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Live Greek Election Poll Tracker

Tyler Durden's picture





 

With the only real catalyst on the horizon not due for nearly one month - that would be the Greek elections of June 17 which while presented as the make or break event for the Eurozone, we believe will be once again inconclusive, resulting in no actual government, but merely more elections down the road - here is the daily sequence of events of what we can expect: i) Europe releases definitive rumor that everyone is preparing for a Greek exit full of bombastic jargon and details of how Greece will be annihilated if it does exit the EMU; ii) immediate election polls are taken; iii) if "anti-memorandum" Syriza support is not materially lower, rumor is promptly withdrawn for the day, only to be unleashed the next day with even more bombastic end of world adjectives describing the 9th circle of hell Greece will enter unless the Greek people vote "for" the pro-bailout parties, "for" the Euro, and "for" a perpetuation of the status quo; iv) Rinse; v) repeat. Which means one thing: just as the most actively watched live update on June 17 will be the Greek parliament seat map as voting is tallied, so each and every day from now until then, everyone's attention will be glued to daily update from Greek election polls.

Now courtesy of Reuters, we now have a handy, bookmarkable interactive chart for everyone's convenience to keep track of this data. And while we still believe the actual result will be meaningless, as a coalition government, either pro or against bailout, will be unformable, we are certain that the second we read that Syriza support is waning (one day, only to surge the next), the EUR, courtesy of its record short interest, and all related risk assets will soar. Keep a close eye on this chart.

 


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Wed, 05/23/2012 - 09:51 | Link to Comment bdc63
bdc63's picture

This is what I call H.Q.P.E.

... a High Quality Popcorn Event

Wed, 05/23/2012 - 10:02 | Link to Comment francis_sawyer
francis_sawyer's picture

As always... remember to vote early & vote often...

Wed, 05/23/2012 - 10:21 | Link to Comment Phil Dupterjaw
Phil Dupterjaw's picture

You could have just said, vote the Chicago way.

Wed, 05/23/2012 - 10:22 | Link to Comment hedgeless_horseman
hedgeless_horseman's picture

 

 

Are you sure that is the chart for greek elections?  It looks an awful lot like the polyacrylamide electrophoresis gel for the human MPDZ gene associated with the propensity to borrow money to pay for booze.  Coincidence?

Wed, 05/23/2012 - 11:07 | Link to Comment malikai
malikai's picture

And I thought that was the dogshit synthesis gene. I got to brush up on my biology..

Wed, 05/23/2012 - 09:51 | Link to Comment the 300000000th...
the 300000000th percent's picture

An opportunity to make some money

Wed, 05/23/2012 - 09:51 | Link to Comment mrkolice
mrkolice's picture
“If there is ever another war in Europe, it will come out of some damned silly thing in the Balkans.” Otto von Bismarck
Wed, 05/23/2012 - 10:26 | Link to Comment caconhma
caconhma's picture

Otto von Bismarck was a very smart man surrounded by the arrogant and stupid German aristocracy. It was then.

Now, once again Germany is looking for its own destruction by protecting and enforcing interests of the World Zionist Banking Mafia.

Germany prosperous future is not with its natural enemies the USA, England, and France but rather with Russia, China, and Japan.

 

 

Wed, 05/23/2012 - 10:54 | Link to Comment mrkolice
mrkolice's picture

Germany was always caught between France and Russia. Schlieffen Plan explains it best (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Schlieffen_Plan). France and Russia, this is what Germans want to control, directly or indirectly.

 

That's also why Greece is so important for Germans. Russia's historical interests in Balkans are simple, Moscow claims to be the Third Rome (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Third_Rome), Russians and Greeks share the same religion (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Eastern_Orthodox_Church).

 

Watch Russia. If Russia involves in Greece, Germany goes panic button.

 

Wed, 05/23/2012 - 09:51 | Link to Comment mayhem_korner
mayhem_korner's picture

 

 

Chart looks like the ol' Frogger arcade game, particularly with the red splats...er...markers near the other side.

Wed, 05/23/2012 - 10:04 | Link to Comment Paul Atreides
Paul Atreides's picture

Just wait until after the election it's going to look like Froggers Revenge

Wed, 05/23/2012 - 10:15 | Link to Comment Fish Gone Bad
Fish Gone Bad's picture

That was both oddly comforting and disconcerting at the same time.  Perhaps it is because I tend to like frogs and fire.

