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North Korean Rocket Trajectory Revealed

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Yesterday afternoon, Barack Obama who is currently in South Korea, briefly was within bullet range (if behind bulletproof glass) of North Korea when he stood on the edge of the DMZ separating the two feuding countries. A few minutes later he left and told the world that "Bad behaviour will not be rewarded" referring to the imminent launch of North Korea's Unha-3 rocket scheduled for a test launch in April. He added that "I will also note that every time North Korea has violated an international resolution, the Security Council resolution, it has resulted in further isolation, tightening of sanctions, stronger enforcement. I suspect that will happen this time as well." Alas, we doubt that Obama's warnings will have much of an impact and that in a few weeks NK will go ahead and hit the launch button undeterred, in the process forcing Japan to scramble its Aegis destroyers and take other countermeasures as discussed last week, in case the missile "veers of course." But just what is the trajectory? Courtesy of North Korea Tech, we now know the secret path the North Korean rocket is expected to take. All we can say is there better not be strong Westerly winds.

More from North Korea tech:

North Korea’s Unha-3 rocket, scheduled for launch next month, will drop to earth in two stages off the western coast of South Korea and to the east of Luzon Island in the Philippines, according to documents submitted by the country to the International Maritime Organization.

 

The documents, obtained by NorthKoreaTech.org, were sent to the IMO’s London headquarters from the DPRK’s embassy in the U.K. They carried the name of “Ko Nung Do,” who is identified as director general of the DPRK’s Maritime Administration.

 

Some of the information restates what has already been disclosed by the country: that the launch would take place from a satellite launch site in Cholsan County of North Pyongan Province during a five day period from April 12th to 16th.

 

They also include some new information: that the launch could take place anytime between 7am and noon local time (2200 to 0300 GMT); and include the coordinates of the projected drop zones for the two-stage rocket.

 

The rocket’s path takes it over the western tip of South Hwanghae province in North Korea then over the South Korean islands of Baegryeong-do, Daecheong-do and Socheong-do, and then across open water until it passes between Japan’s Miyako and Ishigaki islands before heading further south.

 

The details were provided to the IMO so that the international organization can warn shipping traffic to stay clear from the two areas.

 

A similar notice is expected to be provided by the International Civil Aviation Organization to aircraft.

North Korea’s last rocket launch in 2009 was from the Tonghae Satellite Launching Ground in the east of the country and had the rocket flying over Japan en route towards the Pacific Ocean.

 

Many countries have urged North Korea to halt the rocket launch, which is widely seen as a long-range ballistic missile test and not a satellite launch. Japan’s defense minister has publicly said he may order the deployment of Patriot missiles to the Okinawan islands so that the rocket can be shot down should it fail and pose a danger to Japan.

 

Below you can see copies of the letter and an embedded map illustrating the two zones.

Full rocket trajectory below. Citizens of Philippines be afraid. Be very afraid (source).

 

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Sun, 03/25/2012 - 20:53 | 2289498 Moneyswirth
Moneyswirth's picture

Another straw man.  

Sun, 03/25/2012 - 21:32 | 2289593 Paul Bogdanich
Paul Bogdanich's picture

Maybe the Phillipinos should say they feel existentially threatened hire a few lobbyists and casino owners to buy a bunch of senators and a president and thereaten bombing or an invasion and then I bet we would do something stupid?   

Sun, 03/25/2012 - 22:40 | 2289837 old naughty
old naughty's picture

like buying a couple of Ageis and then take posturing lessons from Tokyo?

Mon, 03/26/2012 - 03:07 | 2289914 Element
Element's picture

Look at the bathymetry guys .... it'll go down in some of the deepest water on earth ... They don't want anyone to be able to recover it. That is why they want it there.

Mon, 03/26/2012 - 03:43 | 2290134 Element
Element's picture

A junk for pointing that out?  Apparently someone doesn't think the target area is in deep water?

Besides avoiding a direct fly-over of Nork neighbours (in as much as is possible), the northern part of the target zone covers part of a particularly rough and deep bathometry, consisting of hundreds of volcanic sea mounts, and numerous deep fracture zones (mountains, cliffs, chasms), that extend right down through the sediment pile, and into the base of the oceanic crust as giant regional-scale cracks.

