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Operation Twist Is Here - Fed To Buy $400 Bilion USTs With 6 To 30 Year Maturity, To Roll MBS Maturities Into New MBS
Complete Fed Statement breakdown:
- FED SEES `SIGNIFICANT DOWNSIDE RISKS' TO ECONOMIC OUTLOOK
- FED TO BUY TREASURIES WITH 6-YEAR TO 30-YEAR REMAINING MATURITY
- FED LEAVES FEDERAL FUNDS RATE TARGET AT ZERO TO 0.25 PERCENT
- FED SAYS PROGRAM PUTS `DOWNWARD PRESSURE' ON LONG-TERM RATES
- FED TO SELL TREASURIES WITH 3-YEAR OR LESS REMAINING MATURITY
- PLOSSER, FISHER, KOCHERLAKOTA DISSENT FROM FOMC DECISION
- FED REPEATS `EXCEPTIONALLY LOW' RATES THROUGH AT LEAST MID-2013
- FED TO BUY $400B OF LONG-TERM DEBT, SELL $400B SHORT-TERM DEBT
- FED EXTENDS AVERAGE MATURITIES OF SECURITIES HOLDINGS
- FED TO REINVEST MATURING HOUSING ASSETS IN HOUSING DEBT
- FED SAYS INFLATION `APPEARS TO HAVE MODERATED'
- FED SEES `CONTINUING WEAKNESS' IN LABOR MARKET
- FED PURCHASES TO BE DISTRIBUTED ACROSS FIVE SECTORS
- FED SAYS 32% OF DEBT PURCHASES MATURE FROM 6- TO 8-YEARS
- FED SAYS 32% OF DEBT PURCHASES MATURE FROM 8- TO 10-YEARS
- FED SAYS 4% OF DEBT PURCHASES MATURE FROM 10- TO 20-YEARS
In other words: $400 billion in POMOs over the next 8 months or so, with the monthly at about $50 billion. Also MBS repurchases for a token amount. No LSAP as most expected, and no IOER rate cut. Goldman once again about half of what it expected.
And statemenet blackline:
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do the twist, bitchez!
...like we did last summer, and the summer before that.
Horay!! We're Saved! All is Well!
Just in case....buy Silver and Gold!
Why is the Gold price falling now....and Silver going up? I do not understand.
Can someone explain why this is happening???
Well I think gold is falling because there was no cut to the IOER. Cutting that would have been likely inflationary. Gold is an inflation hedge.
Free market?
Duh.
That was helpful. Thank You.
I don't understand wtf this is going to do. Are long term rates really a problem? Are slightly lower rates really going to entice people to buy over priced homes? I doubt it....
This is for something else right? How will this benefit the banks/treasury? Are there lots of long term treasury auctions coming up that need monetizing?
Slash, I think you are on it: this will essentially do NOTHING.
Not to mention it's basically steralized purchases too isn't it? Selling $400 billion back into the market (taking liquidity out), while printing up $400 billion to monetize longer term trashuries. Won't this also squeeze profits of the banks that are playing the yield curve? How does this help anyone except maybe to fund the government for a couple more months?
Also, as we saw with QE 2, despite the fed buying, rates actually rose slightly (check the charts). This is b/c the market was tricked into bidding up risk assets and moved money out of bonds and into stocks/commodities. Can we expect a repeat of this? I'm short trashuries right now (although hedged now) in anticipation of market participants ultimately moving back into stocks/commodities.
With this move, they're trying to keep the banks solvent, not trying to get people to buy homes. Banks balance sheets are dripping with mortgages, so dropping interest rates is simply a mechanism to keep existing home values stable near the top and therefore BAC - Countrywide solvent.
The value of a home is inversely correlated with interest rates, just like the price of bonds. That is, if you increase rates, the value of the bond will fall. So they're just trying to prop up home values with this move. It's not to entice new borrowers - not directly anyway.
oh I see....well not necessarily the value of homes, but the value of the morgage on that home right?. If that mortgage was created at 6% and rates drop, those mortgages are more valuable. So really it's a play to make all the toxic assets slightly less toxic....temporarily......probably trying to entice suckers to get the securitization process going again.
