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S&P Channel In Danger Of Downward Breach (Update - Breached)

Tyler Durden's picture




 

UPDATE: Channel Breached on heavy volume

Having lost its post-Spanish-bailout open high and Pre-Greek-Election closing high, S&P 500 e-mini futures look set to lose the QE-Hope-driven upward-sloping channel...

and as a reminder, Gold (and Oil) and Treasuries have all lost the QE Hope already...

 

Charts: Bloomberg and @eminiwatch

 

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Thu, 06/21/2012 - 11:46 | 2547427 SilverTree
SilverTree's picture

Die Mother Fucker Die

 

http://youtu.be/Xw-m4jEY-Ns

Thu, 06/21/2012 - 11:51 | 2547467 tocointhephrase
tocointhephrase's picture

yee ha

Thu, 06/21/2012 - 11:52 | 2547471 HelluvaEngineer
HelluvaEngineer's picture

Oh, the channel is about to be breached.  I thought the fucking problem was that the world is imploding, but this is totally worse.

Thu, 06/21/2012 - 14:11 | 2548049 Nothing To See Here
Nothing To See Here's picture

Please someone call Maxine Waters, she'll investigate what's happening and make a thorough report.

Thu, 06/21/2012 - 14:44 | 2548167 Joseph Jones
Joseph Jones's picture

What words could accurately describe the disgusting scum of the earth that is Maxine Waters?

At least the tone and subtlety of her voice is very pleasing and soothing...

(sarc off) 

Thu, 06/21/2012 - 20:08 | 2549265 Buck Johnson
Buck Johnson's picture

For goldman to make that call about the S&P tells me that they know something is coming and it's bad.

Thu, 06/21/2012 - 12:14 | 2547546 Carl Spackler
Carl Spackler's picture

So does this mean the the Squid is NOT trading against its  muppets / customers today and not using its propaganda arm / institutional research to set up the game?

Incredible!

Does LLoyd know about this? Did he sign off on that?

Thu, 06/21/2012 - 13:07 | 2547757 oleander garch
oleander garch's picture

Like Jamie said, gamblers are losers.  Lloyd is an investor.  Not in factories, roads, machinery etc.  He is an investor in the ranged moverment of an electronic  representation of a basket of listed ownership in a limited pool of companies whose individual prices vary on each program trade that settles at the end of each day.  That explains why the real economy should be ignored.  It has no relationship to investment. 

Thu, 06/21/2012 - 13:24 | 2547811 Dr. Richard Head
Dr. Richard Head's picture

Framing the stock market in the manner in which you did would sure get more boomers to reconsider their "investments" in 401(k) and Mutual Funds.  It's pretty fucking crazy that mark to myth...I mean model, Repo 105, rehypothication of assets, over leveraging, bailouts, and a multitude of other instances where the dealer has shown their hand has no face cards was still not enough to get EVERY boomer to reconsider preparing for their future in these supposed markets. 

You put it so elequently that I have a tear in my eye and I am giving you a golf clap.  Bitchez.

Thu, 06/21/2012 - 13:28 | 2547830 Eurodollar
Eurodollar's picture

The long run will sort out who is investors and who are gamblers. As it always does! This absurd liquidity driven insolvence fest will get its wits knocked out too, sooner or later. I don't need it to be today. It is bound to happen. This credit mess leads to all kinds of issues and even countries like Brazil that we cheer and applaud today will get their heated property bubble down the road. A buying opportunity worth waiting for. When it crashes it is time to go to work. In the mean time folks: Focus on creating value and enjoy. Let the greek-letter guys with no idea about the real world do their thing. Ignorance as always is bound to fail!

Also; the handsome timing of the Spanish stress tests made sure Lloyd and his gang of financial hobbits didn't have to lie through their teeth today.

 

Now: 1-1 in Portugal - Czech Republic please :) Thats my investment for today!

Thu, 06/21/2012 - 13:18 | 2547791 slaughterer
slaughterer's picture

Beware the pre-July 4th low-vol melt-up.  Robotrader will be all over that. 

Thu, 06/21/2012 - 11:47 | 2547435 Satan
Satan's picture

PPT in T minus 13:00:51

Thu, 06/21/2012 - 11:48 | 2547437 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

It's about time for one of those rumors to hit the market.

Thu, 06/21/2012 - 11:50 | 2547459 SilverTree
SilverTree's picture

No rumors today Dr. E. This shit is getting real.