If the Norks have an inertial guidance system (at a minimum I would say) worth any spit they can easily drop the spent missile within any 500 meter circle (most probably much smaller).

This high res TOPEX image of the bathometry of the area shows deep crustal fractures, that are tens of kilometers wide, and one to two kilometres deeper than the surrounding very deep ocean.  Have a look;

http://topex.ucsd.edu/marine_topo/jpg_images/topo6.jpg

The Norks can and will drop this missile into deep water, where it will be exceptionally difficult to locate or recover.  They certainly will not drop it, intact, into relatively shallow water, when it could be found, recovered and examined.  And no doubt it will be fitted with a terminal flight self-destruct to disintegrate and scatter it, before it enters the water.

The US will struggle to find any part of it in that area.

And the US, Japan, South Korea, Taiwan, China and Russia will all very much want to have a close look at it. 

The US and Japan will definitely try to find and recover it, and the Norks are not going to make that easy.

Mon, 03/26/2012 - 04:05 | 2290146 macholatte
macholatte's picture

Did you get that map from AAA?

Mon, 03/26/2012 - 05:49 | 2290189 GetZeeGold
GetZeeGold's picture

 

 

So the NKs shot a pop bottle rocket off into the water....congratulations....I did the same thing when I was five.

 

I suppose we'll have to give them 5 billion so they promise not to do it again.....have Hillary sign the waiver....and let's cut them the check.

 

Mon, 03/26/2012 - 06:05 | 2290203 Element
Element's picture

It's not a map.  It's a false-colour satelite IMAGE derived from 30-second-arc wide satellite transects that recorded geopysical data that was processed minus the effect of the ocean water, that was then transposed as an implied 3D topographical relief depiction of the entire globe.

It is thus more-or less real and has been 'ground-truthed' in various complex locations with a significantly higher resolution towed imaging/mapping sonar, that found a very close correspondence between what was directly measured by its sonar acoustic transect, and what the satelite data had indirectly implied should be there, and what it should look like, in terms of topographic relief, depth, and also measured gravity anomolies.

It's real and it's accurate to a very high-level of detail.

Mon, 03/26/2012 - 07:46 | 2290289 New_Meat
New_Meat's picture

pussy drive-by junkstaz are so annoying.  good comments. - Ned

Mon, 03/26/2012 - 06:32 | 2290229 Lets Hang Parliament
Lets Hang Parliament's picture

So now we know what James Cameron is doing at the bottom of the Mariana trench!

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-17503395

 

Mon, 03/26/2012 - 09:04 | 2290509 zuuma
zuuma's picture

Wouldnt it be funny if the norks use our own GPS to guide their missiles on the cheap?

Wouldnt it be funnier still if, upon satellite launch detection, someone "fiddled a bit" with that algorithm and the nork missile landed 500m from mainland china someplace?

I wonder what their guidance system is?

Bonus humor:  a neato, highly-classified beam of energy focused-on and roasting some delicate electronics inside the missile during flight.

Nahhhh. Doesn't exist. If only....

Mon, 03/26/2012 - 09:11 | 2290510 zuuma
zuuma's picture

dang repeat key...

Sun, 03/25/2012 - 23:42 | 2289942 Triggernometry
Triggernometry's picture

Looks slightly retrograde to me; though it would have been technically easier to achieve such an orbit heading north, that route is politically closed.  Interesting to see if they pull it off.

Sun, 03/25/2012 - 21:36 | 2289606 RafterManFMJ
RafterManFMJ's picture

 

 

I read the target of all N. Korean rockets are, in fact, Tehran. So I don't see a problem.  And even if the hit Hawaii, well, this will lower my cost of tourism should I max out my credit cards and go there. Pimpin' ain't EZ.

Sun, 03/25/2012 - 22:12 | 2289749 Rynak
Rynak's picture

Your "credit" as in "creditable", is already about as "high", as german westerwelle warning about iraq rockets hitting germany.

Which is about..... zero. Time to take a loan? Is there such a thing for propaganda (i'm sure there must be, i just cannot come up with it right now).

