The True Value Of Money (Literally)

Tyler Durden's picture




As a follow up bonus from the Artemis presentation earlier, we present this chart which answers the age old question: what is the true value of money? It does so in quite a literal fashion, and explains why Kyle Bass is such a fan of nickels...

As a reminder, from Michael Lewis' book on Kyle Bass:

On nickels:

He still owned stacks of gold and platinum bars that had
roughly doubled in value, but he remained on the lookout for hard
stores of wealth as a hedge against what he assumed was the coming
debasement of fiat currency. Nickels, for instance.

 

“The value of the metal in a nickel is worth six point eight cents,” he said. “Did you know that?”

 

I didn’t.

 

“I just bought a million dollars’ worth of them,” he said, and then,
perhaps sensing I couldn’t do the math: “twenty million nickels.”

 

“You bought twenty million nickels?”

 

“Uh-huh.”

 

“How do you buy twenty million nickels?”

 

“Actually, it’s very difficult,” he said, and then explained that he
had to call his bank and talk them into ordering him twenty million
nickels. The bank had finally done it, but the Federal Reserve had its
own questions. “The Fed apparently called my guy at the bank,” he says.
“They asked him, ‘Why do you want all these nickels?’ So he called me
and asked, ‘Why do you want all these nickels?’ And I said, ‘I just
like nickels.’”

 

He pulled out a photograph of his nickels and handed it to me. There
they were, piled up on giant wooden pallets in a Brink’s vault in
downtown Dallas.

 

“I’m telling you, in the next two years they’ll change the content
of the nickel,” he said. “You really ought to call your bank and buy
some now.”

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Fri, 11/04/2011 - 16:50 | 1846555 LeZinc
LeZinc's picture

Time to confiscate the kids' piggy banks.

/sarc

Fri, 11/04/2011 - 17:30 | 1846633 AldousHuxley
AldousHuxley's picture

value of dollar = 1 sheet of 2 ply toilet paper

 

 

The question I have is how much is the shipping cost for $2M worth of nickles?

Fri, 11/04/2011 - 17:54 | 1846664 Pladizow
Pladizow's picture

Bass was the only good part of Boomerang!

And all these coins will be worthless one the Rockerfeller RFID chip is implanted.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zZJN9JT6VGc

Fri, 11/04/2011 - 17:56 | 1846705 narapoiddyslexia
narapoiddyslexia's picture

Only slightly OT, and maybe not. Here is the whole of a statement issued by the CFTC today -

“In September of 2008, the Commission announced the existence of an enforcement investigation into the possibility of unlawful acts in silver markets. Since that time, the staff has analyzed over 100,000 documents and interviewed dozens of witnesses and obtained expert advice. It has been a long, detailed, and thorough investigation, and it continues in an appropriate and considered manner.”

See the link.

Discussion? Or just puke?

 

Fri, 11/04/2011 - 18:07 | 1846739 Bob Sacamano
Bob Sacamano's picture

Three years is NOT a "considered manner."   It is incompetence on display.

Or maybe just having trouble reaching the desired conclusion....

Fri, 11/04/2011 - 19:20 | 1846955 Mr Lennon Hendrix
Mr Lennon Hendrix's picture

Bart Chilton just spoke on this (see link below).  He says the CFTC is a poorly managed administration, and that is him saying the least.

Sat, 11/05/2011 - 16:42 | 1849179 Hugh G Rection
Hugh G Rection's picture

Mr Lennon Hendrix,

What happened to the "They Live" picture? Did he find some bubblegum?

Fri, 11/04/2011 - 19:32 | 1846986 knukles
knukles's picture

Au contraire, it's bury the malfeasance as JP Morgan is the prime culprit.

Fri, 11/04/2011 - 19:42 | 1847010 Mr Lennon Hendrix
Mr Lennon Hendrix's picture

Everyone is pulling their cash out of the big banks tomorrow, right?

And buying silver with it, right?

