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More Made Up Data From The BLS: Non-Farm Productivity Better Although Huge Prior Revision Wipes Out All 2011 Gains

Tyler Durden's picture




 

The only economic data point of the day is a disappointment as non-farm productivity drops 0.3% on consensus of -0.9%, although we once again get an unprecedented revision from the BLS whose data can no longer be trust for anything, as Q1 productivity was cut by whopping 2.4% from 1.8% to -0.6%! This is the first consecutive quarterly drop since 3Q, 4Q 2008. Net, this is very disappointing data and means that the economic slow down is far more broad than previously expected. And, not at all surprisingly, we get the same thing with labor costs rising 2.2% on consensus of 2.4%. The kicker yet again is in the revision, which speaks for itself: from 4.8% to 0.7% in Q1. US economic reporting is rapidly becoming a bigger joke than the Chinese Department of Truth.

 

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Tue, 08/09/2011 - 08:41 | 1542003 papaswamp
papaswamp's picture

Revision Bitchez!

Tue, 08/09/2011 - 08:42 | 1542014 TideFighter
TideFighter's picture

Data Backwardation Bitchez!

Tue, 08/09/2011 - 08:42 | 1542018 alexwest
alexwest's picture

remember all those saved or created jobs..
here we come..

alx

Tue, 08/09/2011 - 08:43 | 1542020 John Law Lives
John Law Lives's picture

<<<  The kicker yet again is in the revision, which speaks for itself: from 4.8% to 0.7% in Q1.  >>>

Unexpected...

Transitory...

Green shoot...

Tue, 08/09/2011 - 08:45 | 1542030 alexwest
alexwest's picture

:)well, appears they are not green, not shots, not in USA
might be jsut frogs.

alx

Tue, 08/09/2011 - 08:57 | 1542066 rubearish10
rubearish10's picture

I think it was from 0.7 to 4.8% which makes more sense that labor costs rising with less productivity??? What?

Tue, 08/09/2011 - 09:52 | 1542246 -Michelle-
-Michelle-'s picture

Oh, no, that's good! You see, all along it was 0.7, but we all thought it was 4.8 so everybody was getting really worried because if that's what 4.8 felt like, well, what would it be like lower? And that's not good. So now we know that it was really 0.7 all along and, hey, we know we were okay even so! And guess how awesome it will be when it's really 4.8! See, it's better this way!

I need a drink now.

Tue, 08/09/2011 - 10:53 | 1542478 andybev01
andybev01's picture

Wow.

Would you be my counsel at my upcoming IRS audit?!

Tue, 08/09/2011 - 08:44 | 1542024 alexwest
alexwest's picture

well ,dont touch china ..
at least they blow off already built road/houses..
here, nothing to show .. jsut empty baloons

alx

Tue, 08/09/2011 - 08:44 | 1542028 Doubleguns
Doubleguns's picture

US economic reporting is rapidly becoming a bigger joke than the Chinese Department of Truth.

They are using the same play book!!

 

Tue, 08/09/2011 - 09:07 | 1542094 Pay Day Today
Pay Day Today's picture

Nope, just another US function outsourced to China.

Tue, 08/09/2011 - 08:46 | 1542033 Shibumi2
Shibumi2's picture

the same folks who created this system are changing the system.

nothing happening is happening by chance or "market forces". It's all a fraud brought on to affect the desired changes.

Relax and enjoy the theater. It wasn't yours to beign with

 

 

Tue, 08/09/2011 - 08:50 | 1542043 Smiddywesson
Smiddywesson's picture

Relax.  Nothing has changed.

The market has always been a fraud, it just takes really bad times to see behind the curtain.

 

Tue, 08/09/2011 - 08:50 | 1542047 Debtless
Debtless's picture

Next year they'll tell us we were in a recession all of 2011. Asshats.

Tue, 08/09/2011 - 09:04 | 1542087 pods
pods's picture

Yep, and 20 years from now they will tell the truth about what this really is.

pods

Tue, 08/09/2011 - 09:05 | 1542089 Caveman93
Caveman93's picture

+1,000 Foodstamps

Tue, 08/09/2011 - 09:09 | 1542104 Drag Racer
Drag Racer's picture

ya, but that will be revised to asscaps later.

Tue, 08/09/2011 - 09:01 | 1542077 youngandhealthy
youngandhealthy's picture

"Old" news...this was "reported" in the GDP figures ....