Thu, 06/21/2012 - 12:02 | 2547511 catacl1sm
catacl1sm's picture

Remember, they can't QE with equities so high. They have to let them come down. Rules don't apply, they could come out and have an 'emergency' meeting and decide to QE anytime they want, once equities are squashed enough. Once we get an 'emergency meeting' announcement, or Aug creeps up, that's when it's time to cut your shorts and go long.

Thu, 06/21/2012 - 12:06 | 2547529 scatterbrains
scatterbrains's picture

I think they may be more interested in a gold smash and grab, which may mean a quick crack down to mid 1000 SPX in order to get that 1550ish gold support zone to snap.

Thu, 06/21/2012 - 13:52 | 2547533 TruthInSunshine
TruthInSunshine's picture

Indeed.

 

The banks and Wall Street Pond Scum now entirely dependant upon the teat of deficit originated electronic fiat transfers (as The Bernank admitted yesterday, it's ALL about the spread at this point) from the New York Branch of the Non-Federal Reserve-less Bank need another 'tanks in the street & martial law' Hank Paulson moment, if they hope to overcome resistance to the insanity of piling yet more debt on what is now a mountain of already unpayable existing debt in the form of blank checks given out to Timmy Jeetner & a green light to PrintMaster Bernank.

And President Obama now 'regrets' his 2006 senate speech wherein he vehemently objected to - and voted against - raising the debt ceiling. LMAO.

Obama's Aides: He Regrets His 2006 Vote Against Boosting Debt

The fact that we are here today to debate raising America’s debt limit is a sign of leadership failure. It is a sign that the U.S. Government can’t pay its own bills. It is a sign that we now depend on ongoing financial assistance from foreign countries to finance our Government’s reckless fiscal policies.

 

Over the past 5 years, our federal debt has increased by $3.5 trillion to $8.6 trillion.That is “trillion” with a “T.” That is money that we have borrowed from the Social Security trust fund, borrowed from China and Japan, borrowed from American taxpayers. And over the next 5 years, between now and 2011, the President’s budget will increase the debt by almost another $3.5 trillion.

 

Numbers that large are sometimes hard to understand. Some people may wonder why they matter. Here is why: This year, the Federal Government will spend $220 billion on interest. That is more money to pay interest on our national debt than we’ll spend on Medicaid and the State Children’s Health Insurance Program. That is more money to pay interest on our debt this year than we will spend on education, homeland security, transportation, and veterans benefits combined. It is more money in one year than we are likely to spend to rebuild the devastated gulf coast in a way that honors the best of America.

 

And the cost of our debt is one of the fastest growing expenses in the Federal budget. This rising debt is a hidden domestic enemy, robbing our cities and States of critical investments in infrastructure like bridges, ports, and levees; robbing our families and our children of critical investments in education and health care reform; robbing our seniors of the retirement and health security they have counted on.

 

Senator Barack Obama (D-Ill)
Senate Floor Speech on Public Debt
March 16, 2006

 

Thu, 06/21/2012 - 14:47 | 2548176 pods
pods's picture

Turns out that government cheese goes over better than Eat Your Peas?

pods

Thu, 06/21/2012 - 13:52 | 2547960 WatchingIgnorance
WatchingIgnorance's picture

Hopium.

Its whats for dinner.

Thu, 06/21/2012 - 11:48 | 2547440 LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

If only technicals mattered...

<sigh>

Thu, 06/21/2012 - 12:06 | 2547524 skohiu
skohiu's picture

If only funnymentals mattered

Thu, 06/21/2012 - 13:20 | 2547793 slaughterer
slaughterer's picture

Only" muppetmentals" matter now. 

Thu, 06/21/2012 - 11:48 | 2547443 Diogenes
Diogenes's picture

Just like Goldman promised LOL.

Thu, 06/21/2012 - 11:52 | 2547473 Cognitive Dissonance
Cognitive Dissonance's picture

Blankfein (indignantly) - "I don't know what you're talking about."

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lloyd_Blankfein

Thu, 06/21/2012 - 14:49 | 2548183 Bunga Bunga
Bunga Bunga's picture

But now Goldman tries with negative Psychology.

"Goldman Sachs recommends shorting U.S. stocks"
Thu, 06/21/2012 - 11:50 | 2547445 firstdivision
firstdivision's picture

So take Goldman's recomendation until 1300, then load the boat with as much real assets/risky assets one can afford with leverage

Oh and don't forget to inform the brokrage that you have rated yourself as AAA+++ and if they won't increase your leverage, call the ECB.

