USS Enterprise Prepares To Cross Suez Canal, Days Away From Anchor In Arabian Sea

Tyler Durden's picture




 

Much noise has been emanating out of Israel vis-a-vis its Iranian intentions, with some opinions suggesting an attack is imminent, while others claiming that Israel will ultimately defer to D.C., and postpone an attack, and the eventual gasoline price shock, until after the election. The truth is nobody but a few select generals, knows: in warfare surprise is the key factor, so outright flashing invasion intentions is usually an indicator of just the opposite. That said, the most recent update that Azerbaijan has granted Israel access to its airbases along the Iran border is hardly encouraging for Nobel peace prize winners and other pacifists. Yet as we have been claiming for the past two weeks, ever since the launch of CVN-65 on its last tour of duty, the true catalyst, if any, will be the arrival of the USS Enterprise at what may well be its last place of anchor - somewhere in the Arabian Sea, just off the side of CVN 70 and CVN 72 both of which are patrolling the Straits of Hormuz. And as the map from Stratfor below shows, the Enterprise is about to cross the Suez Canal, from which point it will be at most days from entering its catalyst location, namely supporting the Israel air force. Just because the US has never had 3 concurrent aircraft carriers in proximity to Iran before.

Below is a video released two days ago showing the Enterprise conducting a maneuvering exercise in the Mediterranean sea:

 

And as a reminder, once CVN-65 is parked and on location, here are the windows of opportunity for Iran.

1001 Moonless Kinetic Nights: Presenting The Windows Of Opportunity For An Iranian Attack

Following last Friday's majority vote by the Israel Security Council authorizing Iranian "action" when required, answering the "if", the only open question remains "when." As it turns out, based on the following analysis by Rapidan Group, there are only 10 or so distinct 10 day New Moon windows for the remainder of 2012. If one removes the sandstorm prone months of April, July and September, there are 7 periods in which a military strike is realistic. Also CVN 65 is moving at a snail's pace and is just now approaching the Straits of Gibraltar.  Since any action will likely not take place unless 3 aircraft carriers are in the vicinity, and because the ICE yesterday instituted ultra-short term trading spike curbs in crude, starting April 1, one can likely eliminate the immediately proximal March 17-27 window. Which leaves six. Our advice would be to buy up OTM calls in Brent in the days just ahead of the start of any such window, as any "surprise" attack will have a uplifting impact on all combustible assets, doubly so for levered ones.

From Rapidan Group

Timing Considerations

 

Based on press reports, officials see high odds of an attack sometime between 2Q12 and the end of the year, with most pointing to 2Q or 3Q.

 

If Israel elects to conduct a conventional military strike, the optimal conditions would be moonless and cloudless nights. “Operation Orchard,” Israel’s attack on Syria’s reactor at Al-Kibar on Sep 6, 2007, took place 5 days before the new moon. This suggests windows starting about 5 days before a new moon and ending five days after - see the table below. Low humidity is also ideal, but not required.

 

Attackers would want to avoid sandstorms, which have afflicted Iran in April, July, and September in recent years. Last year, a large sandstorm in mid-April hit 20 provinces, forcing the shutdown of schools and businesses. Sandstorms are visible and predictable, however, and would be taken into account by planners.

 

For non-kinetic options, climate is not a consideration to our knowledge. Presumably, they would be tried before kinetic ones and only after leaders were convinced Iran had not yet felt enough pain to compel it to freeze enrichment. 

 

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Thu, 03/29/2012 - 08:04 | 2300066 Ima anal sphincter
Ima anal sphincter's picture

NO MORE WARS BASED ON LIES!!

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 08:05 | 2300069 cossack55
cossack55's picture

Really? I hear the Enterprise is crewed by 19 Saudis.

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 08:17 | 2300094 Colombian Gringo
Colombian Gringo's picture

Yeah,  armed with boxcutters. 

Of course, Israel would never attack the US and then blame it on Iranians, would they?

 

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 08:28 | 2300117 Oh regional Indian
Oh regional Indian's picture

False Flag, Easyraoul? Never.

Even Mossad's motto is "By Honor and Courage, we will Win" or some such.

Chilling though, how the whole world is discussing a war, the killing of thousands.... with AFPak, Iraq, Libya, Syria still smouldering.

Surely we are ducked, plucked and definitely de-lucked as a species.

ori

/hey-america/

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 08:46 | 2300153 Negro Primero
Negro Primero's picture

"By way of deception, thou shalt do war." ~Israeli Mossad

http://truthernews.wordpress.com/2012/03/20/alex-jones-guilty-of-hiding-...