;)

Fri, 11/04/2011 - 20:30 | 1847149 Buckaroo Banzai
Buckaroo Banzai's picture

NICKEL, bitchez!!

Someone had to say it.

Fri, 11/04/2011 - 21:10 | 1847237 AldousHuxley
AldousHuxley's picture

Looks like the delivery on your order failed...

 

http://jalopnik.com/nickel-truck/

 

Deadly Truck Accident Spills Millions Of Nickels On Florida’s I95

Last night on Florida's I95 freeway a US Treasury truck carrying four million nickels was southbound on its way from Philadelphia to Miami when it collided with another southbound truck, spilling $187,000 worth of coins all over the scene. The passenger in the Treasury truck died as a result of the accident and Florida police are currently investigating the scene. Also on hand are Treasury officials attempting to clean up the mess and eager citizens trying to grab some coins and not get slapped with a Federal robbery charge. [Local6]

Fri, 11/04/2011 - 23:06 | 1847631 Triggernometry
Triggernometry's picture

I've been stacking nickels for a while.  I've noticed their getting harder to find, but I haven't taken metrics to confirm.

Sat, 11/05/2011 - 02:15 | 1847979 Ahmeexnal
Ahmeexnal's picture

nickels are cheap ammo for a gauss gun.

nails will work fine too.

Sat, 11/05/2011 - 15:50 | 1849057 GOSPLAN HERO
GOSPLAN HERO's picture

Dimes work well in a cylinder bore 12 ga. shotgun.

Sat, 11/05/2011 - 12:53 | 1848671 Jay
Jay's picture

Now see, the news story says it will take a long time to clean up and the news reporter is saying you'll be slapped with a federal charge if you pick up the nickels. Why not just let folks that want the nickels pick them up? Let the mess clean itself up automatically for free--or nearly free....just a few nickels.

Fri, 11/04/2011 - 21:19 | 1847257 Chump
Chump's picture

Local news channel did a ten minute story on this very topic.  Apparently some people got a head start and switched over everything: car loans, mortgages, money markets...everything.  Some of the comments amounted to, "I feel like I've done something good for the local economy," and, "I wanted to make a statement of protest with my money."  Ten minutes doesn't sound like much, but when you consider our local news regularly covers the latest happenings on DWTS, well, it ends up being a big fucking deal to yours truly.

Moral: let's not talk down to the sheep, more and more they're lifting their heads from the pasture to say, "Uh, wtf?"

Fri, 11/04/2011 - 21:46 | 1847352 AldousHuxley
AldousHuxley's picture

if you really want to hurt the banksters, walk away from mortage, default on car loans, and buy some gold/silver and triple short the bank stocks.

 

banks make money on loans. They need desparate poor workers to get more in debt so that they can profit interest tax off of your labor productivity.

 

now wall street makes money on gambling , but they can't when they dont' have enough assets to leverage from.

 

 

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Icqrx0OimSs

Sat, 11/05/2011 - 08:53 | 1848228 Chump
Chump's picture

I don't have a problem with banks making money, nor do I have a problem with lending in general.  I do have a problem with fractional reserve lending that puts the entire financial system at risk, and I have a huge problem when banks that made money on the way up end up being propped up by those who were prudent in the form of bailouts on their garbage assets.

You need to be specific when you complain about the banksters.  Your local credit union is not staffed by banksters, and banking in and of itself is not immoral.  It's absolutely necessary to be able to lend and borrow capital.

Sat, 11/05/2011 - 18:20 | 1849392 AldousHuxley
AldousHuxley's picture

yes move your money out of ShittyBank of America  into credit union. or into your broker and then buy some shorts.

Fri, 11/04/2011 - 21:44 | 1847342 steelrules
steelrules's picture

Remember Remember the fifth of November.

Fri, 11/04/2011 - 19:11 | 1846931 Mr Lennon Hendrix
Mr Lennon Hendrix's picture

If I accept an RFID chip, will I still have to be groped at the airport?

