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The Rumors Begin Early

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Contrary to what some may have been expecting, there was no coordinated grand central-bank bailout announcement over the weekend (and likely won't be one for a while). Instead we got promises of plans for a master plan, even as Soros gave Europe 3 months (or 2 months and 29 days as of today). Still, that has not prevented European stocks from rising to intraday highs driven by the EUR, and fears of a major snap-back rally in the record oversold currency as explained here yesterday. It also means that, as warned repeatedly, even the faintest hint of German capitulation will trigger buy programs. Such as this one just hitting the tape:

  • MERKEL, BARROSO TO MAKE STATEMENTS AT 7 P.M. IN BERLIN
  • EU SAYS BANKING UNION ON AGENDA FOR BARROSO-MERKEL MEETING

No clarification, nothing of substance: the mere suspense now is enough to make traders ignore that nothing is getting better. But at least for the time being nothing is (much) worse.

Expect Germany to promptly dash hopes that it is fixing anything. Remember XO = 1000 bps before anything real happens.

 

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Mon, 06/04/2012 - 06:50 | 2491052 chinaguy
chinaguy's picture
  • EU says banking union on agenda for Barroso-Merkel meeting
  • EU says ‘no secret plan’ on saving the euro
Mon, 06/04/2012 - 07:01 | 2491062 Ghordius
Ghordius's picture

there is one "grand master plan" that is secret - or at least secret if you read the wrong news, or if you don't notice it because it get's buried, since it tells the wrong narrative - hint, hint ;-)

I'm talking about the EFChttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/European_Fiscal_Compact

And the European Socialists (and a lot of bankers) are shocked to note that 60% of the Irish voted the conservative way -> yes to the EFC

the comments here are really funny, (one guy writing about the Telegraph Taliban Lies http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/europe/ireland/9306283/Ireland...)

Mon, 06/04/2012 - 07:24 | 2491087 Soul Train
Soul Train's picture

So maybe no big gap down on opening, and we can have just a nice steady downdraft these next two to three weeks.

Like a wounded aircraft with engines hunting - sputtering - until it finally skids on the runway.

This go round, if indeed it makes a rough skid landing, it's going to take a whole lot more than some politicians and Central Banks to fix the beast machine. And quite a bit of time. Talk about a lost decade. They can try to prime the pump all they want, but they forgot the impellers inside are worn out and missing.

 

Mon, 06/04/2012 - 06:51 | 2491054 LongSoupLine
LongSoupLine's picture

So sick of this bullshit. ES was down 10 points at the open yesterday and now is green. Total horseshit.

Mon, 06/04/2012 - 07:25 | 2491100 Boilermaker
Boilermaker's picture

All we have to do us audit the FRBNY and....oh wait, that's not allowed.

You can't know what's in the sausage. Just eat it and shut up.

Mon, 06/04/2012 - 06:53 | 2491056 chistletoe
chistletoe's picture

sell the fucking rise

Mon, 06/04/2012 - 06:54 | 2491058 rp1
rp1's picture

They'll call it "Weimar 2" or possibly "The New Weimar".

Mon, 06/04/2012 - 06:54 | 2491060 Seize Mars
Seize Mars's picture

It really is a zoo, and they really are the zookeepers.

You get the sense that they wouldn't tell us anything if we weren't able to piece it together ourselves.

Fuck this. I want to live free, not the life of a zoo animal.

Mon, 06/04/2012 - 07:19 | 2491094 Soul Train
Soul Train's picture

yep, the government lies. Manipulative, with lots of dirty angles and double-speak through both sides of their mouth.

Rock on, Fight Club.

We're cornering them.

They gotta hate us!

Mon, 06/04/2012 - 06:57 | 2491063 SDRII
SDRII's picture

Q the interview with Gorman on CNBC and listen to him justify moving the derivatives book into the "bank"...Everyone else is doing it..

 

Mon, 06/04/2012 - 07:00 | 2491066 crawl
crawl's picture

Talk is so cheap but very effective at getting the markets green. Expect no material outcome, just more meeting announcements as things get worse to keep the markets from tumbling. Algos, got to love them.

Mon, 06/04/2012 - 07:02 | 2491070 valley chick
valley chick's picture

  Quote: 

  • EU SAYS BANKING UNION ON AGENDA FOR BARROSO-MERKEL MEETING
  • And what exactly will this "fix" ??? 

    Mon, 06/04/2012 - 07:07 | 2491073 Ghordius
    Ghordius's picture

    the rumour mill, of course. please remember that Barroso is a Maoist Communist full of China-friendly proposals. He likes to put this kind of items on the agenda whenever he meets Angie Merkel...

    Mon, 06/04/2012 - 07:38 | 2491119 XitSam
    XitSam's picture

    Fix? Nothing. We're back to last year's comic-trajedy of declare a meeting, have the meeting, announce a solution with details to be worked out later. Markets are happy for a brief period until there are no details. Then back to chaos and declare another meeting.