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 09:03 | 2300196 Harlequin001
Harlequin001's picture

Aaaaaaand ....sink.

There you go, plan sussed, no sweat.

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 09:35 | 2300313 He_Who Carried ...
He_Who Carried The Sun's picture

Your obsolete timeline misses the date of the US elections...!

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 08:41 | 2300144 BigJim
BigJim's picture

Sinking the Enterprise in the Suez canal before it even gets near Iran might stir things up a bit.

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 09:08 | 2300218 gmrpeabody
gmrpeabody's picture

One would think...

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 10:00 | 2300377 Chupacabra-322
Chupacabra-322's picture

@ BigJim,

Absolutely!  The Enterprise was scheduled to be decommishioned next year.  Perfect opportunity to conduct a Flase Flag.  Probably to be carried out by Mossad and one of Isreal's sub's. 

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 10:19 | 2300432 BudFox2012
BudFox2012's picture

I hope they've improved their skills since the last time they tried to sink a US ship (USS Liberty)...

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 11:13 | 2300641 NewAmericaNow
NewAmericaNow's picture

Yes it cost alot of money to decommission a nuclear aircraft carrier. If they can sink it in a false flag that would kill two birds so to speak. The nuclear contamination from such an attack would be a huge ecological problem, but what does the US governmnet care. The enterprise is a very very fast ship. Personally, I think it's one of our best. They don't make them like that anymore. Cpt Kirk won't let that happen

 

Fri, 03/30/2012 - 11:59 | 2303686 IrritableBowels
IrritableBowels's picture

CVN-65 is the oldest carrier in the fleet and the planet's first nuclear aircraft carrier (YAY).  It is powered by EIGHT Westinghouse nuclear reactors 32 steam generators, four turbines and four screws vs 4/16/2/2 of all other carriers currently in service.

Costly is an understatement here.

ELT-Paid to lie on the EnterPig.

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 10:31 | 2300472 WhyDoesItHurtWh...
Thu, 03/29/2012 - 08:18 | 2300099 V in PA
V in PA's picture

So what you are saying is 'No More War'. How the hell will America make money in that kind of world?

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 08:34 | 2300130 Oh regional Indian
Oh regional Indian's picture

By selling guns and ammo to their gun and ammo mad citizenry? I've seen a few here wish they had howitzers.

ori

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 09:04 | 2300200 Canucklehead
Canucklehead's picture

Relax, you are a spectator, not a player.  You get to watch what will unfold and then live vicariously through the actions of the players.  When all is said and done, you can Monday Morning Quarterback the whole affair and show your grasp of what has happened and where it all went wrong.

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 09:05 | 2300208 Harlequin001
Harlequin001's picture

Just watch out for them thar nukes eh...

I guess we all might be palyers in this one real soon...

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 09:20 | 2300254 Ima anal sphincter
Ima anal sphincter's picture

Some times the spectators come down from the stands and stir things up a bit. It starts small....then becomes an overwhelming CRUSH.

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 09:58 | 2300369 Canucklehead
Canucklehead's picture

Coming from a hockey background, are you saying "Old School" where the players went into the stands?

Maybe the "Old Time Boston Bruins" will get elected President of the United States.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fpbD6W7YT5A

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 09:04 | 2300203 Harlequin001
Harlequin001's picture

Howitzers are just so... yesterday...

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 09:14 | 2300231 TSA gropee
TSA gropee's picture

Gun and ammo mad citizenry? Not sure where you hail from but it sounds like you don't know shit about what you're talking about.

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 09:13 | 2300229 Red Raspberry
Red Raspberry's picture

And the armed forces are the second best governmnet jobs program, right after politicians.

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 08:21 | 2300106 Colombian Gringo
Colombian Gringo's picture

As long as there are zionists, there will be lies! More war coming, folks.

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 09:07 | 2300212 kridkrid
kridkrid's picture

The world is run by sociopaths... don't limit your observations to only the zionist sociopaths.

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 08:29 | 2300120 Gully Foyle
Gully Foyle's picture

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kVBYNnSjWLk

Fearless Iranians From Hell - Land Of The Free

LYRICS:

In your "Land of the Free".
They tell you want they want you to be.
Then they tell you not to misbehave.

They fill your head with laws.
They give you a false cause.
Until your just another slave.

I don't wanna be a part of that!
Nameless faces, empty heads.
I'd rather be a misfit.
I'd rather be dead.

Your country's not for me.
I'm slipping free.
Social circle family, dies.

They want to take control.
And then they'll run your soul.
I'm going to my own land.

And I don't wanna be a part of that!
Nameless faces, empty heads.
I'd rather be a misfit.
I'd rather be dead.

