Saudi Arabia's Prince Nayef, Next In Line To Throne, Dies; Saudi Shares Plunge

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Coming into the weekend, most were focusing on key events coming out of Greece and France, possibly Egypt, but nobody expected that Saudi Arabia would be thrown into the fray. That just happened, however, following news that Saudi Arabia's Crown Prince Nayef bin Abdulaziz al-Saud has died in Geneva, according to Saudi state television, citing a royal court statement. The news has sent Saudi shares sliding, because now 89-year-old King Abdullah must nominate a new heir for the second time in nine months. And the last thing the middle-east region needs, not to mention the world's biggest oil producer, needs is more geopolitical uncertainty.

From Reuters:

Nayef, interior minister since 1975 and thought to be 78, was the heir to Saudi King Abdullah and was appointed crown prince in October after the death of his elder brother and predecessor in the role, Crown Prince Sultan.

 

State television said the burial would be in Mecca on Sunday.

 

Defence Minister Prince Salman, 76, seen as likely to continue King Abdullah's cautious reforms, has long been viewed as the next most senior prince in the kingdom's succession.

 

Nayef had a reputation as a steely conservative who opposed King Abdullah's reforms and developed a formidable security infrastructure that crushed al Qaeda but also locked up some political activists.

 

He, King Abdullah and Salman are among the nearly 40 sons of Saudi Arabia's founder, Abdulaziz ibn Saud, who established the kingdom in 1935.

 

Salman was made defence minister in November and had served as Riyadh governor for five decades.

 

Nayef went to Switzerland for medical tests in May.

What are the strategic implications of the death? Back in March, Stratfor did an analysis looking at just that in "Saudi Arabia's Succession Labyrinth"

The Saudi royalty's health problems come at a time of great uncertainty for Riyadh. On the home front, the Saudis are trying to ensure that the regional Arab unrest does not spill into its borders. At the same time, they are trying to counter an increasingly aggressive Iran. That said, the al-Saud regime has proved to be remarkably resilient over the course of its history, remaining in power despite the forced abdication of the founder’s successor, King Saud, in 1964; the assassination of King Faisal in 1975; and the stroke-induced incapacitation of King Fahd for nearly a decade until his death in 2005, when King Abdullah took the throne.

 

Setting Up a Succession Plan

 

Sensing that the power-sharing method within the family had become untenable due to the sheer number of descendants seeking power and influence within the regime, King Abdullah in 2007 moved to enact the Allegiance Institution Law, which created a leadership council and a formal mechanism to guide future transitions of power.

 

This new, 35-member body, called the Allegiance Council, is made up of the 15 surviving sons of the founder and 19 of his grandsons -- a disparity that will grow as the sons begin to die. Its purpose is to choose the new king and crown prince when they die or are permanently incapacitated, but the new institution remains an untested body. Perhaps most problematic, the processes the council is set to govern are being implemented at a time when the second generation is on its way out. Had this formal process of succession been initiated earlier, it would have been institutionalized during the era of the sons of the founder. They were far fewer in number and worked directly with their father to build the kingdom, giving them a stronger claim to authority than anyone in the subsequent generation. An earlier start would have allowed the second generation to deal with the many problems that inevitably crop up with any new system.

 

The composition of the Allegiance Council is such that it gives representation to all the sons of the founder. This is done through either their direct membership on the council or via the grandsons whose fathers are deceased, incapacitated, or otherwise unwilling to assume the throne. The reigning king and his crown prince are not members but each has a son on the council. The council is chaired by the eldest son of the founder, with his second-oldest brother as his deputy. Should there be no one left from the second generation, the leadership of the council falls to the eldest grandson. Any time there is a vacancy, the king is responsible for appointing a replacement, though it is not known if King Abdullah has filled the vacancy created by the death of Prince Fawaz bin Abdul-Aziz, who died in July 2008, some six months after the establishment of the council.

 

When King Abdullah dies, the council will pledge allegiance to the crown prince, currently Prince Nayef, though given his declining health it is questionable whether he will outlive the king. But the issue of the next crown prince is mired in a potential contradiction. According to the new law, after consultation with the Allegiance Council, the king can submit up to three candidates to the council for approval. The council can reject all of them and name a fourth candidate. But if the king rejects the council’s nominee then the council will vote between its own candidate and the one preferred by the king, and the candidate who gets the most votes becomes the crown prince. There is also the option that the king may ask the council to nominate a candidate. In any case, a new crown prince must be appointed within a month of the new king’s accession.