Nevertheless, the GDP revision was china style

Tue, 08/09/2011 - 10:23 | 1542356 Iam_Silverman
Iam_Silverman's picture

""Old" news...this was "reported" in the GDP figures .."

So, you're saying that this was priced in already?  Rally time!

Tue, 08/09/2011 - 09:01 | 1542081 youngman
youngman's picture

So was S&P or Obama correct.  Obama uses a 5% growth rate......S&P a 2%......I think the S&P number is more correct...higher food stamp numbers....unemployment always at 400,000 plus.....great economy.....lots of taxpayers helping to close that deficit number...NOT

Tue, 08/09/2011 - 09:02 | 1542084 Cognitive Dissonance
Cognitive Dissonance's picture

Manipulation at its finest. It kept the markets up at least 3-6 months longer than I expected. And I suspect I'm not alone in that thinking.

Why do you think the S&P gave up 19% in 13 trading days? Because everyone decided the numbers everywhere in the world couldn't be believed even if you wanted to believe.

Tue, 08/09/2011 - 09:05 | 1542091 citrine
citrine's picture

It kept the markets up at least 3-6 months longer than I expected.

Likewise. I even started questioning myself

Tue, 08/09/2011 - 09:07 | 1542101 max2205
max2205's picture

In the corp world you'd get fired on the second revision report....you'r fired

Tue, 08/09/2011 - 09:16 | 1542129 youngman
youngman's picture

Corporations do not have politics to worry about...

Tue, 08/09/2011 - 10:37 | 1542400 Doyle Hargraves
Doyle Hargraves's picture

Tell that to S&P as the face the wrath of the senate.

Tue, 08/09/2011 - 09:08 | 1542103 PulauHantu29
PulauHantu29's picture

But...but...but Bernank said in 2009, "the Recession is over."

Tue, 08/09/2011 - 09:09 | 1542106 Deepskyy
Deepskyy's picture

This just in from the ministry of plenty.  *Insert BLS report here*

Bullish, definately bullish.

 

Tue, 08/09/2011 - 09:12 | 1542117 2discern
2discern's picture

What do you expect from the liar-in-chief?

Truth? Thats why ZH is here...

Tue, 08/09/2011 - 09:14 | 1542121 Translational Lift
Translational Lift's picture

And people trade on this BS!!??

Tue, 08/09/2011 - 10:10 | 1542300 Iam_Silverman
Iam_Silverman's picture

"And people trade on this BS!!??"

Apparently so - all three major indices solidly in the green as I type! (DJIA=+201, NASDQ=+55.11, S&P=+22.15)

Algos buyin' the dip?

Tue, 08/09/2011 - 09:14 | 1542123 batterycharged
batterycharged's picture

And then there's the GDP revision for Q2 coming that tells us what we already know.

Tue, 08/09/2011 - 09:23 | 1542153 thedrickster
thedrickster's picture

Yes, but what does Steve Liesman's model predict as a result of the undoubtedly Japan related noise in the data?

Tue, 08/09/2011 - 09:50 | 1542242 mayhem_korner
mayhem_korner's picture

Ever see what happens when you don't pack a muzzle-loader properly?

Tue, 08/09/2011 - 10:25 | 1542365 Lexington Duffet
Lexington Duffet's picture

With as much data as must be processed, with the nature of the data so compllicated, and with difficulty assessing the time range of any data point:  How on earth can anyone constantly second guess all these answers?  Economic reporting\finance reporting\even sometimes financial reporting ain't being run by perfect people and it aint a subject which gives anyone a perfect answer since you are often reporting on an unsteady income flow being evaluated over time.  How soon do they get the data?   

If this was really Propaganda?  If they were really cheating?  No revisions and only rosy numbers.  The fact they revise and give negative news should be taken as a GOOD sign if you want honest answers.  They are trying to get it right.  

ZH does no favors playing up lack of omniscience as proof of some conspiracy.  Better to point out these figures have a normal uncertainty of 5%-10% or more.

Tue, 08/09/2011 - 10:37 | 1542405 Bagbalm
Bagbalm's picture

Yes honest data has a + or - range. When is the last time you saw a report that had to be revised to the GOOD side? The reports are always rosey and the reason the revisions don't mean anything is the mass media report the numbers blowing trumpets on the evening news and then the revisions are buried where J6P never hears about them.

If they are not paying you to be an apologist you are throwing away income.

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