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Markets React To Reality

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Following three-in-a-row weak macro prints, the market broadly speaking is not happy. The S&P is 10 points off its pre-Case-Shiller highs, EURUSD is dropping rapidly back towards 1.31, Treasury yields are falling 3-5bps across the curve, and Commodities are giving back their spike gains from pre-US day session open. FX carry seems like a major driver for now with AUDJPY and EURJPY most notable while the drop in the curve and levels of the Treasury complex are adding to downward pressure on stocks. Credit and equity markets are dropping in lockstep for now (with HYG more volatile than its peers). The rally in European sovereigns has stalled here as longer-dated spreads are now widening off their intraday tights (10Y BTP back up to 6% yield) while PGBs give back some of their ECB-enthused rally (~20bps off tights now). US equities and CONTEXT (the broad risk proxy) are in line as they drop here.

Quite a turnaround in commodities this morning

Risk assets (CONTEXT) and ES (the e-mini S&P 500 futures contract) have been highly correlated overnight and remain so as we lose altitude here.

Chart: Bloomberg and Capital Context

 

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Tue, 01/31/2012 - 11:23 | 2112715 kito
kito's picture

if the markets reacted to reality, there would be a bank holiday today.......

Tue, 01/31/2012 - 11:29 | 2112736 francis_sawyer
francis_sawyer's picture

& tomorrow... & the next...

Tue, 01/31/2012 - 11:58 | 2112865 Hober Mallow
Hober Mallow's picture

ooooohh ... what a pity

Tue, 01/31/2012 - 12:38 | 2113037 i root for that...
i root for that fat jersey governor's picture

one month straight up rally ... and one down day can really get the bear going, or at least make them temporarily happy... really?

Tue, 01/31/2012 - 11:37 | 2112757 LouisDega
LouisDega's picture

I confess.. Made me look. Made me look... Whew, Its still there. 

Tue, 01/31/2012 - 11:58 | 2112856 BLOTTO
BLOTTO's picture

Reality is their Illusion.

Their Fiction is the Reality.

Tue, 01/31/2012 - 11:45 | 2112799 resurger
resurger's picture

Take the Blue Pill..

Tue, 01/31/2012 - 11:25 | 2112719 The trend is yo...
The trend is your friend's picture

ignore the news and buy buy buy.  Trust your debt masters

Tue, 01/31/2012 - 11:28 | 2112733 CPL
CPL's picture

It's not 2:30 yet. 

 

Not even bothering to look at it until then.

Tue, 01/31/2012 - 11:26 | 2112722 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

What? 'Markets unhappy'? Throw another virgin into the volcano! STAT!

Tue, 01/31/2012 - 11:44 | 2112795 HD
HD's picture

Fresh out of Virgins. Have to wait til the next Comic Con...

Tue, 01/31/2012 - 11:26 | 2112723 Bansters-in-my-...
Bansters-in-my- feces's picture

I wondered why silver got bitch slapped when it weny over $40 dollars.

Now I see it was because good news.

Ps....

Fuck you Ben and Tim.

Tue, 01/31/2012 - 11:26 | 2112725 Silverhog
Silverhog's picture

Market got a good whiff of Poo Poo today. Somebody needs to tell Ben we need more toilet paper here.

Tue, 01/31/2012 - 11:28 | 2112731 mayhem_korner
mayhem_korner's picture

 

 

Puffed up Q4 prints being trued up.

Tue, 01/31/2012 - 11:30 | 2112738 Everybodys All ...
Everybodys All American's picture

Reality has no business in this fraud stricken market. Just ask the clients of MF Global.

Tue, 01/31/2012 - 11:47 | 2112805 mayhem_korner
mayhem_korner's picture

 

 

clients...or victims?

Tue, 01/31/2012 - 11:32 | 2112742 LouisDega
LouisDega's picture

Will TSHTF before or after I pad 3? I gots to know

Tue, 01/31/2012 - 11:31 | 2112744 alien-IQ
alien-IQ's picture

looks like the robots have been programed to buy the /ES at 1308...with a Vengeance. I've been waiting for a clean break below that for what seems like an eternity now. Will it happen today? (not holding my breath)

Tue, 01/31/2012 - 11:48 | 2112804 resurger
resurger's picture

Robo is Trading Hard Today!

There is a small glitch! they will fix it, but they need Qeasy!

Tue, 01/31/2012 - 12:06 | 2112894 AU5K
AU5K's picture

Plunge on baltic dry continues... down to 702.

Now approaching the 2008 lows.

Dont worry though, its all the surplus ships.  New ones are being launched every day (or something).

 

Tue, 01/31/2012 - 13:56 | 2113355 ucsbcanuck
Tue, 01/31/2012 - 12:44 | 2113064 sbenard
sbenard's picture

It's a bad hair day in the financial markets! It's about time for a wake-up call!

Tue, 01/31/2012 - 12:46 | 2113080 sbenard
sbenard's picture

News is irrelevant! Data is irrelevant! History is irrelevant! Reality is irrelevant!

We have printed prosperity now!

Tue, 01/31/2012 - 13:34 | 2113272 alien-IQ
alien-IQ's picture

Like clockwork: Europe closes, Dollars starts dropping, /ES starts rising.

I am Jack's total lack of surprise.

Tue, 01/31/2012 - 13:34 | 2113273 time2blowitup
time2blowitup's picture

If reality means never go down then yes you're right

Tue, 01/31/2012 - 13:47 | 2113327 Shizzmoney
Shizzmoney's picture

Time to call the manatees to pick some winners from the rumor tank!

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