Thu, 06/21/2012 - 11:52 | 2547470 ZerOhead
ZerOhead's picture

You have learned well young Jedi...

Thu, 06/21/2012 - 11:58 | 2547496 Cognitive Dissonance
Cognitive Dissonance's picture

My favorite mangy cat is back. :>)

 

Thu, 06/21/2012 - 11:49 | 2547447 reader2010
reader2010's picture

I remember about a year ago everyone and his brother here were screaming to buy silver. Where have all those flowers gone?

Thu, 06/21/2012 - 11:51 | 2547469 SilverTree
SilverTree's picture

BUY SILVER NOW! ITS ON SALE!!

Thu, 06/21/2012 - 12:00 | 2547506 Deep79
Deep79's picture

Just wait til it hits 20

Thu, 06/21/2012 - 12:05 | 2547520 tocointhephrase
tocointhephrase's picture

Yopu forgot at least one nought maybe two!

Thu, 06/21/2012 - 12:25 | 2547584 Boston
Boston's picture

You're right. As the global recession gets priced in more fully, copper could fall below 2.0 and silver below 20.

I think there's a good chance silver sees 20. Later, of course, when the printing presses kick in, silver will rocket back up....well above 50.

So it's best to prepare---mentally and financially---for the possibility that silver dips in the short term.

Thu, 06/21/2012 - 12:38 | 2547636 tocointhephrase
tocointhephrase's picture

Good luck finding any physical metal at that price. Paper will be all that is available and that can go to ZERO!

Thu, 06/21/2012 - 12:49 | 2547671 Boston
Boston's picture

After silver fell from the high 40's last year, and started crashing, I planned on buying again in the 20's.

Insightful folks, kinda like you, said something like "Good luck finding any physical metal at that price. Paper will be all that is available"

But after buyers like me had NO PROBLEM loading up on physical at 26.x in September and December 2011, you geniuses suddenly forgot what you said.

Remember me. When/if silver touches 20, I promise I will have no trouble buying physical---especially from weak longs who will be freaking out and looking to unload. If I buy online, I promise to tell you exactly where I bought it and at what price.

 

Thu, 06/21/2012 - 12:58 | 2547719 tocointhephrase
tocointhephrase's picture

Good luck! Try never! Physical Silver at $50/£36 was hard enough to find (1oz) but by all means bring it!

Thu, 06/21/2012 - 13:03 | 2547744 Boston
Boston's picture

You're supporting my argument.

When silver goes parabolic (when it neared $50), then OF COURSE it's hard to BUY physical.

But when/if it craters (a little more than now), it will be hard to SELL it! 

Your own experience backs me up.........

Thu, 06/21/2012 - 18:52 | 2549046 ZeroAvatar
ZeroAvatar's picture

FYI:  I purchased 40 A.S.E.'s 5/31/12, $34.00 apiece.  Spot was, I believe, $27.71.  I promise to notify you after my investment has doubled. ETA: June 2013.

Thu, 06/21/2012 - 13:00 | 2547731 ThirdWorldDude
ThirdWorldDude's picture

Good luck with delivery on physical silver if it dips to or below 20...

Here in EU I was happy to see today that the company I'm ordering from have received reinforcements and ordered some at EUR25/oz. They usually run out of stock after 1-2 days. My recommendation is to load the boat and thank the paper pushers for the price manipulation.

Thu, 06/21/2012 - 14:13 | 2548060 kalasend
kalasend's picture

OMG look at those mother f*cking thumb-downs, and one would claim ZH readers are not themselves herdish / sheeplish? 

Thu, 06/21/2012 - 11:52 | 2547476 tocointhephrase
tocointhephrase's picture

Silver, Silver, Silver. Now sneeze!

Thu, 06/21/2012 - 12:28 | 2547594 fuu
fuu's picture

BTFD bitchez!

Thu, 06/21/2012 - 11:48 | 2547449 CommunityStandard
CommunityStandard's picture

So Goldman will be right?  What is this world coming to?

Thu, 06/21/2012 - 11:50 | 2547456 pleseus
pleseus's picture

VIX is making a move.  I smell trouble for equities.

Thu, 06/21/2012 - 11:53 | 2547479 reader2010
reader2010's picture

This scare tactics is always required first. BTFD. QE to infinity!

Thu, 06/21/2012 - 11:56 | 2547492 HelluvaEngineer
HelluvaEngineer's picture

OMFG:

VXX up 4%

TVIX up 2.7%

Class action lawsuit, anyone?

