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Swiss France Soars For Second Time After Swiss Government Dashes Peg Hopes

Tyler Durden's picture




 

As we predicted earlier, following the disappointing announcement out of the SNB overnight, now it is the Swiss government's turn to make it clear that nothing good will happen for USDCHF and EUCHF longs following a 9 sigma move higher in the past week. As a result, the EURCHF promptly took out another 200 pips in the past hour and tumbled as soon as Switzerland's Widmer-Schlumpf said that the Franc is a matter for the SNB, not a matter for politicians, and that it is up to the SNB to decide on the CHF target, throwing the ball of responsibility back in Philipp's court, and making sure that all the CHF pairs retest all time lows in the very near future. Because, just as eurobonds are the last ditch option for the eurozone, so a CHF peg is the last option for the SNB before ongoing pressures in the eurozone push the CHF to parity with the EUR, in the process bankrupting the CHF, and destroying the country's export sector.

 

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Wed, 08/17/2011 - 11:44 | 1568998 bool2
bool2's picture

Oh the Swiss France! Where can I buy that? :-)

Wed, 08/17/2011 - 11:49 | 1569029 NotApplicable
NotApplicable's picture

The new Northern Euro?

Wed, 08/17/2011 - 11:53 | 1569054 bankrupt JPM bu...
bankrupt JPM buy silver's picture

so when does the Bank of Canada start printing?  Only a matter of time....

 

www.silvergoldsilver.blogspot.com

Wed, 08/17/2011 - 12:14 | 1569147 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

Come on...just ONE little letter!

Wed, 08/17/2011 - 11:44 | 1569002 Tom_333
Tom_333's picture

Sweet!

Wed, 08/17/2011 - 11:45 | 1569006 Hedgetard55
Hedgetard55's picture

Hmmm... I sold 20% of my position in FXF at 130.50... never hurts to take a profit... but... it could be back at 140 before we know it. Oh well.

Wed, 08/17/2011 - 11:48 | 1569017 swissaustrian
swissaustrian's picture

Jesus, Widmer Schlumpf doesn´t have a clue about financial markets. She should have said "all options are on the table". But yeah, we have elections coming up this autumn. So fuck the exporters, let´s get reelected.

Wed, 08/17/2011 - 11:53 | 1569051 lubyanka
lubyanka's picture

This doesn't make sense. Yes, maybe she should have used a more threatening language but a) the Swiss electorate wants a weaker Franc because they are aware of the threat to the export industry and b) CHF 2 billion for certain industries to soften the CHF-pain hardly imply a "fuck the exporters" attitude.

Wed, 08/17/2011 - 12:01 | 1569093 swissaustrian
swissaustrian's picture

2 billion is nothing if exports and/or margins go down 30 %

Wed, 08/17/2011 - 12:08 | 1569123 lubyanka
lubyanka's picture

Import prices are falling too which is good for margins and exports haven't gone back by nearly 30%. Still, I see your point. Do you think a peg would have been the better option though?

Wed, 08/17/2011 - 12:19 | 1569166 swissaustrian
swissaustrian's picture

No i think we should instal a sovereign wealth fund that invests money from fx interventions abroad.

Additionally we need way better public relations from the SNB and the gov.

Wed, 08/17/2011 - 12:29 | 1569194 lubyanka
lubyanka's picture

Yeah I agree, but I don't think that's politically feasible. Can you imagine the SVP-Plakate? Haha...

Btw. I've been trying to get my hands on that UBS report where they argued for an SWF. Couldn't find it, do you know where to look for it btw? I have access to the costly UBS research platform through work but couldn't find anything..

Wed, 08/17/2011 - 13:57 | 1569574 swissaustrian
swissaustrian's picture

There is an article in NZZ.

The piece itself is costly. I got a PDF from a friend. I´m not a client of UBS.

Wed, 08/17/2011 - 11:54 | 1569058 Grinder74
Grinder74's picture

Why don't people start their exclamations with "Muhammad" or "Buddha"?  No offense, just asking.

Wed, 08/17/2011 - 11:57 | 1569074 Ahmeexnal
Ahmeexnal's picture

Jesus fucking Christ! Lighten up dude!

Wed, 08/17/2011 - 12:01 | 1569095 swissaustrian
swissaustrian's picture

I´m going to use Benny or Timmah now

Wed, 08/17/2011 - 21:34 | 1571136 StychoKiller
StychoKiller's picture

"Good Ghandhi!  My jubilation knows no bounds!" -- Apu, "The Simpsons"

Wed, 08/17/2011 - 11:48 | 1569020 Buckaroo Banzai
Buckaroo Banzai's picture

It's a race to the bottom, and Switzerland is getting left behind.

Wed, 08/17/2011 - 11:48 | 1569022 BurningFuld
BurningFuld's picture

add on:  AND destroying anyone's ability to pay back all those borrowed Francs.

