The Mother Of All Infographics: Visualizing America's Derivatives Universe

Tyler Durden's picture




 

A month ago we presented the latest derivatives update from the OCC, according to which the Top 5 US banks held 95.7%, or $221 trillion of the entire US derivative universe (which in turn is just a modest portion of the entire $707 trillion in global derivatives as of June 30, 2011). And while the numbers of all this credit money, because that's what it is, and the variation margin associated with all these trillions in bets is all too real, appeared impressive on paper, they did not do this story enough service. So to present, visually this time, the US derivatives problem, we go to our friends from Demonocracy, who put the $229 trillion derivative 'issue' in its proper context. For those curious what a paper equivalent of bailing out the US derivatives market would look like, now you know.

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Thu, 04/19/2012 - 14:24 | 2359043 Seorse Gorog fr...
Seorse Gorog from that Quantum Entanglement Fund. alright_.-'s picture

Yes! I asked Demonocracy to do this one. You can thank me later...

Thu, 04/19/2012 - 14:34 | 2359070 Popo
Popo's picture

The implosion is going to be of cosmic proportions.

I keep coming back to the same conclusion:   War is coming.

Thu, 04/19/2012 - 14:37 | 2359087 I think I need ...
I think I need to buy a gun's picture

well i don't know what all the fuss is about i sold some physical gold this morning and bought some tumi and splunk first thing this morning The VALUE is incredible. derivatives shmitivies....

Thu, 04/19/2012 - 14:50 | 2359125 nope-1004
nope-1004's picture

When I was a kid, 1 Trillion was a lot of money.

Today?  lol.  Been debauched so bad that "value" resides only with the fiat currency that has the strongest military.

 

Thu, 04/19/2012 - 15:18 | 2359225 Gully Foyle
Gully Foyle's picture

nope-1004


Dr. Evil: Mr. President, after I destroy Washington D.C... I will destroy another major city every hour on the hour. That is, unless, of course, you pay me...
[emphasis]
Dr. Evil: one hundred billion dollars.
The President: [bursts with laughter] Dr. Evil, this is 1969! That amount of money doesn't even exist.
[laughing]
The President: That's like saying,
[with changed voice]
The President: "I want a kajillion bajillion dollars."

Thu, 04/19/2012 - 15:26 | 2359249 engineertheeconomy
engineertheeconomy's picture

IN GOLD WE TRUST

All others exit to the right, there's a soup kitchen down the street

Thu, 04/19/2012 - 15:44 | 2359300 GFKjunior
GFKjunior's picture

Compare these skyscraper sized amounts of paper to all the gold ever mined being able to fit underneath the Eiffel Tower. I know what I like.

Thu, 04/19/2012 - 16:15 | 2359405 Pladizow
Pladizow's picture

Perspective:

1. One Million seconds ago = 12 days

2. One Billion seconds ago = 32 Years

3. One Trillion seconds ago = 32,000 Years

US National debt = 15.6 Trillion

World wide Derivatives exposure = 700 Trillion +

Thu, 04/19/2012 - 16:36 | 2359441 Ag Tex
Ag Tex's picture

What about the $800 trillion in shadow derivatives?

Thu, 04/19/2012 - 16:55 | 2359545 Chupacabra-322
Chupacabra-322's picture

Webster Tarpley quoted as saying it's more like  1.5 quadrillion. 

Thu, 04/19/2012 - 17:55 | 2359667 toady
toady's picture

To paraphrase Darth Cheney;

Trillions? Your still talking about trillions?

Come back when your talkin quadrillions!

Thu, 04/19/2012 - 18:28 | 2359718 What does it al...
What does it all mean's picture

Best evidence that JPM (and other TBTF banks as well, but JPM in particular!) is a house full of cards:

From 1999 to now, JP Morgan has NOT had a single losing quarter in profits...  Yes, Dotcom bubble, Sep 11th, Financial Crisis, Bear, Lehman, AIG, MF Global...  NEVER A unprofitable quarter.

They can release some money from quantitative modelling reserve, credit loss reserves, money under the mattress, Ben's side pot, whatever.  Never a losing quarter...

What fundamentals?  What is value?  And what is the point of fighting for the truth?  

No body understands scale... when it comes to dollars, body count, or morality... It becomes a relative game.

Thu, 04/19/2012 - 20:08 | 2359909 Born-Again Bankster
Born-Again Bankster's picture

And to think I said to my high school math teacher, "Like I'll ever have to use the word, "googolplex' in real life".

Foot now in mouth, Mrs. Medeiros.  Touche'.

Fri, 04/20/2012 - 06:58 | 2360556 silver500
silver500's picture

The last graphic with the white house surrounded by towers of derivatives is a very good and scary image

Thu, 04/19/2012 - 16:48 | 2359517 Hobbleknee
Hobbleknee's picture

I think that gives way more perspective than pictures of stacked dollars actually.  Thanks!

