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Wall Street Economists Once Again Prove Utterly Worthless As ISM Prints Below Lowest Expectation

Tyler Durden's picture




 


There is nothing that needs to be said about this chart which compares the histogram of "expert" Wall Street predictions and the final outcome. Everyone was above the final number! All Wall Street economists should be immediately fired, and the money saved from their multi-million bonuses should be used to fund the US deficit (after all the banks they work for only exist courtesy to the US).

 

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Mon, 08/01/2011 - 10:29 | 1512457 firstdivision
firstdivision's picture

Economists are worth every penny they earn

Mon, 08/01/2011 - 10:34 | 1512483 A Man without Q...
A Man without Qualities's picture

"Economists are worth every penny you earn"

Fixed it for you....

Mon, 08/01/2011 - 10:44 | 1512529 IBelieveInMagic
IBelieveInMagic's picture

They have been completely accurate .... in misdirecting the public (which is their real mission).

Mon, 08/01/2011 - 10:32 | 1512471 cossack55
cossack55's picture

Worthless Bitchezzzzzz!!!!!!!

Mon, 08/01/2011 - 10:33 | 1512474 baby_BLYTHE
baby_BLYTHE's picture

Inflationary bloodbath will continue and get much worse 2012-2014 (QEs will continue)

Negative real interest rates as far as the eye can see.

No meaningful Cuts

Government continues to increase in size

More civil liberties raped away

More war

Increased gun restrictions

Amnesty for illegals (next on Obama's agenda, IMO)

Mon, 08/01/2011 - 10:39 | 1512505 Cursive
Cursive's picture

@baby_BLYTHE

Pretty fair assessment of our current predicament. Real economy sucks, but FRB keeps paper assets inflated.

Mon, 08/01/2011 - 10:42 | 1512519 Caviar Emptor
Caviar Emptor's picture

What I been sayin', baby_B. 

THey screwed it up far worse than if they had allowed a contraction in 09. Then at least prices and debt would ahve come in line with incomes and emplyoment levels. The creative destruction would have permitted new entrants, fresh ideas, new industires and comeptition. INstead we have an aristocratic elite which is fighting to hold on to it's wealth and privilege, and to hell with anyone else. 

It gets worse from here. Far worse

Gold

Mon, 08/01/2011 - 10:47 | 1512547 Ponzi Unit
Ponzi Unit's picture

Yes, drinking harsh medicine in 2009 far preferable to swilling today's Kool-Aid.

Mon, 08/01/2011 - 10:44 | 1512528 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

He has to grant them amnesty to increase his voter base.

Mon, 08/01/2011 - 12:17 | 1513034 curbyourrisk
curbyourrisk's picture

Baby Blythe....I normally love your comments.  But you cn talk inflation all you want.

 

THIS EVENTUALLY ENDS IN NASTY NASTY DEFLATION, WHICH WILL BRING UPON THE DOWNWARD DEBT(DEATH) SPIRAL THAT DESTROYS THE ECONOMY.

Mon, 08/01/2011 - 10:34 | 1512476 lunaticfringe
lunaticfringe's picture

They get garbage going in....and they get garbage going out. Standard throughput. Pretty logical really. Spinning the nightmare fantastic.

Mon, 08/01/2011 - 10:33 | 1512477 HITMAN56
HITMAN56's picture

sing it!

Mon, 08/01/2011 - 10:35 | 1512484 Cdad
Cdad's picture

Pink slips, please.  Tens of thousands of banker pink slips...any second now...holding my breath...

Mon, 08/01/2011 - 10:40 | 1512512 cossack55
cossack55's picture

Followed by  "Nooses please. Tens of thousands of nooses."

Mon, 08/01/2011 - 10:47 | 1512544 Larry Darrell
Larry Darrell's picture

At least HSBC is shedding 30k lol

 

Mon, 08/01/2011 - 10:35 | 1512486 Translational Lift
Translational Lift's picture

Soft Patch....No Problem....Move Along......!!!