 

This new procedure, however, conflicts with the established practice in which the second deputy prime minister takes over as crown prince, a policy that has been followed since King Faisal appointed Fahd to the post. In fact, the current king, after not naming a second deputy prime minister (essentially a crown prince-in-waiting) for four years, appointed Interior Minister Prince Naif to the post in March 2009. But since Naif became crown prince (and thus deputy prime minister), the post of second deputy prime minister remains vacant. Salman, next in the line of succession, should have been given this post, but this has not yet happened. Regardless, however, the post of second deputy prime minister after the establishment of the Allegiance Council raises the question of whether established tradition will be replaced by the new formal procedure.

 

The law also addresses the potential scenario in which both the king and crown prince fall ill such that they cannot fulfill their duties, which could transpire in the current situation given the health issues of both King Abdullah and Crown Prince Naif. In such a situation, the Allegiance Council would set up a five-member Transitory Ruling Council that would take over the affairs of the state until at least one of the leaders regained his health. If, however, it is determined by a special medical board that both leaders are permanently incapacitated, the Allegiance Council must appoint a new king within seven days.

 

In the event that both the king and crown prince die simultaneously, the Allegiance Council would appoint a new king. The Transitory Ruling Council would govern until the new king was appointed. While it has been made clear that the Transitory Ruling Council will not be allowed to amend a number of state laws, its precise powers and composition have not been defined.

 

What Lies Ahead

 

The kingdom has little precedent in terms of constitutionalism. It was only in 1992 that the first constitution was developed, and even then the country has been largely governed via consensus obtained through informal means involving tribal and familial ties. Therefore, when this new formal mechanism for succession is put into practice, the House of Saud is bound to run into problems not only in implementation, but also competing interpretations.

 

To make matters worse, the Saudis are in the midst of this succession dilemma -- and will be for many years to come given the advanced ages of many senior princes -- at a time of massive change within the kingdom and a shifting regional landscape.

 

Saudi Arabia is perhaps at the most important historical impasse since the founding of its first incarnation in 1744. A number of internal and external events are occurring simultaneously and subjecting the Saudi state to extreme strain. On the external front there are a number of challenges, the most significant of which is the regional rise of Iran, catalyzed by the Shia-dominated government in Baghdad and the withdrawal of U.S. forces from Iraq. The Saudis also do not wish to see a U.S.-Iranian conflict in the Persian Gulf, which would have destabilizing effects on the kingdom. While Riyadh was struggling with the challenge from Iran, the Arab unrest erupted in early 2011, which has created two major hot spots on the eastern and southern borders of the kingdom.

 

On the southern flank, Yemen was grappling with three different insurrections challenging the regime of aging Yemeni President Ali Abdullah Saleh even before the Arab unrest. A year later, Yemen is now in a post-Saleh period with a new president and various others jockeying for power. The Saudis are concerned about the Yemeni state and whether it will be able to hold together given that various forces are pulling Sanaa in different directions and jihadists are taking over significant swaths of territory.

 

On Saudi Arabia's east coast, Bahrain's Shia majority rose up against the minority Sunni monarchy. Bahrain is a bridge away from Saudi Arabia’s Eastern Province, which houses the largest concentration of Shia and represents a huge potential for Iran to gain a foothold on the Arabian Peninsula. This is why we saw Riyadh team up with its Gulf Cooperation Council allies to engage in its first-ever foreign military deployment to assist Manama’s security forces. Through this action, Saudi Arabia was able to contain the agitation, at least for the time being.

 

The empowerment of the Muslim Brotherhood in Egypt -- following the ouster of Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak -- and like-minded Islamist forces elsewhere in North Africa poses another major challenge for the Saudis. The meltdown of decades-old autocratic regimes together with the electoral successes of Islamists has implications for the stability of Saudi Arabia’s Islamic monarchical model of governance. Concerns about the Muslim Brotherhood being a beneficiary of the uprising in Syria has the Saudi kingdom proceeding cautiously in supporting the rebels there, even though the ouster of the Syrian regime represents the single best option to weaken the threat from Iran.

 

Furthermore, the Syrian unrest has implications for Lebanon, Jordan and the Israeli-Palestinian conflict -- all key areas of interest for the Saudis on their northern flank.

 

Turkey’s bid for leadership in the Middle East is a new variable the kingdom has not had to deal with since the close of World War I and the demise of the Ottoman Empire. In the near term, the Saudis take comfort in the idea that Turkey can serve as a counter to Iran, but the long-term challenge posed by Turkey’s rise is a worrying development, especially since the Saudi leaders’ predecessors lost control of the Arabian Peninsula twice to the Ottomans -- once in 1818 and then again in 1891.