    Mon, 06/04/2012 - 07:04 | 2491071 DormRoom
    DormRoom's picture

    One Debt to rule them all, One Debt to find them,
    One Debt to bring them all and in the darkness bind them

    Mon, 06/04/2012 - 07:06 | 2491072 TheFuture_MrGittes
    TheFuture_MrGittes's picture

    Merkel Travesty:  17 Countries

    (to the tune of Merle Travis: 16 Tons)

     

    A minor                 F                     E         

    A currency union made outa FUD,

    Deficit spending trending to blood,

    Differing ideas and economies wrong,

    With PIIGS that’s weak and a core that’s strong,

     

    You bind 17 countries and waddaya get?

    A decade older and trillions in debt,

    Some might leave but they can’t go yet,

    Cos they sold their peons on the € project.

    Mon, 06/04/2012 - 07:08 | 2491075 timbo_em
    timbo_em's picture

    I expect some sort of 160 bn euro stimulus package. Easier access to EU funds, enlargement of the European Investment Bank. That has been discussed over the last few weeks. And of course, some nice phrases about some future plans like an EU-wide banking regulation, etc. I don't expect much more, because for further measures (ie, a real banking union, direct bank funding via EFSF/ESM or deposit guarantee scheme) Merkel would need the backing of her coalition MPs.

    Mon, 06/04/2012 - 07:09 | 2491077 azzhatter
    azzhatter's picture

    Any update on when Nigel Farage will make a statement?

    Mon, 06/04/2012 - 07:10 | 2491078 LeonardoFibonacci
    LeonardoFibonacci's picture

    You can never leave the Hotel California.

    Mon, 06/04/2012 - 07:13 | 2491086 LeBalance
    LeBalance's picture

    temptation and rising above (transcendence) has many forms.

    do you see this society?

    does it make you ill?

    do you long for another?

    make it happen!

    even in your own heart!

    *intention is the key*

    i look outside everyday into the pesticide sprayed condo complex with its cute ornamental gardens and long for food forests and herbal hedges.  But can I have this?  Or should I keep it in my heart and make it happen if I can?

    temptation into debt.  Repulsion may mean you have explored that avenue of experience already.

    its all math, experience math, been there, matrix elements filled in, no need to go anymore.

    so are we all corks about to pop the bottle?

    I don't know.

    take care.

    Mon, 06/04/2012 - 07:16 | 2491090 gatorengineer
    gatorengineer's picture

    This points out a key difference in the markets.  In the US a bot powered  line shot straight up.  In europe a YAWN....

    Mon, 06/04/2012 - 07:30 | 2491095 Dead Canary
    Dead Canary's picture

    That's it. I mean it. I'm emigrating to Mars. It's gotta be better than here.

    (And I hear those Martian babes have 10 tits)

    Mon, 06/04/2012 - 07:22 | 2491097 Boilermaker
    Boilermaker's picture

    SURPRISE!!!

    Mon, 06/04/2012 - 07:48 | 2491133 valley chick
    valley chick's picture

    been waiting for this post.  :)

    Mon, 06/04/2012 - 07:26 | 2491103 cnhedge3
    cnhedge3's picture

    On Spain’s banking recap and capital flight
    http://www.cnhedge.com/thread-6966-1-1.html

    Mon, 06/04/2012 - 07:30 | 2491107 insanelysane
    insanelysane's picture

    I thought Spain said that Spain doesn't need a bailout.

    The stupidity will continue until the bank runs become widespread.

     

    Mon, 06/04/2012 - 07:34 | 2491117 ZeroPoint
    ZeroPoint's picture

    If cars ran on European rumors, gas would be 2 euros a barrel.

     

    Mon, 06/04/2012 - 07:52 | 2491144 No Euros please...
    No Euros please we're British's picture

    Spain's banks are OK, Spain doesn't need a bailout. There, I fixed it.

    Mon, 06/04/2012 - 08:12 | 2491161 gwar5
    gwar5's picture

    I'm beginning to think that all the master race of bankers has got is Rumors.

    Mon, 06/04/2012 - 08:29 | 2491205 nomorebuyins
    nomorebuyins's picture

    S&P closed 1278, futures show up 4 at 1278. Wtf?

    Mon, 06/04/2012 - 11:25 | 2492065 Negro Primero
    Negro Primero's picture

    (Historical reminder >  Klara Merkel, Joseph Barroso & other tin-top dictators) 

    'Map Of Europe: 1000 AD To Present Day'

    "http://www.liveleak.com/ll_embed?f=88648d830b5c"

     

    Mon, 06/04/2012 - 13:04 | 2492437 slackrabbit
    slackrabbit's picture

    MERKEL, BARROSO TO MAKE STATEMENTS AT 7 P.M. IN BERLIN

     

    MERKEL 'I have crabs'

    BARROSO 'I got them from Beloskoni'

    Do NOT follow this link or you will be banned from the site!