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No New Shorts In Early November As NYSE Short Interest Drops To 3 Month Low

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Following the market drop in early November, it was widely expected by most, us included, that stock shorts would pile in once again, only to be burned by moves like today's, which is more of an attempt to flush out even more shorts by hitting limit pain thresholds, than buying on any actual fundamental improvements. Curiously, as the just released NYSE data, the short interest at November 15, not only did not increase in the previous two week period, it dropped to a 3 month low of 14.1 billion shares, just down from October 31. Which means that there were no new weak hands, and that all the algos who are pushing the market higher on hopes that short covering will take it even higher once a limit waterfall begins are likely to be disappointed. And with fundamentals completely irrelevant, this data update also likely means that shorts will take this opportunity to reshort the market.

 

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Mon, 11/28/2011 - 12:46 | 1921235 The Axe
The Axe's picture

I agree Tyler,,but there is no volume on either side of the market....just a scary wasteland...

Mon, 11/28/2011 - 12:59 | 1921291 Danks18
Danks18's picture

Please note that short interest is as of settlement date - i.e., the numbers show data through trade date November 10 when the S&P was still at 1239.  That compare to 1242 on October 26 (the previous short interest trade date).  Unchanged short interest is what "should" have been expected.

Mon, 11/28/2011 - 13:24 | 1921396 J 457
J 457's picture

Who has a chart of the last years SPX volume.  Three months ago volume was low, and now its half of where it was then.  Historically, is the current volume that much lower than in years past, and has low volume had a positive or negative impact on market? 

Mon, 11/28/2011 - 13:41 | 1921471 Sunset chaser
Sunset chaser's picture

There's an old adage that it takes high volume to put stocks up in a meaningful way, but that it doesn't take any volume at all for them to fall a long ways. In fact, falls on exceedingly high volume often indicate a bottom is being put in and a reversal is underway. We certainly didn't have that last week.

A huge gap up with no volume to sustain it, as we have today, makes it a good bet that we don't have a bottom put in, and that stocks are going lower, perhaps as early as tomorrow. Easy money for those who don't leverage themselves beyond the sleeping-at-night point.

Mon, 11/28/2011 - 16:11 | 1922389 J 457
J 457's picture

Good stuff, thanks Sunset.

Mon, 11/28/2011 - 12:46 | 1921237 gangland
gangland's picture

That's the truth Truth!

Mon, 11/28/2011 - 12:46 | 1921238 vast-dom
vast-dom's picture

RESHORT THIS MOTHERFUCKER!

Mon, 11/28/2011 - 13:14 | 1921357 jiggerjuice
jiggerjuice's picture

Still waiting for ES to take a dump. It's really been building pressure all morning. Time to squeeze a fat one out. Short and brown. I'm assuming we are all just waiting for any piece of "reality" news to hit for the dumpoff... If it's another rumor-cum-nada ramp without the refutation sell, imma be mad.

Mon, 11/28/2011 - 12:46 | 1921239 firstdivision
firstdivision's picture

Woot!  No surprises here.  Only the naive did not see an attempted holiday ramp brewing. 

So in other words, bulls are left holding the bag at the moment. 

Mon, 11/28/2011 - 12:46 | 1921240 monopoly
monopoly's picture

Had me fooled.

Mon, 11/28/2011 - 12:46 | 1921243 GeneMarchbanks
GeneMarchbanks's picture

'And with fundamentals completely irrelevant, this data update also likely means that shorts will take this opportunity to reshort the market.'

Not right away... but shortly.

Mon, 11/28/2011 - 12:47 | 1921245 InternetInfidel
InternetInfidel's picture

Financial look particularly attractive to short with MS, BCS, and BAC all very over bought (up ~8-10% at the days highs)

Mon, 11/28/2011 - 12:47 | 1921248 midgetrannyporn
midgetrannyporn's picture

Short and naked is how I make my living. The SEC is my best customer so clearly they approve.

Mon, 11/28/2011 - 13:13 | 1921356 IrritableBowels
IrritableBowels's picture

Who the hell junked you, MIDGETRANNYPORN.  We have an intruder.