Mon, 08/01/2011 - 10:37 | 1512487 hedgeless_horseman
hedgeless_horseman's picture

All Wall Street economists should be immediately fired,

You can't have a con(fidence) game without con(fidence) men.

Mon, 08/01/2011 - 10:38 | 1512501 Dr. Engali
Dr. Engali's picture

They don't get fired. They

Mon, 08/01/2011 - 10:48 | 1512553 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

And you cant have a confidence game when theres no one left to con.

Mon, 08/01/2011 - 10:58 | 1512597 hedgeless_horseman
Mon, 08/01/2011 - 11:22 | 1512702 Cdad
Cdad's picture

Well said, Dog.  And that is the true problem with the equity markets...almost no participation.  Remove the Bernank's trades and this would be much more apparent than it already is.

Our uber smart class of bankers have killed this market with their computers and the money printers behind them.  This will go on for a few generations, I expect.  The banker betrayal of 2008 will take a long time to forget. Until that memory is gone, they have but themselves to ping stocks back and forth to and from.

Way to go criminal syndicate Wall Street bankers!  Good job!

Mon, 08/01/2011 - 10:36 | 1512489 JohnG
JohnG's picture

Been breathing those fumes I see.  This causes brain damage, this is the result.  Like drowning.

Mon, 08/01/2011 - 10:35 | 1512490 ihedgemyhedges
ihedgemyhedges's picture

Who had the 51.0 estimate???????

Mon, 08/01/2011 - 10:38 | 1512491 Caviar Emptor
Caviar Emptor's picture

It's Now Global: HSBC CHina PMI, Taiwan PMI, Eurozone PMIs, UK PMI and now US PMI : a clean sweep of disapointments and in some notable cases outright contraction, Bitchez

The $16 Trillion slush fund gave us a 2 year reprieve, or rather, a masquerade party where the Depression looked like a recession. Party over. 

Mon, 08/01/2011 - 10:54 | 1512579 GiantWang
GiantWang's picture

What does "party over" mean in your eyes, Caviar?

Mon, 08/01/2011 - 11:01 | 1512615 Caviar Emptor
Caviar Emptor's picture

What does "party over" mean in your eyes, Caviar?

I'm referring to the pig party that the Wall Streeters and well-connected corporatists have had since the obscene monetary and fiscal stimulus packages were unleashed. They gorged themselves on free money which is costing the country dearly not just in wealth, but ultimately in status, power and standard of living. So many got so wealthy off this crap but did it pull the country out of depression? 

No. In fact what we're facing now is a far worse mess because it's going global and has sharp politcal ramifications. And here at home we get crushing biflation and the curse of a no entrenched elite who will continue to rob the nation's treasure and the middle class

Mon, 08/01/2011 - 10:56 | 1512591 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

I agree this is all bullshit, go ahead and announce $5 trillion QE, it fixes nothing! We're in a depression and printing money doesnt solve a bit of it, in particular in this case where only the top .01% see any of it!

Mon, 08/01/2011 - 11:15 | 1512630 Caviar Emptor
Caviar Emptor's picture

QE not only fixes nothing, it accentuates the negatives: prices do not come into line with real incomes, employment levels and demand. And it short circuits capitalism's one key mechanism to right the ship: creative destruction through real competition. Instead we have an autocratic centralized economy. Many here call it socialism but it's not. It's crony capitalism which is one stepfrom fascism, where everything is sacrificed for the national cartels

Mon, 08/01/2011 - 10:38 | 1512496 Cognitive Dissonance
Cognitive Dissonance's picture

They aren't trying to 'call' the market, the ISM or anything else. They are now all talking their Ponzi 'book'.

Everyone is so invested mentally and emotionally in the Ponzi that they must either support the Ponzi or re-examine everything. This is the classic all-or-nothing denial stage of the addiction, where near the end they must either support the insanity or face it.  

