JPM Max Pain At 6 Month Highs

Tyler Durden's picture

While we can argue over which exact position Iksil and his crew had on, the widening in IG9 10Y spreads post-Dimon signals an unwind of epic proportions continues. It seems the mainstream media has grown tired of discussing skews, basis, curves, tranches, and tail-risk but for those who care about the reality that JPMorgan faces - we note that the credit index most closely tied to the CIO's office debacle continues to push wider. Today sees the spread at six-month wides (up a hulking 33% since Dimon's mea crapa). Perhaps this helps explain why JPM just can't get a bid (or hold onto one even after last week's ECB/Fed print rumors) as its stock's price hovers just in the red YTD (with a $32 handle).

 

Source: CMA

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mayhem_korner's picture

 

 

I predict...pain.

(Mr. T/Clubber Lang, Rocky III)

Tsar Pointless's picture
Pain is ready, pain is waiting
Primed to do it's educating
Depeche Mode "Dream On"
Problem Is's picture

I predict...

Uncle Bennie buys JPM's junk via a confidential liquidity program for TBTF/Systemically Important banksters...

TheTwoJohns's picture

Weinstein is gonna get loaded.

Concentrated power has always been the enemy of liberty.'s picture

Poor Jamie's bank is being sold short.  Hope he feels like someone who was long silver for some of the selloffs he created.

ACP's picture

Shut up Jamie before I have to kick your ass again!

El Oregonian's picture

That frigg'in head of his would fit perfectly between them, hell, who's to say that they're not related?

Problem Is's picture

Timmay gave you -1 because that is his Uncle Jamie...

Bevis and Butt-head gave you -2 for associating them with Jamie The Clown...

slaughterer's picture

With the information available through ZH about this whale trade backfire, it is amazing that JPM continues to trade at 1.4 BV.  The stock should be trading in the lower $20s at this point.   

Doña K's picture

Book value is rehypothicated. Real value is negative.

Sold some old furniture and I had to pay the guys to remove it from my house. Same concept.

janus's picture

i'll see your cultural reference and raise you one:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rrykk7E_2i0

just mark (to market) it eight, smoky.

MsCreant's picture

Fuck off and die JPM.

Edit: This is blatant pandering for greenies.

fuu's picture

You'll get them.

Just Putrify More bitchez!

BlueCollaredOne's picture

They need to throw in the damn spiderman towel

THROW THE DAMN TOWEL

Dr. Engali's picture

Lmao. By greenies do you mean boogers?

derek_vineyard's picture

if i was told the 10 year would be at 1.62% then i'd have assumed the spx would be at 1000 or less

junkyardjack's picture

Seriously like if the market does crash are treasuries just going to negative?  I really don't understand it.  Market is still near its high, seems like its going to just correct 20% one day to even out.

derek_vineyard's picture

junk,    TIPS are negative all the way to 20 year duration to the government reported CPI index (which is understated and magnifies the negative yield)  

FDIC only covers 250K, so APPL and others must store cash in treasuries, because they are not stupid enough to plow this money back into the economy and risk it all

scary times

NotApplicable's picture

And they know not to buy PMs after watching Buffet try his silver play back in the day. Because if he can get bitch-slapped by TPTB, anyone can. Besides, just look at the sweetheart deals he's gotten since (though many will once again require fedgov backup, of course).

Dr. Engali's picture

I would have thought the whole thing would have exploded at these levels. The thirty year is trading at 2.71 simply amazing.

junkyardjack's picture

Maybe they can hedge their position by going long FB....

eclectic syncretist's picture

I can't decide which one I like better,

FB = Falling Brick

FB = Fleeced Bumpkins

FB = Fried Bankers

FB = Fraudulent Bullshit

derek_vineyard's picture

FB used to mean 'fucking bernanke' as in europe will pull a FB

onis_uk's picture

I will relesh watching every second of that companies demise ! :o)

derek_vineyard's picture

you don't idolize zuckenburger?   he's a genius and apple was sent by angels

pissing_excellence's picture

Alice Kingsley: I've been shrunk, stretched, scratched and stuffed into a teapot!

http://youtu.be/RcAJKyL6hLA

slaughterer's picture

Guess we have the Bear Stearns/Lehman candidate for 2012 in our sights.

fuu's picture

Can you warn us if you go in at $5?

slaughterer's picture

I am hoping to pick up JPM at the same price Goldman gets them during one óf those Treasury-moderated weekend emergency sessions: $2.

