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JPM Max Pain At 6 Month Highs
While we can argue over which exact position Iksil and his crew had on, the widening in IG9 10Y spreads post-Dimon signals an unwind of epic proportions continues. It seems the mainstream media has grown tired of discussing skews, basis, curves, tranches, and tail-risk but for those who care about the reality that JPMorgan faces - we note that the credit index most closely tied to the CIO's office debacle continues to push wider. Today sees the spread at six-month wides (up a hulking 33% since Dimon's mea crapa). Perhaps this helps explain why JPM just can't get a bid (or hold onto one even after last week's ECB/Fed print rumors) as its stock's price hovers just in the red YTD (with a $32 handle).
Source: CMA
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I predict...pain.
(Mr. T/Clubber Lang, Rocky III)
Your pain, my gain.
http://journey-to-alpha.blogspot.co.uk/2012/05/interested-in-negative-yi...
"Awesome"... hehe.
I predict...
Uncle Bennie buys JPM's junk via a confidential liquidity program for TBTF/Systemically Important banksters...
Weinstein is gonna get loaded.
Poor Jamie's bank is being sold short. Hope he feels like someone who was long silver for some of the selloffs he created.
Shut up Jamie before I have to kick your ass again!
That frigg'in head of his would fit perfectly between them, hell, who's to say that they're not related?
Timmay gave you -1 because that is his Uncle Jamie...
Bevis and Butt-head gave you -2 for associating them with Jamie The Clown...
With the information available through ZH about this whale trade backfire, it is amazing that JPM continues to trade at 1.4 BV. The stock should be trading in the lower $20s at this point.
Book value is rehypothicated. Real value is negative.
Sold some old furniture and I had to pay the guys to remove it from my house. Same concept.
i'll see your cultural reference and raise you one:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rrykk7E_2i0
just mark (to market) it eight, smoky.
Fuck off and die JPM.
Edit: This is blatant pandering for greenies.
You'll get them.
Just Putrify More bitchez!
They need to throw in the damn spiderman towel
THROW THE DAMN TOWEL
Lmao. By greenies do you mean boogers?
Die JPM scum.
if i was told the 10 year would be at 1.62% then i'd have assumed the spx would be at 1000 or less
Seriously like if the market does crash are treasuries just going to negative? I really don't understand it. Market is still near its high, seems like its going to just correct 20% one day to even out.
junk, TIPS are negative all the way to 20 year duration to the government reported CPI index (which is understated and magnifies the negative yield)
FDIC only covers 250K, so APPL and others must store cash in treasuries, because they are not stupid enough to plow this money back into the economy and risk it all
scary times
And they know not to buy PMs after watching Buffet try his silver play back in the day. Because if he can get bitch-slapped by TPTB, anyone can. Besides, just look at the sweetheart deals he's gotten since (though many will once again require fedgov backup, of course).
I would have thought the whole thing would have exploded at these levels. The thirty year is trading at 2.71 simply amazing.
Maybe they can hedge their position by going long FB....
I can't decide which one I like better,
FB = Falling Brick
FB = Fleeced Bumpkins
FB = Fried Bankers
FB = Fraudulent Bullshit
FB used to mean 'fucking bernanke' as in europe will pull a FB
I will relesh watching every second of that companies demise ! :o)
you don't idolize zuckenburger? he's a genius and apple was sent by angels
Alice Kingsley: I've been shrunk, stretched, scratched and stuffed into a teapot!
http://youtu.be/RcAJKyL6hLA
Guess we have the Bear Stearns/Lehman candidate for 2012 in our sights.
Can you warn us if you go in at $5?
I am hoping to pick up JPM at the same price Goldman gets them during one óf those Treasury-moderated weekend emergency sessions: $2.
The whole question is what happens to the infamous JPM PM portfolio once JPM starts going belly up. Will Jim Rogers scoop that porfolio up for a few Spiderman towels?
All I know is you picked the bottom on BAC perfectly.
Will let you know. But it still seems too early to buy JPM. Wait until the $32.50 bottom feeders from last week start capitulating
Volume that day was not exceptional, particularly at $32.50. Just kind of bled into the close then gapped up a little the next morning after the patient got a dose of hopium.
Everyone knows Goldman wants MS not JPM. JPM will be merged with Citi and the US gov will own all the stock.
These idiots should have raised capital a month ago. If they had they'd be able to pick up Barclays, CSFB, UBS etc... All for pennies on the dollar and Government gaurantees.
JPM's CIO prop bet loss is the camel's nose entering the derivative tent: the coverup does not hide the $400T disaster hiding in plain sight, and I hope the camel soon has a defining sneeze attack.
Never stand behind a sneezing camel.
Sandy Weill approves of that message, WB7.
