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Watch Mario Draghi Predict The Future

Tyler Durden's picture




 

... Because when it comes to forecasting, central planners rock.

 

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Mon, 12/19/2011 - 11:48 | 1994121 hedgeless_horseman
hedgeless_horseman's picture

 

 

I'll go with this longtime goldbug's prediction for the EU economy over Mario's.

 

Mon, 12/19/2011 - 11:50 | 1994160 GeneMarchbanks
GeneMarchbanks's picture

Spain.


Mon, 12/19/2011 - 12:04 | 1994211 hedgeless_horseman
hedgeless_horseman's picture

 

  

"...the most important question...how can we do without the rating agencies...what can we do to replace the credit rating agencies?" asks Mario.

Because if we eliminate the MRI and the blood tests, then we won't have cancer!

Mon, 12/19/2011 - 12:35 | 1994338 NotApplicable
NotApplicable's picture

Well, once they kill off the private financial industry, there won't be any need for credit ratings other than, "How much austerity for you today, sir"

Mon, 12/19/2011 - 13:01 | 1994435 hedgeless_horseman
hedgeless_horseman's picture

 

 

*********************

IMPORTANT REMINDER: 
Austerity never really happens
until AFTER the war starts. 

********************* 

 

 

 

Not ever.  Not even once.  Mario knows this.

Mon, 12/19/2011 - 13:18 | 1994530 spiral_eyes
spiral_eyes's picture

Do you mean kinetic peace action?

War is a horrible word. Obama and Sarkozy bombing for peace.

http://azizonomics.com/2011/11/24/kinetic-peace-action-2/ 

Mon, 12/19/2011 - 13:39 | 1994607 hedgeless_horseman
hedgeless_horseman's picture

 

 

I mean there will be no real austerity, but there will be Eurobonds.

"The more countries release national sovereignty on their fiscal stance, the greater are going to be the benefits on the...Eurobond concept," says Mario.

Mon, 12/19/2011 - 13:15 | 1994520 Ted K
Ted K's picture

this comment @Hedgeless

You know, your quip is very cute, and on some levels there is some truth there. But can you honestly say when USA gets downgraded and the French banks carrying 500times more horse crap as collateral keep getting a free pass from the S&P that the agencies are doing their job???  

Maybe Tyler Durden loves to throw rotten oranges from the cheap seats at central banks in the middle of a crisis (because it helps Durden's goldbug narration???), and the ZH dittoheads follow, but some of us like to look at things at a deeper level.  

Frankly, I think Draghi acts with more class than most the people on this blog, and solving problems he didn't create.

 

Mon, 12/19/2011 - 13:55 | 1994547 hedgeless_horseman
hedgeless_horseman's picture

 

 

...can you honestly say...?

No, I cannot.

I look forward to your "deeper level" analysis.  Where and when can I expect to read it, or is this it?

We may not have much "class" around here, but even an old horeseman understands there is a price for peace in Europe.  However, I do wish that just once the banking class had to pay their fair share. 

Mario's same old solution of socializing the losses and privatizing the gains just doesn't sell well on this blog, no matter how much smoke and mirror he uses.

Mon, 12/19/2011 - 16:14 | 1995246 TSA gropee
TSA gropee's picture

Kind of like the pot/kettle story, isn't it Ted?

Mon, 12/19/2011 - 16:32 | 1995375 smlbizman
smlbizman's picture

ted k......honest question, did you give yourself the only up arrow?

Mon, 12/19/2011 - 12:08 | 1994228 TruthInSunshine
TruthInSunshine's picture

These fractional reserve charlatans are all the same.

They are absolutely horrid at forecasting the economic weather, of which they claim they can exert some control over (if they're just given enough access to pockets of taxpayers via The Treasury).

 

Ben Bernanke Telling All of Us What To Expect & Being Wrong Again & Again & Again.... - YouTube

 

WHY DOES ANYONE GIVE ONE OUNCE OF CREDIBILITY TO BEN S. BERNANKE, AKA THE ULTIMATE FAIL? WHY??!!!!

Mon, 12/19/2011 - 12:12 | 1994286 DogSlime
DogSlime's picture

of which they claim they can exert some control over

 

They have some control - they have enough control to make a complete fucking mess of it.

 

Mon, 12/19/2011 - 12:36 | 1994342 NotApplicable
NotApplicable's picture

I've no doubt they've the ability to further fuel this fire. Bernanke can create the fuel in 15 minutes, guaranteed!

Mon, 12/19/2011 - 14:03 | 1994716 Bwahaha WAGFDSMB
Bwahaha WAGFDSMB's picture

"They are absolutely horrid at forecasting the economic weather"

You say that as if you think the financial propagandists actually believe their own bullshit.  They say what they say, not because they think it's true, but because it's what they want you to believe.

