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Mega Millions Lottery Pattern Generator "Hot Tip"

Tyler Durden's picture




 

With the Mega Millions jackpot hitting $500 million, there are those hoping they can still get lucky with 1 in 176 million odds, following a rumor that Greece has used IMF (that coming from US Taxpayers) bailout cash to buy out the entirely ticket inventory and slowly but surely pretend it is growing its economy, even as the money ends up in some private villa in the Aegean. So for those lucky ones who have gotten tickets but have yet to pick numbers, and since in this bizarro world past performance is absolutely a guarantee of future repeat occurrence (but please neither try nor quote us on this at home kids), here is the full breakdown of the white ball distribution in all Mega Millions lotteries since June 2005. If past is prologue, a selection of numbers 48, 36, 53, 12 and 51, and Megaball 36 should do the trick, as these are the ones that have been selected for most in the past 6 years. And no, we have not conducted any serious statistical p-value or other analysis on this data. We just know that the Chairman wants as many people to have as much fiat in their pockets as possible: after all what better way to increase the velocity of money than everyone suddenly being a lottery millionaire, and any possible way to front run the Fed should be fully embraced. Because Mega Millions is the one place where nobody expects the Chairman to manipulate the final outcome. At least not yet.

White ball frequency distribution:

Mega Ball distribution:

h/t Matt

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Thu, 03/29/2012 - 13:47 | 2301191 The Alarmist
The Alarmist's picture

Shame you don't have the balls to do the statistics.

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 13:49 | 2301209 redpill
redpill's picture

Lick my megaballs!

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 13:56 | 2301235 brewing
brewing's picture

so you're sain there's a chance...

http://youtu.be/KX5jNnDMfxA

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 14:04 | 2301267 SilverIsKing
SilverIsKing's picture

$540 million peoples

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 14:06 | 2301276 maxmad
maxmad's picture

540 million soon to be worthless dollars...

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 14:12 | 2301285 Big Corked Boots
Big Corked Boots's picture

313,000 AGE's, give or take a few.

Scrooge McDuck fer real, bitchez.

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 14:25 | 2301327 tarsubil
tarsubil's picture

I would totally swim in it.

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 15:52 | 2301603 hedgeless_horseman
hedgeless_horseman's picture

 

 

28 is due.

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 20:46 | 2302412 rcintc
rcintc's picture

Overdue

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 14:28 | 2301343 tmosley
tmosley's picture

Killed with CASH!

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=n4FPYcH3HC0

Or alternatively, Peter Griffin learns cartoon physics isn't always real:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tMyk7MXsseg

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 15:35 | 2301551 johnQpublic
Thu, 03/29/2012 - 14:11 | 2301290 Kaiser Sousa
Kaiser Sousa's picture

Is Rhode Island part this lottery???
Woopsy.....

http://mobile.bloomberg.com/news/2012-03-27/providence-bankruptcy-seen-a...

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 14:13 | 2301296 Normalcy Bias
Normalcy Bias's picture

Aw, that'll still be enough to buy a loaf of bread a few years from now!

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 14:18 | 2301310 Calmyourself
Calmyourself's picture

It would be in assets so fast my head would spin....

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 14:23 | 2301322 SilverIsKing
SilverIsKing's picture

As much as everyone wants to ridicule those who play the lottery, in less than 35 hours, some douche bag is going to hit the big time in a big fucking way.

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 14:26 | 2301330 Dr. Richard Head
Dr. Richard Head's picture

My pants will be loaded with shit should the ZH predicted numbers be that ticket.  He would be a Zero Douche Bag Hedge.

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 14:29 | 2301348 tmosley
tmosley's picture

lol, and it gets split by 50 ZHers.

That would be PRICELESS.

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 14:38 | 2301379 SilverIsKing
SilverIsKing's picture

and when asked at the press conference what each plan on doing with the money, they all give the same response....stacking physical, buying guns and ammo, farms, etc.