Thu, 04/19/2012 - 17:00 | 2359564 jonan
jonan's picture

lol, the only thing in the universe faster than the speed of light is the rate at which the fed can print.

 

Thu, 04/19/2012 - 18:41 | 2359763 The Alarmist
The Alarmist's picture

Damn, now I know why the Europeans sunk so much money into the Super-Collider.

Thu, 04/19/2012 - 16:10 | 2359400 engineertheeconomy
engineertheeconomy's picture

WTF?

I get a down arrow for saying " IN GOLD WE TRUST" ?

 you don't think that would be a troll now do you?

Thu, 04/19/2012 - 16:19 | 2359426 JonNadler
JonNadler's picture

that was me, what do you expect, this gold thing ruined my life!

Thu, 04/19/2012 - 23:12 | 2360255 insidious
insidious's picture

Why did it ruin your life?

Fri, 04/20/2012 - 04:25 | 2360494 CompassionateFascist
CompassionateFascist's picture

(the actual) Nadler's offices were raided by RCMP awhile back. He's been very bad.

Wed, 06/06/2012 - 17:15 | 2501042 Bastiat
Bastiat's picture

Probably he said:   "I don't know anything" and was immediately released. 

Thu, 04/19/2012 - 18:43 | 2359766 The Alarmist
The Alarmist's picture

IN GOD WE TRUST
ALL OTHERS PAY CASH

Thu, 04/19/2012 - 20:43 | 2359985 smlbizman
smlbizman's picture

ass, gas, or grass...nobody rides for free...

Thu, 04/19/2012 - 20:49 | 2359995 WonderDawg
WonderDawg's picture

Troof.

Thu, 04/19/2012 - 14:57 | 2359165 spastic_colon
spastic_colon's picture

indeed ironic that they used the world trade centers for the last graphic.

Thu, 04/19/2012 - 18:44 | 2359768 The Alarmist
The Alarmist's picture

They're rubbing our faces in it, since the WTC was the last known whereabouts of most of the real gold in the US.

Thu, 04/19/2012 - 15:21 | 2359237 jarrollin
jarrollin's picture

please chill out

Thu, 04/19/2012 - 15:42 | 2359297 LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

"War is coming."

---------------------

Why?  What if all the CDS holders simply get together and say "call it even?"

What would be the outcome?  These same entities control everything, including the military of most countries.

Just saying, what would these entities actually do.  We are talking about paper-pushers who don't know how to do anything to begin with.

Thu, 04/19/2012 - 16:08 | 2359392 PartysOver
PartysOver's picture

Simple.  Put your counter party that you owe payment to out of business.  No need to pay off.  Next finance the war effort.  Hummmm.  Finally consolidate and control banking. 

Thu, 04/19/2012 - 16:10 | 2359398 Ghordius
Ghordius's picture

Or a quick Gx conference where the decision is to outlaw them.
Same as calling it even. It's not their money they are betting, it's yours.

Thu, 04/19/2012 - 16:15 | 2359402 blu
blu's picture

What if all the CDS holders simply get together and say "call it even?"

I think one of the reasons they have all this paper piled up on their books is because they know perfectly well they have no intention of paying. They are selling "insurance" they can all agree not to pay. No government will ever call them on it, obviously, they can simply say that actually paying will destroy the world. In the meantime they enjoy the premium payments.

It's a scam to fleece the smaller financial parasites. A way of moving money up hill against the flow of gravity. Where it will remain, come hell or high water, forever. And if they want they can use a cooked up "credit event" to selectively nuke parts of the financial system they no longer have need for. Like they did with Lehman. All very sad of course, nobody could have seen this coming, etc.

I suspect we can safely ignore the entire affair.

Thu, 04/19/2012 - 16:52 | 2359539 NotApplicable
NotApplicable's picture

I was going to upvote you, but you lead with a comment. Maybe someday that bug will get squished?

Thu, 04/19/2012 - 19:04 | 2359792 blunderdog
blunderdog's picture

That's it, all right.  The reason to create these deals in the first place was so that banks could extract fees (as percentage of total notional value) and bonuses for the dealmakers.

Everyone knows no one can pay anything off.  Not only does everyone KNOW THIS, but it's now been DEMONSTRATED.

And yet we're supposed to be all trembly scared of the "possible damage" to be done to the world when some given trigger is finally pulled.  It's absurd. 

There's no need to worry about it because they can all just exchange STOCK when it's time to settle up.  Ha.

Fri, 04/20/2012 - 09:54 | 2360910 Mach1513
Mach1513's picture

They don't give a Bernank's ass about this shit. Balanced positions. Created with faux money. Doesn't exist. None of it. All they care about is their fees. Fuck everything else - including the derivs. They got theirs already.

And of course none of them will ever really pay.

Complete bullshit.

