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Holy Shitshow: Recordathon In French Bank, European CDS Following Atriocious Italian Bond Auction, Dexia Bail Out, Libor Explosion

Tyler Durden's picture





 

As we speculated on Friday, Europe has opened, and it is ugly. In fact, Europe has never been closer to a bank and market holiday than it is right now. Why? Let's go down the list.

First, the French banks which are about to be downgraded any minute, have just seen their CDS surge to records:

  • BNP CDS +24 to 299 bps
  • SocGen CDS + 26 tp 416 bps, new all time record wide
  • Credit Agricole CDS + 25 to 315 bps, new all time record wide. Whoever followed our advice from last week and bought this latest jump congratulations.
  • And joining in the record party, are Belgium +25 at 307 bps; France +12 at 190; Italy +40 at 505; and Spain +44 at 445 bps. All new records

Next, Italy sold 91 Day and 1 Year bills, both of which came far worse than expected and this is despite the ECB buying this stuff up non stop.

  • Italy Sells 1-Year Bills to Yield 4.153% Vs 2.959% in August, Bid to Cover slides from 1.94 to 1.53
  • Italy Sells EU4 Bln of 3-Month Bills to Yield 1.907% Vs 1.034 last, Bid to Cover slides from 2.42 to 1.86

Lastly, Dexia, which we also discussed on Friday, was just implicitly bailed out. According to De Tijd:

The inner cabinet of the federal government Monday decided to Holding Communal jumping high urgently needed cash. The Dexia shareholder as his immediate obligations. 

 

The federal government decided late last week the ailing Municipal Holding 1 / 1 by the lifeline to throw 39 percent of the holding company for Astrid 40 million to take over. Astrid is the communication of the Belgian security services. 

 

Soon appeared a problem. Holding Communal Astrid had its shares already pledged to Dexia Bank in exchange for a loan of 48 million euros. Holding Communal, the largest shareholder of the Belgian group Dexia, with a stake of 14.1 proent.

 

Followed the weekend summit push, with a modified construction of the bus came. The inner cabinet bowed there Monday at 8 hours and carried on with the green light. Poured concrete, the federal government holding to 4.5 million immediately SFPI Monday, Holding Communal, in exchange for part of the Astrid shares. That gives the holding company breathing space and allows it to meet its immediate obligations. 

 

Later Monday morning meeting and the Holding Communal FPIM on the deal. 

 

SFPI would spend the rest of the amount (35.5 million) and Dexia Bank Belgium only pay the rest of the Astrid-shares, which it has pledged, releases. 

 

The deposit is extremely urgent, the water is the dome of the municipal Dexia shareholders on the lips. Holding Communal is already in bad financial paper. 

 

This is due to its strong dependence on the share price of the Dexia financial group. The holding company was in full support and financial crisis, Dexia borrowed before. As collateral for the loans they used Dexia shares. But now, their price has dropped sharply, the banks ask - - initially Fortis and ING - additional collateral. 

 

The holding should that "margin calls" within ten days 19.5 million euros available. Otherwise there is a cessation of payments. The holding company has pledged it all, so the only option is to bring cash as collateral. This requires that 40 million euros, or write it already 1 / 1 of 4.5 million, serve.

Lastly, Libor, which we have been following very dilligently, has literally exploded, meaning the Interbank market in Europe is now effectively shut down. From Bloomberg:

  • Credit Ag submits higher rates for sixth consecutive session as USD 3-mo Libor rises to 0.343% from 0.338% Sept. 9, highest since August 2010, BBA data show.
  • BNP Paribas 0.36% vs 0.35%
  • Credit Ag 0.41% vs 0.4%
  • SocGen 0.3575% vs 0.3525%
  • Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi 0.36% vs 0.35%
  • Bank of America 0.32% vs 0.31%
  • Citi 0.305% vs 0.3%
  • Credit Suisse 0.395% vs 0.3750%
  • Deutsche Bank 0.3% vs 0.29%
  • HSBC 0.26% vs 0.25%
  • Norin Bank 0.38% vs 0.375%
  • RBC 0.3125% vs 0.3075%
  • Scotia 0.315% vs 0.31%
  • Sumitomo 0.37% vs 0.365%
  • UBS 0.361% vs 0.359%

 

And there still is 3.5 hour of trading in Europe. Next up: halt in trading in all Italian bank stocks for a start, slowly migrating to all banks across the continent.

 


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Mon, 09/12/2011 - 07:21 | Link to Comment wang (not verified)
Mon, 09/12/2011 - 07:27 | Link to Comment sqz
sqz's picture

"And joining in the record party, are Italy +25 at 307 bps; France +12 at 190; Italy +40 at 505; and Spain +44 at 445 bps."

Error there. You mean, Portugal for one of the Italy's?

Gotta love Google Translate of German too :)

Mon, 09/12/2011 - 07:32 | Link to Comment Tyler Durden
Tyler Durden's picture

Actually worse: Waffles!