Sun, 03/25/2012 - 22:37 | 2289830 Matt
Matt's picture

That would be interesting, to fire a nuke from Pyongyang to Tehran, but instead of having it explode, have it parachute gently to earth. Take that, sanctions!

Mon, 03/26/2012 - 06:13 | 2290209 Marc_W
Marc_W's picture

Or maybe they can remotely gain control of it and guide it safely to the ground like they did our spy drone.

Mon, 03/26/2012 - 03:16 | 2290128 A Nanny Moose
A Nanny Moose's picture

Go long straw....got it.

Mon, 03/26/2012 - 03:42 | 2290138 Gringo Viejo
Gringo Viejo's picture

"Bad behavior will not be rewarded"......................

This guy walks softly and carries no stick. Are the NKs quaking in their boots or laughing their asses off? You make the call...............

Mon, 03/26/2012 - 08:20 | 2290341 GetZeeGold
GetZeeGold's picture

 

 

"Bad behavior will not be rewarded"

 

I must have been out of the room when we changed that policy.......hell I didn't even get a memo on that.

 

Mon, 03/26/2012 - 10:13 | 2290727 Widowmaker
Widowmaker's picture

Reminds me when O-fuckup said he was going to teach the banks a lesson.

Then the world learned he was just another toothless lapdog sucking off Larry Summers and Tim Goyim.

Sun, 03/25/2012 - 20:56 | 2289502 azzhatter
azzhatter's picture

I'm sure it's well under control. What could possibly go wrong?

Sun, 03/25/2012 - 22:12 | 2289754 boogerbently
boogerbently's picture

Aimed right at our base in the Phillipines. What's the matter, did they forget what happened to the French Embassy, in Baghdad, after France refused to allow us to fly over their country when invading Iraq?

If theirs is just a "test", then us BLOWING IT OUT OF THE SKY can be "just a test" also.

Mon, 03/26/2012 - 00:53 | 2290040 Vlad Tepid
Vlad Tepid's picture

There is no American base in the Philippines...only "troop presence."

Mon, 03/26/2012 - 06:29 | 2290227 GetZeeGold
GetZeeGold's picture

 

 

Couldn't hit it if there was one......if you're gonna launch a missle at the Philippines at least follow through with the crash landing......just saying.

 

Sun, 03/25/2012 - 20:59 | 2289506 UP Forester
UP Forester's picture

Funny how Saddam and Kadaffy could roll through cities sticking out the sunroof of an SUV, or in a convertible, with thousands of AK armed people shooting in the sky, yet any "top government official" of the US has to either be in a fucking tank on wheels, in an above-ground bunker, walking through a bullet-proof tunnel of Lexan, or at a military base where all the troopies have been disarmed.

WTF do they have to fear that "evil dictators" didn't have to?

Sun, 03/25/2012 - 21:15 | 2289548 Theta_Burn
Theta_Burn's picture

Thats easy..

"Friendly Fire"

Sun, 03/25/2012 - 21:30 | 2289588 Reptil
Reptil's picture

The cause of so many innocent victims.

Sun, 03/25/2012 - 22:14 | 2289762 Rynak
Rynak's picture

In this case, innocent victims on the side of the "aggressors" or "defenders"?

Sun, 03/25/2012 - 21:38 | 2289609 FeralSerf
FeralSerf's picture

They hate us for our freedom.

Sun, 03/25/2012 - 22:16 | 2289767 mbarido
mbarido's picture

They hate us for constantly meddling in their affairs!

Mon, 03/26/2012 - 05:34 | 2290125 BorisTheBlade
BorisTheBlade's picture

Two things are not mutually exclusive: they hate us for our freedom to constantly meddle in their affairs.

Sun, 03/25/2012 - 23:56 | 2289966 oldman
oldman's picture

Hey Feral,

 

Ha ha ha----You' re quite a funny guy---freedom to vote, to pay taxes, and to kill for your country

Ha ha ha---how could anyone hate us?

  Thanks for the humor       om

Mon, 03/26/2012 - 09:25 | 2290586 victor82
victor82's picture

Here. Have some Freedom Fries....