Wed, 05/23/2012 - 09:54 | Link to Comment malikai
malikai's picture

Gold volatility is picking up hard.. Either we're looking at the hail mary pre-QE smashdown or we're looking at Weak hands->Strong hands..

Wed, 05/23/2012 - 09:56 | Link to Comment sudzee
sudzee's picture

PM margin hike in 3-2-1.

Wed, 05/23/2012 - 10:18 | Link to Comment francis_sawyer
francis_sawyer's picture

Max Fischer comment (presuming everyone at ZH bought 'paper' gold in the precise millisecond it ticked $1,900) coming in 3-2-1...

Wed, 05/23/2012 - 09:55 | Link to Comment Confused
Confused's picture

It would seem all that talk about Golden Dawn is just a scare tactic.

Wed, 05/23/2012 - 10:17 | Link to Comment greyghost
greyghost's picture

yes yes yes.....all that crap about neo-nazis last week on zerohedge and all the fascist can get is aprox. 5% of the vote. hell the catagory "other" gets twice that amount. but hey...don't watch the communist.....oh no no no.

Wed, 05/23/2012 - 09:58 | Link to Comment Bobby Lee
Bobby Lee's picture

How biased if them to have picked black for Golden Dawn. Watch THAT bouncing ball.

Wed, 05/23/2012 - 09:58 | Link to Comment michaelsmith_9
michaelsmith_9's picture

A potential reversal is ahead for the EURUSD as price action flirts with the 10 year trend line. www.marketoverflow.com

Wed, 05/23/2012 - 10:02 | Link to Comment bdc63
bdc63's picture

... not to mention that the trade is just a wee bit one sided ...

Wed, 05/23/2012 - 09:59 | Link to Comment Widowmaker
Widowmaker's picture

ZH is turning into a distraction machine. 

Every other article is about Greece, which doesn't matter anywhere near the volume of coverage it's receiving.

I'm beginning to sense that Fraud Inc uses ZH.

 

Wed, 05/23/2012 - 10:03 | Link to Comment Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

What would you rather have them cover? Oprah?

Wed, 05/23/2012 - 10:05 | Link to Comment francis_sawyer
francis_sawyer's picture

 "And what would you prefer to discuss now? My favorite color?"

~ Col. Nathan Jessup

Wed, 05/23/2012 - 13:17 | Link to Comment slewie the pi-rat
slewie the pi-rat's picture

don't go too deep on him, sawyer!

Wed, 05/23/2012 - 10:14 | Link to Comment Widowmaker
Widowmaker's picture

If the bitch trades, yes.

 

Wed, 05/23/2012 - 10:51 | Link to Comment CrashisOptimistic
CrashisOptimistic's picture

A world where oil scarcity dictates the rate of civilization decline is not about trading.  It's about dying.

Wed, 05/23/2012 - 10:56 | Link to Comment francis_sawyer
francis_sawyer's picture

Red & Blue (pills) trade every single day... Place your bet...

Wed, 05/23/2012 - 10:04 | Link to Comment SMG
Wed, 05/23/2012 - 10:10 | Link to Comment Widowmaker
Widowmaker's picture

If you believe one word of that you are a fucking idiot.

Wed, 05/23/2012 - 10:02 | Link to Comment Conman
Conman's picture

Greece smeesch , with the PPT saving us no need to worry. BTFD

Wed, 05/23/2012 - 10:02 | Link to Comment MS7
MS7's picture

SYRIZA does not want to get out of the EU. It's only the Troika who say that Greece will leave if SYRIZA wins, and do we believe  the Troika? It is possible that the Troika are prepared for a Greek exit and will force one if SYRIZA wins, but I have doubts.

The differences between SYRIZA and the other two formerly majr parties is that the latter did not look out for Greece's interests, probably because they were susceptible to black mail. The old parties fudged statistics, and their hands were not clean. They just went along with what the Troika told them, preferring that the Greek people pay for their (the political leaders') mistakes. SYRIZA is a new party and will put Greece's interests first before that of the EU, which is what you would expect from a government. It will act as an advocate, but will not unilaterally decide to exit the euro.

Wed, 05/23/2012 - 10:08 | Link to Comment Peter Pan
Peter Pan's picture

MS7 you hit the nail on the head. The Europeans know all the dirty washing (financial, legal and personal) of the PASOK and New Democracy Party and it was the threat of releasing such information that made these parties sign anything put in front of them.