 

Even in Afghanistan and Pakistan, the Saudis are caught between two unappealing options: side with the Taliban, as they did during the Taliban’s rule in the 1990s, and risk empowering al Qaeda-led jihadists, or oppose the Taliban and thus help Iran expand its influence in the area.

 

While the Saudis have time to deal with a number of these external challenges, they do not enjoy that same luxury in their domestic affairs. The Saudis have been largely successful in containing the threat from al Qaeda, but they have had to engage in radical reforms, spearheaded by King Abdullah, in order to do so. These include scaling back the powers of the religious establishment, expanding the public space for women, changing the educational sector and undertaking other social reforms.

 

These moves have led to a growing moderate-conservative divide at both the level of state and society and have galvanized those calling for further socio-political reforms as well as the significant Shia minority that seeks to exploit the opening provided by the reform process. These domestic issues have been magnified exponentially given the Arab unrest. In addition to the growing Shia protests in parts of the Eastern Province, there are reports of student unrest in the southwestern province of Asir.

 

There are also early signs of mainstream Saudis trying to mobilize in other parts of the kingdom -- at least over the Internet. It is difficult for the Saudi authorities to prevent a large university-educated youth population -- a large segment of which is unemployed -- from being affected by the new protest norm in the region.

 

Complicating this situation are fears of the religious establishment that the new regional climate is weakening its influence, especially if the government moves to engage in additional reforms. While thus far the Saudis have been able to control prominent Muslim scholars, known as the ulema class, especially with the limits on who can issue fatwas, the potential for backlash from the ulema remains. At the very least, the ulema will support more conservative factions in any power struggle.

 

All of these issues further complicate the Saudis’ venture into uncharted territory insofar as leadership changes are concerned. There are several princes who have already distinguished themselves as likely key players in a future Saudi regime. These include intelligence chief Prince Muqrin, the youngest living son of the founder and a member of the Allegiance Council; Prince Khalid bin Faisal, the governor of Mecca province; Prince Mitab bin Abdullah, the new commander of SANG; and Assistant Interior Minister Prince Mohammed bin Naif, the kingdom’s counterterrorism chief and head of the de-radicalization program designed to reintegrate repentant jihadists.

 

Stratfor is thus watching this issue very closely for any movement on the part of the untested Allegiance Council, which is expected to choose a crown prince and king as per the new succession law in the event of the death of the incumbents. Salman could take over as Crown Prince, but he is seen as the last of the major princes, which means it will be important to see who among the grandsons of the founder of the modern kingdom will emerge as key stakeholders in the Saudi system. But in the end, the real issue is whether the historically resilient Saudi monarchy will be able to continue to demonstrate resilience moving forward.

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Sat, 06/16/2012 - 09:41 | 2531893 ebear
ebear's picture

Not that way R2.  You'll get stuck for sure.

Sat, 06/16/2012 - 08:14 | 2531729 EL INDIO
EL INDIO's picture

Two in 9 months and all the shit that is happening worldwide

 

I say the catalyst for world war three will be the death of the king himself.

(Just like Ferdinand and World War I)

Sat, 06/16/2012 - 08:17 | 2531737 GMadScientist
GMadScientist's picture

Entangling alliances: check.

Sat, 06/16/2012 - 08:19 | 2531744 EL INDIO
EL INDIO's picture

And we are reaching the 100th anniversary of the first great war. Sounds like the right time to start a new one.

Sat, 06/16/2012 - 10:44 | 2531989 mick_richfield
mick_richfield's picture

Yes!  And the 100th anniversary of the Fed!  ( coincidence? )

Let's see, 25th anniversary is "silver", 50th anniversary is "golden" so ... what would the 100th be?

Ah, but wait, this is the Federal Reserve. 

For them every anniversary is paper, and blood.

Mon, 06/18/2012 - 08:07 | 2535864 Boxed Merlot
Boxed Merlot's picture

what would the 100th be?...

 

Jubilee.

Sat, 06/16/2012 - 10:50 | 2531997 Matt
Matt's picture

To the Tune of "99 Bottles"

15,000 Saudi Princes in line to the throne,

15,000 Saudi Princes in line to the throne,

If one of those princes should happen to fall,

that's 14,999 Saudi Princes in line to the throne,

Sat, 06/16/2012 - 08:39 | 2531759 Gully Foyle
Gully Foyle's picture

EL INDIO

Make of it what you will. To me it's a jumble but I always thought the line about the people destroying the Iron tower was 911 not the Eiffel tower.

