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Some Childish Humor Courtesy Of Moody's

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Moody's may never downgrade the US or France for that matter, but when it comes to its stable assessment of Dong Energy, its rock solid analysis truly stands out.

And yes, we are that mature.

From Moody's

Moody's Disclosures on Credit Ratings of Dong Energy

The following release represents Moody's Investors Service's summary credit opinion on DONG Energy A/S and includes certain regulatory disclosures regarding its ratings. This release does not constitute any change in Moody's ratings or rating rationale for DONG Energy A/S.

 

Moody's current ratings on DONG Energy A/S are:

 

Long-Term Issuer (foreign currency) ratings of Baa1

Senior Unsecured (foreign currency) rating of Baa1

Subordinate rating (foreign currency) of Baa3

Pref. Stock (foreign currency) rating of Baa3

Senior Unsecured MTN (foreign currency) rating of (P)Baa1

 

RATINGS RATIONALE

 

The ratings on DONG Energy A/S are Baa1 with a Stable outlook. The ratings reflect our assessment of DONG in line with our methodology for Government-Related Issuers (22 July 2010). The ratings reflect the following:

- A baseline credit assessment (BCA) of 9 (on a scale of 1 to 21, where a 9 is equivalent to a Baa2).The BCA reflects DONG's strong market position as Denmark's leading power and gas company, although we recognise that it operates in a broader competitive market. The rating also factors in DONG's exposure to volatile commodity prices, mitigated by its structurally vertically integrated position, including a significant equity gas position, and other hedging strategies the company deploys, offset by the reduction in gas supplied by DUC.

 

We expect that, over time, the proportional contribution made to DONG's EBITDA by low risk regulated network operations and regulated gas and electricity sales will become lower, as DONG's significant investments in off-shore wind farm assets and E&P gas and oil assets contribute more greatly.

 

As a result of higher power prices on the European Energy Exchange (EEX) and revenue from investments, we expect that DONG will maintain a funds from operations (FFO) debt ratio of around 25% and a retained cash flow (RCF)/debt ratio of around 20%. Such ratios would reflect a comfortable positioning in the Baa1 rating category. However, we expect some fluctuations in these metrics over time as a result of some volatility in prices and output.

The rating also incorporates a one notch uplift from the BCA based on our GRI methodology as follows:

 

- The Aaa local currency rating of the Danish government.

 

- Moderate dependence. Our assessment of moderate default dependence between DONG and the state reflects the importance of Denmark as a domestic market for the company. However, it also recognises the fact that DONG derives revenues from selling gas and electricity outside of its home market.

 

- Moderate support. Our assessment of moderate support reflects the current 76% Danish state shareholding and our expectation that the government will maintain its current share until at least 2015. Our rating assessment recognises the fact that the Danish government is adamantly non-interventionist. We believe that the authorities would hesitate to intervene except in the most extreme circumstances. We note that the present Danish government is unlikely to sell any of its stake in DONG.

 

The stable outlook on the Baa1 rating reflects our expectation that DONG's performance will be stable in 2011 when compared with 2010, when the company benefitted from high power prices. Aside growth from new assets, DONG's cash flows tend to fluctuate year-on-year. These variations are explained by commodity price fluctuations and changing margins in the company's generation business, which are driven by water levels and carbon pricing in the Nordic area.

We expect that DONG's RCF/net debt will fluctuate between 15%-25% and its FFO/net debt between 20%-30%, moving towards the higher end of the band when commodity prices are higher and conversely towards the lower end when prices or margins are lower. Nonetheless, in order to maintain a comfortable positioning within the Baa1 rating category, we would expect the company to achieve ratios that are, on average, at least in the middle of the indicated ranges, as stated above.

 

We expect that DONG will maintain an appropriate financial structure in the event that the change in the contribution from upstream gas development and wind farm investment substantially alters the business risk.

We do not envisage an upgrade of DONG's ratings in the intermediate term. This is because we believes that DONG will continue to pursue a large investment programme and is likely to remain subject to some volatility in earnings as a result of commodity exposure, amongst other factors.

 

Negative pressure on the rating could result if the company were to consistently exhibit financial metrics that were substantially below the average level indicated for a stable rating. In line with our methodology for GRIs, the rating could also be affected by a very significant reduction in the state ownership of DONG, although no such privatisation is envisaged under the recently elected government.

 

The principal methodology used in this rating was Unregulated Utilities and Power Companies published in August 2009. Please see the Credit Policy page on www.moodys.com for a copy of this methodology.

 

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Wed, 03/28/2012 - 18:33 | 2298930 bugs_
bugs_'s picture

Deep Shah

Wed, 03/28/2012 - 18:56 | 2299001 SAT 800
SAT 800's picture

Subhead; "Dong stands Firm". LOL. too cool for school.

