This page has been archived and commenting is disabled.

Platinum Soars As Spreading South African Miner Strike Cripples World's Biggest Platinum Firm

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Ten days ago, when describing the latest casualty of the ongoing South African miner revolution, we said: "Expect more South African mines to shutter, as gold production in the world's third largest gold producer grinds to a halt, and the local workers grasp they had the leverage all along. Should the South African example spread to other countries, then expect the price of gold to soar regardless of how much printing the central planners engage in the coming weeks and month." Fast forward to today: "Labour unrest sweeping across South Africa's mining sector hit top world platinum producer Anglo American Platinum on Wednesday, with striking miners blockading roads leading to shafts belonging to the mining giant, police said. The platinum price jumped as much as 1.5 percent to $1,624.74 an ounce, its highest since mid-April amid fears of more disruption to supplies of the precious metal used in jewellery and vehicle catalytic converters." The good news: the complete mining shut down has not spread to other countries. Yet. The bad news: as expected, one after another South African mine is going offline. Why is this an issue? Because Chinese demands is soaring, even as the world is about to lose its third largest producer of gold. Not even the CME hiking gold margins to infinity will do much to prevent what will inevitably be a surge in precious metal prices. Factor in what is likely to be more easing by Bernanke tomorrow, and it may be time to eye the all time nominal high of just over $1,900 gold hit a year ago.

From Reuters:

South Africa is home to 80 percent of known reserves. The platinum price has jumped more than 17 percent since police shot dead 34 protesters at the Marikana mine of world No. 3 platinum producer Lonmin on Aug. 16, the bloodiest security incident since the end of apartheid in 1994.

 

The "Marikana massacre" has poisoned industrial relations across the mining sector and become a potent symbol of the ruling African National Congress' (ANC) failure to deliver on promises of a "better life for all" in the post-apartheid era.

 

The bloodshed and the government's inability to ease unrest undermining already shaky growth in Africa's biggest economy is also fuelling a campaign against President Jacob Zuma, who faces an internal ANC leadership battle in December.

 

"Around 1,000 mineworkers had a confrontation with mine security last night at the Siphumelele shaft and the situation has spread to other mine shafts this morning," regional police spokesman Thulani Ngubane said of the trouble at Amplats.

 

He declined to give any details of the size of the security operation, the latest police deployment in more than five weeks of union violence in the "platinum belt" around Rustenburg, 100 km (60 miles) northwest of Johannesburg.

 

Amplats' four Rustenburg mines represent almost 17 percent of total production by the company, which accounts for 40 percent of world platinum output. They employ more than 19,000 people.

 

The strikes, which stem from a challenge by the small but militant Association of Mineworkers and Construction Union (AMCU) to the dominance of the ANC-affiliated National Union of Mineworkers (NUM), are also spreading into the gold sector.

 

The NUM said workers at the Beatrix mine, run by world No. 4 producer Gold Fields were set to strike this week, compounding wildcat industrial action this week by 15,000 workers at the company's KDC West west of Johannesburg.

 

ANC renegade Julius Malema - the de facto face of the unofficial 'Anybody But Zuma' rebellion in the ANC - is also fanning the flames, appearing twice at KDC to speak to striking workers. He called on Tuesday for a national mining strike.

Hopefully events like those above should explain whyprecious metal miners and the underlying commodity have now terminally disconnected, because in this, and all future cases, Anglo American's loss is platinum's gain. Extrapolate to other metals.

The open question is how soon until the South African labor disputes spread to other gold miners.

 

- advertisements -

Comment viewing options

Select your preferred way to display the comments and click "Save settings" to activate your changes.
Wed, 09/12/2012 - 08:11 | 2784951 GetZeeGold
GetZeeGold's picture

 

 

Gotta have a death wish to be a PT miner.

 

Wed, 09/12/2012 - 09:15 | 2785246 BaBaBouy
BaBaBouy's picture

GOLD Mining is also in danger in SA...

Miners see the price rising and now demand their fair cut of the product.

Big Trouble ahead for SA GOLD mining.

 

Notwithstanding, GOLD $50K ...

Wed, 09/12/2012 - 09:37 | 2785327 malikai
malikai's picture

Platinum was just converging overnight until this happened and blew it off the chart.

http://blog.quantsig.net/2012/09/12/platinum/

Wed, 09/12/2012 - 08:12 | 2784956 fonzannoon
fonzannoon's picture

"Yes, hello ishares, I would like to arrange a delivery.....hello?"

Wed, 09/12/2012 - 08:12 | 2784959 Ruffcut
Ruffcut's picture

1.5% is soaring??