Just asking

Fri, 11/04/2011 - 19:25 | 1846963 tmosley
tmosley's picture

Nope.  

After the RFID chip comes the anal sex.

Fri, 11/04/2011 - 19:29 | 1846978 Mr Lennon Hendrix
Mr Lennon Hendrix's picture

I won't be surprised when a report comes out that a TSA agent took someone in a backroom and the former happens, if that hasn't already happened by now.

Fri, 11/04/2011 - 20:08 | 1847082 Al Gorerhythm
Al Gorerhythm's picture

TSA guy; "Say pal, haven't I seen you before?"

Guy in construction worker's outfit. "Yes, but I wanted a second opinion"

Fri, 11/04/2011 - 19:05 | 1846866 Taint Boil
Taint Boil's picture

 

 

AldousHuxley  sir

Not sure but for Cheese:

[.................] the cost of moving the cheese 1,367 miles would be $0.0497 per pound, or $2,187.20 total transportation cost.

 44,000 pounds = about 20 million grams

 1 nickel = 4.5 grams = 4.4 million nickels soooooooo, about $0.00049212 per nickel ???????????

 Check the math  - pounding down some Rum and Coke

Fri, 11/04/2011 - 19:38 | 1847004 topshelfstuff
topshelfstuff's picture

a nickel is exactly 5 grams

Fri, 11/04/2011 - 19:50 | 1847045 prains
prains's picture

really the best thing to do with a pillow case full of nickels is find a banker/politician and beat them like a granny having her purse stolen.

Fri, 11/04/2011 - 21:56 | 1847401 i-dog
i-dog's picture

Exactly. A 30-year-old 5 cent coin is now worth 5.4 cents? Wow!!

A 30-year-old dollar note is also still worth a dollar ... whereas a 30-year-old ounce of silver, costing $10 then, is now worth $34. What does Kyle Bass smoke?

Fri, 11/04/2011 - 23:11 | 1847634 Idiot Savant
Idiot Savant's picture

Nickels are a good hedge against hyperinflation and deflation alike. During hyperinflation, coins usually aren't revalued with paper. Read: when a new currency is issued, a million in nickels is still worth a million, while your million in cash is revalued to 100k. While commodities fare well during hyperinflation, they typically suffer in deflationary periods. Nickels will always be worth five cents, and are immune to deflation.

Fri, 11/04/2011 - 23:23 | 1847675 FutureShock
FutureShock's picture

Bass is at Genius level, he has enough gold, cash and everything else. And just in case they fuck us on currency, gold, and whatever else. A million nickles for an obscure hedge just because he can.

Sat, 11/05/2011 - 01:46 | 1847940 lewy14
lewy14's picture

Your "immune to deflation" argument got me thinking...

A nickel is $.05 plus a free, embedded, slightly-in-the-money American style call option on nickel, which never expires.

Which, interestingly, means that a nickel is worth more than five cents even if the current price of nickel is such that the metal value of a nickel is less that five cents

This actually generalizes to all coins - all coins are worth (make that "can be priced using options theory") more than face value (face value plus the embedded call, which is always positive even if the underlying metal is way out of the money).

Fri, 11/04/2011 - 21:24 | 1847269 Gully Foyle
Gully Foyle's picture

topshelfstuff

In my day a Nickel was SEVEN grams, one quarter ounce. Ounces were twenty bucks and FIVE fingers wide.

That's about all I recall of those days.

Fri, 11/04/2011 - 20:52 | 1847212 aurum
aurum's picture

this is more accurate....http://www.coinflation.com/

Fri, 11/04/2011 - 16:51 | 1846558 PsychicWebbah
PsychicWebbah's picture

So maybe we should be on the nickel standard?

Fri, 11/04/2011 - 17:03 | 1846584 Schmuck Raker
Schmuck Raker's picture

Oh, we will be.

Fri, 11/04/2011 - 17:16 | 1846595 dwdollar
dwdollar's picture

Hold on... I did the calculation and only got $.048 at current metal prices. However, it was probably much higher than $.05 earlier in the year AND I bet it will be again (soon).

