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Previewing Today's Main Event

Tyler Durden's picture





 

Today we get the December employment report and a murder of Fed Doves speaks later in the day.
 
8:30: Employment Report (December): Goldman sees firmer job growth and forecasts that nonfarm payroll employment rose by 175,000 in December. The pickup from a gain of 120,000 in November reflects mainly the continued decline in initial unemployment claims and an improvement in consumers’ assessment of current conditions in the labor market. Based on the latest available data—most importantly, the weaker-than-expected employment component in the non-manufacturing ISM index for December—GS sees moderate downside risk to our call. Because the stronger-than-expected ADP report was likely distorted by seasonal adjustment problems it is not considered a source of upside risk for payrolls. In terms of components, watch for a potential slowing in retail employment following exceptionally strong growth in November. In contrast, growth in a few sectors, such construction and leisure/hospitality, may have been supported by relatively warm weather last month.
 
Goldman forecasts that the unemployment rate rose by one tenth to 8.7% following a sharp decline in November. Today’s report will contain revisions to the seasonal adjustment of the labor market indicators derived from the household survey (but not the payroll survey). The revisions could affect recent trends in the household survey’s measure of employment growth, the unemployment rate, and the labor force participation rate. The more important annual benchmark revisions to the household and payroll surveys will be released next month.
 
Payrolls: GS: +175k; Consensus: +155k; Last +120k.
Unemployment: GS 8.7%; Consensus: 8.7%; Last 8.6%.
Earnings: GS +0.1%; Consensus: +0.2%; Last: -0.1%.
 
9:00: Dove 1 - New York Fed President William Dudley speaks at economic forum. Q&A expected.
 
10:20: Dove 2 - Boston Fed President Eric Rosengren on the economy.
 
12:40: Dove 3- Federal Reserve Governor Elizabeth Duke on the economy and housing market.
 
13:00: Dove 4 - Federal Reserve Governor Sarah Bloom Raskin on community banking supervision. 

 


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Fri, 01/06/2012 - 08:49 | Link to Comment digitlman
digitlman's picture

The numbers are all fudged.

 

And, any real jobs added will be min wage jobs that do nothing to bolster the middle class.

 

#Winning!

Fri, 01/06/2012 - 08:59 | Link to Comment Jason T
Jason T's picture

OT but just noticed the BDI tanked recently.  

Fri, 01/06/2012 - 09:02 | Link to Comment Ex-Pat
Ex-Pat's picture

It's 5:30 somewhere.  Hasn't the number been leaked by now?

Fri, 01/06/2012 - 09:06 | Link to Comment Ancona
Ancona's picture

Hahahaha!!

Finaly! Someone has an actual reason to use the term 'murder of doves'.

Fucking CLASSIC!

Fri, 01/06/2012 - 09:19 | Link to Comment Urban Roman
Urban Roman's picture

It's "dole of doves". Murder is for crows.

 

Fri, 01/06/2012 - 09:26 | Link to Comment GMadScientist
GMadScientist's picture

Close; "dule".

Fri, 01/06/2012 - 09:28 | Link to Comment Ancona
Ancona's picture

You are right, I was wrong.

Fri, 01/06/2012 - 09:12 | Link to Comment UGrev
UGrev's picture

Just remember folks.. according to how they define unemployed: If 100% of the people in the USA were unemployed and off benefits, then we'd have 100% employment. 

Fri, 01/06/2012 - 09:26 | Link to Comment Shocker
Shocker's picture

Have to love how numbers can be manipulated

Fri, 01/06/2012 - 09:39 | Link to Comment YNotNow
YNotNow's picture

The proper collectives for doves are

bevy of doves cote of doves dole of doves dule of doves flight of doves piteousness of

 

doves

and the last fits better than murder

Fri, 01/06/2012 - 11:51 | Link to Comment slewie the pi-rat
slewie the pi-rat's picture

Murder Doves YouTube

mebbe baby_B is up to speed on these headbangers

Fri, 01/06/2012 - 12:45 | Link to Comment rosiescenario
rosiescenario's picture

The crows get murdered and the doves get pity.

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sara29's picture

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