Duplicate
I think there's enough stupid people out there that will "buy the dip" of interest rates for homes for a short period of time. Then once the FED sells the short term bonds the treasury may "bundle" them and make them longer term bonds. Not sure if it’s feasible but I don’t see why it couldn’t be done that way. What do you guys think? Thanks...
That was a joke.
As discussed here, regardless of the Fed's announcement it was in the plan to hammer the prices at 2:15pm to avoid the sudden knee-jerk reaction to the upside.
A lot of speculative traders have no idea what this announcement means, combine that with a planned attack of the prices and you have a short term sell-off which is what was wanted.
This is probably one of the few remaining opportunities to get gold at this price, and you should seriously consider buying in my opinion.
Green
tekhneek is right.
Physical gold is very cheap. TPTB are giving us a gift. Take it!
Currency printed out of thin air to eventually acquire MBS. This is a short-term smoke screen. The end game is for the Fed to gradually acquire mortgages and become landlord over all its new tennants. The Founding Fathers issued warnings of such things. Get gold and silver while you can or become serfs.
The US dollar price of gold is subject to the availability of US dollars. This announcement was a mild disappointment regarding the increase in the availability of US dollars, ergo the continued relatively tight range for gold. If you trade virtual/paper gold, selling OTM puts and/or NTM/ATM covered calls in your Gold ETF of choice is a good way to play this in the interim while we wait for late October/early November.
@ wombat
Perhaps because there is no obvious QE3 to drive investors to gold. But, be calm, the future od gold and silver ix excellent, perhaps better than ever.
The best blog for gold TRADING is Turd's:
tfmetalsreport.com
EDIT:
These machinations do NOTHING to hurt gold and silver, if anything, as we see more manipulation the bull case for gold gets STRONGER.
Never mind... Wombat asked the same quesition.
Buy.
The.
Fucking.
Dip.
No big QE3, market knee jerk is to sell gold off. After they have time to think about it..., they will start adding back to their positions. BTFD is all you need for now.
Wow!....they should put Benny on the cover of Time magazine! I mean this miracle worker is god! Everything is fixed now! Greece is solvent....the European banks are recapitalized....unemployment is cured....the wave of foreclosures has ended and the housing market is fully rebounding.
This whole Fed thing is just a wonder to behold. These central banks can manage the world economy far better than individuals. Who needs free markets when these mathematical wizards can run the show so well?
/SARCASM
When oh when will these arrogant schmucks receive their pink slips (and arrest warrants).
so is this qe2.5, 3.0, 2.6, 2.7, 2.8?
I m sooo confused? Isnt they just doing an exchange and not actually injecting money into banks. Sell Old/expiring shit, and trade it in for long term useless shit? Is the printing press adding to the M3 or not?
Can someone explain in dummy english for me?
no extra money - just shifting and reinvesting some interest. What we're seeing is a divided FED and a divided kingdom can't stand.... The Bernak is already out on a thin branch by himself, now three members are no longer supporting him... He's almost totally alone and the FED has become part of the political process - no more stimulating, no more printing: hello deflation... Lower stock market, lower house prices, lower interest rates, lower demand, lower everything... Don't be surprised to see the greeback (USD Index) make a run at $85 or $90... Then, or course, it all comes to a head and reverses and gold hits $15K an ounce!!
No. I'm not a huge fan of doom mongering - so Dog knows why I read this site. The difference here is that now it's different.
The bullets they used last time wont work this time.
Last time we bought the idea of nationalised banks. What will be accept this time?
did it already - now what?
Now fiddle with it while America burns
what if "it" got squished?
But QE it ain't.
Twistin' in the wind.
govt cooking the books. when will it end? how much @&*^ can you eat?
http://covert3.wordpress.com
New York Times 9/21/2015
“They only gave me the job because they knew I couldn’t do it”
In an exclusive NYT interview former Federal Reserve Chairman, Ben Bernanke, related that he is convinced he was appointed only because he was “ a clueless academic stooge .