Wed, 05/23/2012 - 10:03 | Link to Comment Peter Pan
Peter Pan's picture

"grik people have two erections in two months. Europe fucked for sure"

Confuscius

Wed, 05/23/2012 - 10:08 | Link to Comment LULZBank
LULZBank's picture

Hahahaha... I was just wandering why PMs are not being smacked down!!!

Here we goo!!! I shoulda been a trader Bitchez!!!

Wed, 05/23/2012 - 10:14 | Link to Comment Pretorian
Pretorian's picture

Have you ever imagine country with population no more than half Tokyo would hold hostage the 7 bilion World population. The Greeks have proff them self as liers, cheater and game players. Kik them out of not only EU but UN, OECD and every other organization. Those " living for free" parasite deserve stone age to reform their DNA. 

Wed, 05/23/2012 - 10:15 | Link to Comment JustObserving
JustObserving's picture

What about Goldman Sachs who helped them fraudently enter the European Union? Can we give the squid some credit please?

Wed, 05/23/2012 - 10:15 | Link to Comment LULZBank
LULZBank's picture

Can we keep the bankers atleast? They seem like a decent folk.

Wed, 05/23/2012 - 10:22 | Link to Comment brooklynlou
brooklynlou's picture

Cue Mr. Panos

"Yeenius, yenius, yenius ...."

"This was the plan for 50 years. We wanted reparations baby. So once we got the Schnitzel-faces credit card, we bought everything ..."

Wed, 05/23/2012 - 10:16 | Link to Comment UTICA CLUB XX PURE
UTICA CLUB XX PURE's picture

WTF Gold Silver shooting down right now???

Anyone know why?

Wed, 05/23/2012 - 10:21 | Link to Comment Kina
Kina's picture

China sent a request to Ben for more cheap gold.

 

These guys don't even bother to hide their corruption anymore, since it is an open secret the CFTC are simply bankster hookers.

Wed, 05/23/2012 - 10:19 | Link to Comment LULZBank
LULZBank's picture

Because its Wednesday.

Wed, 05/23/2012 - 10:20 | Link to Comment JustObserving
JustObserving's picture

Preemptive action to prevent gold and silver from rising due to European crisis.  The dollar and US treasuries must remain the only choices for safety for the sheeple.  And, of course, the German 2 year note yielding all of 0%.

Wed, 05/23/2012 - 10:39 | Link to Comment CrashisOptimistic
CrashisOptimistic's picture

Look, buddy, I know ZH is peopled with gold pumpers.  But for God's sake, at least be rational about it.

No one in governments care about gold going up or down.  There is widespread rampant deflation underway.  Have a look at house prices in your neighborhood.  That defines the matter and that's just the way it is and the way it always will be, given that oil won't allow any more growth.

The 10 year is at 1.73% because of deflation.  How could it be 1.73% if there were no deflation?  Ditto the German note at 0%.  Those are deflationary numbers in a profoundly clear way.

When you don't like data, you can't just throw it out.  Deflation reigns because oil forces it to reign.  If this is bad for gold, then gold is not the place to be.

Wed, 05/23/2012 - 13:21 | Link to Comment Goldust
Goldust's picture

Since when is the legitimate bursting of a bubble (housing) a "rational" example of deflation reigning?  Housing prices were pumped by easy credit, bankster greed, and idiot sheeple, and now they fall because the curtain was thrown back and the rot exposed.  Pick a different and more "rational" example next time...

Wed, 05/23/2012 - 10:20 | Link to Comment sudzee
sudzee's picture

Paper PM Price Discovery.

Wed, 05/23/2012 - 10:25 | Link to Comment Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

Good housing numbers = no qe to the robots.

Wed, 05/23/2012 - 10:24 | Link to Comment Kina
Kina's picture

Maybe JPM thinks that doing $7bn on one gamble wasn't enough and plan to lose another $7bn on metals when somebody calls their bluff and demands delivery of 25% of global annual supply.

Wed, 05/23/2012 - 10:24 | Link to Comment frenchie
frenchie's picture

why Golden Dawn is represented with black dots ?

Wed, 05/23/2012 - 11:25 | Link to Comment Lebensphilosoph
Lebensphilosoph's picture

Why, because they are a black mark upon Greece due to their sentimental associations with murderous blackshirts who tried to hold back the champions of progress from bringing to Europe the glorious revolution of the proletariat, and most unlike the peaceful Maoists and Trotskyists who are represented by a bright red.