Mon, 11/28/2011 - 13:34 | 1921426 Manthong
Manthong's picture

" likely means that shorts will take this opportunity to reshort the market."

I did.  :D 

Two flags.. double top.. compressing lower  ha ha ha........ 

 

Whos's your daddy!

 

Mon, 11/28/2011 - 13:35 | 1921438 TradingJoe
TradingJoe's picture

printing commences HAHAHAHAHAH

Mon, 11/28/2011 - 13:42 | 1921467 Manthong
Manthong's picture

Damn.. I shouldn't do that.. but just put my third trade on ten minutes ago and was getting a little giddy.

Sure don't want to have my words shoved up my butt.

Mon, 11/28/2011 - 12:48 | 1921253 tahoebumsmith
tahoebumsmith's picture

The flesh eating disease is beginning to eat itself.

Mon, 11/28/2011 - 12:49 | 1921257 Tsar Pointless
Tsar Pointless's picture

It's all about three little letters, as easy as A-B-C, only not in that order.

Hint: It's Bank of America.

Mon, 11/28/2011 - 12:53 | 1921277 buzzsaw99
buzzsaw99's picture

BAC is up damn near twenty cents. That's almost +5% so don't laugh mmm kay? [/sarcasm]

Mon, 11/28/2011 - 12:57 | 1921292 ucsbcanuck
ucsbcanuck's picture

I still get the feeling that if BAC drops far enough, the short selling ban will come back into play. Take the money off the table when you get the chance.

Mon, 11/28/2011 - 12:49 | 1921258 mayhem_korner
mayhem_korner's picture

 

 

No squeeze.  Must fade the hopium.  When does the real data about Black Friday come - February?

Mon, 11/28/2011 - 12:54 | 1921280 GeneMarchbanks
GeneMarchbanks's picture

Whenever that data is no longer perceived as a 'market threat'.

Mon, 11/28/2011 - 12:50 | 1921260 The Fonz
The Fonz's picture

I do believe I shall now call myself "RESHORT the STALWART!". I shall hope that printing does not come too soon!

Mon, 11/28/2011 - 12:51 | 1921264 The Axe
The Axe's picture

I have no postions in either stock, they scare me....but hear Muddy Waters....on the attack on SINA or BIDU....be careful. could get fucking ugly on the long side or short.....

Mon, 11/28/2011 - 12:51 | 1921266 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

No shorts to squeeze, so this will be a real short lived pop.

Mon, 11/28/2011 - 12:52 | 1921272 lemarche
lemarche's picture

Absolutely, banks are looking to hurt the shorts whom they can pefectly see coming through the short ETFs and put options they are themselves selling to them... All for the best in a new and different form of "reverse" front running...

Mon, 11/28/2011 - 12:53 | 1921273 Cdad
Cdad's picture

And with fundamentals completely irrelevant, this data update also likely means that shorts will take this opportunity to reshort the market.

Of course!  Look, you don't get many chances like this chance today, with stupidity raging and sense entirely absent.  Of course they will sell this nonsense today.  Of course!

Mon, 11/28/2011 - 12:53 | 1921275 slewie the pi-rat
slewie the pi-rat's picture

slewie gots new shorts

the were on clearance @ kohl's

well, technically, briefs

The End

Mon, 11/28/2011 - 12:54 | 1921281 Sandy15
Sandy15's picture

I love ZH.  The info is fantastic.  One problem I have is the language allowed on this site.  I do not like the FED, Government, Central Banks globally and how they are robbing us all.  I watch political crooks all over and speak my mind about it, however I do it without the foul language. 

Please keep it clean.  I use many of these sites to educate my 12 year old to reality.  She doesn't need to be exposed to such unnecessary language.

 

Thank you and Merry Christmas.

Mon, 11/28/2011 - 13:01 | 1921303 J 457
J 457's picture

Been thru this discusuion before.  Not the place for your 12 year old, or my 10 year old.

Mon, 11/28/2011 - 13:05 | 1921316 GeneMarchbanks
GeneMarchbanks's picture

Or my thirteen year old... ... girlfriend.