Mr Bernanke, who now works as CFO/fry cook at Ponzi’s Pizzaria in Polookaville, was quoted as saying “ I mean, come on, they knew the economy was a sinking ship with no hope for recovery yet they recruited me out of Princeton and got me to take over as Captain of the Titanic. They knew I had no experience with real world. I told them during the interview I didn’t have a clue about anything other than Keynesian dogma. They said that was exactly what they were looking for. Now everyone blames this mess on me. They only gave me the job because they knew I couldn’t do it. Hey I was a victim too”.
Pfffftttt! Like the NYT will still be around in 4 years - sheesh, where u from?
I hope that bearded creep Krugman will be waiting tables in 2015 at Ponzi's Pizzeria also
They told him if he took the job he stood to make a lot of dough in the future.
Perhaps he can get his old job back at South of The Border.
Don't you mean "book cook"?
duped.
Aaaaand, markets plummet.
Plummet? Really?
I am afraid not. The manipulators are winning.
No Overt QE..markets continue to levitate.. Metals flatline..
This continues for how long?
scoreboard:
tylers: many
jdelano: 1
<--- one
<--- many
How many Tyler Durdens are there?
What a disapointing pile of shit.
I guess we will be stuck in LIMBO another 6months, year or more.
LIMBO is the new normal.
Going nowhere fast!
You can't get there from here.
Agreed.
My immediate thoughts were.. "is that it?"
Wheres the shock and awe?
So, that's disappointing for some ppl i guess
The S&P never even considered going positive on the announcement. Doesn't look like "shock and awe"...
Twisted Bitchez
Hurrah! We're saved!
Yawn.
Initial market knee-jerk reaction= disappointment.
Not a lot of volume yet, we'll see what the market thinks around 3:30PM I suppose
good call... DOW - 284 points at close...
I'm guessing that over the next month the markets drop at least 15%. KABOOM!
it won't - stocks only go up, k?
Similar to housing values only went up b4 the Housing Bubble Burst?
sell everything that's not nailed down...wait sell that too
I'm not selling my children.
Bernanke already bought them, this transaction wasn't open to negotiation.
Smart thinking, you'll need some extra hands to operate your backyard farm
Children are in a huge bear market at the moment. Unless you fancy staying long for the next 35 years, get out man. Out, I say!
You sold your children the day they were born, when you GAVE them to the govt for a Social Security number so you can have a tax deduction.
NOW your children are indentured servants to the INTEREST on the national debt. Those children in your house that you feed and cloth, don't belong to you, but aren't you happy you got that tax deduction?
Govmint wins almost everytime. Thanks for playing.
Why the hell did you nail your children down?
You could nail 'em down, and cover all your bases.
:-)
"Sell everything that's not nailed down, and then come back with a crowbar."
Unless you own MBS. Then, negotiate a hard deal with the Sack, he'll load up his sack with any pile of MBS shit.
tempted to buy TBT here but I think I'll hold out for the Greek default/BACsbestos trigger.
20.676 -1.1140 (-5.11%)wait till u see the whites of their eyes!
BERNANKE: "TRUST ME, I'M A DOCTOR"
lol
http://www.entendance.com/forums/viewtopic.php?f=17&t=738&p=19432#p19432
$up!
Is this what Rosenberg meant by big and surprising action?
i got your "big and suprising (and uncut) action" right here ...
Grrr! That Idiot.
All of em should be immediately arrested, they are now going to 'buy' their own debt, at your expense, and flip it out into the future...and america does nothing.
BTW this is not QE3.
SD-1 FTW.
I wish I wasnt right. This is Insaneville.
Where do a sign up for Breakfast with the sheepdog ?
Better to be fucked and right than just fucked. IMO.
So, when do we dine at my expense?
Mmmm stuffed shells!
Pearl Street around Christmas time? Bring a date. Forward this post to Tyler, and he will give you my contact info.
Pearl St. where, there's a lot them. ps I'll pay for my own.
Oh sure it is not! But they will do it once S&P is below 1000 and "change":)))!
This is a damp squib.
The Fed is all out of ammo. Enjoy your "free market" everyone.