Wed, 09/12/2012 - 08:19 | 2784986 Temporalist
Temporalist's picture

Read much? "The platinum price has jumped more than 17 percent since police shot dead 34 protesters at the Marikana mine of world No. 3 platinum producer Lonmin on Aug. 16" that is 17% in less than a month. 

Wed, 09/12/2012 - 08:28 | 2785025 Ruffcut
Ruffcut's picture

It is not the value of metal rising, its the value of ponzi currency falling.

Right on schedule.

Wed, 09/12/2012 - 08:20 | 2784990 Flakmeister
Flakmeister's picture

Stillwater (SWC) has been a major benficiary of the unrest....

Wed, 09/12/2012 - 10:11 | 2785439 Flakmeister
Flakmeister's picture

BTW, whoever junked the above is a complete idiot....

Wed, 09/12/2012 - 08:21 | 2784996 Lost Wages
Lost Wages's picture

It seems a little short-sighted for ONLY platinum to be going up when miners around the world are going on strike and they mine all kinds of metals. In South Africa alone it was 41,000 miners on strike so it's not just Platinum miners. :)

Wed, 09/12/2012 - 08:27 | 2785014 Clint Liquor
Clint Liquor's picture

Palladium is the play on this. It is a by-product of Platinum Mining with only a very small amount coming from primary Palladium producers. The production to consumption ratio is upside down already with Russian stockpiles making up the balance. Palladium is much more rare in the Earth's crust than Platinum and has specific properties that make it irreplaceable for certain applications.

Wed, 09/12/2012 - 09:55 | 2785433 Flakmeister
Flakmeister's picture

The issue is that most Pd is mined as a byproduct of Nickel mining or with Pt mining... There are very few Pt mines in the world in contrast to the number of Ni mines... So while Pd is "rarer", annual production is higher than Pt...

The best Pd play out there is SWC..... 

Wed, 09/12/2012 - 08:35 | 2785063 youngman
youngman's picture

Hey but the Euro hit 1.29 today....lol....1.29...strong...I am so confused

Wed, 09/12/2012 - 08:37 | 2785070 WillyGroper
Wed, 09/12/2012 - 09:16 | 2785251 IronShield
IronShield's picture

Nah, watch and learn.  The US is in the driver's seat on this and will lead the way as to what comes next.  Finally an opportunity to shake the ROW off of our backs once and for all.  It's our turn.  Aside from that, do you actually trust anything the Chinese report?  Or the Indians for that matter?  Seriously...

Wed, 09/12/2012 - 08:54 | 2785134 onebir
onebir's picture

But is China buying platinum for investment or industrial use? If it's the latter, aren't cars are being horrendously channel-stuffed in to a zero-ish growth economy as we type?

Wed, 09/12/2012 - 08:56 | 2785140 Quinvarius
Quinvarius's picture

I suspect the US production numbers include gold that a normal person would not classify as physical gold that was just pulled out of US soil.

Wed, 09/12/2012 - 09:13 | 2785229 ajax
ajax's picture

 

 

What would Gina do?

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-19487985

 

 

Wed, 09/12/2012 - 09:57 | 2785446 lsbumblebee
lsbumblebee's picture

I get a kick out of some of these platinum articles, hoping to drive cash this way and take some pressure off of gold and silver.  Kitco's very good at this. That is when it's not gushing over Rhodium. 

Wed, 09/12/2012 - 12:29 | 2786274 ParkAveFlasher
ParkAveFlasher's picture

+1 When Jeffrey Christian is pumping platinum, well, that's it right there.

Wed, 09/12/2012 - 13:12 | 2786415 lsbumblebee
lsbumblebee's picture

Considering today's standard operating procedure at the Comex I expect the Fed to shoot its wad tomorrow. Especially if Christian says otherwise. That bootlicker is calling for a silver price correction, when all we've had for the past 18 fucking months is a silver price "correction".

http://watch.bnn.ca/#clip757705

Wed, 09/12/2012 - 13:58 | 2786613 akak
akak's picture

If Jeffrey Christian is an Establishment bootlicker (and he most assuredly is), I shudder to even imagine what Jon Nadler does to their boots.

Wed, 09/12/2012 - 14:22 | 2786711 lsbumblebee
lsbumblebee's picture

Well whatever he does I'm sure he asks for permission first.

Wed, 09/12/2012 - 11:02 | 2785899 VinnyTheBlade
VinnyTheBlade's picture

Two more $1000 bags of Morgan and Peace dollars on order from APMEX....take that bankster bitchez.

Do NOT follow this link or you will be banned from the site!