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Risk Off As Greek Chaos Returns

Tyler Durden's picture




 

With the Greeks unable to hug it out and new elections (as per Venizelos and Kammenos) all but guaranteed, the probability that Greece will exit just went to 11 on the dial. Markets hiccupped and plunged, giving up all the German GDP gains and then some. EURUSD traded back below 1.2800 - trading 1.2780 as we post, S&P 500 e-mini futures dumped 13 points now below yesterday's lows, Europe's DAX took a dive, and all European sovereign bond spreads tore higher dominated by Portugal, Spain, and Italy (+38-48bps on the week now). Credit spreads are gapping wider in Europe and the US. Commodities, which had been limping a little higher - on weaker USD and growth-hopiness we suppose - have reversed those gains with Silver and Oil underperforming. Treasuries and Bunds in lockstep and notably lower in yield - to lows of day.

EURUSD Plunge...

and ES is making new cycle lows...

and Sovereign spreads surging...

 

Charts: Bloomberg

 

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Tue, 05/15/2012 - 09:22 | 2426473 SeverinSlade
SeverinSlade's picture

I thought a Greek exit was priced in?

Tue, 05/15/2012 - 09:23 | 2426488 Max Hunter
Max Hunter's picture

It is.

Tue, 05/15/2012 - 09:25 | 2426505 disabledvet
disabledvet's picture

b e i n g...

Tue, 05/15/2012 - 09:30 | 2426542 5880
5880's picture

It's not

Tue, 05/15/2012 - 10:00 | 2426707 Max Hunter
Max Hunter's picture

Some people are pricing it in.. have been.. and more by the day..

Tue, 05/15/2012 - 09:24 | 2426492 battle axe
battle axe's picture

DEFAULT< DEFAULT< DEFAULT<

Tue, 05/15/2012 - 09:25 | 2426509 disabledvet
disabledvet's picture

p r i c e d

Tue, 05/15/2012 - 09:47 | 2426636 chinaguy
chinaguy's picture

Yes, WTF happened to the $430 million payment that Greece was supposed to make to a HF today -----causing a default????

Tue, 05/15/2012 - 09:23 | 2426476 Croatian Patriot
Croatian Patriot's picture

Game, set match!

Tue, 05/15/2012 - 09:26 | 2426506 Joe The Plumber
Joe The Plumber's picture

Juncker is quoted as saying greece is gonna get leeway on the budget

Compromise and can kicking will resume shortly

I am buying broad indices. I believe europe will back down on greece

Tue, 05/15/2012 - 09:32 | 2426552 WonderDawg
WonderDawg's picture

Good luck with that. You might be a little early, but these days, who can tell?

Tue, 05/15/2012 - 09:27 | 2426515 disabledvet
disabledvet's picture

i n

Tue, 05/15/2012 - 09:23 | 2426479 youngman
youngman's picture

And gold and silver took another dump.....go figure

Tue, 05/15/2012 - 09:26 | 2426517 disabledvet
disabledvet's picture

a s

Tue, 05/15/2012 - 09:23 | 2426481 Cognitive Dissonance
Cognitive Dissonance's picture

"Now that's a dump a man would be proud of."

Butchie Yost

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/John_from_Cincinnati

Tue, 05/15/2012 - 09:27 | 2426521 disabledvet
disabledvet's picture

i

Tue, 05/15/2012 - 09:32 | 2426548 GetZeeGold
GetZeeGold's picture

 

 

Nurse Rachet.......please bring a shot of Thorazine STAT!

 

Tue, 05/15/2012 - 11:20 | 2427117 bankruptcylawyer
bankruptcylawyer's picture

hey cd i havne't seen a post by you in a while. bonzai on the other hand...is in top form. the man gets better by the day and he is PROLIFIC. 

i hope you're well. 

z

Tue, 05/15/2012 - 09:23 | 2426482 lolmao500
lolmao500's picture

No matter what happens, Silver always tanks.

Tue, 05/15/2012 - 09:26 | 2426513 Lets_Eat_Ben
Lets_Eat_Ben's picture

Sure seems that way doesn't it? Have no fear though, Max is leading a rally of the Silver Liberation Army.

 

Tue, 05/15/2012 - 09:36 | 2426570 Cognitive Dissonance
Cognitive Dissonance's picture

Silver.

The other Ponzi poison.

Tue, 05/15/2012 - 09:22 | 2426483 Jason T
Jason T's picture

Still feels like a market run by super computers programmed by a few large global banking instutitions.  

