Japan's WTF Chart

Tyler Durden's picture

By now everyone has seen some iteration the following chart of relative sovereign debt/GDP values, in which Japan is an outlier:

As well as this chart of sovereign interest to revenue, in which Japan is also an outlier:

And certainly this chart showing Japan's straight diagonal line of debt/GDP:




But how many have seen this chart showing global sovereign debt as a percentage of total government revenues? 

Is there now any doubt after seeing this why the proverbial four horseman are really just one giant black swan, only not one of failed bond auctions or something quite as dramatic, but something as simple and mundane as the smallest uptick higher in rates which would blow up the entire global financial farce, starting with the most imbalanced domino of all - the land of the rising sun?... And that at least Greece is not Japan?

Source: Harvard Business School, 9-212-091, Hayman Capital Management,

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Stackers's picture

"Japan is a bug in search of a windshield" --- John Mauldin.



SilverTree's picture

Harvard Business School, HA!


Rates go up? HAHA!


Print baby print? Fuck-yeah!

ghostfaceinvestah's picture

Yup, Kyle Bass can hope and hope and hope, but his bets against JGBs will never pay off.

CClarity's picture

Kyle Bass will eventually be proven right and paid handsomely.  Painful waiting and time, but ultimately.  He has more and better staying power than most.  So many are just chumps.


What does it all mean's picture

Japan INVENTED the term, Quantitative Easing... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Quantitative_easing

Bernanke is copying the Asian kids' homeworks as the rest of the American students are...  Nothing new here.

So the question really are:  


1.  Are we going to have a lost TWO-decades?  

2.  We have more capacity for more debt?  or

3.  Let's make sure besides the radiations that we put in Japan (Fat Man and the little boy) and God (Fukushima), let's make sure Japan NEVER has a nuclear bomb and continues the path since their 1989 crash.


The Big Ching-aso's picture



In a bid to increase their on-the-go population, Toyota's coming out with a new bench-seat car called the Sexus.

Manthong's picture



So where will the shit hit the fan?
Out of Athens, Madrid or Tehran?
London, Lisbon or Rome
Or from Ben here at home?
I’m with Kyle,
Keep your eye in Japan.

Half_A_Billion_Hollow_Points's picture

this is nothing but the keynesian endgame


bring it on!

Freddie's picture

Kyle Bass is about to make about $10 billion off of his Greece bet.

Stoploss's picture

Based on those charts above, hope is not required.

SMG's picture

The anti-Christ system rewards those who get others into more and more debt......

Freedom from debt is true freedom.

The Big Ching-aso's picture



Japan has taken a glowing lead exporting dosimeters to the rest of the world.   

mick_richfield's picture

Shortly to be followed by their entire population of child-bearing age.

Iam_Silverman's picture

"entire population of child-bearing age"


Mmmmmmmm, oriental wimmen!  Send em' in!

Dr. Kenneth Noisewater's picture

Long fertile land with water rights, legally-fuckable scotch and multiple calibers of ammo.


And nickels.  LOTS OF NICKELS.

Lost Wages's picture

Japan is like a Timex. Takes a lickin' and keeps on tickin'.

LetThemEatRand's picture

Until Reactor #4 gives up the ghost.  

duckduckMOOSE's picture

Takes a lickin' and eventually moves the entire population to western China. Ooooops! Shhhhhh! That's a Secret!


Iam_Silverman's picture

"eventually moves the entire population to western China"

Wow, just wow!  Sounds like a great conspiracy theory there.  Care to flesh it out more for us?  Let's start with China building all of those empty cities, and then they develop an "Earthquake Device" and "Tsunami Enhancement Controller" to wipe out Japans coastlines and render the rest of their land uninhabitable by radiation leaked from "disabled" reactors.  They (the Chinese) graciously offer those industrialist Japanese succor and shelter, as long as they bring their advanced manufacturing skills and knowledge with them.  BANG!  New Asian Rim powerhouse.  This really could make an excellent James Bond or Mission Impossible 13 plot!  Really!

Yen Cross's picture

BoJ and Kampo are " BID"!  Exporters.  They lose the game. USD to 82.oo dxy.  Then ka-boom short squeeze! The market is soo heavily oversold right now!

barliman's picture


Well, I have not junked you ...

... but would you mind wearing a broadband WiFi enabled Go camera if you are planning on BTFD?