Wed, 03/28/2012 - 19:53 | 2299118 Fukushima Sam
Fukushima Sam's picture

I need a Dong Energy t-shirt.

Wed, 03/28/2012 - 20:34 | 2299186 knukles
knukles's picture

Oh my, right up there with Thunder Muscle from the Increasingly Bad Decisions of Todd Margaret.

Priceless

Wed, 03/28/2012 - 22:45 | 2299458 HoofHearted
HoofHearted's picture

And DONG gets baa ratings. Something about sheeple and getting screwed has to be um, inserted here.

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 00:33 | 2299644 strannick
strannick's picture

'its rock solid analysis truly stands out' (giggle)

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 03:15 | 2299792 herewego...
herewego...'s picture

Guys, this is the latest splash from DONG:

http://www.dongenergy.com/EN/Investor/releases/Pages/omx%20feed%20list%2...

Basically Anders Eldrup, CEO, was seen as being flaccid, so he is getting screwed by a big dong. They are going at him hard. Before that they had watched him giving a reach-around to a selection of those he had a position over.

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 04:11 | 2299857 AldousHuxley
AldousHuxley's picture

A2SEA is a partnership between Dong Energy and Siemens Power.

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 04:23 | 2299865 AldousHuxley
AldousHuxley's picture

The Head of global wind giant Dong   Energy A/S abdickated from his position as CEO. Company enages in exploration for natural gas in northern Europe.

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 06:28 | 2299951 Phil Free
Phil Free's picture

What's really funny, is that you are not making up this partnership with Siemens.  I almost thought you were.  Dong? Siemens?  But nope. Dong really did ... put their heads together .. and entered .. into .. a partnership/agreement w/ Siemens ..

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 08:35 | 2300132 tarsubil
Wed, 03/28/2012 - 18:37 | 2298941 Marge N. Callz
Marge N. Callz's picture

Is Dong Energy's moto "Drill baby, drill"?

Wed, 03/28/2012 - 18:52 | 2298992 TheFourthStooge-ing
TheFourthStooge-ing's picture

"We do not envisage an upgrade of DONG's ratings in the intermediate term. This is because we firmly believe that DONG will continue to stand erect in pursuit of a large investment programme and is likely to remain subject to some swelling in earnings as a result of stiff commodity exposure, amongst other factors.

Negative pressure on the rating could result if the company were to consistently exhibit symptoms of turgidity lasting longer than four hours."

 

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 04:16 | 2299860 AldousHuxley
Wed, 03/28/2012 - 18:38 | 2298944 penexpers
penexpers's picture

Long Duck Dong...

Wed, 03/28/2012 - 18:51 | 2298990 Fail2Deliver
Fail2Deliver's picture

No more yankee my wankee, the Donger needs food

Wed, 03/28/2012 - 19:15 | 2299048 Elwood P Suggins
Elwood P Suggins's picture

Sounds like the rating needs some Viagra.

Wed, 03/28/2012 - 22:40 | 2299446 Agent P
Agent P's picture

"Rake...big-a-rake."

Wed, 03/28/2012 - 18:40 | 2298951 daneskold
daneskold's picture

Truth or dare...

 

Who's long Dong?

 

Who's short Dong?

Wed, 03/28/2012 - 18:58 | 2299007 SAT 800
SAT 800's picture

"How Long was a Chinaman, and so was So Long".

Wed, 03/28/2012 - 20:58 | 2299236 UP Forester
UP Forester's picture

Reminds me of the best scene of Kentucky Fried Movie:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DctDEUHc9IY

Wed, 03/28/2012 - 18:41 | 2298956 YesWeKahn
YesWeKahn's picture

I cut Moody from AAA to ASS.

Wed, 03/28/2012 - 19:00 | 2299014 SAT 800
SAT 800's picture

!! I think you've got something there. LOL

Wed, 03/28/2012 - 19:51 | 2299114 BeetleBailey
BeetleBailey's picture

Baa Haa Haa!

I've rated all countries B-O-O for years.

They should be rated HAZRADOUS TO ONE'S WALLET.

Wed, 03/28/2012 - 18:41 | 2298958 meetired
meetired's picture

What, no long DONG, bitchez?

Wed, 03/28/2012 - 18:45 | 2298964 eduard khil
eduard khil's picture

Bang Dae Ho agrees.

Wed, 03/28/2012 - 18:46 | 2298970 Poor Grogman
Poor Grogman's picture

Dong just got Bobbit-ized

Wed, 03/28/2012 - 18:50 | 2298983 Uchtdorf
Uchtdorf's picture

Dong Moody's. Dong GS. Dong JPM. Dong the Red Shield.