Tue, 05/15/2012 - 09:22 | 2426484 Lets_Eat_Ben
Lets_Eat_Ben's picture

Good! Let's get this fucked up show on the road!

Tue, 05/15/2012 - 09:23 | 2426486 Terra-Firma
Terra-Firma's picture

Yes! Fuck the Fraudsters!

Tue, 05/15/2012 - 09:24 | 2426501 NetDamage
NetDamage's picture

Kaaaabooooooooooom!

Tue, 05/15/2012 - 09:24 | 2426502 junkyardjack
junkyardjack's picture

Its not all risk off...

Facebook’s (FB) decision to raise the expected price for its initial public offering this week to $34-38 from $28-$35 has spurred interest this morning in the handful of publicly traded funds and investment companies that own the stock.

The light at the end of the tunnel is a freight train to mow you down

Tue, 05/15/2012 - 09:26 | 2426504 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

How many times can they play this game before people finally throw in the towel and say fuck it?

Tue, 05/15/2012 - 09:45 | 2426621 Cognitive Dissonance
Cognitive Dissonance's picture

Until there are no more greater fools.

Thankfully (for the Ponzi men) many greater fools return for more rump reaming after a brief recovery period.

Tue, 05/15/2012 - 09:25 | 2426510 Moneyswirth
Moneyswirth's picture

For pete's sake, doesn't anyone read the papers anymore?!

Europe Dodges Recession

It's all good, what the f*ck are you all bellyaching about? 

Everyone's stupid except me....

Tue, 05/15/2012 - 09:28 | 2426531 Lets_Eat_Ben
Lets_Eat_Ben's picture

hahaha...I think I'll have that on my grave stone, "Everyone is stupid but me."

Tue, 05/15/2012 - 11:25 | 2427153 mick_richfield
mick_richfield's picture

Not bad.

Gives me an idea for husband-and-wife tombstones that both say "I'm with stupid."  With arrows.

Tue, 05/15/2012 - 09:37 | 2426562 Scalaris
Scalaris's picture

Better call Kenny Loggins 'cause we're in the danger zone.

Tue, 05/15/2012 - 09:29 | 2426516 ThirdWorldDude
ThirdWorldDude's picture

Khaos in Laos Bitcheeez!

 

p.s. I hope they won't forget to put a finishline marker on the ES.

Tue, 05/15/2012 - 09:27 | 2426518 agent default
agent default's picture

Ok, that's it.  BOOT THEM OUT NOW!!!

Tue, 05/15/2012 - 09:30 | 2426534 mademesmile
mademesmile's picture

I have a local shop that sells at spot. Thinking about picking up a few more stacks.

Tue, 05/15/2012 - 09:30 | 2426535 disabledvet
disabledvet's picture

Is "thread hijacking" a crime?

Tue, 05/15/2012 - 09:43 | 2426536 q99x2
q99x2's picture

Must be whale watching season.

    Really. Maybe most of the 900 signed up like me and then never touched the crap again but couldn't figure out how to cancel their membership you fools.

    3/4s of the membership is not active. Now run your numbers you GS prick MF'ers.

    (talking about CNBC here)

    Tue, 05/15/2012 - 11:28 | 2427165 mick_richfield
    mick_richfield's picture

    What is facebook, anyway?  Was is based on that movie?

    Tue, 05/15/2012 - 13:49 | 2428081 MarsInScorpio
    MarsInScorpio's picture

    Great point. I tried it for marketing and got zero. But maybe I didn't do it long enough . . .

    -30-

    Tue, 05/15/2012 - 09:30 | 2426544 buzzsaw99
    buzzsaw99's picture

    greece will never be free under the euro-bankster regime.

    Tue, 05/15/2012 - 09:31 | 2426546 Cole Younger
    Cole Younger's picture

    I suspect Greece has the EU gripped firmly by the balls. They will have to do what ever is needed to keep them in the EU now. It sets the stage for the rest of the PIIGS..Germany is screwed...

    Tue, 05/15/2012 - 09:35 | 2426559 Unbezahlbar
    Unbezahlbar's picture

    Timmy always wanted a "strong dollar."

    Looks like he's going to get one.

    Tue, 05/15/2012 - 09:34 | 2426560 casey13
    casey13's picture

    So is the Euro worth more or less without Greece?

    Tue, 05/15/2012 - 09:37 | 2426573 HomeBrewPrepper
    HomeBrewPrepper's picture

    When will the other pigs get a half trillion then 6 months later leave the euro?

    Austerity? For who, us? F- it we outta here. Can we have our gold back please.