Mon, 09/12/2011 - 07:43 | Link to Comment Snidley Whipsnae
Snidley Whipsnae's picture

Gotta love the reference to 'concrete' in the article... Perhaps they meant liquid concrete?

Mon, 09/12/2011 - 07:46 | Link to Comment Lobbelt
Lobbelt's picture

Dutch, not German. "De Tijd" is a Belgian paper for the Dutch speaking part of the country (Flanders). "L'Echo" is its French-speaking counterpart. :-)

Mon, 09/12/2011 - 09:17 | Link to Comment slewie the pi-rat
slewie the pi-rat's picture

well i guess we gotta say tyler nailed it, again, with his piece abt the maginot line over the weekend!

un-freaking-believable!!!

durden's prob got 150 tix to r.paul's inaugural, too!

 

Mon, 09/12/2011 - 07:27 | Link to Comment AUD
AUD's picture

The inner cabinet of the federal government Monday decided to Holding Communal jumping high urgently needed cash. The Dexia shareholder as his immediate obligations.

The federal government decided late last week the ailing Municipal Holding 1 / 1 by the lifeline to throw 39 percent of the holding company for Astrid 40 million to take over.

Well that's a perfectly understandable outcome.

Mon, 09/12/2011 - 07:34 | Link to Comment AUD
AUD's picture

And meanwhile, gold is down in Euro's & even though the bid to cover has fallen, Italian bonds are still oversubscribed, despite that slick con man in charge.

Hardly panic.

Mon, 09/12/2011 - 07:37 | Link to Comment jus_lite_reading
jus_lite_reading's picture

I think you ain't seen nothing yet....  the wild cards have yet to be released!

Gold will be 1600 Euros/oz in a few weeks according to the bird... and that means its hitting the fan now

Mon, 09/12/2011 - 07:42 | Link to Comment AUD
AUD's picture

Maybe so but at present the bond speculators are happy to sell gold for the chance to make a quick profit off of the ECB.

Get back to me when the real panic starts, when the gold price only moves up, not down too.

Mon, 09/12/2011 - 07:47 | Link to Comment Instant Wealth
Instant Wealth's picture

urgently needed cash ?

Could be me.

Mon, 09/12/2011 - 07:51 | Link to Comment minsky4ever
minsky4ever's picture

Greenspan writes their material. He'll be in the background til this bitch explodes.

Mon, 09/12/2011 - 07:24 | Link to Comment 1835jackson
1835jackson's picture

What a frickin circus....ahhh central banks with their central planning

Mon, 09/12/2011 - 07:34 | Link to Comment Soul Train
Soul Train's picture

You are witnessing the effects of fiat money, fraud, stupidity,arrogance and cronyism.

And add in incompetence and greed to the mix.

Transparency and professional ethics? Ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha.

One solution: something like the French guillotine used so successfully during their revolution, once the sheople had enough of plutocratic/autocratic elitism - call it whatever you want. Fucking downright evil.

 

Mon, 09/12/2011 - 07:52 | Link to Comment minsky4ever
minsky4ever's picture

Bon jour, Marat. Ca va?

Mon, 09/12/2011 - 07:26 | Link to Comment tim73
tim73's picture

Who cares...you Yanks and Brits will pay for it. After all, you guys sold us the CDS insurances! Fuck, this is so beautiful. Go ahead, really hope for Greece to default and give us your "advices" how to do it more quickly...SUCKERS! HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA!

Mon, 09/12/2011 - 07:33 | Link to Comment Gordon Freeman
Gordon Freeman's picture

Blow me...

Mon, 09/12/2011 - 09:16 | Link to Comment snowball777
snowball777's picture

<wireless activator engaged>

Mon, 09/12/2011 - 07:25 | Link to Comment Reform1776
Reform1776's picture

Does everyone here realize that sites like ZH and BusinessInsider are doing to mainstream market-related media sources what Craigslist did to the Classifieds sections of major newspapers???

http://sadbastards.wordpress.com/2008/05/23/craigslistorg-single-handedl...

 

Mon, 09/12/2011 - 07:41 | Link to Comment Snidley Whipsnae
Snidley Whipsnae's picture

I can't speak for 'everyone' but I recognize what is going on re: ZH vs bobbleheads on MSM...

This morning the world financial system is in jeopardy of collapse but when one reads Bloomblab or Marketfarce the take away is 'all is well', 'nothing to see here', 'remain calm'...

Fiddling while it burns.

Mon, 09/12/2011 - 08:38 | Link to Comment Reform1776
Reform1776's picture

If they're not running an outright puff piece, at best it's like reading yesterdays, or even last weeks, or last months newspaper.

 

Mon, 09/12/2011 - 09:19 | Link to Comment slewie the pi-rat
slewie the pi-rat's picture

fuk "business insider"!

and fuk you, too!