Thu, 06/21/2012 - 11:50 | 2547457 Cognitive Dissonance
Cognitive Dissonance's picture

Where's the freaking PPT when ya need em? What? Engineering the stock market plunge to usher in QE 3.X?

Scotty, I need more power. Warp 10 Scotty. Get us the hell out of here before the sun goes supernova.

Thu, 06/21/2012 - 12:05 | 2547505 ZerOhead
ZerOhead's picture

Good day CD...

The Fed/Bankster Supernova Asset Purchase Plan (SAPP) that will transfer all known wealth to the TPTB will come soon enough.

~$100 trillion should buy all the global resources and technolgies worth owning dontcha think?

Thank Yahweh the Warrior God for all those "Free trade agreements" ;)

Thu, 06/21/2012 - 12:16 | 2547559 Cognitive Dissonance
Cognitive Dissonance's picture

Love the SAPP. :)

Thu, 06/21/2012 - 14:51 | 2548188 Cthonic
Cthonic's picture

SAPP, it trickles, now with more molecules.

Thu, 06/21/2012 - 14:06 | 2548033 SDRII
SDRII's picture

shift change

Thu, 06/21/2012 - 11:50 | 2547464 ghostzapper
ghostzapper's picture

Eurobond rumors imminent. 

 

"Germany will back Greek and Spanish bailouts" rumor imminent. 

Thu, 06/21/2012 - 12:12 | 2547539 scatterbrains
scatterbrains's picture

lol someone caught long ?

Thu, 06/21/2012 - 12:41 | 2547643 ghostzapper
ghostzapper's picture

When you get a free moment go back and check my post history.  Then go and read what you typed in response to my post and see if you think it sounds intelligent at that point. 

Thu, 06/21/2012 - 11:52 | 2547474 Kina
Kina's picture

Paper gold being played again. ho hum.

But in the end the real gold will beat holding Euro, then USD

 

Thu, 06/21/2012 - 11:59 | 2547500 EscapeKey
EscapeKey's picture

"... according to a source, who wishes to remain anonymous."

Thu, 06/21/2012 - 12:55 | 2547721 Bohm Squad
Bohm Squad's picture

Thought the same thing about paper silver - "Looks like someone's trying to hurt my feelings this afternoon."  Oddly enough, Ebay prices have been relatively stable over the last two months (good job Fed!)...someone should tell the physical buyers the price has dropped!...I keep getting outbid on Morgan's.  :)

 

Stupid physical silver buyers don't know to give me the stuff on the cheap!  /sarc

Thu, 06/21/2012 - 11:52 | 2547477 FieldingMellish
FieldingMellish's picture

Save us Obi-Ben Bernanke. You're our only hope.... Boy, is that getting old.

Thu, 06/21/2012 - 12:27 | 2547592 covert
covert's picture

returning to the natural value, coming time to buy.

http://covert.ias3.com/expose/

 

Thu, 06/21/2012 - 11:56 | 2547493 caimen garou
caimen garou's picture

rah roh raggie re got a rhost to ratch!

Thu, 06/21/2012 - 12:03 | 2547517 Conman
Conman's picture

Spain to save the day- Says banks do not need capital

Thu, 06/21/2012 - 12:59 | 2547728 Bohm Squad
Bohm Squad's picture

Auditors disagree.  Says expect a loan request soon.

http://www.marketwatch.com/story/span-2012-06-21?siteid=bnbh

 

 

Thu, 06/21/2012 - 12:18 | 2547568 orangegeek
orangegeek's picture

Primary wave three down - which was called back in February.

 

http://bullandbearmash.com/chart/sp500-daily-february-10-2012/

Thu, 06/21/2012 - 12:21 | 2547577 farmerjohn2112
farmerjohn2112's picture

A-oooogah... DIVE! DIVE! DIVE!

Thu, 06/21/2012 - 12:51 | 2547600 Nobody For President
Nobody For President's picture

Interesting this was posted at 11:44 - 1144 is police code for 'Coroner Required' - i.e. dead body(s) at scene.

 

 

Thu, 06/21/2012 - 12:31 | 2547606 carbonmutant
carbonmutant's picture

The E-mini futues (/ES )actually line up better on that channel...

Thu, 06/21/2012 - 12:33 | 2547615 nomorebuyins
nomorebuyins's picture

Neg 1.5% is the max they allow the S&P to go down lately, expect some bullishit rumor soon.

Thu, 06/21/2012 - 12:39 | 2547638 Kreditanstalt
Kreditanstalt's picture

We're in "reality on" because general stocks are falling...