Mon, 12/19/2011 - 14:32 | 1994833 TruthInSunshine
TruthInSunshine's picture

+1

You raise a critical point.

They're not actually trying to speak/forecast truth.

My point was just that one would think that, given The Bernank's past string of gems in predicting future events, even the sheeple would realize he's not exactly on a roll.

Tue, 12/20/2011 - 11:26 | 1997564 Bwahaha WAGFDSMB
Bwahaha WAGFDSMB's picture

Yes of course, your conclusion about credibility holds in either case.  I just wanted to throw on a little extra cynicism.

I think the reason these bankers still have some credibility is because of the way our education system is set up.  The teacher is the expert, and the experts answer is always the right answer.  The experts are always right is the implicit lesson of every class.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=izE4_Jd2dOw

Mon, 12/19/2011 - 12:06 | 1994248 transaccountin
transaccountin's picture

Shut this man up! He's as bad as the Frenchie Trichet! LMAO, tank ponzi market

Mon, 12/19/2011 - 11:45 | 1994126 AngryGerman
AngryGerman's picture

I am still waiting for him to lay out his plan how to rescue the princess. I expect a lot of mushroom eating and jumping on heads...

Mon, 12/19/2011 - 11:46 | 1994140 CPL
CPL's picture

ahhh...the Bowser gambit.  Very popular.

Mon, 12/19/2011 - 11:50 | 1994159 AngryGerman
AngryGerman's picture

...and i thought i was so original... now you euro-ed my day!

Mon, 12/19/2011 - 12:07 | 1994255 Sweet Chicken
Sweet Chicken's picture

I believe the term you are looking for is MF'd! ;)

Mon, 12/19/2011 - 12:10 | 1994268 topcallingtroll
topcallingtroll's picture

.

Mon, 12/19/2011 - 11:45 | 1994133 Sudden Debt
Sudden Debt's picture

I WANT PAYROLL TAX CUTS LIKE THE AMERICANS HAVE BITCH!!!

WHERE ARE MY CUTS!!!

 

Mon, 12/19/2011 - 11:50 | 1994161 WestVillageIdiot
WestVillageIdiot's picture

Only if you make sure not to have any spending cuts to offset them.  Big government is good but bigger government is even better.  Who needs to fund Social Security?  It is self-funding now.  This is awesome.  Somebody tell Ben he's going to need a bigger printing press.

Mon, 12/19/2011 - 12:00 | 1994223 Sudden Debt
Sudden Debt's picture

When I was a young kid, I already had the sollution. In class our teacher had this stencil machine to make copies of tests and notes.

I thouth you could make money on that to and that my parents got their money in that way.

Now what if that would become the way? If everybody could print their own money!

IMAGINE THE SAVINGS ON THE LOGISTICS OF DISTRIBUTING ALL THE FIAT! IT WOULD EVEN BE ECOLOGIC!!

 

Mon, 12/19/2011 - 12:03 | 1994235 Manthong
Manthong's picture

"I WANT PAYROLL TAX CUTS LIKE THE AMERICANS HAVE"

Only if you can "fully fund" them like the Americans do. 

Mon, 12/19/2011 - 12:05 | 1994243 Sudden Debt
Sudden Debt's picture

SURE WE CAN FULLY FUND IT LIKE THE AMERICANS DO!!! they'll pay for it anyway :)

All it takes is a bit of gold and some hookers and DONE DEAL BITCHEZ!!!

 

Tue, 12/20/2011 - 00:43 | 1996677 ThrivingAdmistC...
ThrivingAdmistCollapse's picture

Hell Yeah, lets just run the printing presses until the entire global economy collapses!

Mon, 12/19/2011 - 11:57 | 1994150 WestVillageIdiot
WestVillageIdiot's picture

I didn't even have to listen to this.  I can predict the future.

-  Central planners will plan (poorly)

-  Central bankers will continue to override democracy in any nation that they are found, tossing out the window such things as constitutions

-  Politicians (often mislabeled as "leaders" by their lickspittle media whores) will continue to screw us at every turn

-  Average Americans will continue to shout "give me, give me, give me" until their throats are raw

-  We willl be saying these same things on December 19, 2012

 

 

Mon, 12/19/2011 - 13:22 | 1994546 DaveyJones
DaveyJones's picture

I thought the IMF was motivated by altruism?

then there's that stuff "driving" everything

http://www.theoildrum.com/node/8729#more 

and we just got some kind of default judgment that Iran had a hand in 911

 http://www.informationclearinghouse.info/article30022.htm 

gee, I wonder what's next?

