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SSDD - 2 Charts Summarizing Today's Melt Up

Tyler Durden's picture




 

In case you overslept yesterday and missed the U-turn shenanigans, today was almost perfectly the same. Equity, credit, and volatility markets all weakened notably into the open, kept sliding aggressively into the European close and then equities and vol (and not credit) turned on a dime and accelerated all the way back. The other similarity was the high volume dump, low volume pump and then considerably high average trade size around 1400 (in ES) into the close.

ES (the S&P 500 e-mini futures contract) vs VIX reversing aggressively almost immediately at the European close...

 

And ES pulling notably higher again after the European close while credit markets remain much less sanguine (and notice yesterday's overnight session correction in stocks)...

 

 

So once again the invisible hand came in to sell vol and lever stocks up while credit trades at Friday's lows...hhmm

 

Some Bonus charts...

FX markets have seen the USD selloff after the European close three days-in-a-row now...

 

But...Treasuries are behaving differently (like credit)...


Charts: Bloomberg

 

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Thu, 03/29/2012 - 16:11 | 2301675 JeremyWS
JeremyWS's picture

Tyler, work out how much return you'd made shorting EURUSD while Europes open and longing over US session. its 45 degrees to infintiy right now. GBPJPY 130 pips of the lows!!!!

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 16:17 | 2301700 SilverTree
SilverTree's picture

"And this, this oh and this is how we fuck them"

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 16:23 | 2301721 LongSoupLine
LongSoupLine's picture

Jim Grant on CNBS schooling Maria "my voice equates to nails on a chalkboard" Bartiromo

Jim saying "...the Fed needs to get out of the anti-capitalism business"...f'ing right!

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 16:28 | 2301744 Silver Bug
Silver Bug's picture

Wall Street is beyond corrupt. This market is a complet illusion now and for quite some time.

 

http://ericsprott.blogspot.ca/

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 17:40 | 2301962 walküre
walküre's picture

When the health of this economy is a mirage, how can the "market" reflecting this economic activity be any different?

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 20:30 | 2302359 RussellChester8
RussellChester8's picture

my friend's sister makes $74/hr on the computer. She has been out of a job for seven months but last month her check was $17871 just working on the computer for a few hours. Read more on this site .... http://bit.ly/wYpMrv

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 16:12 | 2301679 Mongo
Mongo's picture

It's like shoverling crap around on a sinking ship

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 16:17 | 2301699 HD
HD's picture

All the men in the engine room of the Titanic died. They stayed to the very end working to keep the ship balanced so the lifeboats could launch. We all know what happened next.

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 16:13 | 2301681 monopoly
monopoly's picture

Sure glad we only deal in "free markets" in this country. 

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 16:13 | 2301682 espirit
espirit's picture

I'm finally out of this game and only going to stack phyzz.

Slow learner, I guess.

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 16:41 | 2301798 slewie the pi-rat
slewie the pi-rat's picture

nice

paradigm shitfts take time and those shaman schools always cost a fortune!

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 16:14 | 2301686 beaker
beaker's picture

And don't forget it's the end of the quarter.  If the Fed is behind this, they probably had a lot of help from money managers looking to debit their fees on Monday.

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 16:16 | 2301697 LongSoupLine
LongSoupLine's picture

I'm just completely disgusted!

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 16:56 | 2301804 HarryM
HarryM's picture

Not only do they rob you in broad daylight in front of a camera , they flip you the bird

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 16:16 | 2301698 urbanelf
urbanelf's picture

Thursday's lecture, Bernanke will show off the PPT bot.

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 16:17 | 2301701 vmromk
vmromk's picture

The Bernank to the rescue.

BTW, Hey Bernanke....FUCK YOU

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 16:28 | 2301743 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

I guess Bernank got back to the office from his manure spreading  lecture circuit and hit the 'cntrl+full retard' button. 