We're in "reality off" because gold miners are falling - even faster...

We're in "reality off" because paper - bonds and the dollar - are rallying as "safe havens"...

We're in "outer space" because gold - falling - is being seen as a "risk asset"...

Where ARE we?  EVERYTHING is correlated.  EVERYTHING is manipulated.

And they call THIS "capitalism".

Thu, 06/21/2012 - 13:05 | 2547749 ebworthen
ebworthen's picture

Breached on "heavy volume".

Oooops...

Punishing Ben for not announcing QE3.

They are going to push this down until Ben cries "uncle!" and gives them their cotton candy.

Thu, 06/21/2012 - 13:06 | 2547754 Jason T
Jason T's picture

The disintegration will continue and there is no power great enough to stop it.  

Thu, 06/21/2012 - 13:22 | 2547806 Tsar Pointless
Tsar Pointless's picture

Bearish!

Thu, 06/21/2012 - 13:24 | 2547814 Quinvarius
Quinvarius's picture

Good thing Ben studied the Great Depression where they propped up a few select banks and threw everyone else under the bus.  Wouldn't want that to happen again.

Thu, 06/21/2012 - 13:37 | 2547872 RoadKill
RoadKill's picture

Ill be the first to admit that I'm scared SHITLESS by Goldman's call.  But we should retrace to the low 1,300s just off NO QE - that's what drove the entire rally.  And then, unless we get something out of the Grand Meeting next week, we should retrace to 1,250 - which is where we were before everyone convinced themselves Greece and Spain were fixed.

QE is now off the table.  If Ben wasn't going to QE yesterday - he's not going to do it EVEN CLOSER TO THE ELECTIONS!  PArticullarly with Twist going through the end of the year.  He's not going to run Twist and QE3 at the same time!  Not unless Europe blows up MASSIVELY and we are facing SPX falling to 1,000.

Even if you do think QE is still on the table, the next meeting is AUGUST.  Do you know what kinda shitshow you need for action BETWEEN meetings?

And the economic indicators are getting worse and worse.  -16.6 on Philly IN JUNE!!  Last time we were this low was August 2011.  Anyone that knows anything about how the seasonals have played out the last 3 years knows that things will keep getting worse through the summer.

So I think we are set up for another -20% summer.  High was 1,400-1,420 - SO I'LL SEE YOU AT 1,100-1,150 BITCHEZ!

Thu, 06/21/2012 - 13:44 | 2547910 Spastica Rex
Spastica Rex's picture

Interesting - and certainly plausible. However, engineering a situation in October whereby BO can fly in and save the day seems just as plausible.

Thu, 06/21/2012 - 13:56 | 2547979 Winston of Oceania
Winston of Oceania's picture

VERY risky, he could just as well fly in and flop sealing his doom. They don't seem very adept at political maneuvering, or gun smuggling, or capital investment...

Thu, 06/21/2012 - 14:18 | 2548085 Spastica Rex
Spastica Rex's picture

No disagreement, but it seems like Team BO needs to do something at this point.

Thu, 06/21/2012 - 13:43 | 2547905 Negro Primero
Negro Primero's picture

NO PROBLEMA

29-Year 8-Month TIPS (February 2042)

Interest Rate:      0-3/4%
High Yield:           0.520%
Price:                $108.226791
Allotted at High:    64.01%
Accrued Interest*: $2.83180
Total Tendered:     $18,509,972,000
Total Accepted:       $7,000,024,900

Thu, 06/21/2012 - 13:51 | 2547957 Silversem
Silversem's picture

This downward move will give good cfd trading opportunities.

Thu, 06/21/2012 - 13:59 | 2547999 Kreditanstalt
Kreditanstalt's picture

I hope the S&P ends up today down 4-5%...or more...

It has to happen for "investors" to get religion.  That's the litmus test for gold stocks: if they don't diverge from the general junk stocks before then I give up.

Thu, 06/21/2012 - 14:42 | 2548158 Kreditanstalt
Kreditanstalt's picture

Facebook is in the green.  Gold is down.  The lunatics are in control of the asylum...what more need we say? 

Thu, 06/21/2012 - 15:48 | 2548447 bxy
bxy's picture

I saw a breached whale once.

Thu, 06/21/2012 - 23:43 | 2549823 MuppetMaster
MuppetMaster's picture

These are some seriously shitty technicals...  Or my password isn't danceswithmuppets...

Do NOT follow this link or you will be banned from the site!