Sun, 03/25/2012 - 21:48 | 2289649 RafterManFMJ
RafterManFMJ's picture

And here you have it. Not funny at all. Despite Saddam et al being of a minority tribe in their countries, any assassin knew that if he failed, or even if he succeeded, he as well as his entire bloodline would be ruthlessly tortured unto death.

See, such knowledge cuts down on insurection.

Many cases of the Brits in Afghanistan, they killed all but one of the rebellious, and buried them in pigskins, leaving one to tell the tale.  Hitler's SS would use entire towns as artillery targets if a German garrison troop was killed....here is the thing folkz...you fight a war to win. Period. And you DONT FIGHT A FUCKING WAR UNLESS IT IS A MATTER OF YOUR OWN SURVIVAL. But hey - have fun you military dudes. You won't win...

 

...you haven't won since NINETEEN FUCKING FORTY FIVE...but hey...why ask why, right? You get some trigger time in and convert some brown skins or yellow skins to smoking meat, while your taxes pay to import somalis to live in the midwest...hey, what?

 

No, really, enjoy your funtime wars...little lesson here - don't get so far in debt you feel you have to enlist just for a paycheck, and don't believe you need to fly around the world to murder those who allegedly be hatin' on our freedoms...look around you and read the papers...plenty right here who be hatin on your freedoms. 

 

Sun, 03/25/2012 - 21:56 | 2289703 indygo55
indygo55's picture

"You would not make peace with the blue coats. You may go in peace. There is iron in your words. "

Mon, 03/26/2012 - 07:59 | 2290308 Cant see me
Cant see me's picture

I reckon not

Sun, 03/25/2012 - 22:35 | 2289826 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

That's an excellent point.

Sun, 03/25/2012 - 22:39 | 2289835 Matt
Matt's picture

To be fair, those public appearences by dictators are usually dopplegangers employed to make public appearences, take assassination attempts, etc. POTUS only uses dopplegangers for roastings.

Mon, 03/26/2012 - 00:10 | 2289991 iDealMeat
iDealMeat's picture

...yet any "top government official"...    or the Pope..

 

 

 

 

Mon, 03/26/2012 - 04:05 | 2290147 i-dog
i-dog's picture

The Pope is a "top [shadow] government official". He's certainly further up the chain than Obomber.

Mon, 03/26/2012 - 00:54 | 2290042 Vlad Tepid
Vlad Tepid's picture

They're afraid they'd lose the popularity contest.

Sun, 03/25/2012 - 20:59 | 2289508 Caviar Emptor
Caviar Emptor's picture

You are nothing but a petty bourgeois puppet. 

Sun, 03/25/2012 - 20:59 | 2289510 Theta_Burn
Theta_Burn's picture

With a needle dick....

Sun, 03/25/2012 - 21:00 | 2289514 q99x2
q99x2's picture

They should put their money into raising Jindos instead.

Sun, 03/25/2012 - 21:01 | 2289518 Monedas
Monedas's picture

If the Norkos want to "test fire" a missle.....why can't we "test fire" an intercepting missle ?  It's just a test, after all ?  Monedas  2012  

Sun, 03/25/2012 - 21:20 | 2289560 BigInJapan
BigInJapan's picture

Because, aside from simulations, they have only shot down homing beacon-carrying target drones.

Sun, 03/25/2012 - 22:24 | 2289796 Nage42
Nage42's picture

Because the scud missles don't actually work, and the whole "Star Wars" missle shield was money redirected into observation platforms instead...

 

So the best the US can do to stop missles is use veiled language and rush for shelter (i.e., what their commander in chief did...).

 

/shrug

Sun, 03/25/2012 - 21:04 | 2289521 Conrad Murray
Conrad Murray's picture

I hope everyone that voted for the Barry "Peace Prize Usurper" Soetoro chokes to death on their spit in their sleep.

How's that $4/gal gas working out for you waterheads? Are you proud of your race-baiting commie-in-chief? Can't wait to get to the polls to vote, once again, for your energy costs to necessarily skyrocket?

**For the short bus riders: Fuck the GOP too**

Sun, 03/25/2012 - 21:14 | 2289544 Ned Zeppelin
Ned Zeppelin's picture

Well then, which muppet are you voting for in the fall, Mittbama or O'Romney?

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