After all, Sandy and Bob Rubin started it all. Then these 2 senior members of La Kosher Nostra wisely got themselves out of the spotlight. Get a load of this f*cking shyster...
http://www.time.com/time/specials/packages/article/0,28804,1877351_1877350_1877329,00.html
"Who decided banks had to be all things to all customers? Weill did. Starting with a low-end lender in Baltimore, he cobbled together the first great financial supermarket, Citigroup. Along the way, Weill's acquisitions (Smith Barney, Travelers, etc.) and persistent lobbying shattered Glass-Steagall, the law that limited the investing risks banks could take. Rivals followed Citi. The swollen banks are now one of the country's major economic problems. Every major financial firm seems too big to fail, leading the government to spend hundreds of billions of dollars to keep them afloat. The biggest problem bank is Weill's Citigroup. The government has already spent $45 billion trying to fix it"
And that's from f*cking TIME.
Brilliant William! Could be that the pricks have finally pricked the credit bubble!? "Look out below" for almost all assets particularly paper and digital assets. Metals will tumble too in nominal terms but NOT in purchasing power.
I am Tuco
Tyler keeps using the term "handle" (ex from post above: JPM with a "handle at $32), but i don't understand what it signifies or how it's useful for placing a trade. Would much appreciate explanation - thanks!
Handle just means the dollar amount so when it is anywhere in $32 dollars ($32.01-32.99) its a $32 handle. Just finance jargon not a trade entry
its usualy the number infront of the decimal point. $32.XX share.
I think he means can't handle the truth ;-)
The term "handle" refers to an approximate term, since the price of JPM equity keeps on finding new levels.
A $32 handle suggests that JPM has currently seen some trades below $33 (say $32.98)... and it might go lower (or less likely, higher) pending incremental information.
You're welcome.
Thanks everyone. Could he also perhaps indicate the "cup and handle" pattern that can occur in a chart? see: http://www.investopedia.com/terms/c/cupandhandle.asp
It seems to fit the JPM chart in the post above. In your experience, has it had much relevance?
It apears more to resemble the 'Teabags on Chin' pattern.
The 'cup and handle' formation is the position of Jamie and his fatal drink before he does the 'socrates'.
Handle is also a descriptive term for a 1.75 bottle with a handle, as in "I picked up a handle of vodka, now let's party! Bitchez!"
As in "BAC still has a 7 handle - Why?"
Every Jamie cloud now comes with a Silver lining
Now if somebody would sqeeze them in their naked silver shorts it would be funny to watch them squirm.
I have to give myself a +1 for the double entendre. ;->
How many unthinkable $trillions "nominal" in derivatives in the JPM? It is the big fat spider at the center of the derivatives web. Counterparty risks?
Max Kaiser says JPM derivatives pile is now a tidy $90,000,000,000,000.00.
Ever since they trotted out Blythe "The Hedger" Masters to do PR things have turned sour. She definitely needs to do more rounds on CNBS to fully drive this shit wagon JPM into the ground.
TBTF's in survival mode - desparately want repeal of 'Gramm, Leach, Bliley Act' & 'CFMA' --- only way out is to handover spoiled-loot[?] to central planners?
regards, Obamacare's
JPM's pain becomes Fed Reserve Asset, then becomes pain to US Citizens.
If they were still holding that trade, and they are not, else they would have had to declare the megalosses (say 20B)............ Not even JPM can bury that one in the backyard.
This is nothing...just wait till everyone is taking delivery on their paper silver.
Well good thing JPM is backed by us hardworking americans right?
Lets go PPT save us today, i see glimmers of manipulation, lets jsut go full retard and turn this bitch green today.
The only green I see is silver and gold.
Dont underestimate the PPT. The daily afternoon ramp job about as sure as getting a std from a 20$ bj from a hooker.
"Stocks are off the lows" whenever you hear this a PPT member gets his wings.
There's a new paradigm at work. The robots are selling the fucking spike now that everyone and his brother has been taught to believe in the magic of the PPT.
It's similar to QE. Everyone knows what it is now and expects it, so it's not coming.
Just because you're a Savant it doesn't mean you're not an idiot...
Who ordered the code red?
so... i was just wondering with the recent Rothschild/Rockerfeller union... could they actually let JPM fail? or is that insane to think?
JPM is part owner of fed. In other words "they are they". Here a best guess in terms of ownership of the privately held federal reserve. These stocks should always be viewed with the perpsective that they "are" The Fed.
Best Guess Fed ownership:
The top 4 banks: B of A, JP Morgan Chase, Citigroup & Wells Fargo-Wachovia control roughly 54% of the stock of the Federal Reserve Bank. The top 10 banks, including Goldman Sachs, HSBC and the Bank of New York control roughly 70% of the stock.
Club members don't let other Club members fail.
Failing is for the Muppets.
Well, LTCM wasn't in the club, and Bear Stearns sure wasn't after not helping on the LTCM tear-apart, but Lehman? Wasn't Lehman in the Club?
Think of all of these entities as the "Goose that lays the golden egg." As long as the goose stays healthy, the eggs keep coming. As we see now though, they're all in their terminal stages, of which there is no escaping (as per Mises).
So, each entity faces a choice, do they kill it to their liking, or turn it into a zombie on fedgov life-support? In each case, the answer will be, whichever provides the most benefit to those holding the guns at the time.
Didn't Obomba disclose he has a few mill invested with JPM? If true, I smell a baaaailout coming.
