This page has been archived and commenting is disabled.

Overnight Sentiment: A Summit Here, A Summit There, A Promise Of Growth And QE Everywhere

Tyler Durden's picture




 

In continuing with the 2011 deja vu theme which has become the norm at this point, nearly half way into 2012, the key overnight events driving sentiment and futures higher (if not the EURUSD which despite a record number of shorts appears to have once again decoupled with the US stock market), were a statement following the latest G-8 summit (penned in the brief time when the world leaders were not watching soccer) that Greece should stay in the Eurozone (as opposed to?), and yet another promise from China's Wen Jiabao that the world's fastest growing economy would focus on growth (what a truly radical shift in policy for the country which needs GDP growth over 8% just to avoid riots and civil unrest). And in continuing with the "summit" theme so well exhausted back in 2011, and mocked by David Einhorn (see below), let's recall that there is yet another summit on May 22, this time where the European heads of state will sit down and also decide that, shockingly, they want Greece in Europe, in response to which stocks will surge, then be very confused just why they surged, and promptly tumble. Sadly, by now we have seen it all since 2012 continues to be a carbon copy replica of last year. We can only hope the powers that be infuse at least some originality before we are forced to start recycling headlines from the summer of 2011. In the meantime, futures are green, especially since Dennis Lockhart unleashed the QE bomb hours ago in Tokyo, saying that more easing should not be ruled out amid European risks. Wink wink.

A reminder of Europe's summit mentality courtesy of David Einhorn circa last year:

Full recap of the overnight market action via Bank of America

Market action

China's pledge to boost growth - overnight Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao said China will focus more on bolstering economic growth - helped offset concern over Greece's possible exit from the euro-area, helping the markets stage a come-back after last week's market swoon. In addition, this past weekend's G-8 summit helped boost investor sentiment; however, the summit delivered no concrete proposals on Greece. 

The Asian bourses started the week on a positive note, except the Hang Seng, which slipped 0.2%. Japan's Nikkei advanced 0.3%, the Shanghai Composite gained 0.2% and the Korean Kospi rallied 0.9%. The Indian Sensex closed 0.2% higher. 

In aggregate, European equities are trading up by 0.3%. German markets are up 0.8%, while French equities are 0.3% higher. Spain's market, on the contrary, is taking a beating, with the IBEX 35 down 1.1% European blue chips are down 0.1%. At home, the S&P 500 closed 0.7% down on Friday, but futures are pointing to a 0.6% higher opening today. 

US treasuries are selling off across the curve today, with the 10-year bonds trading at 1.76%, up by 3bp. The 30-year is trading at 2.84%, up by 3bp. In Europe, sovereign yields are on the rise. The main focus continues to be on Spain, where the country's 10-year yield is currently trading at 6.24%. 
The dollar is weakening against major currencies, with the DXY trading down 0.2%. In the commodities space, crude is trading at $91.89, while the yellow metal is trading at $1,591.

Overseas data wrap-up

In Spain, the revision in the budget deficit of some of the largest regions forced the government to revise the deficit of the general government for 2011 to 8.9% of GDP, from 8.5% of GDP. Our European team believes this is a one-off adjustment, but it clearly underlines the challenges Spain faces for adjusting its public finances, and could further erode market confidence.

As expected the G8 summit did not deliver any concrete proposal on Greece. The next important step will be tomorrow (22 May) at the special EU Summit of Heads of State on Growth. We expect the summit to focus on Greece and Spain.

On Greece, discussions should focus on 1) a possible extension of the implementation framework of the programme and better use of the EU funds to help support growth in the short term, and 2) ring-fencing the union in case of a Greek exit. 

On Spain, discussions will likely focus on the banking sector. The discussion will likely be around using the EFSF (or its successor ESM) directly to fund the banking sector. As we mentioned in Spain-Italy the options, the programme should be designed and targeted specifically at the banking system and conditionality-related banking sector reforms. In our view, a solid banking sector across the euro area is the pillar of reduced systemic risk should Greece exit the euro area.

Thailand's economy grew 0.3% yoy in the first quarter of 2012. That was much better than consensus estimates of a 0.5% yoy contraction. Last quarter, the economy shrank 8.9% yoy after the country was hit by major flooding. The biggest contributors to growth were private consumption (+2.7% yoy) and investment spending (+9.2% yoy). 

Week's events

This week brings April's data on both new and existing home sales. We expect the choppy trend in the housing market to continue. We forecast new home sales will increase 5%, to 345,000, in April, keeping with its recent zigzag monthly pattern. Existing home sales are likely to edge up by 2.5%, to 4.590 million saar, nearly reversing the decline in March.

 

- advertisements -

Comment viewing options

Select your preferred way to display the comments and click "Save settings" to activate your changes.
Mon, 05/21/2012 - 07:17 | 2446798 Colombian Gringo
Colombian Gringo's picture

Europe, europe, fell off a debt wall.

 

And all the PTB horses,and all of their men, cannot put von rumpeys europe back together again.