Fun read

http://www.2exodus.com/Alois%20Irlmaier%27s%20Prophecy%20page.htm

Alois Irlmaier: World War III  (Alois Irlmaier a native German, a simple, devout Christian he was interviewed by writer Conrad Adlmaier in the nineteen fifties and what he said assumes an ominous new significance, particularly in the light of recent developments. In essence he saw the approach of another world war, asked what causes this war, he responded:)

Everything calls peace. Shalom! Then it will occur -- a new Middle East war suddenly flares up, big naval forces are facing hostility in the Mediterranean -- the situation is strained. But the actual firing spark is set on fire in the Balkans: I see a 'large one' falling, a bloody dagger lies beside him --then impact is on impact. Two men kill a third high-ranked. They were paid by other people. One of the murderers is a small black man, the other a little bit taller, with bright-colored hair. I think it will be at the Balkans, but I cannot say it exactly.

After the murder of the third it starts overnight. I see quite clearly three numbers, two eights and a nine. But I cannot say what it means and cannot state a time. The war begins at sunrise. He comes along very rapidly. The farmers sit in the pub playing cards, when the foreign soldiers look through the windows and doors. Quite black, an army comes from the east, but however everything occurs very rapidly. I see a three, but I do not know if it means three days or three weeks.

Massed units march from the East into Belgrade and moved forward into Italy. Thereafter three armored wedges immediately advance with lightening speed in the north of the Danube over West Germany towards the Rhine ñ without preliminary warning. This will occur so unexpectedly that the population flees full of panic to the west. Many cars clog the roads ñ if they had stayed at home or not used the main streets. Everything, which will be an obstacle for the rapidly advancing tanks on high-speed motorways and other fast motorways, will be down-rolled. I cannot see the Danube bridges above Regensburg anymore. Hardly anything remains of the big city Frankfurt. The Rhine Valley will be devastated, mainly by air.

I see three spearheads coming. The Russian does not stop anywhere, while running in his three wedges. Day and night they run in order to reach the Ruhr-district, where the many furnaces and fireplaces are. Day and night the Russians run, inexorably their target is the Ruhr-district.

Immediately the revenge comes from across the large water. However the yellow dragon invades in Alaska and Canada at the same time. But he comes not far.
And then it rains a yellow dust in a line. When the golden city is destroyed, it begins. Like a yellow line it goes up to the city in the bay. It will be a clear night, when they begin to throw it. The tanks are still driving, but those who sit in theses tanks become quite black. Where it falls down, everything will become quite dead, no tree, no bush, no cattle, no grass, this becomes withered and black. The houses still exist. I don't know what it is and so I cannot tell it. It is a long line. Who goes over this line, dies. Then everything in the spearheads breaks down. Nobody will come back anymore.

 

 


The airplanes drop a yellow powder between the Black Sea and the North Sea. Thus a death strip is created, straight from the Black Sea to the North Sea, as wide as half of Bavaria. In this zone no grass can grow let alone humans live. The Russian supply is interrupted.

From the east there are many caterpillars. But in the caterpillars everybody is already dead, although the vehicles keep rolling on, in order to gradually stop automatic. At the Rhine the attack is finally repelled. From the three spearheads no soldier will come home anymore.

The pilots throw off their small black boxes. They do explode, before they touch the soil, and spread a yellow or green smoke or dust. What comes into contact with this becomes dead, whether it is human, animal or plant. For one year no organism is allowed to enter this area, otherwise it will expose itself to the largest mortal danger. These boxes are satanic. When they explode, a yellow or green dust or smoke arises, everything that comes in contact to it, is dead. The humans becomes quite black and the meat falls off their bones, so sharply is the poison. nobody from these three armies will come home anymore.

Then I see someone flying, coming from the east, who drops something into the large water, so that something strange will happen. The water lifts itself as high as a tower and falls down, then everything is inundated. The whole action will not last long, I see three lines - three days, three weeks, three months, I don't know exactly but it wonít last long.

And then:

There is an earthquake. The southern part of England slips into the water. One part . . . disappears, when the thing falls into the sea. The countries at the sea are endangered of the water heavily, the waves go high as a house; it foams, as if it would boil. Islands disappear. A part of the proud island sinks, if the thing falls into the sea, which the pilot drops. Then the water lifts itself as high as a tower and falls down. What this thing is, I do not know. When it comes, I do not know.