It would be a guaranteed viral hit ... though you, personally, might not survive the experience.


oldman's picture

@Yen Cross

Hey, Yen,

If you are aging and your environment is completely radiated with Death staring you in the face, eyeball to eyeball, and no one is riding to the rescue-------------well, it changes your perception on the little things that used to seem so important. I don't think the Japanese are to busy with the normal reality these days.

I sure as hell wouldn't be, were, I, in their shoes              om

The Big Ching-aso's picture



Man who have rice paper in bank may have hidden yen for destruction.



Big Slick's picture

Fortunately Japan has a young demographic workforce.  Coupled with rich natural resources, Japan should be able to work its way out of this. (sarc.) (sarc.)

Freddie's picture

I am trying to figure out what will happen to Japan.  Do they eventually move most production offshore?  How will they defend their borders? It is an island so it is a bit easier to defend.  Does it slowly implode into a more humane North Korea with poverty?  Does South Korea take it over eventually?

oldman's picture



Plainly put---Japan is dead and all who live there will ---on a long enough time line---die.

Not a big deal because it will happen in a couple of more locations as well----it is called self-destruction which our species is by far the biggest winner of this game.

The point is , if you are old enough to understand death, and a lot of younger people do, how would you feel if someone said,

"Hey, Dude, you owe me four trillion dollars---when are you going to pay?"

I couldn't do anything with that except to laugh and buy the poor guy a drink---he was just a victim of a black swan event---what to do? But am I going to truly be sad about it or even think about it?


And I don't think the Japanese are either.

When you almost drowned, did you worry about getting through college---I don't know, dude---i'm just a stupid oldman   om

mick_richfield's picture

They were preparing to defend themselves after the departure of the Americans with a secret and large nuclear weapons program.  ( If they do it, it's OK and we help them.  If Iran does it, it's the Axis of Evil and we kill them. )

But the accident -- I guess -- at Fukushima blew that program up, and is now gradually making the Tokyo area uninhabitable.

I think that their most mobile people, especially those of child-bearing age, will emigrate.  The rest of the culture will make no attempt to protect itself from China, and will stabilize not as a more humane NK, but more like a pooer version of Taiwan with big memories and few friends. 

More mystics, fewer industrialists.

Bicycle Repairman's picture

I guess using a plant in an earthquake and tsunami ridden area to build nuclear weapons decreased security instead of increasing it.  Oh well.  As for whether it was an accident or not; perhaps we don't know what lit the fuse, but we know who laid the dynamite.  Risk Management 101.

Au Shucks's picture

tiki-tiki-tembo no sa rembo cherry berry roochie pip perry pembo has fallen into a well!

qualitative japanesing upcoming

The Big Ching-aso's picture



What a riot.   I imagine the Greeks right now must be celebrating in the streets over their fiscal prudence in comparison to the Japanese.

Iam_Silverman's picture

"qualitative japanesing upcoming"

Well that's OK, quantitative Japan-easing, now that's not OK.

km4's picture

Guess who is tied with Ireland for the #5 WTF spot

spdrdr's picture

Hmmm.  For some reason, I read that as "Iceland", not "Ireland".


The Big Ching-aso's picture



After Fukushima, the only charts over there that really matter is your X-ray chart.

Thucydides's picture

Harry Cary meet Black Swan....Poop meet fanny.

the 300000000th percent's picture

And now they have to import oil because they shut down all of those expensive to build and have not yet got a profit return nuclear generators


HungrySeagull's picture

You don't understand that Fukushima's Reactor Complex has been a ongoing disasters (Plural)

If you do a bit of reaserch, you will find that the US mainland and much of the North hemisphere is at risk ongoing.


GMadScientist's picture

To be fair, they didn't ask for them.

WallowaMountainMan's picture

there is no profit return from nuclear power. there is only avoidance of accounting for long term costs. except now, we are into nuclear long enough to have long term costs actually starting to show up.

no big deal though. people who profit from nuclear can just take the short term $$$, and then, when need be, have the corporation file for bankruptcy, and walk away free and clear.

incorporating is the biggest fraud ever created by man. artificial protection from risk for the stockholders. no protection for everybody else.


spooncutter's picture

sneaky mrs watanabe

Rich Bagg's picture

Japan has a printing press, hence, no problem.



Yen Cross's picture

 Mrs. Watanabe is junking me? Ok, I get it!

zorba THE GREEK's picture

Greece is not Japan because they lie about their economy better than Japan.

For all we know, China could be Japan, or the U.S.