Mon, 05/21/2012 - 07:22 | 2446815 Fanakapan
Fanakapan's picture

Well they do say Misery loves Company :)

Mon, 05/21/2012 - 07:26 | 2446827 Oh regional Indian
Oh regional Indian's picture

Summits..these leaders climb something to get to them eh? Climb one national summit, then you are prequalified to attend other Summits?

Sum It? 

Because they are there?

mt-whitney-to-tanggula-pass-obliquely

;-)

ori

Mon, 05/21/2012 - 07:50 | 2446851 GetZeeGold
GetZeeGold's picture

 

 

Then you get to the summit of all summits.......the Twit Summit.

 

The proceeding are about to get underway....could we have some order please?

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MqObJtGrKaA

Mon, 05/21/2012 - 07:25 | 2446825 Apostate2
Apostate2's picture

Not with PTB horses and their men....

Mon, 05/21/2012 - 07:46 | 2446858 Element
Mon, 05/21/2012 - 07:19 | 2446807 RyanW525
RyanW525's picture

Zerohedge just got a plug by Tom keene on Bloomberg radio...what is this world coming too??

Mon, 05/21/2012 - 07:31 | 2446833 slackrabbit
slackrabbit's picture

its is the End of Days..... ;-)

Mon, 05/21/2012 - 07:43 | 2446854 Poetic injustice
Poetic injustice's picture

End of the world as we know it too :)

Mon, 05/21/2012 - 07:47 | 2446860 CPL
CPL's picture

For all the new people, welcome to Zero Hedge where we casually explain why, how, where and who is going to stick it in your ass and what it's gunna cost ya.

 

<cha cha jazz hands>

 

For a brief synopsis of the case studies we have done visit http://www.lemonparty.org for full details.

Mon, 05/21/2012 - 07:19 | 2446808 firstdivision
firstdivision's picture

Good ol' 10Y is in negative real rate range at the moment. 

Mon, 05/21/2012 - 07:27 | 2446828 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

At the moment? Maybe to the department of truths inflation number , but it's been at a negative yeild for a three years now.

Mon, 05/21/2012 - 07:37 | 2446846 Bay of Pigs
Bay of Pigs's picture

You mean the "flight to quality" and "safe haven" status of the USD? LOL.

And dont forget the "gold stinks" mantra that has become so popular again.

Mon, 05/21/2012 - 07:56 | 2446866 CPL
CPL's picture

check out silver.  Up 3 bucks over the weekend and "down" to 28 and change from 25 and change.

 

Dumb cocksuckers in the central banks must have printed a new batch of credit world wide.  At least the dumbasses can't manufacture volume or interest.

 

Happy Birthday to the Queen Mother everyone.  Let's wish the old dead inbred slut and the rest of her six fingered hilly billy royality a fine howdy do.  Don't do it too fast though, the royals are special and it's Victoria Day in Canada.

 

 

Mon, 05/21/2012 - 07:21 | 2446811 tsx500
tsx500's picture

EVERYTHING IS O.K. AGAIN ! !      PHEWWWW ! !

Mon, 05/21/2012 - 07:23 | 2446817 Disenchanted
Disenchanted's picture

 

 

"A reminder of Europe's summit mentality courtesy of David Einhorn circa last year:"

 

So basically it's just a high-falutin circle jerk...

Mon, 05/21/2012 - 07:25 | 2446824 falak pema
falak pema's picture

these are NOT just Euro summits; these are FED cum Banksta sustainance ponzi summits. Until January 2013, then the tuff decisions. 

Mon, 05/21/2012 - 07:23 | 2446819 Boilermaker
Boilermaker's picture

When are they going to have a Summit to schedule a Summit?

Mon, 05/21/2012 - 07:28 | 2446829 Bay of Pigs
Bay of Pigs's picture

I would suggest a Blue Ribbon panel for that task.

Mon, 05/21/2012 - 07:37 | 2446842 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

When is the next beer summit? I wasn't invited to the last one. I would brew some beer and have one at my place but the last guy who did that got shuffled off to Guantanamo.

Mon, 05/21/2012 - 12:17 | 2447907 Element
Element's picture

How about the summit of Stromboli?

Mon, 05/21/2012 - 07:30 | 2446832 slackrabbit
slackrabbit's picture

rinse & repeat

Mon, 05/21/2012 - 08:00 | 2446873 WonderDawg
WonderDawg's picture

If you're just going to post something you've seen posted a gazillion times on here, the least you can do is include "lather".

Don't forget to finish with the all time classic: it _______ until it doesn't.

Mon, 05/21/2012 - 07:34 | 2446838 Zero Govt
Zero Govt's picture

Summits? ..that should fix it

We've had 36 EU meetings on the debt-crisis in the past 2 years... Wow did they resolve the issue

Mon, 05/21/2012 - 08:57 | 2447032 Vince Clortho
Vince Clortho's picture

Gives the media talking points, and a mess of keywords for the algobots:

summit ... leaders ... agreements ... solutions ... easing ... fluidity ... progress ... goals ...

Mon, 05/21/2012 - 08:42 | 2446980 azzhatter
azzhatter's picture

They should've invited Nigel Farage to the summit

Do NOT follow this link or you will be banned from the site!