Putting It Into Perspective: Bruno Iksil's $100 Billion Position Makes Him The Seventh Largest Bank Holding Company By CDS Exposure

Tyler Durden's picture

With the story of Bruno Iksil refusing to be swept under the rug (for now), we had the urge to show just how his position stacks up in comparison to the CDS holdings for all the bank holding companies tracked by the Office of the Currency Comptroller. Recall: "Iksil may have built a position totaling as much as $100 billion in contracts in one index, according to the market participants, who said they based their estimates on the trades and price movements they witnessed as well as their understanding of the size and structure of the markets." We used a log scale index although even in simple linear terms the story is quite straightforward: we are not sure what is worse - that one trader may have amassed a CDS position (with an associated VaR that is in the billions) which is greater than the combined holdings of all except for 6 banks (and is greater than the combined CDS exposure of a Wells Fargo among others), or that the top 5 banks together account for 96.5% of all CDS holdings? One thing we are certain of, is that JPMorgan's $71 trillion in assorted derivatives is all purely for hedging purposes. After all Dick Bove just said so.

Source: OCC

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Seize Mars's picture

When Blythe said, "no" or "none," she meant, well, a lot.

spiral_eyes's picture

New preview from Nassim Taleb (on this meta-topic, the problem of taking the upside without risking the downside):

http://www.fooledbyrandomness.com/prologue.pdf

Xibalba's picture

I'm sure the regulators are on it.  

 

 

:?  sarc

 

 

 

 

LongSoupLine's picture

 

 

 

"What the ever loving hell is a "CDS""?!? - The SEC

LawsofPhysics's picture

Someone needs to let her know that we "are not" constructing a guillotine, or several of them.

Zero Govt's picture

...indeedy, we are not amused 

we want the truth, the whole truth and nothing but the full multi-$Trillion Dollar balls-up that JP Morgan is in ...ha

slewie the pi-rat's picture

@seiZe_m_r_s:  When Blythe said, "no" or "none," she meant, well, a lot.

apparently, she pulls this on everybody!

i think she's hot b/c she's a nympho, a sizeQueen, and a switch-hitter

plus, she has a grrreat little ass!

francis_sawyer's picture

She was a dude... The aforementioned guillotine chopped the dick off (but it grew back)...

slewie the pi-rat's picture

weren't you here the night she showed up and got gang-banged?

she was a true sport, even as the asians gave her facials

and that grrreat equestian ass, too

if she gets too far into that goody-goody side, she may re-emerge here, just for psychological needs...

what a dreamer!

stocktivity's picture

Stock up on popcorn. When this thing blows, it will be interesting to watch.

Lost Wages's picture

Sounds like JPM needs to invent the Bruno Iksil Mutual Fund so we can all get in on this action.

Manthong's picture

They probably already have an under-the-counter Iskil CDS.

We need Iskil ETF's complete 3X Bull and Bear Iskils.

Then we need an Iskil Volatility synthetic.

Hell, since everything's all Vegas anymore make it just like craps with a 10X Iskil.

Come on now, somebody step up to the plate! 

Dapper Dan's picture

JP Morgan is "winning"

They have the longest pole thingy.

HD's picture

"They have the longest pole thingy"

 [Insert Santorum joke here]

Grin Bagel's picture

please define who this individual is in the world you and I inhabit, and what it means beyond the good comments of your overview.

francis_sawyer's picture

Where's my invite to his Liverpool nightclub "champagne room"?

Cdad's picture

Seriously, just sell the derivative  portfolio, and then with the cash proceeds, buy lots of plywood...and nail the front door of EVERY JP Morgue house shut.  And then the rest of us can finally get on with some real economic recovery. 

 

Koffieshop's picture

JPM is part of the inner core of the circle jerk. The Fed will never allow them to fail. JPM will stay in business until the hyperinflation event.

LawsofPhysics's picture

"JPM will stay in business until the hyperinflation event"

Precisely.  Remember, JPM is the Fed and has a play on all sides of this.  They even "deliver" foodstamps.  Be a shame if that entitlement suddenly got turned off now, wouldn't it?

Vampyroteuthis infernalis's picture

JPM even delivers unemployment benefits in Texas. God bless the Man. (More like fuck him!)

Forgiven's picture

Bruno Iksil with such a high level of CDS exposure?!  Sounds like the setup for a rogue trader scandal at House of Morgan....

Lost Wages's picture

He's got the name of a scapegoat.

francis_sawyer's picture

yeah but he makes Wells Fargo look like pikers...

brettd's picture

Takes the pressure off Corzine.