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 16:18 | 2301702 ekm
ekm's picture

Primary Dealers who are stuffed with each other's stocks can't afford to see their holdings fall in value since they are bought in margin, so..........they keep buying at low volume, little by little until just a batch 100 BAC stock will move it 20%.

Same as Bear Stear, same as Lehman and of course same as MFGlobal.

The more it changes, the more it's the same thing.

Which primary dealer will be the next in line to be MFGlobalized?

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 16:27 | 2301740 LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

We need a serious pool on this.  I say Merril will be next to go tits up.

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 16:29 | 2301746 ekm
ekm's picture

May the Lord hear your voice, ML it is.

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 16:18 | 2301706 Stax Edwards
Stax Edwards's picture

Wheres Devo, I think the collectif owes the guy a beer, no? 

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 17:07 | 2301724 Stax Edwards
Stax Edwards's picture

And to that end, anybody know what Goldmans stake is in EDMC right now?  Stood at +-38% ownership at one time (when the Art Institute commercials were on TV with the chump saying he was gonna make big $$ designing video games)?  I am going to go ahead and assume it is much much lower based on the pump and dump chart.  Anybody got a figure?

Corrected: EDMC is the symbol not ESI, sorry.  Anyone know what GS stake is in EDMC

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 16:44 | 2301801 Awakened Sheeple
Awakened Sheeple's picture

Eh, he might be right, but for all the wrong reasons.. Re: "this market is clearly going higher." The sell-off is coming. The company I work for just let go of some temps. Orders are slowing down. Last time this happened was early '08. The stock market can't ignore reality forever...

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 16:45 | 2301809 Stax Edwards
Stax Edwards's picture

I should be more specific, but in light of my continued interest in buying puts which have skyrocketed in price I cannot.  You will have to do the homework, sorry AS.

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 17:27 | 2301921 walküre
walküre's picture

Last I heard from him was that he wanted to finally go "all in".

So maybe Devo bought the dip and rescued the markets singlehandedly today.. haha

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 16:20 | 2301711 Conman
Conman's picture

Can't wait for a black swan to rip all these over leveraged and magrined aholes a new ahole. Jsut want to see it before i die is all i wish.

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 16:55 | 2301837 lasvegaspersona
lasvegaspersona's picture

I have a good friend with a potentially fatal leukemia type disease. The one thing he wants is to see the finale....the last wahoo of the global financial show.

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 16:21 | 2301717 TradingJoe
TradingJoe's picture

Got to save them bonuses boys! :)) After that...LONG PHYZZZ...SHORT EVERYTHING ELSE!

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 16:25 | 2301730 mayhem_korner
mayhem_korner's picture

 

 

In Heartbreak Ridge, it takes the recon unit 3/4 of the flick to figure out a way to know what color shirt Eastwood is going to wear the next day.  I relish the day when the masses know what the algos' secret is ahead of time.

Improvise.  Adapt.  Overcome.

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 16:29 | 2301754 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

Who does Bernank's laundry and lays it out for the next day?

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 16:33 | 2301774 mayhem_korner
mayhem_korner's picture

 

 

I believe that would be Timmah.

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 16:26 | 2301733 LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

This is not the manipultion you were looking for, move along.

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 16:26 | 2301734 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

So what Algo is this, 'The Mamba'?

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 16:38 | 2301792 Lux Fiat
Lux Fiat's picture

It looks like the "Droop and Swoop".  Interesting that AAPL and GOOG continued to lag once the Swoop commenced.  Maybe they'll get swooped up tomorrow to better enhance end of quarter stats, and because no one seems to worry about being obvious anymore.  If not, I'll pay more attention.

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 16:46 | 2301813 HarryM
HarryM's picture

No , the 3 card monte

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 16:27 | 2301738 abducens
abducens's picture

3 pm is usually rally time , thank you whoever

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 16:27 | 2301741 lunaticfringe
lunaticfringe's picture

Broke is the new rich!!