 

Thu, 04/19/2012 - 16:46 | 2359511 Incubus
Incubus's picture

Why?  What if all the CDS holders simply get together and say "call it even?"

What would be the outcome?  These same entities control everything, including the military of most countries.

Just saying, what would these entities actually do.  We are talking about paper-pushers who don't know how to do anything to begin with.

 

For chrissakes, debt and money is never about who owes what so much as it is about who gets you to do what.  Like I said: shoot for 100000 trillion--it doesn't matter.  This is about managing human livestock and right now the general consensus amongst our handlers is that our numbers need to be reduced to offset catastrophic resource conflicts.

 

War is coming because it must.  The world isn't about making things better for us common fucking losers--it's about what we're allowed to do in order to make the lives of our handlers better.  If it means knocking a few billion of us off the face of the planet, so be it.

 

And you thought your life ever meant something?  Boy, have they got all of you fooled.

Thu, 04/19/2012 - 22:17 | 2360159 i-dog
i-dog's picture

 

"our numbers need to be reduced ... War is coming because it must."

War is for profit, not for population reduction. There have been far more people killed between wars---by starvation and ensuing disease---than in any wars.

Expect them to either unleash a more virulent virus or simply disrupt food supplies (possibly due to a convenient war, or threat of war).

Thu, 04/19/2012 - 19:03 | 2359789 The Alarmist
The Alarmist's picture

"What if all the CDS holders simply get together and say "call it even?""

Reminds me of the scene in Holy Grail, where Arthur battles the Black Knight, cutting off his arms and legs, at which point the Black Knight declares, "Alright, we'll call it a draw."

Fri, 04/20/2012 - 01:22 | 2360379 Moon Pie
Moon Pie's picture

"War is all hell....and the more of it there is, the sooner it will be over." - William Tecumseh Sherman

One of the truest words ever spoken about war in my view.   This as the man was subduing the South.

Here in this case, the war is not with cannon, rifle or cavalry.  It is with financial instruments and financial "might".  Used against people, against the government and against ANY entity that might rise against it.

War is not coming.  Its here.  It's been here and it is taking ground.

Thu, 04/19/2012 - 17:46 | 2359645 grid-b-gone
grid-b-gone's picture

It is essential that average people have zero debt on anything they don't want to lose.

When the implosion hits, institutions will call every callable loan in an effort to survive. 

Can you pay off all your callable loans today? Do you even know if your loans are callable?

If your local fiat currency devalues by 20% the day derivatives fail, can you still pay off all your debt upon demand?

If your bank invokes their new disaster rule and tells you funds will be available in 30-to-90 days, can you still pay off all your debt upon demand?

As long as the top five continue to insist that derivatives remain unregulated, I will continue to pay down debt.

Thu, 04/19/2012 - 19:27 | 2359839 ebworthen
ebworthen's picture

"I keep coming back to the same conclusion:   War is coming."

Exactly.  Sad, but true.

Thu, 04/19/2012 - 14:39 | 2359095 Eireann go Brach
Eireann go Brach's picture

Post this on Facebook beside one of the Khardashian Sister Cunts who just had fat sucked out their fat ass, and guess which post 97% of Americans will have a thought on?

Thu, 04/19/2012 - 14:43 | 2359106 GOSPLAN HERO
GOSPLAN HERO's picture

The sluts continue to defile themselves by sleeping with Aficanus Erectus.

Thu, 04/19/2012 - 14:48 | 2359123 SilverRhino
SilverRhino's picture

MSM has to keep up the memetic programming that black men with white women is a good thing.  

Thank God I've sworn off american white women myself.   99% of them are overpriced bitches.

Thu, 04/19/2012 - 14:57 | 2359138 GOSPLAN HERO
GOSPLAN HERO's picture

The fat-assed sluts are of questionable racial origin.  Do the qualify as being white?  Eurasian?

 

 

Thu, 04/19/2012 - 15:06 | 2359200 Marginal Call
Marginal Call's picture

She's Armenian. 

Thu, 04/19/2012 - 16:11 | 2359373 GOSPLAN HERO
GOSPLAN HERO's picture

I stand corrected.

Since Armenia borders the Caucasus Mountains to the south, I would say that they are definitely Caucasoids.

... or Cockasoids?

 

Thu, 04/19/2012 - 16:30 | 2359474 Joeman34
Joeman34's picture

Do NOT even dignify their existence by referencing them on this site!!!!

Thu, 04/19/2012 - 20:26 | 2359953 eatthebanksters
eatthebanksters's picture

Sucacaucas...

Fri, 04/20/2012 - 04:38 | 2360498 CompassionateFascist
CompassionateFascist's picture

Kosher MSM is more into White Mudsharks/Congoids - Heidi Klum + Seal, frinstance - who produce nonwhite offspring; in this case, orange brats with quills instead of hair. Whites should accept their extinction with good grace. After all, we don't want our Jewish masters to get "holocausted" again.

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