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 22:59 | 2302641 John Wilmot
John Wilmot's picture

...and 500 million FRNs go into circulation stamped "End the Fed"

Fri, 03/30/2012 - 03:00 | 2302830 dubbleoj
dubbleoj's picture

cant wait, its gonna be so easy to pay off my loans when i transfer my foreign funds in

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 15:12 | 2301480 Randall Cabot
Randall Cabot's picture

I just bought a ticket at one of those WAWA machines.

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 16:43 | 2301805 Vagabond
Vagabond's picture

The lottery is a net drain on the public.  Ignore the circus act.

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 14:06 | 2301269 maxmad
maxmad's picture

So the real question is can the winner get paid in whatever currency they want?  Yuan?  Brazilian real?  rupee?  trident gum? 

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 20:32 | 2302367 RussellChester8
RussellChester8's picture

my friend's sister makes $74/hr on the computer. She has been out of a job for seven months but last month her check was $17871 just working on the computer for a few hours. Read more on this site .... http://bit.ly/wYpMrv

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 13:53 | 2301222 DoChenRollingBearing
DoChenRollingBearing's picture

@ The Alarmist

A quick-and-dirty glance from this AMATEUR in statistics does not show me any unusual distributions on either chart.

I would presume that the folks running the lottery would have some really good statisticians on the payroll to make sure that no one can game the system.  IMO.

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 14:00 | 2301246 redpill
redpill's picture

Just to make sure I had the best chance possible, I bought TWO tickets with the 12 36 48 51 53 Mega36 sequence! I'z so f'n smarts!@

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 14:23 | 2301313 Vincent Vega
Vincent Vega's picture

Whether someone buys a ticket or not; the odds of winning are approxiamtely the same: .00000000001  vs  .00000000000 

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 15:47 | 2301587 slyhill
slyhill's picture

or is that infinitely different, as in something vs. nothing?

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 16:01 | 2301636 MrSteve
MrSteve's picture

Tell me, do you feel lucky? Caution, lottery pipedream spoiler alert is ON.

http://www.lightningsafety.noaa.gov/medical.htm

NOAA puts the odds of an American human (310 million) being hit by lightening at 1 in a million, noting 280 victims struck in 2011. The MegaMillion® winning odds are 1 in 176 million, or 176X less likely to win than being struck by lightening ((in one (1) year if that really matters)).

An enlightening perspective? At least with the jackpot over $352 million ($176MM x 2), the mathematical expectation is fair and a two dollar bet is at least in line with the payoff odds. Not until the pot is at least $176 million is a one dollar bet "fair" to a player. At $528 million, a three dollar is "reasonable".

Are the real odds of winning the same whether you buy a ticket or not?

After establishing residency in Florida, if I win, I'll have a Bermuda Corporation  turn in the winning ticket after I buy the corporation through my Roth IRA. Or some stunt to that tax efficient effect.  

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 16:30 | 2301756 misnomer
misnomer's picture

I'm playing the numbers from the show "Lost", just to be a complete tool...4 8 15 16 23 42

I'm sure to win!  (along with 10,000 other idiots with no life)

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 19:59 | 2302253 Death and Gravity
Death and Gravity's picture

Ditto...

You will win....

...a crash-trip to a seemingly deserted Pacific island.

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 14:15 | 2301303 rubearish10
rubearish10's picture

So,even what if,,, Mega is rigged to draw more funds in? Isn't it possible they could use one of their HFT Algo codes and draw numbers that have not yet been issued to allow the pot to go winless (bidless)??? BTFW, how is it that when there's a winning number it's usually one person? Damn! If they were smart, they'd create many millionaire's so they could tax them at variable higher rates, ha ha ha ha!!! ROTFLMFAO!!

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 14:21 | 2301317 Gully Foyle
Gully Foyle's picture

DoChenRollingBearing

There was a guy a few years ago who bought about 250k worth of tickets.

You set up the ten or so most frequent numbers drawn for the year. Then you rotate them, so first ticket is 1-7, next is 2-8, so on.

The idea is to hit a lot of smaller winnings and get a return on your money.

I think he made like 100k.