Mon, 08/01/2011 - 10:42 | 1512522 GeneMarchbanks
GeneMarchbanks's picture

CD

Are you a 'spiritual' man? Because I'm being overwhelmed with an urge to pray.

Mon, 08/01/2011 - 10:57 | 1512581 Cognitive Dissonance
Cognitive Dissonance's picture

I think it's time for the world to meet The Spirit Molecule and try some Ayahuasca. Let the leaders go first. They will never be the same.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ayahuasca

BTW for those who did not see it I posted a new article last night discussing addiction.

http://www.zerohedge.com/contributed/fiat-crack-addict-convulsing-and-headed-straight-dts

Mon, 08/01/2011 - 11:08 | 1512648 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

Or just slip em all a double dose of DMT straight. Maybe they can see some light when they all get a face to face with satan himself.

Mon, 08/01/2011 - 11:22 | 1512705 DeadFinks
DeadFinks's picture

These would be meetings #2, where Satan collects on the deals made in meetings #1.

Mon, 08/01/2011 - 11:17 | 1512687 cranky-old-geezer
cranky-old-geezer's picture

Yep, your usual bullshit.

Mon, 08/01/2011 - 21:10 | 1515233 Captain Benny
Captain Benny's picture

Thanks CD, I missed the posting and I love your stuff...

Mon, 08/01/2011 - 10:45 | 1512539 Cursive
Cursive's picture

@Cog Dis

Word. They are the enablers. As a zherohead blogspot alum, we've been waiting over 2 years for the return of reality. It looks like the central banker pixie dust has worn off and it's time to get back to the Grand Reset.

Mon, 08/01/2011 - 10:47 | 1512548 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

Theyre in denial of hitting rock bottom, memo to Ben- 'Stickin feathers up your butt does not make you a chicken'.

Mon, 08/01/2011 - 10:59 | 1512606 Cognitive Dissonance
Cognitive Dissonance's picture

It is truly remarkable how long one can deny reality with a concerted effort to do so.

Perception is reality for as long as we can maintain the perception and ignore the consequences of that altered perception.

Mon, 08/01/2011 - 10:50 | 1512561 espirit
espirit's picture

It's the "sunk cost fallacy".

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sunk_costs

Mon, 08/01/2011 - 11:09 | 1512652 Caviar Emptor
Caviar Emptor's picture

Everyone is so invested mentally and emotionally in the Ponzi that they must either support the Ponzi or re-examine everything.

 

Very true, CD. But not me. And many here and fortuntely there are more of us out there. However the situation is dire because those in power support the Ponzi (I like to say Ponzi on!) They want more and more politicians to rally the sheep around the Ponzi so they can continue to gorge themselves on the national treasure and suck the marrow out of the middle class. 

Meet The Ponzi Party : a new national party that actually wins elections and gets things done

Mon, 08/01/2011 - 10:37 | 1512497 GeneMarchbanks
GeneMarchbanks's picture

"People are beginning to smell the credit cycle turning" ---- According to one Gary Shilling.

I'd just like to alter the quote a little: burning not turning. He was close though. See you on the other side where being an economist won't matter at all. 

Mon, 08/01/2011 - 10:38 | 1512498 Zero Debt
Zero Debt's picture

I robot

I Chinese robot

I come in peace

Show me your free trade area

Mon, 08/01/2011 - 10:40 | 1512511 LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

Fucking paper-pushers continue to rape the productive people who bring goods and services of real value to the economy.  The destruction of productive capital and real wealth continues as TPTB refuse to take their medicine in favor of preserving their power.  Fine, crash the system, the sooner we do, the sooner compensation returns to people who are actually worth a shit.  I can't not wait to put this economists to work on the farms across America now that we are sending illegals back to Mexico.

 

Many commentors are correct, QE will continue, but with a decreased impact on equities and a huge impact on PMs until capital controls, price controls, and confiscation is announced.  The currency and trade wars continue until goods and services stop crossing boarders.  Read a history book for a change, we all know what comes next.