During the war the big darkness comes, which last 72 hours. It will become dark at a day during the war. Then a hail impact, consisting of lightening and thunder, breaks out and an earthquake vibrates the earth. Please do not go out of the house at this time. The lights do not burn, except candle light, the current stops. Who inhales the dust, gets a cramp and dies. Do not open the windows, cover it completely with black paper. "Outside the death by dust goes around, many humans die. After 72 hours everything is over. But again: Do not go out of the house, do not look out of the windows, and keep the candle light burning. And pray. Overnight there will die more humans than in the two world wars before.

 


Do not open the windows during the 72 hours. The cattle falls, the grass becomes yellow and dry, the humans will become quite yellow and black. The wind drives the clouds of death off to the east.

The city with the iron tower (Paris?) becomes the victim of its own people. They ignite everything. Revolution is, and everything is going wildly.

The large city with the iron tower is on fire. But this has been done by its own people, not by those who came from the east. And in Italy it is going wildly too. They kill many people there and the Pope flees, but many clergymen will be killed, many churches collapse.

In Russia a revolution breaks out and a civil war. The corpses are so much that you cannot remove them off the roads anymore. The large ones among the party leaders commit suicide and in the blood the great guilty is washed off. I see a red mass mixed with yellow faces, it is a general riot and horrible killing.

The cross comes to honours anew. The Russian people believe in God anew. They sing the Easter song and burn candles in front of sacred pictures. By the prayers of Christianity the monster from hell dies; also the young people believe anew in the intercession of the God's mother.

If everything is over, a part of the inhabitants have died, and the people are frightened of God anew.

The laws, which bring death to the children, become invalid. Then peace will be. A good time. The Pope, who had not to flee across the water for a long time, returns. When the flowers bloom in the meadows, he will return and mourn for his murdered brothers. After these events a long, lucky time comes. But the people have to begin there, where their grandfathers began. End!

Sat, 06/16/2012 - 08:55 | 2531812 falak pema
falak pema's picture

there is nothing a good hooker will not cure in your literary problem. We must all contribute here at ZH. Forget the pope, concentrate on his little brother niched in Underland....I hope its not yet Neverland! Skol!

Sat, 06/16/2012 - 09:04 | 2531831 Inthemix96
Inthemix96's picture

Gully,

What happens when fuckers like me who have our eyes open dont turn up?  What then?  Who you gonna draft?  Me?  My kids?  my neighbours?  their kids?  Obama?  His kids?

Hhmm.......     Tell the fucking money men to fuck off, inthemix says so.

Fuck you money men, I have no chuck with no one.  Fight your own fights you cowardly fucking shits.  I fight when blankfein, rubin, dimon, paulson, obama, cameron, osbourne, clegg, pelosi, clinton, blair, brown, and all you other fucking parasites pick up a gun.

Idiots

Sat, 06/16/2012 - 09:36 | 2531885 Gully Foyle
Gully Foyle's picture

Inthemix96

Do you know Ali's history?

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Muhammad_Ali

Muhammad Ali (born Cassius Marcellus Clay, Jr.; January 17, 1942) is an American former professional boxer,[1] philanthropist[2] and social activist.[2] Considered a cultural icon, Ali was both idolized and vilified.[3][4]

Originally known as Cassius Clay, Ali changed his name after joining the Nation of Islam in 1964, subsequently converting to Sunni Islam in 1975, and more recently practicing Sufism.[clarification needed][5] In 1967, three years after Ali had won the World Heavyweight Championship, he was publicly vilified for his refusal to be conscripted into the U.S. military, based on his religious beliefs and opposition to the Vietnam War. Ali stated, "I ain't got no quarrel with them Viet Cong... No Viet Cong ever called me nigger" – one of the more telling remarks of the era.[6]

Widespread protests against the Vietnam War had not yet begun, but with that one phrase, Ali articulated the reason to oppose the war for a generation of young Americans, and his words served as a touchstone for the racial and antiwar upheavals that would rock the 1960s. Ali's example inspired Martin Luther King Jr. – who had been reluctant to alienate the Johnson Administration and its support of the civil rights agenda – to voice his own opposition to the war for the first time.[7]

Ali was eventually arrested and found guilty on draft evasion
charges; he was stripped of his boxing title, and his boxing license was
suspended. He was not imprisoned, but did not fight again for nearly
four years while his appeal worked its way up to the U.S. Supreme Court, where it was eventually successful.

Ali would go on to become the first and only three-time lineal World Heavyweight Champion.