HD's picture

Bove might as well put on a cheerleader outfit and grab some pom-poms and chant "We've got spirit yes we do, buy bank stocks and they'll screw you! Gooooooooooooooooooooo BANKS!"

knukles's picture

Dick Bove is a fucking idiot.

The propaganda machine is scraping the bottom of the barrel.
Seige of Staligrad, anyone?

Zero Govt's picture

we're not scraping the bottom, Bove is always first crone up

...the bottom is when they wheel out Jim Cramer

LarryDavis's picture

Wapner, Bartiromo, Kudlow and Liesman have as good a command of the financial world as does a dog's dried ejaculate.

HD's picture

Disgustingly true...

stocktivity's picture

It's 4 o'clock on Wall St. Do you know where your doggy is?

PontifexMaximus's picture

Don't you think that there are more Bruno's around with GS, Citi, BoA, DB, CS, UBS et al. They all want to be masters of the universe and make the world going round, or better, polish up their pa. Did markets take that into consideration?

LawsofPhysics's picture

Jubilee bitchez.  Tyler, could we see a chart with the very same players and their PM holdings?  Pretty please.

 

Basically the message I get from this chart is "JPM has the most nukes".  Whether or not they use them is another issue altogether, but predictable if history is any guide.

LawsofPhysics's picture

Not true.  JPM has PMs, many of them have been recently "re-hypothicated" from MF-Global.  It was JP Morgan after all who said, "Gold is Money, everything else is credit".

Sometimes the answer hides in plain sight.

francis_sawyer's picture

I'm not talking about the private vaults of it's PREFERRED fellows... I'm talking about what it admits to the public...

But we're talking semantics here...

francis_sawyer's picture

 "One thing we are certain of, is that JPMorgan's $71 trillion in assorted derivatives is all purely for hedging purposes. After all Dick Bove just said so..."

I'm pretty sure that grandpa Dick & grandpa Bernank spend countless hours 'hedging' each others chin fur... Krugman & Gartman are their understudies on 'certain' holidays... 

michigan independant's picture

So is this another fool and his money part story of this decade? Who would ever pay paper for paper is beyond me. 

slewie the pi-rat's picture

in paperPonZee as it is now broadcast, at least 6Bil are completely hypno, imo

ergo, it is the promise of future paper which motivates them

noShitoli, m_i_boyardee

others play for future "assets" now backed by paper in the IOUskie "markets" [but possibly worth "sovereign" wealth at some future point in this is fiatsco?  how do you "mark" yer markerZ?]

and, since they all "agree"?: canoes are sinking faster than bonds...  in spite of how insane it is to buy PMs, the banksters will buy all you'd ever want to sell, all day, everyday...

so, just get ready to sell & go away, next month...

what could possibly go wrong? 

btw, once your conoe sinks, do you still care?  me neither

DormRoom's picture

So ONE guy can gamble with 100B while mom & pop small businesses can't get loans.

 

America is fundamentally broken when Industrial icons like Howard Hughes are replaced by financial boy wunderkinds.

Catullus's picture

What's broken is that because one guy can gamble with $100bn, mom & pop have to take out loans to run the business.  Whether they get them or not is a different story.

slewie the pi-rat's picture

at least he wasn't drunk from golf like that brit who blew out the oil market a coupla years ago...   jeeeez! that was funny!

i usta play extremeToxicGolf and once came home, somehow, from aforemntioned idiocy, put a pizza in the oven @ 450F and went to bed

the next morning i had a little, dark, ceramic disc

if anybody has any money, we could patent the process and start a company to mummify poeple after the goobermint votes them out

or radiation victims~..~energy-saving, btw

if they had lottsa tats or ?, we could display them...

plus, think of the soap!

GMadScientist's picture

No. One guy can buy contracts that amount to a notional value at risk (i.e. an imaginary valuation, at best) of $100B.

This pissant is still spit in the ocean (1/568th of the JP Morgan tower of derivative shit) until he gets past counter-party risk and actually collects a dime.

And Hughes ended up nuts pissing in bottles so he didn't have to leave the house; choose wisely.

 

mendigo's picture

Thar she blows!
Very cool: set up one guy to take the fall for all of Europe.
Pure genious but I fear Tyler has spoiled the surprise.

slewie the pi-rat's picture

leave it to theMorgue to supply the dude to end the EU? 

ok...

tekhneek's picture

I have a hard time believing this is just one guy and not a handle for the big 6 to play see-saw on the market with and make $ off the top based on the swings.

I mean: It might look like 1 persons name, but it's probably a consortium under this guise.

Hansel's picture

Also, I don't doubt JPM has a huge CDS prop position, but is this really the new standard of evidence?

... may have built... according to the market participants... who based their estimates on the trades they witnessed... as well as their understanding...