Mon, 08/01/2011 - 10:41 | 1512514 jkruffin
jkruffin's picture

I think its about time we see some BOJ intervention in a big big way!  Long USD/JPY at 76.50,  let's see if I am right.

Mon, 08/01/2011 - 11:13 | 1512673 jkruffin
jkruffin's picture

Yes, yes......time to get long the FRN because the rest of the world is worse...no way BOJ leaves USD/JPY down here for long....they will pump it up!!!!!!!

Mon, 08/01/2011 - 10:41 | 1512517 dwdollar
dwdollar's picture

Priceless.  This will be hilarious if the DOW is down on a passed debt deal.

Mon, 08/01/2011 - 10:41 | 1512520 RobotTrader
RobotTrader's picture

 

 

Worst economy in 50 years yet the SPY is still off less than 6%???

WTF???

http://bigcharts.marketwatch.com/charts/big.chart?nosettings=1&symb=spy&...

Mon, 08/01/2011 - 10:50 | 1512560 r101958
r101958's picture

Sure, It only cost $3 trillion to prop it up. Great deal.

Mon, 08/01/2011 - 10:55 | 1512586 lieutenantjohnchard
lieutenantjohnchard's picture

'tards coolness is turning to anger as the market doesn't perform as he commands. he sold the only winner he had - silver eagles - only to see them retrace higher than where he sold them. if you hear a crash somewhere in los angeles it might be the 'tard slamming his 4 monitors on the ground as he vents his frustration.

Mon, 08/01/2011 - 11:02 | 1512622 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

Tard sold all his PM's about 15% lower. Just sad to see his personal trainwreck.

Mon, 08/01/2011 - 10:43 | 1512524 Dr Hackenbush
Dr Hackenbush's picture

looking down the barrel of 125% Dept to GDP ratio 

Mon, 08/01/2011 - 10:49 | 1512545 dwdollar
dwdollar's picture

A quick calculation last night.  At the rates of 7% debt growth and 2% GDP it will be +250% in 20 years.  Someone can double check that.

Mon, 08/01/2011 - 10:52 | 1512566 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

I'd only throw in the acceleration factor, as time goes on it gets exponentially worse at an ever faster more terrifying rate.

Mon, 08/01/2011 - 10:55 | 1512573 dwdollar
dwdollar's picture

IMO, that is a conservative 'best case' scenario.  It requires a stable GDP without QEn.  Haha...  Yeah right.

Mon, 08/01/2011 - 10:43 | 1512525 Oh regional Indian
Oh regional Indian's picture

ISM. Supply-side manufacturing... of course it is trending downwards, month after month. Where are the buyers? And which crap will they choose? American? Who? Is services manufacturing now?

NUMBers anyways.

Aaaaaaaaaaaaiiiiiiiiii iiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiii have become...... cumfurtably NUMB!

ORI

http://aadivaahan.wordpress.com/2011/07/30/pre-cursor-01/

Mon, 08/01/2011 - 10:44 | 1512531 RobotTrader
RobotTrader's picture

 

 

World record unemployment among young post-grads in history.

Yet they can still afford $125 jeans?

I'm speechless.

http://bigcharts.marketwatch.com/charts/big.chart?nosettings=1&symb=anf&...

Mon, 08/01/2011 - 10:45 | 1512538 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

If youre so speechless, then STFU!

Mon, 08/01/2011 - 10:47 | 1512546 ZeroPower
ZeroPower's picture

You do realize A&F clothing is actually considered quite cheap, and definitely not a premium brand.

Mon, 08/01/2011 - 10:58 | 1512601 lieutenantjohnchard
lieutenantjohnchard's picture

the next thing ya hear might be the 'tard telling us he shops at talbot's. or the tweener stores.

got skirts?

