Key Charts From The NFP Report: Records In Jobless Duration And People Who Want A Job As Civilian Labor Force Plunges

Tyler Durden's picture

Here are the four most important data points and charts from today's job report: the civilian labor force declined from 154,198 to 153,883, a 315K decline despite the civilian non-institutional population increased (as expected) from 240,269 to 240,441: always the easiest way to push down the unemployment rate. Percentage wise this was a drop from 64.2% to 64.0%: the lowest since back in 1983. Naturally, this would mean that the people not part of the labor force rose, and indeed they did by 487,000 to a record 86,558 from 86,071. This also means that more people are looking for a job: and indeed, the number of "Persons who want a job now" rose by 192K to a record 6.595 million. And lastly, confirming the behind the scenes disaster of the US jobless picture, the average duration of unemployment rose to a new record 40.9 weeks from 39.4 weeks previously. And that is your "improving" jobless picture in a nutshell.

Labor Force Participation Rate:

People Not In The Labor Force:

People Who Want A Job Now:

And Average Duration Of Unemployment:

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rambler6421's picture

I heard that some 300,000 aren't in the labor force anymore, so the unemployment rate decreased.

Tyler Durden's picture

Did you read the post you commented on?

trav7777's picture

and he didn't put "bitchez" in the post...some people sheeh

AngryGerman's picture

is the one the number of people who want a hand job now? bc then i am also one of them. i would also accept a blow job...

Raskolnikoff's picture

I don't like the people of 'occupy whatever' but when I hear someone like Newt retort 'go get a job' I have to scratch my head, it's like rubbing the salt in good.

Cash_is_Trash's picture

It's a pear-shaped recovery everybody!

Baron Robber's picture

Why - because they want to end the fed, or because they want to bring back Glass-Steagel, or because they want to break up the TBTF banks, or maybe its because they want to stop the criminal banksters from funding politicians. Do you work for JPM or GS?

Raskolnikoff's picture

No, but the Democratic Party does work for them, hence these protesters belong in Washington DC, not Wall Street. They are very dishonest. But Obama and gang are pretty smart...they've gotta a lot of buffers placed between them and the real people, and they like to sacrafice some of those buffers every once in a while when it becomes politically expedient. 

TruthInSunshine's picture



Point A:          350,000 people left the work force (350k more 'discouraged workers' last month alone) and are no longer counted when tabulating employment/unemployment data.


Point B:         There was a net gain of 120,000 jobs in the U.S. economy last month, as 120,000 more employees were hired than were fired, based on today's NFP report from the BLS.


Point C:         The U.S. unemployment rate, based on today's NFP report from the BLS, dropped to 8.6% from 9.0% a month ago, which is the lowest level of 'official' unemployment since March of 2009.


Can you spot the glaring bullshit above that could only be sold convincingly to only the most sheepliest of sheeple, bitchez?

We've not only arrived at Orwell's 1984 moment (consider also the new Defense Bill passed overwhelmingly by the Senate this week, which allows for the indefinite detainment and imprisonment of American Citizens plucked from U.S. soil, without any charges ever having to be filed let alone due process of a trivial trial [/sarc/] having to occur), Orwell, if he were to rise from the grave and visit his nation today, would utter W-T-F, before voluntarily crawling back into his grave.

flattrader's picture

There's plenty of jobs

Newt believes there are "jobs" for nine year olds to be janitors and greeters in their schools.

Raskolnikoff's picture

I was a teacher in China and Japan for a number of years, class sizes were 50 kids plus...everyday the kids get up early to clean the school grounds and stay late to clean the classrooms. There is nothing wrong with a janitors job, the kids clean and develop a health school spirit. The fact that Newt wants to pay some kids to do this is pretty generous.

flattrader's picture

Yes.  I did this in my school too.

It's the REASON why he explains this is useful--

The children in the poorest neighborhood have no role models who have jobs.

Of course, the fat fuck is solidly in the service of those who created that situation.

ArkansasAngie's picture

I read it and am now wondering why I did. 

All it did was piss me off and left me wondering how do you beat the shatheads who control the media.

Raskolnikoff's picture

It's not the media, it's the machines. Like a terminator movie.

pazmaker's picture

Tyler, I'll answer for him. "Nope I'm just pimping my blogspot!"

rambler6421's picture

Naw Tyler.  I'm just spam.

DOT's picture

Make mine with pineapple please.

The trend is your friend's picture

An election is coming up, no matter what the real employment situation is, by november 2012 the unemployment rate will be sub 8.  We are at a point where all gov statistics are manipulated

SheepDog-One's picture

So then soon we'll have 2 guys workin, and hoping 1 of them doesnt quit or the unemployment rate will be doubled. What a joke this whole thing is. OH but Peter Tchir 'Robo' says this rally really has wings...whatever.

Apocalicious's picture

Exactly. Moral hazard, prisoners dilemma, etc. When a society reaches the point where the rules-following hard-working ones are the suckers, well, then they decide to stop playing the game and game over...

ElvisDog's picture

I think, intentionally or not, there has been a consistent meme to keep the hard-working-tax-donkeys in line. (1) We're in a weak recovery, unemployment is going down. (2) The OWS crowd and anyone who is out of work should stop whining and get a job.