Once again....
Nelson to JPM SHITHOLDERS...(CUZ THE MANAGEMENT WILL DO JUST FINE COME HELL OR HIGH WATER)
AH-HA!
We really need some more renewed Fleeced Buyer Schadenfreude from Tyler. Every Fallin Brick long is now losing money.
The Management team at JPM feels just terrible about their mounting losses which must, of course, now be passed on to the Fed and the American Taxpayers.
The team is highly motivated and committed to making huge profits on their next bet in the Casino that old timers fondly refer to as the "Market".
JP Morgan, Capitalism, and Trust.
"PILE ON THE RABBIT...PILE ON THE RABBIT!"
Maybe if they sell even more Silver they don't own they can get their SP back up.
AS MENTIONED HERE BEFORE EXPECTED LOSS AROUND 7BILLION USD HOWEVER IF THE INDEX CONTINUE DETERIORATING AT THE CURRENT RATE WE MAY BE TALKING SOMETHING IN THE ORDER OF 10+ BILLIONS USD
I think you're a little low.
It has been shown that the share repurchase program would have to be halted if losses exceeded $30B. Well, it has been halted.
Jim Willy also is on the record saying that over the next year(s), losses will be revealed to be in the $100's of Billions.
But wait, Hilary Kramer on Marketwatch says there are five reasons to buy JPM, including "$2 billion is not significant":
http://www.marketwatch.com/story/5-reasons-to-buy-jpmorgan-chase-2012-05-30
It would be nice if everyone writing articles like that were required to disclose their positions, including their VWAP. It's all fine and dandy to go tell other people what they should do with their money, if you aren't doing it yourself.
Silver: $28 p/oz
JPM: $32 p/share
Now how silly is that? It's the Poster Boy for f*cked up. I mean, how many hundred trillion $ of derivative debt does silver hold on its books?
Take a picture for posterity. One has an unlimited future, the other is a walking dead thing
Confucius say: choose wisely glasshoppa, and buy with both hands
Margin Stanley looking solid as well.
Golden Bull getting ready stomp some necks...
How do you eat a whale?
One bite at a time.
is it just me or does Dimon remind you of Q from star trek - (john de lancie)
http://www.rankopedia.com/CandidatePix/61003.gif
I think the roles are similar.
Puts on JPM are the closest thing to a sure thing there is. Plus, you're doing something for humanity. It gives the common Joe the ability to do some good in the world. Watching Jamie die like the wicked witch getting a bucket of water thrown on her, (I'd prefer throwing a bucket of shit and piss on Jamie), gives one a warm and fuzzy feeling. I try and start my day by buying at least one or two July 34 puts onJPM in hopes that it helps ruin Jamies day. Plus I buy physical silver every week. Ha ha Jamie, fuck you...how do you like it bitch?
As demand and production of copper slows JPM silver short may have no out. Talk of JPM copper ETF may be how they are looking to offset real demand. Copper production down means byproduct silver down. Want to short JPM just buy a little more silver. The crunch is coming.
Is this going to affect my bonus?
JPM will pull their advertising from any sport that involves "running".
The coming crash is almost palpable. I bet the veins on Jamie's pea head are bulging. I hope he gets destroyed. He's such a sack of shit.
How poetic the 2nd most hated CEO's company is headed for the wood-chipper... maybe it really is time change the way things get traded
Achilles Macris, J.P. Morgan’s CIO in their London office, used the bank’s access to cheap capital from the Federal Reserve to amass his OTC derivative gamble that high yield and sovereign debt interest rates would fall, after MF Global suffered a $1.2 billion loss on similar bets and was forced to file for bankruptcy last October 30th.
Morgan’s gamble became very profitable after December 21 when the European Central Bank (ECB) began making $640 billion of three year loans at 1% interest, referred to as “Long Term Refinancing Operations” (LTROs), available to the banks of Portugal, Ireland, Italy, Greece and Spain (PIIGS). By the end of December, J.P. Morgan’s total derivative exposure was $70.2 trillion on just $1.8 trillion of bank assets, according to the U. S. Controller of the Currency. Morgan is reported to have continued heavy derivative buying in January and February. Its profits soared again when the ECB announced LTRO2 as another $714 billion in three year low-interest loans to PIIGS banks.
The stock of J.P. Morgan vaulted from $29 per share in December 2011 to $45 a share in March 2012 as rumors swirled that Achilles Macris and his London team of 6 had already made $2-3 billion as high yield and sovereign debt interest rates continued to fall. A jubilant Jamie Dimon announced that J.P. Morgan would increase its dividend and buy back $15 billion of its stock.
Everything seemed rainbows and unicorns for J.P. Morgan until France and Greece elected hardcore leftist candidates who want to abandon austerity spending cuts and increase social welfare spending. Interest rates on the PIIGS sovereign debt shot back up. My estimate is that J.P. Morgan has suffered a $7-8 billion loss since March and are at a net $5 billion loss and counting.
Mea Crapa very funny. I suppose they're saying a few of those over at the Vatican Bank too.