Wed, 05/23/2012 - 10:31 | Link to Comment Lebensphilosoph
Lebensphilosoph's picture

This is what happens when one has universal suffrage and fails to teach an unbiased history of the 20th century in schools. The radical left weren't all that bad compared to these capitalist dogs, I mean evil fascists, I mean imperialist pigs, I mean dead white men, right? The people have voted have red, and red is what they will have.

Wed, 05/23/2012 - 10:38 | Link to Comment brooklynlou
brooklynlou's picture

Reality check.

Who the Greeks elect is MEANINGLESS - its what they do at the ATM machine that counts.

Even if they all voted for Merkel herself, if they start emptying out their accounts and the Portuguese and Spanish get twitchy as well, the Germans themselves will leave the Euro rather than be stuck with the bill.

Wed, 05/23/2012 - 11:07 | Link to Comment Zymurguy
Zymurguy's picture

Saw this on Bloomberg (linked from Drudge):

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-05-22/war-gaming-greek-euro-exit-high...

 

Terribly disturbing statement...

"The risk is that the task would overwhelm any new government in a country that has had to be rescued twice since 2010 because it couldn’t manage its public finances."

Is someone suggesting the Greeks should not have elections or postpone them?

This shit is what a lot of folks are starting to fear here in the US - some false flag event say a market crash or a currency collapse that might usher in some emergency enactment that postpones elections.

I think it's game-on if that happens here in the US... "Dis is farging war!"

Wed, 05/23/2012 - 14:30 | Link to Comment slewie the pi-rat
slewie the pi-rat's picture

thank you for not linking to ori on "what a lot of folks are starting to fear here in the US" and the "probability = 100%" of elections being "postponed" due to civil unrest by late summer

civil unrest ain't the answer here, kids;  at least not right now, imo;  not strategically.  tactically, fine; but to "shut this puppy down"?  no.  people who advocate this are generally provocateurs/agents for "hidden" interests, playing upon the emotional dualities of the moronic sheep who follow them around and parrot their "certainties about the need for blood, death, and revenge"

this is the most ridiculous propaganda of the newDecade!  the pols and banksters have everything screwed down tight and just the way they want it: w/ mittins v prez0 as theMainEvent after theSummer0fBullshit

it looks like they can keep financing theTreasury for the next, forseeable part of "the road down which this giant can is being kicked"

and people actually think these people, now in corpo-fascist-bankster/political control of the NW0 are gonna start a fuking revolution? or that somebody else should?  no. no. no.

to the bongs0'Truth, BiCheZ!  "if this happens in the US" may be a great way to spend the day for some, but we know you are prepared, z_guy, if the local ponzi fails b/c it isn't properly "fire-walled" from some other "fungible" ponzi which may or may not be "contracting inwardly at a very rapid pace"

Wed, 05/23/2012 - 17:09 | Link to Comment Zymurguy
Zymurguy's picture

I got you Slewie and I really do admire your posts - always well thought out.  I'm not trying to stir things up like that... and I rearely speak in absolutes.

I just have low redline for ANY comments in the media that even hint at certain violations of our rights.  And while this wasn't targeted at the US, it's still could be a bad omen.  Many evil doers have tested their devices out on other societies first (ahem, Soros).

The media often introduces things in a very subtle manner and through a repetitive conditioning process change peoples perception of what right and wrong is.

No way do we want revolution here in the US.  I think, however, our government takes that for granted.

Thu, 05/24/2012 - 20:56 | Link to Comment slewie the pi-rat
slewie the pi-rat's picture

i know, z_guy

and you are most thoughtful here, as i tried to point out, by not "going balls to the wall"

the "rights" thing has gotten unbelievable;  vaporized like retail!

can you believe the junks for trying to discuss this online together?

see ya!

Wed, 05/23/2012 - 11:37 | Link to Comment slewie the pi-rat
slewie the pi-rat's picture

ok and i BM'd it too, altho that sounds a bit scat-0

[Paste}: ...the EUR, courtesy of its record short interest, and all related risk assets will soar

risk0n coming after risk0ff?  pretty risky, there, mrD  L0L!!!

titty and cleavage luvers everywhere want to know:  when will angela next bend over?

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