So, if you have a job, you probably know that the reality is it's really hard to get a new job so you keep your mouth shut and do whatever it takes to keep your job. If you're out of work, even if you know the MSM and government are spewing a bunch of BS you don't want to come off as a shiftless loser so you keep your mouth shut and engage in the futile search to find a new job (or just live off govt bene's for a while).

swissbene's picture

yeah but new claims will be down

EscapeKey's picture

And don't forget that since they shut down more factories than they laid off workers, the capacity ulilization in fact went UP.


vipmoneymachine's picture

Doesn't matter, buy when Dow is under 11500 and sell at 12500. Works all the time despite any bad news.

EscapeKey's picture

That's what they want you to think.

Pennies, meet steamroller.

madmike117's picture

Wow. Watching CNBC, the group orgasm going on is simply stunning. I really want in on that.

CORNGUY's picture

Watching Bloomberg........they always have the sexiest commentators.     

Stuck on Zero's picture

Ever notice how similar Bloomberg is to a Vegas Casino?  Great looking chicks.  Urgency.  Lots of noise and activity.  Blinking lights and digits to confuse.  Same psychology.  Same suckers fall for it.

Hippocratic Oaf's picture

I turned all 5 TV's off in the office. Can't take it

francis_the_wonder_hamster's picture

"What's a tv?"

Trained Victim......AKA....."taxpayer"

midtowng's picture

I've been trying to tap the BLS web site and see the raw numbers but I can't. The BLS must be getting hammered right now for requests by people asking "WTF?"

vipmoneymachine's picture

BLS wesite is outsourced to Goldman.

Paul Thomason's picture

All seems pretty good to me. Might borrow some money to buy some stocks at these bargain prices.

DOT's picture

No Borrowing For You !



bigkahuna's picture

leverage and go short and then leverage that - if you must gamble.

GeneMarchbanks's picture

Full employment... soon.

Tsar Pointless's picture

All the noise is drowning out the news!! Ahh!

Okay, here are the not-seasonally adjusted numbers that matter from this report. I don't know why reputable sites such as ZH play along with the "seasonally adjusted" and "headline" employment number games promulgated by the CMSM. I would expect better.

U-3 fell to 8.2%, by far the lowest in over three years. The participation rate dropped to 63.9%, matching the record low for this series, matched three prior times this year.

A grand total of 576,000 people were welcomed into the ranks of the "Not in Labor Force", which swells to another record of 86.757 million.

The number of employed only rose by 83,000, as the unemployed fell almost 500,000 to 12.613 million.

Oh, and the civilian labor force - which should grow month-to-month - declined by about 400,000, and is now below the November 2010 level.

Clearly, the trend has been set: The official unemployment rate is quickly falling, but the number of people in our population who are retiring or simply giving up is rising just as dramatically, if not more.

We could be well below 8.0% in "official" unemployment by next November, but that would be outweighed by the reality of nearly 90 million people doing nothing.

Then again, since when has real reality mattered in this fascist little hellhole we call "Amerikkka"?

trav7777's picture

the gov't math makes it such that if you are unemployed long enough, you're no longer unemployed.

Feel free to puke when Obama goes on the campain trail and announces how he has "cut unemployment" and parrots this headline rate.

Dave Stoller's picture

"if you are unemployed long enough, you're no longer unemployed"



pain_and_soros's picture

aka as "expendable", i.e., we ain't spending no mo money on you...go find a job or whatever...just get lost.

O'bummer's new campaign slogans...

4 more years!!!  no more tears!!! 

Just Biden my time, till the sun returns to shine...

Barry & Joe, a can-do team don't ya know!


GeezerGeek's picture

Obama promised to fundamentally restructure America. He is currently engaged in fundamentally restructuring the definition of reality. It's the only way he gets to keep his job in November 2012.

ElvisDog's picture

And isn't the "Not in Labor Force" number completely subjective. The BLS can make that number whatever they want? It's stupefying to me that anyone (MSM included) could say with a straight face that in this time of economic stagnation and people falling off unemployment rolls that 576K people voluntarily decided not to work any more.

What I'm waiting for is Obama to hold one of his rallies with beaming faces in the background and say that even though unemployment is going down (thanks to him) that congress needs to pass his jobs bill now more than ever.....

Tsar Pointless's picture

No. I think it's the truest indicator we have in the employment situation report.

This group included those who have given up totally in the search for a job, but are not yet retirement age, as well as those who are retired (think baby-boomers), and other types.

So, I don't think it's subjective at all. On the contrary - it's entirely objective.

Josh Randall's picture

People falling off the dole -- so the more 99'ers that fall off, the better the economy looks - what a concept, what a country 

CORNGUY's picture

Shit, everythings good now.   

Esso's picture

Hells man, almost all them charts is goin' up. The economy's never been better, bitchez!

Robslob's picture

And with the extension of jobless benefits look for this number to expand in perpetuity or until the oligarchs decide it is time to put everyone back to work in the U.S., also know as......WAR!

ElvisDog's picture

Hah, that's funny. Take the land whales out of the Walmart $2 waffle maker line and send them to the front.