 

Mon, 12/19/2011 - 11:49 | 1994151 Irish66
Irish66's picture

credibly robust, is he high?

Mon, 12/19/2011 - 11:49 | 1994152 achmachat
achmachat's picture

...finances in the euro area "credibly robust".

..and then he painfully swallowed. If he can't look like he is believing what he is saying, who is going to believe a single word?!

Mon, 12/19/2011 - 11:51 | 1994167 WestVillageIdiot
WestVillageIdiot's picture

He's not lying.  It's just that breakfast burrito that he had this morning that is acting up.  Really!

Mon, 12/19/2011 - 12:07 | 1994253 Sudden Debt
Sudden Debt's picture

My dog was watching it with me and when he said that, my dog started licking his balls.

I don't know what it means, but I think it gave my dog a good feeling....

 

Mon, 12/19/2011 - 11:50 | 1994156 CPL
CPL's picture

They are only talking about their forecasting on how they can further bumblefuck through their self created bullshit.

 

He hasn't brought up removal of mark to market yet though.

Mon, 12/19/2011 - 11:52 | 1994175 Quinvarius
Quinvarius's picture

Lower reserve ratios = more leverage and more credit in the system.  They still don't get it.

Mon, 12/19/2011 - 11:56 | 1994201 WestVillageIdiot
WestVillageIdiot's picture

How else are you going to stop a depression caused by systemic deleveraging unless you increase the ability of large firms to further leverage?  Geez, do i have to think of everything? 

Leverage, bitchez!

Mon, 12/19/2011 - 15:28 | 1995038 Bwahaha WAGFDSMB
Bwahaha WAGFDSMB's picture

Exactly, keep adding more debt, it's the only way to keep the ponzi going.

Mon, 12/19/2011 - 11:53 | 1994177 bill1102inf
bill1102inf's picture

Im free falling, free fallin

Mon, 12/19/2011 - 12:35 | 1994341 scatterbrains
scatterbrains's picture

talk about free falling here comes 163ish next on IBM..  strap in bitchez

Mon, 12/19/2011 - 12:44 | 1994384 Zero Govt
Zero Govt's picture

IBM make the dumbest fuking machine in the world, the traffic light

they deserve all they get

Burn IBM shares, burn

Mon, 12/19/2011 - 11:53 | 1994181 SheepDog-One
SheepDog-One's picture

Wheres all the free money at??

Mon, 12/19/2011 - 11:57 | 1994207 prains
prains's picture

It hasn't been cut down out of the black forest.timber

Mon, 12/19/2011 - 11:59 | 1994220 WestVillageIdiot
WestVillageIdiot's picture

Silver is taking another pounding this morning.  It looks like real money is getting closer to free. 

Metals + cash saved to buy if prices go down = planning for the future

Mon, 12/19/2011 - 11:54 | 1994186 Mr. Lucky
Mr. Lucky's picture

Reality is not a concept here.

Mon, 12/19/2011 - 12:29 | 1994325 Zero Govt
Zero Govt's picture

the continental ivory towers built in Brussels and Strasbourg were built entirely on idealism, German and French mainly

they should have called in the Doctors and whisked the loons off to the funny farm 40 years ago

Mon, 12/19/2011 - 12:54 | 1994188 tom a taxpayer
tom a taxpayer's picture

Draghi's Messages: We will ignore rating agencies when it suits us.

Avoid morbid speculation about the Euro currency...it is permanet, irreversible (like the 10 Commandments?).

Regulators are concocting plans to do away with rating agencies.

ECB has "novelty" in our decision-making.

Mon, 12/19/2011 - 11:55 | 1994191 eurusdog
eurusdog's picture

Na na na na na na. Sounds like a child on playgroup thresating to take his ball home if everyone doesn't play by his rules.

Mon, 12/19/2011 - 11:55 | 1994197 Peter K
Peter K's picture

Anybody know if that bond redemption took place in Greece. 2.5b was supposed to be paid out to the PSI's. Any word of funds hitting accounts?

Mon, 12/19/2011 - 11:56 | 1994202 Global Hunter
Global Hunter's picture

Mario Draghi has pedophile written all over his face.  He loves power and abusing people that much we can say for sure.

Mon, 12/19/2011 - 11:59 | 1994217 vegas
vegas's picture

"The Euro is permanent and irreversible." [Until it isn't]

Hubris on full display.

 

http://vegasxau.blogspot.com

Mon, 12/19/2011 - 12:15 | 1994291 falak pema
falak pema's picture

the european construct...there...fixed it. Not the current euro monetary black hole...which is a surrogate to the USD Oligarchy black ocean of debt. Think different as Steve Jobs always said.