Fri, 11/04/2011 - 17:39 | 1846658 tmosley
Fri, 11/04/2011 - 20:40 | 1847183 RockyRacoon
RockyRacoon's picture

Thanks.  You saved me the trouble.   Now, if I just had a dollar for every time I've posted that link....

Oughta be a "Resource Center" around here on the ZH site someplace.

Sigh....

Fri, 11/04/2011 - 20:48 | 1847201 dwdollar
dwdollar's picture

Ah, yes... Foiled by the troy ounce. I get $.053 now that I'm using the right units. Thanks for the correction.

Fri, 11/04/2011 - 21:26 | 1847278 SPONGE
SPONGE's picture

You're on to something big.

Go short at .053

Change accounting method to old "mark to non-troy"

Go long at .048

Rediscover troy.

Repeat

You'll be rich by Tuesday. Thank me later

 

Fri, 11/04/2011 - 18:43 | 1846842 Tortfeasor
Tortfeasor's picture

Off the lows.

Fri, 11/04/2011 - 17:51 | 1846693 Steroid
Steroid's picture

"So maybe we should be on the nickel standard?"

Dream on, we can't even afford a zinc standard.

Fri, 11/04/2011 - 18:08 | 1846749 Mentaliusanything
Mentaliusanything's picture

You will enjoy the "Thin Air standard" and be thankful.

Fri, 11/04/2011 - 19:25 | 1846962 peekcrackers
peekcrackers's picture

Right now we are on the Dream stanadard

Fri, 11/04/2011 - 19:46 | 1847026 prains
prains's picture

soon to be replaced with the doucheium standard

Fri, 11/04/2011 - 21:07 | 1847233 aurum
aurum's picture

the only standard we can have is one of tungsten

Fri, 11/04/2011 - 21:55 | 1847396 FEDbuster
FEDbuster's picture

Tungsten core, lead body, with a copper jacket cinched into a brass case, bitchez!

Fri, 11/04/2011 - 17:54 | 1846702 fonestar
fonestar's picture

Nickel can almost be considered a semi-precious metal now.

I have fifty pounds of the Canadian Nickels.  1955 - 1981 are 99.9% pure nickel.

Fri, 11/04/2011 - 20:43 | 1847188 RockyRacoon
RockyRacoon's picture

Canadian nickel spot value:

1955 - 1981 Nickel $0.05 $0.0846129
Fri, 11/04/2011 - 21:03 | 1847223 disabledvet
disabledvet's picture

so how do you get those 8.5 cents for your nickels then?

Sat, 11/05/2011 - 18:44 | 1849435 UP Forester
UP Forester's picture

I don't exactly know, but melting them down sounds like a start.  Then, I guess you find someone who can use nickel for plating, NiCad or NiMH or NiFe batteries, or mix with copper for brass.  Just make sure you get paid in silver or gold.

Fri, 11/04/2011 - 21:28 | 1847291 IQ 145
IQ 145's picture

Excellent. It's certainly a strategic metal and it's not going to get any cheaper.

Fri, 11/04/2011 - 18:44 | 1846846 RafterManFMJ
RafterManFMJ's picture

So maybe we should be on the nickel standard?

 

Gold is the money of kings

Silver the money of gentlemen

Barter the money of peasants

debt the money of slaves

Say, where do you fall, gentle reader? :))

Fri, 11/04/2011 - 19:28 | 1846970 peekcrackers
peekcrackers's picture

Blow and hookers are the money of wall street ,.

Fri, 11/04/2011 - 20:11 | 1847100 dark pools of soros
dark pools of soros's picture

Unicorns are the money of governments

Fri, 11/04/2011 - 20:22 | 1847126 He_Who Carried ...
He_Who Carried The Sun's picture

Acorns is the money of the free...

Fri, 11/04/2011 - 21:01 | 1847222 AldousHuxley
AldousHuxley's picture

dumb slaves....getting in debt.