Wed, 08/17/2011 - 11:49 | 1569027 gwar5
gwar5's picture

 

I could only wish we had the SUI problem of a safe currency. 

Even the Warren Buffetts and George Soros of the world have to have some cash, and have to leave some place safe to put theirs

 

 

 

Wed, 08/17/2011 - 11:54 | 1569055 Dick Darlington
Dick Darlington's picture

Just wondering how the household balance sheets in Hungary, Croatia, Poland etc look like these days. All those CHF-denominated mortgages to buy overvalued houses, ouch... I'm sure the central planners in those countries will fix that too.

Wed, 08/17/2011 - 11:57 | 1569076 lubyanka
lubyanka's picture

On a similar note, where are the CDS of all those Austrian banks that made these loans?

Wed, 08/17/2011 - 12:02 | 1569099 Rama Lypse
Rama Lypse's picture

Since you wonder: CHF is expensive but LIBOR is low. The result is only a moderate increase in monthly payments.

Wed, 08/17/2011 - 11:54 | 1569059 Irish66
Wed, 08/17/2011 - 11:59 | 1569088 NotApplicable
NotApplicable's picture

This man is going to need a private security detail.

Wed, 08/17/2011 - 12:03 | 1569101 Irish66
Irish66's picture

Who would protect him? CIA..haha

Wed, 08/17/2011 - 12:05 | 1569110 Catullus
Catullus's picture

I want the Italians to come back with "I never would be in this sovereign debt crisis if Italy weren't sovereign."

This is too much fun. They've "contemplating" one European government since the death of Charlemagne. What a joke

Wed, 08/17/2011 - 12:13 | 1569138 vegas
vegas's picture

1.14 - 1.15 offered excellent opportunity for re-establishing short eurchf positions. Expect a retest of the parity lows in the next few weeks maybe a month. Stop above 1.1570.

Market retraced about .38 on panic short covering. Trend down about to continue with a vengence.

Next to being long gold, this short is about as good as it gets from a trading standpoint.

Wed, 08/17/2011 - 12:17 | 1569156 Zero Debt
Zero Debt's picture

Why can't Switzerland just take those incoming FX dollars and use them to buy up gold on the open market instead to "sterilize" the rise in the currency and if FX traders want to get out of the Swissie, SNB just sells the gold again and buys the foreign currency back and sells...voila...No exporting nation is going to suffer from that...and the pressure on the CHF would be greatly reduced.

 

Wed, 08/17/2011 - 12:28 | 1569187 Sudden Debt
Sudden Debt's picture

today was a slow day for silver to... only 1/3 of the year production got bought in the future markets.

 

Wed, 08/17/2011 - 13:03 | 1569287 Die Weiße Rose
Die Weiße Rose's picture

FX Markets are a bad Joke, a rigged Game due to the debased and corrupted Reserve Currency, the US Dollar.

What is the underlying value of the US Dollar ?  US $15,000,000,000,000 Dollars of national Debt on Junkbonds.

It is an addiction to Quantitative easing, a US $3 trillion stimulus Bubble addiction that is completely out of control.

This is our "Reserve Currency" of the global Market economy ?

The USD is a farce, It is Insanity, It is monopoly money that should be relegated to Junk status .

Relative to the US Dollar, all currencies are Inflated to ridiculous hights, causing Price Inflation and Instability in the most fragile economies, especially emerging economies . There are 500 million People in the Euro-zone alone.

How much longer will People in Europe and Asia put up with the Reserve Currency devaluation of the US Dollar?

A mix of value Currencies like the Euro and the Swiss Frank should rightfully be the Global Reserve Currency of the global Economy and market-Place

Ditch the debased and manipulated US - currency from global Reserve Status to Junk, to reflect the real value the corrupted and bankrupted US Dollar has become.

 

 

Wed, 08/17/2011 - 13:56 | 1569566 Sow-puncher
Sow-puncher's picture

Is it you, WITHLOVE? (From Ihub)???

Wed, 08/17/2011 - 13:33 | 1569457 newstreet
newstreet's picture

Soars?  How about just a little whipsaw.

Wed, 08/17/2011 - 14:50 | 1569814 RedPirate
RedPirate's picture

Well I can't see it soaring anywhere. I think SNB is doing good job.

 

Wed, 08/17/2011 - 15:20 | 1569940 THE DORK OF CORK
THE DORK OF CORK's picture

Its not a highly valued Franc or a lowly valued Euro which kills industry - its the wild gyrations in the FX market as the blood suckers take more then just a pound of flesh.

The leverage of the FX market must be destroyed - and in a debt based system that can only be through a massive increase in the price of Gold.

Thu, 12/29/2011 - 08:16 | 2018624 sampak101
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