Mon, 09/12/2011 - 07:29 | Link to Comment Wakanda
Wakanda's picture

Holy shit show indeed!

Mon, 09/12/2011 - 07:29 | Link to Comment oogs66
oogs66's picture

but aren't obama and buffett going to fix everything? 

Mon, 09/12/2011 - 07:31 | Link to Comment doomandbloom
doomandbloom's picture

...as soon as they get out of that bath...

Mon, 09/12/2011 - 07:30 | Link to Comment chipshot
chipshot's picture

brother can you spare a dime.....oh- i mean a hunski?

Mon, 09/12/2011 - 07:35 | Link to Comment Reform1776
Reform1776's picture

As Ron Paul pointed out in the debate recently, if you can spare a dime, you can buy a gallon of gas with it. A pre 1964 silver dime that is...

 

Mon, 09/12/2011 - 07:30 | Link to Comment 1835jackson
1835jackson's picture

Reform1776- knowledge is power and ZH is on the money....

Mon, 09/12/2011 - 07:34 | Link to Comment Gordon Freeman
Gordon Freeman's picture

What were the relevant LIBOR spreads during Lehman?  How do the current ones compare?

Mon, 09/12/2011 - 07:53 | Link to Comment sqz
sqz's picture

EURIBOR-OIS: 85.3bp highest since Mar-2009 nothing like Lehman high of 206.9bp. But the point is you really really don't want a "trend" since it's self-feeding into confidence and trust and can therefore blow-out faster than you can blink and its a bit of a slow-motion train wreck, i.e. hard to stop when it does. It also isn't really a true reflection of the stresses happening on the ground inside banks...

Mon, 09/12/2011 - 08:12 | Link to Comment ZeroPower
ZeroPower's picture

Nowhere close, about 3x left to go. EURIBOR-OIS confirming the same..widest level in 2 1/2 yrs, but nowhere close. Yet.

edit: sqz said everything well

Mon, 09/12/2011 - 07:45 | Link to Comment Rastadamus
Rastadamus's picture

Swing looooow! Sweeet Chariot!

This ones gonna carry me hoooooooommmmme!

 

 

Mon, 09/12/2011 - 07:49 | Link to Comment sunnydays
sunnydays's picture

One wild week that will catch those who have not been paying attention go nuts.  The rest of us will have popcorn and sit back and watch the show.

Mon, 09/12/2011 - 07:51 | Link to Comment Tristan Ludlow
Tristan Ludlow's picture

I wish I had a fast forward button to get to Friday to see what carnage the banksters have wrought!

Mon, 09/12/2011 - 07:55 | Link to Comment minsky4ever
minsky4ever's picture

Just look around, you should see some poor soul begging who used to have a family and what he thought was a secure job.

 

Mon, 09/12/2011 - 08:11 | Link to Comment Sabibaby
Sabibaby's picture

An explosion at a nuclear plant in France won't bode well for markets either. More news coming, just heard it on local news station, no details yet. 

Mon, 09/12/2011 - 08:14 | Link to Comment Sabibaby
Sabibaby's picture

Here we go -> http://www.cbc.ca/news/world/story/2011/09/12/france-nuclear-plant-explosion.html?cmp=rss

 

Not sure how this will impact stocks, probably well send them radioactive. Algo's like radiation, causes more latency for everyone else.

Mon, 09/12/2011 - 08:29 | Link to Comment how to trade ar...
how to trade armageddon's picture

It's looking like another good time for bears to take profits, but not a clear and easy call., Don't want to be too greedy but don't want to miss the next leg down, either. 

Mon, 09/12/2011 - 10:32 | Link to Comment ceilidh_trail
ceilidh_trail's picture

I agree. Covered friday, looking to figure when to catch another wave. The signs are here, but hard to believe the .govs will not try to prevent meltdown...

Mon, 09/12/2011 - 08:33 | Link to Comment Peter K
Peter K's picture

It's not all bad news. The EUR/USD has recovered and filled the gap :)

PS Whose the idiot buying this shit.

PSS Which I could write the above PS in Mandarin ;)

Mon, 09/12/2011 - 08:55 | Link to Comment Yamaha
Yamaha's picture

Next - Obama lays a wreath at the NYSE...

Mon, 09/12/2011 - 08:57 | Link to Comment hungarianboy
hungarianboy's picture

The EUR FRA/OIS was around 150 when Lehman fell. Before itt collapsed it was around the 80.

We currently trade in the 83.65.

 

I guess Tyler was talking about this.

Mon, 09/12/2011 - 09:08 | Link to Comment Zenster
Zenster's picture

Steady downhill slope bitchz!

Mon, 09/12/2011 - 09:43 | Link to Comment jmcadg
jmcadg's picture

So why is the Euro still at $1.36. Unbelievable.

Tue, 09/13/2011 - 22:04 | Link to Comment moxia19
moxia19's picture

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