/ http://www.cnhedge.com/

Wed, 02/29/2012 - 08:55 | 2207385 engineertheeconomy
engineertheeconomy's picture

I heard  farmers in Brasil said that they too are willing to sell their food and other products for non-dollar currencies and would give a considerable discount to any country that would trade in Gold

Wed, 02/29/2012 - 08:56 | 2207388 Atlas Shrugs
Atlas Shrugs's picture

I love those silver tongue bitchez.

Sat, 03/03/2012 - 01:00 | 2219167 q5251355
q5251355's picture

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