No, I don't wanna be a part of that!
Nameless faces, empty heads.
I'd rather be a misfit.
And I'd rather be dead!

 

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 09:05 | 2300207 LongSoupLine
LongSoupLine's picture

 

 

 

USS ENTERPRISE - "Bolding sending oil prices where no oil prices have gone before!" (cue Gene Roddenberry music)

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 09:42 | 2300332 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

No more war!  There fixed it for you.

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 11:16 | 2300664 my puppy for prez
my puppy for prez's picture

ALL wars are based on lies!

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 08:05 | 2300068 PaperBear
PaperBear's picture
NEW David Wilcock Article… “DIVINE INTERVENTION… Defeating Financial Tyranny” (Hold on to your Hats!!)

"completely disrupting any and all plans to start World War III, according to multiple whistleblowers."

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 08:25 | 2300113 i-dog
i-dog's picture

David Wilcock is a disinfo tool. His new-agey gibberish diminishes any other message of his interviewees.

For example, for someone who has "spent 30 years investigating" TPTB, he shouldn't be asking Ben Fulford such simple questions as: "Where's the Golden Triangle?".

The New Age movement is just another Luciferian hegelian front.

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 09:07 | 2300216 BLOTTO
BLOTTO's picture

Yes i-dog.

If i may add...

The New Age Movement was created by the Luciferians as all the empires, religion institutions, to create a space for the gnostic who didnt believe in the fairy tale stories of the scriptures...

THE REAL PROPHETS NEVER WILL SELL YOU THE TRUTH.

 

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 10:08 | 2300405 InconvenientCou...
InconvenientCounterParty's picture

Exacly why I only watch Fox News. They sell me lies and I like it.

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 10:53 | 2300556 Taint Boil
Taint Boil's picture

 

 

MSM – give me a break … lies, lies and more lies. Patrick.net has a good thread going on that.

 

Note:

Patrick.net is a one man show with no ads.

You can post videos and pics, etc. and he gets about 20k hits a day.

Worth a look....

 

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 08:27 | 2300115 tarsubil
tarsubil's picture

Gordon Freeman is on our side.

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 08:54 | 2300170 Winston Churchill
Winston Churchill's picture

When did he, and you escape, the "rubber room" exactly ?

Get back on your meds.

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 08:06 | 2300071 Christoph830
Christoph830's picture

Wouldn't a true surprise attack be during the sandstorm months?

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 08:34 | 2300129 V in PA
V in PA's picture

A true suprise 'attack' would be to pull ALL of our troops back to the Western Hemisphere. Let the Eastern Hemisphere beat the shit out of each other for about a decade, all the while selling arms to both sides (cha ching). Then swoop in after they are completely exhausted and broken, and take all of their stuff.

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 09:13 | 2300228 Instant Wealth
Instant Wealth's picture

... a true surprise would be the 20th of April.

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 08:07 | 2300072 ZeroPoint
ZeroPoint's picture

Gulf of Tonkin II in 3...2...1....

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 08:13 | 2300082 CharlesH
CharlesH's picture

Nah :) Summer Olympics XXX will do :)

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2012_Summer_Olympics

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 08:10 | 2300077 Ruffcut
Ruffcut's picture

Whatever floats you boat. I'll hang on to my dingy with anticipation.

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 08:13 | 2300083 Seorse Gorog fr...
Seorse Gorog from that Quantum Entanglement Fund. alright_.-'s picture

Israel pulling out all the stops if they're sending the USS Enterprise to join USS Carl Vinson. But if they send USS Carl Weathers, you know shit's going down for real!

 

Sing it, mofos! http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sWS-FoXbjVI

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 08:13 | 2300084 PMakoi
PMakoi's picture

Short Iranian Insurers soon.

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 08:15 | 2300088 Colombian Gringo
Colombian Gringo's picture

False flag coming....

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 08:17 | 2300096 my puppy for prez
my puppy for prez's picture

Does this "maneuvering exercise" include LIFEBOATS?

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 10:25 | 2300388 shortus cynicus
shortus cynicus's picture

No. It will be USS Liberty 2.0: everyone must die.

 

From http://www.navytimes.com/news/2012/02/navy-carrier-enterprise-retools-me...

Also, 60 percent of its sailors were on their first deployments

Fresh meat is coming.

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 13:18 | 2301098 my puppy for prez
my puppy for prez's picture

Yes, I am aware of that.  Just a lttle subliminal sarc!

Thu, 03/29/2012 - 08:17 | 2300093 q99x2
q99x2's picture

Looks like one large generated wave would put an end to all that nonsense. 

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