 

plastic bottles and aluminum bottles the money of homeless bums  (aka. professional recyclers)

 

 

Fri, 11/04/2011 - 21:28 | 1847290 Gully Foyle
Gully Foyle's picture

RafterManFMJ

"Say, where do you fall, gentle reader? :))"

Land the money of GODS. That's where it all falls eventually.

Fri, 11/04/2011 - 16:52 | 1846559 bernorange
bernorange's picture

coinflation bitchez

www.pmbug.com

Fri, 11/04/2011 - 16:54 | 1846567 AR15AU
AR15AU's picture

Yep...  I seem to visit coinflation daily... surprised ZH hadn't heard of it...

Fri, 11/04/2011 - 19:59 | 1847067 Vlad Tepid
Vlad Tepid's picture

Coinflation is how I heard of ZH!  They link to it on their homepage...

Fri, 11/04/2011 - 16:54 | 1846566 Troll Magnet
Troll Magnet's picture

and the new nickel will be called "plastickel."

Fri, 11/04/2011 - 17:44 | 1846673 AldousHuxley
AldousHuxley's picture

If you look closely, it says on the heads side  "MADE IN CHINA"

Fri, 11/04/2011 - 18:01 | 1846725 fonestar
fonestar's picture

"IN GOD WE TRUSTED"

or

 

"IN GREED WE RUSTED"

Fri, 11/04/2011 - 18:08 | 1846751 Troll Magnet
Troll Magnet's picture

Goddammit, AldousHuxley!  Why do you have to ruin it for everybody?  Nobody's gonna try to eat their new plastickels now!  I hope you're happy!

Fri, 11/04/2011 - 19:30 | 1846981 peekcrackers
peekcrackers's picture

My reads .. this is your retierment fund.

Fri, 11/04/2011 - 19:54 | 1847015 knukles
knukles's picture

If I were president, my first official action would be to order up a double lamb-burger with cheese.  The second would be to issue Executive Order #1.  They would be renumbered as the inflation in Executive Orders has made them weary and worty far too little. 
I mean who the fuck has ever picked up an executive order off of the sidewalk?
None the less (get the joke, none the less sound of FoghornLrghorn laughing) the order would demand that the Homily on All Our Coin and Currency be Changed form In God We Trust to Every Man for Hisself. 
The second would proscribe that stamped into the rim of each coin would be the words "blah, blah, blah, blah, blah..." etc.
There. 
Money made whole again.

And wait'll ya'll see what I do with the chimps at the zoo.
I mean C-SPAN Will be more fun than a barrell full of monkeys.

Fucking Bread and Circuses Forever.

(humming some erratic tuneless song about something or other kinda patriotic about pennies from heaven, I think)

Fri, 11/04/2011 - 20:07 | 1847088 Mr Lennon Hendrix
Mr Lennon Hendrix's picture

Knuckles/Ferguson 2012

Fri, 11/04/2011 - 21:16 | 1847247 IQ 145
IQ 145's picture

I like the way you think; I think.

Sat, 11/05/2011 - 04:33 | 1848080 saiybat
saiybat's picture

You have to trust in god because fiat currency is government backed and faith based. Just about everybody worships the money god and gives tribute and sacrifices to the money god.

Sun, 11/06/2011 - 03:48 | 1850080 Hephasteus
Hephasteus's picture

I'd like to see chimps raping frogs during the groupon ipo. That would be cute.

Sat, 11/05/2011 - 14:55 | 1848958 Mesquite
Mesquite's picture

"IN CHINA WE TRUST"

Fri, 11/04/2011 - 21:27 | 1847282 Gully Foyle
Gully Foyle's picture

AldousHuxley

Yea but the tech support number rings in India.