Nicknamed "The Greatest," Ali was involved in several historic boxing matches.[8] Notable among these were three with rival Joe Frazier, which are considered among the greatest in boxing history, and one with George Foreman,
where he finally regained his stripped titles seven years later. Ali
was well known for his unorthodox fighting style, which he described as
"float[ing] like a butterfly, sting[ing] like a bee", and employing
techniques such as the Ali Shuffle and the rope-a-dope.[9]
Ali had brought beauty and grace to the most uncompromising of sports
and through the wonderful excesses of skill and character, he had become
the most famous athlete in the world.[10] He was also known for his pre-match hype, where he would "trash talk" opponents, often with rhymes.


(In reading Human Smoke I realized that the pacifists as were known before WW2 are gone. Their ideals have virtually vanished from the political stage, to be replaced with the worst type of partisanship.)

Sat, 06/16/2012 - 09:56 | 2531915 Cortez the Killer
Cortez the Killer's picture

Sports was all down hill after Ali

showboating, running your mouth, disrespecting your beaten opponent- all of it became acceptable and commonplace.

As did the concept that If I can beat your ass then I'm right and you're wrong

Ali's bad influence on sports and society, glorified by the media, is immeasurable.

Sat, 06/16/2012 - 23:37 | 2533128 goldfish1
goldfish1's picture

Ali's a fukkin hero.

Sun, 06/17/2012 - 02:39 | 2533291 Inthemix96
Inthemix96's picture

OK Ill bite, are you some how refering to me as a pacifist?

You have little to no idea what your talking about gully folly.  Just because I my family and my own will not take up arms against no one who has done me harm, that makes me a pacifist?  Right on brother, keep posting innane fucking drivel on the interweb mate, just make sure you are prepared for when the time comes.

And I mean it, when the likes of the war criminals blair and bush, their kids, and their familys are on the front line, kicking off with people we have no direct contact with, or who probably couldnt give a shit about, when one of those fuckers gives his life, for his fucking just cause, then come back.  Me?  I couldnt give two fucks.  Fuck the money men gully folly, wake up.

Sat, 06/16/2012 - 09:17 | 2531854 Global Hunter
Global Hunter's picture

Gully that is some crazy wacked out maniacal shit you've posted...unfortunately I find it very plausible.

Sat, 06/16/2012 - 09:41 | 2531894 Gully Foyle
Gully Foyle's picture

Global Hunter

Sometimes I think because we inhabit a multiverse made up of many universes rangeing from the near exact copy to the radically different, visionaries mange a glimpse into the others. Mystics, SCIFI authors, so on may merely be channeling the events of another place just like this.

Everyone quotes Nostradamus, but there are a shitload of other people who have made predictions.

Some like Criswell are worth the read just to see what pure bullshit sells.

In this case, I stumbled across the Iron Tower line just after 911 and it strick a chord.


Sat, 06/16/2012 - 14:53 | 2532391 The Big Ching-aso
The Big Ching-aso's picture

 

 

A shitload indeed with emphasis on the shit if I may be so bold.    I can take excerpts from the Bible, (which in this case this author blatantly rips off Revelation IMO), and make it sound with some tweaks here and tweaks there like I'm some prophesizer extraordinaire.    Beware of simple-living devout BS artists professing to be the real-deal when in reality they're grand plagiarizers, con artists with agendas, and at best mediocre aspiring novelists.  Yeah they had a shitload of them in the 1950's just as today.   BTW they're almost always described as 'devout' by some interviewer as if a shimmering halo covers their pate up until they're caught buggering little boys in cloisters and shower stalls.

If I don't personally know a man's soul and if he wipes his ass just like everyone else does, then I must assume that what comes out of his mouth if it sounds as if God himself is speaking down to us from Heaven through His charming channel of piety, is damn very well suspect on all counts and then some.

 Ps 2 the BS:   I've also heard that the 'object' which hits said water is not man-made but is per various interpretations of Revelation a flaming asteroid sent forth by command from of all places, Heaven itself.

 

Mon, 06/18/2012 - 04:42 | 2535660 Ar-Pharazôn
Ar-Pharazôn's picture

-999

Sat, 06/16/2012 - 13:40 | 2532353 Canaduh
Canaduh's picture

So let me get the SA heirarchy straight-

#1. 88 year old man

#2. Dead, no replacement yet

#3. Dead, no replacement yet

No power vacuum there, nope. What's this , a 20 person council of princes decide on who #2 and #3 should be? That should work out well.

Sat, 06/16/2012 - 08:13 | 2531731 Praetor
Praetor's picture

Peak Saudi Princes.