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 16:28 | 2301747 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

So with the Bernank guarantee is there really a need for hedgefunds? What is there to hedge against?

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 17:30 | 2301927 ffart
ffart's picture

Long ES/Short industrial printers?

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 16:29 | 2301748 Bansters-in-my-...
Bansters-in-my- feces's picture

The DOW can't end red ya know.

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 16:32 | 2301770 Conman
Conman's picture

Fed mantra is Dow Red Days, No Friggin Ways

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 16:31 | 2301761 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

SO, I guess the much talked about 'correction' has now taken place....back to DOW 15,000 pumping I presume.

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 16:32 | 2301768 Silveramada
Silveramada's picture

PPT

 

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 16:32 | 2301769 gjp
gjp's picture

Groundhog day again and again.  But the movie was much funnier.

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 16:40 | 2301797 divedivedive
divedivedive's picture

Hmm - what happened to EUM at the close ? Did someone jump the gun by a day or two ?

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 17:49 | 2301990 walküre
walküre's picture

Which companies does EUM track reversely? If there's a spike in the stock price of any of these companies it could reflect the drop in EUM.

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 18:02 | 2302008 divedivedive
divedivedive's picture

15:59:44 - 29.36

16:00:00 - 28.72 (27 trades at this price)

16:00:03 - 29.34

 

If those are market on close that's a quick 2%. Another (low profile) flash crash ?

 

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 18:40 | 2302071 walküre
walküre's picture

My personal opinions on etfs and in particular on proshares is that they are manipulating the product to suit their needs. No rhyme or reason given, their prospectus are written confusing and non-sensical. Market it trading on vapors with little or no real participation. Fund managers are chasing every opportunity to make a profit. Even when that means they might get caught because it's so obvious. See the TVIX debacle.

What you need to know is that there are no "safe bets" and the moment you execute a buying order, your money is gone. Good luck trying to chase it higher.

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 16:47 | 2301814 Lux Fiat
Lux Fiat's picture

When I see so many resigned comments on the inability of the mkt to correct (not just on ZH), it's an election year so up, up and away, etc.., makes me wonder if things in the mkt are on thinner ice than I thought.  Or maybe I'm just a bear stuck in a certain river in Egypt.

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 16:48 | 2301818 Lady Heather...UNCLE
Lady Heather...UNCLE's picture

...no surprises at all> Last Thursday my bid got  filled at 1395 and I squared on early this week at 1420> This Thursday my bid got filled at 1395 and I will sell it early next week at 1420ish. Groundhog day?...sure is.  I do very little trading really but fuck 'em all...I will take some of their money and reinvest in more tangible assets (and zhers know what I'm talking about!)

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 17:04 | 2301860 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

Or, thats just what theyre desperate to condition retail into believing.

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 16:58 | 2301851 slewie the pi-rat
slewie the pi-rat's picture

no rollerCoaster ride so far @ quarter-end;  orderly like ants in the anthill of theCollective

everything is screwed down about as tight as i could imagine, even at the risk of repeating myself for another month...

timing is everything, and even in the long run, we're all day-to-day, but these numbers are goin in theBook, it seems, dano

robo_T is in exile, possibly for life; can you BiCheZ imagine the correction necessary for his re-instatement just into the non-smoking section, here?

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 17:42 | 2301966 TrustWho
TrustWho's picture

...exactly why talking heads on finance news are begging retail trade to buy "high". Maybe the MUPPETS can turn the table?

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 17:42 | 2301968 TrustWho
TrustWho's picture

...exactly why talking heads on finance news are begging retail trade to buy "high". Maybe the MUPPETS can turn the table?

Fri, 03/30/2012 - 00:23 | 2302731 electricgorilla
electricgorilla's picture

At $600 an oz im buying up physical palladium from credit suisse.

Thu, 04/19/2012 - 01:13 | 2357329 rachelsam
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