The whole question is what happens to the infamous JPM PM portfolio once JPM starts going belly up.  Will Jim Rogers scoop that porfolio up for a few Spiderman towels?

fuu's picture

All I know is you picked the bottom on BAC perfectly.

slaughterer's picture

Will let you know.  But it still seems too early to buy JPM.   Wait until the $32.50 bottom feeders from last week start capitulating    

Alea Iactaest's picture

Volume that day was not exceptional, particularly at $32.50. Just kind of bled into the close then gapped up a little the next morning after the patient got a dose of hopium.

RoadKill's picture

Everyone knows Goldman wants MS not JPM. JPM will be merged with Citi and the US gov will own all the stock.

These idiots should have raised capital a month ago. If they had they'd be able to pick up Barclays, CSFB, UBS etc... All for pennies on the dollar and Government gaurantees.

franzpick's picture

JPM's CIO prop bet loss is the camel's nose entering the derivative tent: the coverup does not hide the $400T disaster hiding in plain sight, and I hope the camel soon has a defining sneeze attack.

Bastiat's picture

Never stand behind a sneezing camel.

Alea Iactaest's picture

Sandy Weill approves of that message, WB7.

ArrestBobRubin's picture

After all, Sandy and Bob Rubin started it all. Then these 2 senior members of La Kosher Nostra wisely got themselves out of the spotlight. Get a load of this f*cking shyster...

http://www.time.com/time/specials/packages/article/0,28804,1877351_1877350_1877329,00.html

"Who decided banks had to be all things to all customers? Weill did. Starting with a low-end lender in Baltimore, he cobbled together the first great financial supermarket, Citigroup. Along the way, Weill's acquisitions (Smith Barney, Travelers, etc.) and persistent lobbying shattered Glass-Steagall, the law that limited the investing risks banks could take. Rivals followed Citi. The swollen banks are now one of the country's major economic problems. Every major financial firm seems too big to fail, leading the government to spend hundreds of billions of dollars to keep them afloat. The biggest problem bank is Weill's Citigroup. The government has already spent $45 billion trying to fix it"

And that's from f*cking TIME.

 

Tuco Benedicto Pacifico Juan Maria Ramirez's picture

Brilliant William!  Could be that the pricks have finally pricked the credit bubble!?  "Look out below" for almost all assets particularly paper and digital assets.  Metals will tumble too in nominal terms but NOT in purchasing power.

I am Tuco

BlandJoe24's picture

Tyler keeps using the term "handle"  (ex from post above: JPM with a "handle at $32), but i don't understand what it signifies or how it's useful for placing a trade.  Would much appreciate explanation  - thanks!

junkyardjack's picture

Handle just means the dollar amount so when it is anywhere in $32 dollars ($32.01-32.99) its a $32 handle.  Just finance jargon not a trade entry

wisefool's picture

its usualy the number infront of the decimal point. $32.XX share.

williambanzai7's picture

I think he means can't handle the truth ;-)

Assetman's picture

The term "handle" refers to an approximate term, since the price of JPM equity keeps on finding new levels. 

A $32 handle suggests that JPM has currently seen some trades below $33 (say $32.98)... and it might go lower (or less likely, higher) pending incremental information.

You're welcome.

BlandJoe24's picture

Thanks everyone.  Could he also perhaps indicate the "cup and handle" pattern that can occur in a chart?  see: http://www.investopedia.com/terms/c/cupandhandle.asp 

It seems to fit the JPM chart in the post above.  In your experience, has it had much relevance? 

Alex Kintner's picture

It apears more to resemble the 'Teabags on Chin' pattern.