Sat, 06/16/2012 - 08:17 | 2531739 GMadScientist
GMadScientist's picture

Heavy Sour Crude. ;)

Sat, 06/16/2012 - 08:30 | 2531765 Gully Foyle
Gully Foyle's picture

Praetor

From what I quoted before.

"200 princes out of 7000 family members, out for power struggle."

For "peak Saudi Princes", you would need to kill off a shit load, and their kids, and their bastard kids ( well with so many Gay Saudis there may not be that many bastard children)

 

Sat, 06/16/2012 - 08:55 | 2531811 Praetor
Praetor's picture

Once the oil wells dry up, we'll go from Peak Princes to extinction in rapid succession.

Sat, 06/16/2012 - 09:00 | 2531824 Hedgetard55
Hedgetard55's picture

If there are as many gays Saudis as that poster claims, and it is because of the inaccessability of thier chicks, what explains all the gays in the USA, where the women are free and easy? I thought it was "genetic" nowadays.

Sat, 06/16/2012 - 10:55 | 2532002 Matt
Matt's picture

Bisphenol A

Sat, 06/16/2012 - 11:44 | 2532136 Nage42
Nage42's picture

Putting up with a fat, entitled, bipolar-unreasonable, media/hollywood brainwashed American women is a pretty big incentive to turn men gay... I'm just sayin'

Been in Asia 17+ years, never looked back...

Sat, 06/16/2012 - 12:36 | 2532246 flattrader
flattrader's picture

>>>Been in Asia 17+ years, never looked back...<<<

Yes.  I see your point.  Without a huge population of women in grinding poverty, you'd never have one because they'd never look at you.

I'm just sayin' too.

Sat, 06/16/2012 - 21:31 | 2532964 Bringin It
Bringin It's picture

Hey flats - if a woman is living in the right environment, just because she is poverty stricken doesn't mean she is not awesome.

Go out and look around some time.  There are some amazing people in this world.  I find people living in somewhat intact cultures, who've somehow, so far avoided getting globalized to be especially interesting, with a lot to offer, that's otherwise been lost from the human experience.

By comparison, American woman and men, in general, are pretty vapid, unaware, lost souls.  Maybe this story will help you.

The New Water

One day, the mysterious prophet-saint Khidr told the world, “In a few days, all water throughout the earth from natural sources will disappear, and be replaced with new water that will make people crazy when they drink it. However, any water that is specially stored will not undergo this transformation.”

Only a man named Hasan paid attention to this, and he gathered water and stored it in anticipation of the change.

Three days later, just as Khidr said, the water from natural sources stopped running, and was replaced by a new variety of water.

Everybody drank the new water except for Hasan, who had saved and specially stored the original water. And soon Hasan noticed that all the people began acting differently, and that they had no knowledge Khidr’s prophecy or of the day that the waters were changed.

When Hasan began interacting with the people, they thought that he was crazy, and they ostracized him.

Hasan continued to drink his stored water for a few more weeks, but he could not take the loneliness anymore, and he decided to drink the new water and become like everyone else.

From then on, the people regarded Hasan as a former madman who had his sanity renewed.

http://www.rodneyohebsion.com/sufi-folktales.htm

Sun, 06/17/2012 - 08:15 | 2533457 flattrader
flattrader's picture

While I would like to think that our friend's motives are pure and true re: this--

>>>...I find people living in somewhat intact cultures, who've somehow, so far avoided getting globalized to be especially interesting, with a lot to offer, that's otherwise been lost from the human experience...<<<

Face it.  So-called "intact cultures" are patriarchal by and large...and brutally so.  Women are subserviant.  Grinding poverty assures our friend a stable of women to do his bidding.

Losers go to Asia for women when they can't deal with women in the U.S.  That is whey there is a thriving sex tourism trade there...and we won't even talk about what goes on with children.

You're either naieve or an apologist or a participant...and your little story a diversion.

You go out and take a look around at the heinous crap going on in so-called "intact cultures"...not so awesome.

 

 

Mon, 06/18/2012 - 04:46 | 2535662 Ar-Pharazôn
Ar-Pharazôn's picture

you're totally wrong

Sat, 06/16/2012 - 08:14 | 2531734 Seize Mars
Seize Mars's picture

Good reporting, but I think it's fairly well understood that Saud = CIA. Or Exxon, or whatever. So any "instability" in Saudi Arabia will be nicely scripted.