Where da dog at ? woof woof !!
You called it SheepDog
so did I, and got massively junked for it, so I'm making it a point to gloat a little. Go ahead and junk.
Just waking up in the far east and I can see you were correct SheepDog. Appearently, more pain is required.
"The beatings will continue until morale improves"
USD rising against everything even JPY and GOLD..
The market manipulators are working overtime today....
Gold down right on schedule..... can't have sheep waking up and feleeing to real safety..... the theater's on fire and they're directing people TOWARDS the flames and shooing them away from the exits
That'd be your cue to buy the fucking dip, partn'r.
No dry ammo!!!
Cry manipluation whenever gold price drops. Or face reality, that greater QE was already priced in, and when it turned out to be only 400billion, it's a big let down hence the gold drop.
END THE FED!
Wait for it...algos still "digesting" folks!
Basically sell your gold...
And why would that be?
Becaues the MOPE team WANTS you to... C'mon... they dropped the price almostg $20 after the FED announcement just to scare the crap out of you..... Can't have people fleeing to Gold instead of the $US
Nevermind that the $US is hopeless - that Californis is in worse shape than Greece (and lacks that country's gold reserves).... now do as your told
Sell your Gold, Buy US T-Bills (cause the Fed can't keep buying 60% of every auction) and go out and SPEND SPEND SPEND to boost the economy.
Currency devalued by a further $400bn and you say sell gold? Paper gold yes but physical... no chance!
Paper gold, that's what I meant.
Buying MBS. Like poking money down a rat hole.
So, that's the end of Fed manipulations. Too much heat, I guess. Now we'll get a chance to see what a real market does when the centralized control collar comes off.
If only.............
The reality is, manipulation of Metals and Stock Indexes WILL continue.
Markets will go lower, but it will not be `a real market`, sadly.
QE powder is being saved for spring 2012. By then things in main street will be worse and it will be easier to ease.
Probably correct. They want another 10% down and Boehner and teh GOP on bent knee begging for another bailout.
But we'll have a free market until then, with the -10% and everything that comes with it. I wonder if there will be any way to levitate it by then. The exits will be getting crowded in about 24 hours from now.
I'm pretty sure a ways back when I bought gold eagles and cmx bars the premium was around $40, now 100-110.
i don't know -- certainly heard them go to great lengths to assure everyone inflation is neither a near-term nor long-term threat. it smells like they're setting the table for something...
and let the sell off begin.
Somehow, don't think there will be a late day levitation to end in the green today.
Lot's of disappointed Wall St. types. Bonuses just got smaller.
But, let the lobbying begin for November QE from GS in 3...2...1...
Sweet, more time to buy metals.
Thanks, Ben!
It predictably went on sale too.
Yes, although I jumped the gun a bit and bought a little gold yesterday.
Misfire!
who are they going to sell to??
The PDs who are required to buy after their bailouts.
By then, the US will just have 1 big conglomerate federalized state run bank! The USSR wasnt even this insane.
Zimbawe
And so they move the carrot again. I guess we'll go on speculating for months about when the real QE3 is going to happen. Yay.
It goes together like peas and carrots.
...like piece and karats.
How YOU doin?
Nice!
A Beretta?
Flattening yield curve hurts banks. Reinvests of MBS and agencies helps banks. No help for housing, no help for confidence. Monetary policy running out of air and fiscal cooperation is dead. Lovely future.
Fed does nothing new just moves some ching around. So it is up tpo the politicians kids...and we know where that will lead. Time to start packing the sailboat.
Hide your wife. Hire your kids. The IRS finally got the mandate they always wanted!
They like us, they really like us!
whoops meant to reply below
Didn't someone in the housing industry tell Bernanke that 3.5% mortgage rates, or even 3% rates will not move the needle in housing period! FHA rates are at 3.75% right now and buyers are on the sidelines still. But of course the idiot PHDs sit around their oak table and think they really know how to solve the problems in the housing market! They have no fucking clue!
I love how they say stuff like "It's a great time to buy a house as rates are at historic lows" without considering that people can't afford to buy no matter what the rate is...maybe if it was a ZIRP rate they would...