Mon, 11/28/2011 - 13:18 | 1921369 tahoebumsmith
tahoebumsmith's picture

No doubt Sandy is Million Dollar Bonus... I can see this pot stirrer a mile away no matter what name they sign in as... Merry X-Mas to you too MBD...

Mon, 11/28/2011 - 13:03 | 1921305 Chappy
Chappy's picture

Good luck with that.

Mon, 11/28/2011 - 13:05 | 1921314 a growing concern
a growing concern's picture

Reality ain't pretty.  It's pretty shitty.  She'll learn that soon enough.

Mon, 11/28/2011 - 13:09 | 1921341 john39
john39's picture

the public has no clue just how dark their satanic masters are... although events like the sandusky airing of dirty laundry give just a slight taste...   but that is just the tip of the iceberg.

Mon, 11/28/2011 - 13:11 | 1921349 a growing concern
a growing concern's picture

Just the tip?

 

Thank you, thank you, I'll be here all week!

Mon, 11/28/2011 - 13:06 | 1921317 Tsar Pointless
Tsar Pointless's picture

Golly gosh gee whiz, Sandy15. We sure will do our darnedest to maintain a clean-cut comments section here on ZeroHedge.

Should we not get in to the reality that there is no Santa Claus, either? Or is your 12-year-old grown up enough to understand that ol' Saint Nick is a lie, too. Just as we in the Fascist States of Amerikkka are neither brave nor free?

Mon, 11/28/2011 - 13:11 | 1921337 Larry Darrell
Larry Darrell's picture

"Following the market drop in early November, it was widely expected by most, us included, that stock shorts would pile in once again, only to be burned by moves like today's, which is more of an attempt to flush out even more shorts by hitting limit pain thresholds, than buying on any actual fundamental improvements. Curiously, as the just released NYSE data, the short interest at November 15, not only did not increase in the previous two week period, it dropped to a 3 month low of 14.1 billion shares, just down from October 31. Which means that there were no new weak hands, and that all the algos who are pushing the market higher on hopes that short covering will take it even higher once a limit waterfall begins are likely to be disappointed. And with fundamentals completely irrelevant, this data update also likely means that shorts will take this opportunity to reshort the market. "

 

I'm still not seeing any foul language in the article. You can, therefore, use the site to educate your children.  Just print the article and discuss with them.

As for the fucking comments section, don't expect us to alter our behavior because you wish good parenting took less work.  If you don't fucking like it, don't fucking read it.  And don't let the offspring which were brought about through the act of fucking your wife / girlfriend / what the fuck ever read the comments.

Don't even try to impede on our liberty to swear like drunken sailors just because you don't approve, asshole.

 

Edit:  I almost forgot.............Merry Christmas to you and yours as well =)

Mon, 11/28/2011 - 13:09 | 1921338 Conrad Murray
Conrad Murray's picture

I think the obvious response to your post would be a profanity filled rant, or an explanation of how this is no longer the 1800s and this is not the Emily Post forum. However, this being the holiday season, I'll keep it clean. Grow up.

And a gift in the form of an internet classic, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CCcCzj_yRtk

Mon, 11/28/2011 - 13:18 | 1921372 IrritableBowels
IrritableBowels's picture

fuck censorship

Mon, 11/28/2011 - 13:22 | 1921386 smlbizman
smlbizman's picture

why should you make her afraid of words???

Mon, 11/28/2011 - 13:33 | 1921435 firstdivision
firstdivision's picture

I knew every foul languaged word before I was 12.  Learned every word I needed to know on the playground.  Good luck with preventing your 12 year old from hearing foul language.

Mon, 11/28/2011 - 14:02 | 1921545 JohnG
JohnG's picture

You are going to get fucking rained on for this shit.

Mon, 11/28/2011 - 14:35 | 1921657 jcaz
jcaz's picture

I find your use of the word "Christmas" offensive-  please watch your language while posting here, I'm delicate.......

If you're letting a 12 yr old read this stuff,  you're more twisted than the rest of us........

