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At Least Greek CDS Is Tighter... Oh Wait, It Isn't
Some may find it odd that afer all the measures taken to resolve the threat of a Greek bankruptcy and Eurozone explusion, it is just Greek CDS that are actually wider on the day. We suggest those "some" forget about reality and enjoy the latest massive short covering squeeze which will end only when it does and not a moment sooner.
5Y 10Y 5/10's
- GREECE 58/63 +1 59/63 -0.5/2.5
- ITALY 457/469 -5 434/448 -28/-14
- SPAIN 380/390 -5 360/374 -25/-11
- PORTUGAL 1100/1160 -10 875/945 -250/-190
- IRELAND 800/840 -15 610/680 -205/-145
- BELGIUM 260/270 -13 255/269 -8/2
- FRANCE 172/176 -7 184.5/190.5 11/16
- AUSTRIA 136/140 -7 151.5/159.5 15/20
- UK 81/85 -1 97/103 15/19
- GERMANY 82.5/84.5 -0.5 99/104 16/20
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what are 5s/10s? I was just getting to know what 5yr is...and now there is 10yr and 5s/10s...wtf TD?
Google "Inverted Curve"
Transitory.
Can someone please explain quick why Greece is lower than all the other countries ?
They dropped off two zeroes. It was giving Greece a complex...
It is now quoted in points. The rest are in spread. The bid/offer was too huge on Greece when quoted in spread so quoting in points make it seem more liquid
google for Big Bang CDS, convention from 2009 from ISDA.
There are 2 ways to quote CDS.... upfront pts, and in bps.
Quoting in 2000++ is redundant so more common to simply say in upfront pts how much GRE CDS costs you. I assure you, GRE is by far the highest quoted sov whether youre talking in pts upfront or bps
'Risk' has become completely meaningless. If one country goes, the entire world goes. Hence, all spreads ought to be 0.
That's the point. They'd all be wiped out.
I've pondered and my gut tells me if you took the top 10,000 individuals and families and forced them to deleverage and make good on their bets, 80% of them would be insolvent ... aka ... bankrupt.
This is a case of the general public is going to have to force these shatheads into involuntary bankruptcy -- chapter 7. And ... you don't get to keep your home, car or retirement account.
How is your gold?
Hitman I believe that is five and ten year debt, but I am with you, I not familiar enough with these to understand this chart. Maybe one of our fellow ZHers can explain this chart to us newbs?
On bright side they can now save Greece again so stocks can go up a few more per cent
Peter T made a good point about buying 1 yr Greek bonds on a risk to reward basis....those with access to CDS insurance, made buy both. No?
BTW: Isn't this really a case of check kiting going bad.
It's all "1's and 0's" chasing around skynet isn't it. At least when I go to the races I know first hand whether the nag has pissed or not in the last 5 minutes.
But ... but ... but Merkel and Sarkozy and G-pap had a CONFERENCE CALL! How can this be? Didn't they hear about the conference call??