The housing market will not recover as long as prices are artificially propped up. Let the market clear and come back down to prices at 2X median income and maybe then we'll see some recovery. Of course, to do that would blow up the banks, so don't count on it.
+1
The consumer doesn't give a crap what interest rates are. Especially if you're current house is $100k under water. Pushing on a string.
When will they realise the housing market is a symptom of the problem, not the problem itself, Dumbfcuks!
Because all the debt chips have been gambled on housing and RE which is why Fannie and Freddie are still alive and the Fed owns so much debt related to mortgages and why BAC, Wells, Citi are all shit. Housing was their big bet and they lost and can't let it collapse more because every of the kleptocrats will be hurt. Poor kleptocrats can't admit their gamble lost.
Wall St got the minimum of what it wanted. I think they were hoping for more. QE is welfare for Wall St. Sorry, Wall St, the taxpayer trough is limited in depth!
SheepDog you were right! I salute you!
Gold down, dollar up, stocks also dooon! GOPs are in the ascendant (not a good or a bad thing as yet), as are US citizens, chinese, right thinking folk everywhere. Wait till the Asian do their overnight block vote thang.........
Lower long term interest rates are bullish for housing. The bottom is in, now is a good time to buy. Brought to you by NAR and you know you can trust them when it comes to the housing market.
Bernanke is a god damn genious! Or maybe not.
Ha! The Fed is now totally impotent! Did what everyone thought they would do because they could not do anything else! This will do nothing for the economy. The Fed is scared as hell to expand the balance sheet!
Even the algos don't like it. The deflationary depression is back on folks!
Down goes Gold, Down goes Gold
In Australian dollar terms - up goes gold
I guess I'll just keep holding TBT....screw you, Benny!
It will be a painful roller coaster ride but rates will skyrocket when the ponzi hits the fan and hyperinflation comes....
Basically the Fed isn't doing anything but shifting assets around. The situation isn't static and extending maturity rates. The Fed will do what they can to keep the global financial system from deteriorating at an even faster pace than it seems it inevitably must and that within the paradigm within in Ben's head, which is based on a lot of outdated concepts in my opinion.
This is mostly MOPE and won't change one thing in terms of the macro picture. The FED will ultimatley have to expand their balance sheet or just let the global financial system collapse. Its only a matter of time. The mainstream financial media acts like this is a binary event and the end all be all of Fed operations. What a joke.
Basically the Fed isn't doing anything but shifting assets around. The situation isn't static and extending maturity dates will have temporary but unlikely substantial lasting effect given the underlying economic conditions. The Fed will do what they can to keep the global financial system from deteriorating at an even faster pace than it seems it inevitably must and that within the paradigm within in Ben's head, which is based on a lot of outdated concepts in my opinion.
This is mostly MOPE and won't change one thing in terms of the macro picture. The FED will ultimatley have to expand their balance sheet or just let the global financial system collapse. Its only a matter of time. The mainstream financial media acts like this is a binary event and the end all be all of Fed operations. What a joke.
It will work this time. I promise. Now that it is here the yield on the 30 year will go up.
The ever expanding Central Bank Balance Sheet.
Gold and Silver trade like a YoYo
Time Flys like an arrow Frruit Flies like a bananna.
Teh Fed BROKE THE LAW TODAY, AGAIN.
FUCK YOU FED
FUCK YOU BERNANK
FUCK YOU OBUMMER
FUCK YOU DEMS
FUCK YOU REPUBS
FUCK YOU TWIST
FUCK YOU STATUS QUO
And allow me to add that all of the toxic garbage they bought and printed will be rolled into ILLEGAL Fed DERIVATIVES which break the law to the motherfucking Nth degree a la CDS's etc etc etc. I'd be outraged if I wasn't convinced that the gov backed Ponzi $kaM will collapse shortly.
Exactly right this is outright TREASON!
Bernank said he'd never monetize the debt, thats all this is so clear even a caveman can see it!
You long paper?
How is the Fed supposed to keep short-term interest rates down for two more years if they're selling short-term treasuries to purchase longer-term ones?