Mon, 08/01/2011 - 11:01 | 1512616 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

Robo loves sequined jeans. Pink unicorns are his favorite.

Mon, 08/01/2011 - 10:44 | 1512532 slaughterer
slaughterer's picture

Congratulations ZH on your ISM call. Most impressive.

Mon, 08/01/2011 - 10:45 | 1512534 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

Eclown'o'mists!

Mon, 08/01/2011 - 11:47 | 1512838 espirit
espirit's picture

eCONomists. In metals "we" trust.

Mon, 08/01/2011 - 10:50 | 1512556 Version 7
Version 7's picture

They can still be used as the criterium for truthfulness, whatever they say being wrong.

Mon, 08/01/2011 - 10:53 | 1512571 Clint Liquor
Clint Liquor's picture

When the captain of a sinking ship (the USS America) can convince the passengers and crew, the required action is to take on more water, there is no hope.

Mon, 08/01/2011 - 10:52 | 1512572 Ponzi Unit
Ponzi Unit's picture

Yeah, another sharp by call by Tyler who predicted ISM 50.

Mon, 08/01/2011 - 10:57 | 1512595 destroyer of mo...
destroyer of moonbats's picture

hey guys. so, whats going on?

Mon, 08/01/2011 - 10:59 | 1512604 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

Nah, none of this adds up. Time for false flag attacks. Interestingly enough the Pentagon over the weekend announced Iran can now reach the east coast US with nukes. False flag attacks, quite terrible ones needed, then WW3, and just when everyone was convinced all is well because we got more free imaginary money.

Mon, 08/01/2011 - 11:04 | 1512632 Version 7
Version 7's picture

Pick an upset iranian in good physical shape and he might throw a suitcase.

Mon, 08/01/2011 - 11:03 | 1512624 kito
kito's picture

401k advisor implored my family members not to pull their money from stock holdings last week. Swore that the market would soar upon debt resolution---oops

Mon, 08/01/2011 - 11:18 | 1512691 Homo Erectus
Homo Erectus's picture

They check the median forecast first and then send their 'own', which shamelessly agrees with the one of their competitor down the road. Then the original one comes in and chips in a 56 forecast... Fuckin' idiots, whooaaaa-ha-ha-ha-ha!

Mon, 08/01/2011 - 11:20 | 1512696 natty light
natty light's picture

Haha! Brian Westbury.

Tue, 08/02/2011 - 01:54 | 1512710 cranky-old-geezer
cranky-old-geezer's picture

Your government just brought you the next round of collapsing economy, collapsing wages, more job losses, collapsing dollar value

...and rising prices on everything you need.

...except housing.  Welcome to the next round of housing collapse.

Carry on.  Have a nice day.

Mon, 08/01/2011 - 11:35 | 1512768 Eireann go Brach
Eireann go Brach's picture

Leo, you have officially taken over from Harry Wanger as the resident ZH first class wanker! Go have lunch with one of your "lame" friends!

Mon, 08/01/2011 - 11:54 | 1512907 Pinefox
Pinefox's picture

Insanity is doing the same thing over and over and expecting a different outcome.  More QE=INSANE!

Mon, 08/01/2011 - 14:51 | 1513811 css1971
css1971's picture

Who was offering the 51 estimate?

Mon, 08/01/2011 - 14:57 | 1513844 buzzard beak
buzzard beak's picture

What do you mean, worthless? Who else is going to lead the wildebeasts to the croc-filled river? That tard Leo?

The Wall Street economists did a fine job on that one. Earned a whole year of their pay in one day.

Mon, 08/01/2011 - 17:01 | 1514383 slewie the pi-rat
slewie the pi-rat's picture

tyler puts a piece about the ISM being a 4-5 sigma black swan to the "economists" and freaking leo complains about censorship! 

please renew my "subscription" and keep whatever is leftover, ok?

Wed, 09/14/2011 - 04:32 | 1667287 chinawholesaler
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