Sat, 11/05/2011 - 04:27 | 1848074 AldousHuxley
AldousHuxley's picture
  Raj Rajaratnam's cousin who goes by the name "Steve"
Fri, 11/04/2011 - 19:48 | 1847037 Apeman
Apeman's picture

first batch will be the "testickel"

Fri, 11/04/2011 - 21:18 | 1847254 IQ 145
IQ 145's picture

Ouch. Hey, that Kyle Bass is pretty good; he paid a million dollars and got 600,000$ in free strategic metals from the US Govn. that are probably at their lowest price for the next five years. That's pretty impressive.

Fri, 11/04/2011 - 16:55 | 1846569 mynhair
mynhair's picture

Save the pennies for numismatic value.  Another run at $4 Cu, and there won't be many left.

Only picked up 1 in the last 2 weeks.

Fri, 11/04/2011 - 18:03 | 1846734 fonestar
fonestar's picture

Gold, Silver, Platinum, Palladium, Rhodium, Nickel, Copper, Zinc, Lead, Tungsten. 

Whatever the hell they can't print!!

Fri, 11/04/2011 - 20:15 | 1847106 LongBallsShortBrains
LongBallsShortBrains's picture

Make sure and hide it well.

Fri, 11/04/2011 - 20:54 | 1847216 UP Forester
UP Forester's picture

I hide mine right behind the Japanese company-claymore.

For anyone who hasn't seen one of these, they call them "Company Killers," and are about 3 feet wide by 1.5 feet tall.

 

Fri, 11/04/2011 - 16:55 | 1846571 achmachat
achmachat's picture

had he bought a million's worth of gold, not only would he be richer now, but he could also carry it around... and... you know... find a buyer when in need!

Fri, 11/04/2011 - 17:28 | 1846625 Citxmech
Citxmech's picture

The real value of the nickel play is as a hedge against fiat re-denomination e.g. where the govt. in essence, lops-off a couple of zeros off the currancy to correct for rampant inflation.  So then the nickels become worth $5.00 intead of $0.05.  The beauty though, is that you can't lose if you bought them at face value and the metal content is worth more than you paid.  Nickels effectively hedge themselves.

PS  Rolls fit great into 30 cal. ammo cans - but they end up being pretty damn heavy.

Fri, 11/04/2011 - 17:36 | 1846652 Smiddywesson
Smiddywesson's picture

Yup, that would be about 35 lbs.  

If you can't do curls with your stash, you ain't a playa

(No silver bugs, your stash does not count into the workout theory)

Fri, 11/04/2011 - 19:50 | 1847044 SilverIsKing
SilverIsKing's picture

I curl 100 oz JM silver bars daily. Watchutalkinboutsmiddy?

Fri, 11/04/2011 - 17:45 | 1846675 Pladizow
Pladizow's picture

A few months ago Bass advised U of T to pick up a Billion $ in physical - so its safe to assume he owns more then his share!

Fri, 11/04/2011 - 18:48 | 1846859 RafterManFMJ
RafterManFMJ's picture

had he bought a million's worth of gold, not only would he be richer now, but he could also carry it around... and... you know... find a buyer when in need!

 

Uh, he has stacks of gold and platinum as well as big acreage, guns and night scopes.  He's just foolin' around with the nickels - although his thinking is sound.  Imagine doing what he did back in '64 with dimes and quarters...

Fri, 11/04/2011 - 19:47 | 1847033 knukles
knukles's picture

So armageddon comes along and what's he gonna do?  Drive down to the middle of Dallas Fucking Texas, sign into the vault and grab a handful?
Jesus.

Fri, 11/04/2011 - 16:56 | 1846572 drivenZ
drivenZ's picture

I just bought the domain cash4pre1982pennies.com ...gonna be rich. 

Fri, 11/04/2011 - 17:00 | 1846579 Sweet Chicken
Sweet Chicken's picture

lulz :thumbsup

Fri, 11/04/2011 - 17:16 | 1846604 Agent P
Agent P's picture

Got it for pennies on the dollar with the hopes of someday selling it for dollars on the penny.

Do NOT follow this link or you will be banned from the site!