    Tue, 05/15/2012 - 09:40 | 2426582 jcpicks
    jcpicks's picture

    How much longer must they let this game play out?

    Sever the ties and call it a day.

    Tue, 05/15/2012 - 09:39 | 2426586 Silverhog
    Silverhog's picture

    Spain's floater not going to flush as there is no water left in the toilet.

    Tue, 05/15/2012 - 09:43 | 2426610 Cognitive Dissonance
    Cognitive Dissonance's picture

    Looks like it's time to pee in the toilet tank.

    Everyone on three.

    One.....Two......

    Tue, 05/15/2012 - 09:50 | 2426652 FreeNewEnergy
    FreeNewEnergy's picture

    Yesterday was extremely important in my view, because if the Wall Street-Washington crowd really had things under control, the markets would have rallied nicely.

    The control freaks have lost their grip because the true market fundamental that can never be defeated - deflation - is devouring everything in its path - stocks, gold, silver, oil, beef, wheat, you name it, it's all going lower and this time they can't stop it.

    It's too late in the game. The CBs tried and failed. We are at the beginning of the end game, especially for the Euro, but for the global economy.

    All the fancy games played by the Fed and EU leaders are failing in massive fashion. Get short or get out. Best to be on the sidelines here sipping Mai Tais and munching hors d'oevres while the world crashes into the depths of the Second great Depression (which, incidentally, began in 2008).

    Enjoy the show. It should be a spectacular jubilee. Free houses for everyone (except banksters and politicians).

    Tue, 05/15/2012 - 13:53 | 2428107 MarsInScorpio
    MarsInScorpio's picture

    Great points.

     

    I've always enjoyed the way they just can't bring themselves to call it the Second Great Depression - even though that is exactly what it is. The Great Recession allows them to write history without being the ones who sunk the ship.

    -30-

    Tue, 05/15/2012 - 10:08 | 2426742 PR Guy
    PR Guy's picture

    So Greeks to go back to the ballot box eh?

    It’s a straightforward play.

    PASOK/ND will campaign on a platform of this now being a vote on exit from the Euro - and probably pick up some money on the QT from various interested parties in Europe to help fully fund the PR campaign (don’t tell me it’s illegal and therefore doesn’t happen per-lease).

    They will be fully backed up by a number of elected and non-elected European politicians making lots of public noise for the Greek newspapers that if they don’t vote the right way this time they will be leaving the Euro and facing total ruin and disaster and all their children will die within six weeks and there will be a great pestilence on the land, etc.

    The Greek electorate will be bombarded with this PR in the period leading up to the next round of voting and they don’t stand a chance. Not a hope. There will probably also be some dirty tricks on the main threats to the desired outcome too. Maybe a couple of harmless bombs will also go off that will be somehow linked back to anti-bailout parties and lots of noise about them causing violence and civil war if they win.

    It’s all so pathetically predictable.

    PASOK/ND will pick up just enough votes to form a majority of a small handful and it’s back to business as usual. Boom, boom (or should that be bust, bust?).

    Don’tcha just love democracy? It’s so easily subverted.

    p.s. You can buy 10yr Greek bonds today for less than 15. Yield now 29.7% - fill yer boots.

    Tue, 05/15/2012 - 10:12 | 2426777 Olympia
    Olympia's picture

    By knowing what happened in indebted Greece, where loan sharks created “bubbles” and the current inhuman debt, one can understand the inhuman plan in total ...understand where this plan started just to bring all states at the same end ...understand how this type of plans are established...

     

    http://eamb-ydrohoos.blogspot.com/2012/01/global-debt-crisis.html

     


    Global Debt Crisis

    The greatest private fraud of human history.
    Who are the great fraudsters who are becoming the murderers of the human kind? How does the economy "illness" threaten Democracy and the freedom of people?

     

    Authored by PANAGIOTIS TRAIANOU

    Tue, 05/15/2012 - 10:47 | 2426971 navy62802
    navy62802's picture

    What ever happened to that massive 400 billion euro payment that Greece was supposed to come up with today?

    Tue, 05/15/2012 - 11:13 | 2427084 Nobody For President
    Nobody For President's picture

    Sure glad we have all this good news coming at us today. The DOW is presently up a thundering .03%, birds are singing, and a goddamned deer just got into the garden and I gotta go chase her out without her killing herself on the fence - deer get panicked and can kill themselves trying to break through the fence when they are some 50 feet from the open gate (my bad) - sort of like hedge fund managers, come to think of it. But I gotta go...

    Do NOT follow this link or you will be banned from the site!