Sat, 06/16/2012 - 11:36 | 2531961 prodigious_idea
prodigious_idea's picture
  • The CIA knew this was coming, if not in real-time then not monitoring as close as possible.
Sat, 06/16/2012 - 08:15 | 2531736 junkyardjack
junkyardjack's picture

The king is 89 and his heir is 78, investors weren't even considering what happens when they die.  Sounds about right...

Sat, 06/16/2012 - 08:21 | 2531749 saulysw
saulysw's picture

I found the article an excellent read - worth the time for sure.

Sat, 06/16/2012 - 21:42 | 2532975 Bringin It
Bringin It's picture

Generally I agree, but this was kind of a stinker -

Concerns about the Muslim Bros. being a beneficiary of the uprising in Syria has the Saudi kingdom proceeding caustiosly in supporting the rebels there, even though the ouster of the Syrian regime represents the single best option to weaken the threat from Iran.

The Sunni/Shia thing has been inflamed by Zato in the time-tested divide and conquer, Heglian mishmash.  Stratfor has their part to play in promoting this agenda.

If the Saudis are showing restraint, maybe it is not the MB that the Saudis are concerned about, but that the Syrians might return the arm-the-opposition favor?

Sat, 06/16/2012 - 08:24 | 2531754 Iconoclast
Iconoclast's picture

No panic, the disgusting regime simply finds another misogynist with a small goatee and equally tiny dick to assume power..

Sat, 06/16/2012 - 08:27 | 2531756 savagegoose
savagegoose's picture

i say massive unrest and fundy  muslims take over sadi

Sat, 06/16/2012 - 08:29 | 2531762 AnAnonymous
AnAnonymous's picture

How excitingly put by the US citizen stratfor Institute.

Sat, 06/16/2012 - 08:47 | 2531795 GMadScientist
GMadScientist's picture

Get back to work making iPhones.

Sat, 06/16/2012 - 08:34 | 2531771 Misean
Misean's picture

Seee, now THAT is a REAL black swan.

Sat, 06/16/2012 - 11:13 | 2532037 mick_richfield
mick_richfield's picture

This moment in history reminds me of the .. was it a Farside cartoon?  -- where an airline pilot is looking through a small gap in the heavy clouds, and he is saying to his copilot --

"Hey!  What's that mountain goat doing up here in all these clouds?"

Sat, 06/16/2012 - 08:42 | 2531786 Bangin7GramRocks
Bangin7GramRocks's picture

SHIT! Another black swan event. Oh well, back to the gold, guns and canned food stores. Then I'll be headin down to my bunker again. I just hope the world is still there when I emerge. Godspeed!

Sat, 06/16/2012 - 08:53 | 2531808 AnAnonymous
AnAnonymous's picture

If there are enough black swans dancing around when you emerge, maybe you will be able to shoot them down and feast on them.

Swans are royal meat, no matter their colour.

Sat, 06/16/2012 - 08:45 | 2531791 falak pema
falak pema's picture

they didn't tell us how many women were in bed with him when he popped the weasal. If it was his whole harem its understandable. There comes a time in the affairs of men...peace on his soul, he died bravely, in my novel! 

Sat, 06/16/2012 - 08:48 | 2531802 GMadScientist
GMadScientist's picture

Pop goes the Fisal?

Sat, 06/16/2012 - 14:50 | 2532464 Jack Sheet
Jack Sheet's picture

Nayefer say die!

Sat, 06/16/2012 - 08:46 | 2531794 GMadScientist
GMadScientist's picture

So, does this mean everyone (who isn't Saudi) dodges a bullet because they were already ducking to avoid getting hit by Greece?

Sat, 06/16/2012 - 08:59 | 2531819 Marco
Marco's picture

So ... any Saudi Arabian princes in line in favour of the gold dinar? (Which of course would cause the US to start another war in the Middle East, because if there is one country in the world utterly incapable of operating under a gold standard at the moment it is the United States.)

Sat, 06/16/2012 - 09:10 | 2531843 GMadScientist
GMadScientist's picture

I'm sure there are many devout princes who would love to see a true Muslim dinar used for currency, but the truth of Saudi life is that they live at the behest of the G7/20 oil importers. Their people fucking hate them because they are a repressive conservative regime and would slaughter House Saud if their protectors cast them out. So they know better than to attempt to screw with dollar hegemony (at least in public markets anyway).

 

Sat, 06/16/2012 - 10:09 | 2531941 savagegoose
savagegoose's picture

sure they can operate unser a gold standard. they just have to confiscate  EVERYONE ELSES gold to.

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