Mon, 11/28/2011 - 18:35 | 1923150 DarkestPhoenix
DarkestPhoenix's picture

Fuck you!

Mon, 11/28/2011 - 12:55 | 1921286 Milton Waddams
Milton Waddams's picture

Today, like every day since last Friday, is part of a highly orchestrated propaganda campaign.  See Bernays, Edward for more information.

Mon, 11/28/2011 - 13:00 | 1921295 rune420
rune420's picture

Would also love to see short interest on the DAX, CAC or FTSE, anyone know if that's available?

Mon, 11/28/2011 - 13:06 | 1921319 Hanging By A Thread
Hanging By A Thread's picture

The longs in this market -- I have thought that if they knew that the Earth would end in three days they would say "Great, go long, we have plenty of time."

Mon, 11/28/2011 - 13:07 | 1921321 Caviar Emptor
Caviar Emptor's picture

USEU Summit underway at WH. Expect another multi-trillion dollar, semi-secret bailout arrangement from Uncle Sugar. All politicians involved should be wealthier soon

Mon, 11/28/2011 - 13:08 | 1921333 stop.snitching
stop.snitching's picture

Lol...Dick Bove on CNBC

Mon, 11/28/2011 - 13:27 | 1921414 smlbizman
smlbizman's picture

he admitted he was wrong on banks. not because of him but because we are to fuckin stupid to see how strong the banks are ....he didnt plan on that part......

Mon, 11/28/2011 - 13:46 | 1921485 Sunset chaser
Sunset chaser's picture

How about a fade Dick Bove model fund? He might just be as reliable an indicator as Whitney Tilson.

Mon, 11/28/2011 - 14:24 | 1921626 Instant Wealth
Instant Wealth's picture

Quod licet Iovi, non licet Bove.

Mon, 11/28/2011 - 13:08 | 1921335 whirlybird rules
whirlybird rules's picture

Gov't intervention has cost me more this year than ever.  (That would be a lot of years:)   When you get the timing right though, those moments of truth are tremendous.  Bid me, bid me , bid me ;)

Mon, 11/28/2011 - 13:11 | 1921347 Stoploss
Stoploss's picture

Quiet please im trying to reload the shorts. Because there weren't any. Up until now.

Mon, 11/28/2011 - 13:16 | 1921364 BlueStreet
BlueStreet's picture

"stock shorts would pile in once again, only to be burned by moves like today's"

Oh shit, my pants are on fire.  

Mon, 11/28/2011 - 13:30 | 1921422 mktsrmanipulated
mktsrmanipulated's picture

nice to see the euro breaking down....lol first minor support 1.3310 next then 1.3290 then new lows

 

Mon, 11/28/2011 - 13:31 | 1921429 mynhair
mynhair's picture

Watch this turd (no offense TF) close down 200.

Mon, 11/28/2011 - 13:39 | 1921459 TradingJoe
TradingJoe's picture

I am all with ya' folks but I cant see the FEDsters or the ECB waste this "crisis" they will print, and that HEAVY!!!

Should I be wrong, got me some shorts @ 1190, shoud I be right, got me some longs @ 1155, either way...you know...!

Mon, 11/28/2011 - 14:08 | 1921573 walküre
walküre's picture

Why print when markets can rally 3% to 4% any given day? I mean it doesn't make any sense to argue that and get the Merkels out there to buy into it!

The IMF bazooka bailout of Italy was a ruse. Now there's talk that IMF is indeed preparing to deploy funds into Italy and Spain. But we all know that IMF funds come with strings attached. Austerity, budget cuts and that translates into DEFLATION and zero growth even with major haircuts.

Mon, 11/28/2011 - 23:29 | 1923961 ucsbcanuck
ucsbcanuck's picture

Well, one way to play it would be short EWI and EWP and the Spanish banks (BBVA, STD). But in this market, all bets are off. Problem is I've made my bets...

Mon, 11/28/2011 - 17:21 | 1922802 sockcutter moto...
sockcutter motorforker's picture

not a lot of shorts around. so.... time to short????

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