Wed, 03/28/2012 - 18:50 | 2298985 LongSoupLine
LongSoupLine's picture

...mitigated by its structurally vertically integrated position.

 

Now that's exciting analysis!

Wed, 03/28/2012 - 19:03 | 2299019 SAT 800
SAT 800's picture

Yes, you can mark my words, any Dong with a vertically integrated position, is a strong Dong. I'm cracking up, but laughter is the best medicine, so I guess that's alright. Even so, I think I'll supplement it with a little Beck's Beer.

Wed, 03/28/2012 - 18:53 | 2298994 Reese Bobby
Reese Bobby's picture

No more yanky my wanky.  The Donger need food.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Fjh3TxOHCxE

 

Wed, 03/28/2012 - 18:58 | 2299002 LowProfile
LowProfile's picture

<- LONG DONG

<- short DONG

 

Wed, 03/28/2012 - 18:57 | 2299004 Let them eat iPads
Let them eat iPads's picture

Vietnam's currency is the DONG.

 

Gave me plenty of chuckles everytime I had to pay for something with my Dong.

Wed, 03/28/2012 - 21:43 | 2299323 Freebird
Freebird's picture

As in "looove you looong time" for 200000 Dong or you talking linen tablecloths?

Wed, 03/28/2012 - 18:57 | 2299005 Island_Dweller
Island_Dweller's picture

This has to be ZH's most prolific day ever.  Have a drink already!

Wed, 03/28/2012 - 19:07 | 2299031 SAT 800
SAT 800's picture

As an Island Dweller on the Big Island, I have noted that the sun is over the yardarm, (?); and commenced "Becking" for the day; thank you.

Wed, 03/28/2012 - 19:03 | 2299021 Coldfire
Coldfire's picture

Very sirree.

Wed, 03/28/2012 - 19:05 | 2299025 SAT 800
SAT 800's picture

"And yes, we are THAT mature"---don't sweat it, buddy, mature is overrated.

Wed, 03/28/2012 - 19:06 | 2299026 Hansel
Hansel's picture

LONG DONG ENERGY!!!!!!!!!!!!  RON JEREMY IS CEO!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Wed, 03/28/2012 - 19:12 | 2299039 meetired
meetired's picture

Ahhh, you had to mention Bernank's hero.

Wed, 03/28/2012 - 19:18 | 2299053 spinone
spinone's picture

Negative pressure on the DONG?

Wed, 03/28/2012 - 19:26 | 2299063 nonclaim
nonclaim's picture

The eventual downgrade will be spelled dong'd.

Usage: the company got dong'd today, and so did the investors.

Wed, 03/28/2012 - 19:24 | 2299064 Harry Dong
Harry Dong's picture

Once you go Dong you don't go wong.

Wed, 03/28/2012 - 19:32 | 2299083 Larry Dallas
Larry Dallas's picture

Bang Dae Ho will initiate coverage at Samsung Securities(?) next month... Ha!

Wed, 03/28/2012 - 19:52 | 2299117 BeetleBailey
BeetleBailey's picture

Long Dong Silver! Away!

Wed, 03/28/2012 - 19:55 | 2299122 bonin006
bonin006's picture

I was just about about to ask if no one remenbered that. You beat me to it by 2 minutes.

Wed, 03/28/2012 - 20:28 | 2299176 azzhatter
azzhatter's picture

I'm nearly 60 now and my dong has gone thru several downgrades, currently rated as junk

Wed, 03/28/2012 - 21:37 | 2299308 Freebird
Freebird's picture

Too much information, especially over a late dinner

Wed, 03/28/2012 - 21:40 | 2299315 dark pools of soros
dark pools of soros's picture

Goldman could still pimp you out to their muppets

Wed, 03/28/2012 - 20:58 | 2299227 gaoptimize
gaoptimize's picture

Should be no problem with market penetration.  If they drill fast and long enough, they might release a gusher.

Wed, 03/28/2012 - 21:40 | 2299314 Red Heeler
Red Heeler's picture

Anyone here holding DONG?

Wed, 03/28/2012 - 21:50 | 2299337 Angus McHugepenis
Angus McHugepenis's picture

I've been using their products for years. I could bugger a dinosaur on that shit!

oh wait... wrong company...

Wed, 03/28/2012 - 22:34 | 2299430 ali-ali-al-qomfri
ali-ali-al-qomfri's picture

Powered by Dong

here's a tip;

"wait for the shaft"

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 01:12 | 2299679 michaltheil
michaltheil's picture

Danish Oil and Natural Gas - DONG :-)

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 01:45 | 2299714 Curt W
Curt W's picture

Further market penetration may be slippery, w/ climatic success.

will keep you posted on when to pull out.

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 02:46 | 2299802 carbonmutant
carbonmutant's picture

Dong seems to be demonstrating a rather limp performance...

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