Thu, 03/29/2012 - 16:30 | 2301755 DoChenRollingBearing
DoChenRollingBearing's picture

Hard for me to make an intelligent comment, as I am an amateur nor do I know much about how the lotteries work.

Well good for him (the guy who won the $100k).  I still think that it is going to get ever harder to game the system, just like, apparently, card counting no longer works well at Blackjack in the casinos...

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 16:57 | 2301848 The Alarmist
The Alarmist's picture

@DoChenRollingBearing

The sponsors are proud of the lengths they go to to ensure their balls are fair. This lottery is run twice a week, so there have been enough drawings since June 2005 to suggest that a fairly uniform set of outcomes would result, given a "fair" set of balls.

I look at this distribution and, like Tyler, I see enough spikes to lead me to wonder if the ball sets are as fair as advertised, with the lone saving grace being that they use multiple ball sets to spread the unfairness around. This is to be expected since lotteries are run for the benefit of politicians and bureaucrats, and spreading unfairness is what they do best.

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 14:25 | 2301326 LongSoupLine
LongSoupLine's picture

wow $500M!!!  That'll get me 1 share of AAPL!

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 14:27 | 2301334 Dr. Richard Head
Dr. Richard Head's picture

That's nothing. I have a 100 TRILLION zimbabwe note in my pocket at all times.

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 14:37 | 2301376 Agent P
Agent P's picture

I thought you were just happy to see me.

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 15:03 | 2301461 I think I need ...
I think I need to buy a gun's picture

i wonder if the winner took the whole sum and tried to buy physiccal if they could?

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 15:06 | 2301467 Willzyx
Willzyx's picture

bust the COMEX

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 15:13 | 2301487 NotApplicable
NotApplicable's picture

JPM will rehypotheticate it first.

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 16:08 | 2301665 SilverDOG
SilverDOG's picture

I think I need ...

 

Easy enough to rent a medium size rental box truck.

Visit mints around the US, empty coin and pawn shops along the way.

Just get the tow behind car hitch for rental car for a slightly covert approach to mints and shops.

Now that would be the ASE-Team.

"I pity da fool who keeps his cash" - Mr. T

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 16:37 | 2301791 DoChenRollingBearing
DoChenRollingBearing's picture

FOFOA once wrote that getting physical gold up to about 50 tonnes or so is do-able, but at 70 - 100 tonnes much harder.  Remember Sprott could not get anyone to sell him 100 tonnes (last I heard anyway).

Let's do some math (round numbers):

-- $200,000,000 (lump sum, taxes paid, approx.) / $1700 = 117,600 oz

-- 117,600 / 24 toz (per kg) = 4900 kg = 4.9 metric tonnes

So, apparently he COULD buy the physical once he got the cash.  EVERYONE is invited to check my arithmetic...

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 18:10 | 2302021 ViewfromUnderth...
ViewfromUndertheBridge's picture

32.15 Toz per kg

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 15:26 | 2301528 derryb
derryb's picture

thanks for charts. Since all numbers have theoretical equal chance, I'm going with the one's who have been drawn the LEAST.

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 16:33 | 2301773 Rainman
Rainman's picture

Odds are still the same as hitting two holes in one on consecutive par 3 holes * times 19.

Go get 'em, Tiger !

 

Fri, 03/30/2012 - 00:29 | 2302738 Bolweevil
Bolweevil's picture

More likely to die in a car wreck on the way to buy a ticket. I'll be skateboarding to the liquor store who posts all their winners.

Fri, 03/30/2012 - 00:52 | 2302758 CryingBear
CryingBear's picture

Not true, just because you flipped heads 5 times in a row doesn't mean you have a better chance of rolling tails on your next flip.

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 23:01 | 2302643 ACP
ACP's picture

I wonder when CA will demand a cash advance on state taxes so that if you don't have the 10% immediately available, you'll be assessed a 900% penalty and have to forfeit all your earnings and be sent to GITMO for domestic terrorism?

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 13:47 | 2301192 mayhem_korner
mayhem_korner's picture

 

 

Lottery = voluntary tax = pinnacle of sheeple fleecing

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