Mon, 12/19/2011 - 11:59 | 1994218 firstdivision
firstdivision's picture

Someone shut him up before he slips up and reveals the complete truth.

Mon, 12/19/2011 - 12:03 | 1994236 Sudden Debt
Sudden Debt's picture

don't worry, it's been prérecorded at Camp Bilderberg

Mon, 12/19/2011 - 12:26 | 1994320 Zero Govt
Zero Govt's picture

we've had "stress tests" and "stability" and now a new one, "firewalls"

presumably they think (?!) if they throw enough solid-sounding words at the problem it'll go away?

 

Mon, 12/19/2011 - 12:00 | 1994224 hourglass86
hourglass86's picture

STFU DRUGHI!

Mon, 12/19/2011 - 12:23 | 1994312 Zero Govt
Zero Govt's picture

he's a paid windbag, that's a politicians No.1 job, let him dribble if it makes him feel good, the windspeed won't effect Titanic, it's the hole under the water that's the problem

Mon, 12/19/2011 - 12:00 | 1994225 Irish66
Irish66's picture

"get rid of ratings"

Mon, 12/19/2011 - 12:02 | 1994233 bill1102inf
bill1102inf's picture

**POOF** Its gone

Mon, 12/19/2011 - 12:02 | 1994234 SheepleLOVEched...
SheepleLOVEcheddarbaybiscuits's picture

easy to predict the future when you work for goldman

Mon, 12/19/2011 - 12:03 | 1994239 Peter K
Peter K's picture

Draghi: "We ar asking banks to produce their internal ratings, not rely on rating agencies solely."

Is that like asking the banks to mark to market their own books... honestly :) Joe Jett ring a bell :)

Mon, 12/19/2011 - 12:04 | 1994240 scrappykoala
scrappykoala's picture

Strangely I want to short the euro more. He wants banks to rate themselves and countries ... yeah I give my personal house aAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA+++++++++ rating and dont even think otherwise or I will down rate you and suck your blood.

 

BITCHEZ

Mon, 12/19/2011 - 12:04 | 1994241 Winston Smith 2009
Winston Smith 2009's picture

I've got your requested alternative rating for Italy you lying slimebag.  It's much more realistic that those nasty ratings from the ratings agencies that you don't think are accurate (and you are indeed correct about that!): your new rating - D

 

 

 

Mon, 12/19/2011 - 12:07 | 1994259 AngryGerman
AngryGerman's picture

new new rating:

 

B====D

Mon, 12/19/2011 - 12:04 | 1994242 VonSalza
VonSalza's picture

creditratings are the problem, O RLY!

Mon, 12/19/2011 - 12:05 | 1994245 JR
JR's picture

Public Policy Polling |December 18, 2011 | Reuters

Paul leads in Iowa

Newt Gingrich's campaign is rapidly imploding, and Ron Paul has now taken the lead in Iowa.  He's at 23% to 20% for Mitt Romney, 14% for Gingrich, 10% each for Rick Santorum, Michele Bachmann, and Rick Perry, 4% for Jon Huntsman, and 2% for Gary Johnson.

Mon, 12/19/2011 - 12:13 | 1994287 Village Smithy
Village Smithy's picture

Incredible, I watched CNN yesterday for almost an hour but don't recall hearing Ron Paul's name even once.

Mon, 12/19/2011 - 12:22 | 1994310 JR
JR's picture

And that's breaking news today! I should have put December 19 instead of 18.  Not that it would have made any difference to CNN...

Mon, 12/19/2011 - 12:32 | 1994328 Dangertime
Dangertime's picture

My fear is that TPTB will hold things together long enough to blame the ensuing collapse on Ron Paul should he actually win the Nomination and the election.

 

Ron Paul is the only man that can save this country, but unfortunately I think he is being setup for a "Hoovering".

 

Only after RP is elected will "they" allow the system to collapse, destroying the last remnants of reasonability in this Country.  And from then on it will be "blame the freedom lovers".

Mon, 12/19/2011 - 16:10 | 1995211 msamour
msamour's picture

If Ron Paul is ever elected, and he can manage to find a few trustworthy generals, There will be a lot of people leaving the U.S. for Britain. What North America needs is a banker purge, and if RP should be elected, that is exactly what we will get, make no mistake it will hurt everyone when the bankers pull the plug on the economy.

Mon, 12/19/2011 - 12:06 | 1994250 the 300000000th...
the 300000000th percent's picture

Quickly rally the elves on the unicorns to go sprinkle hopium over the masses once again

Mon, 12/19/2011 - 12:07 | 1994258 Irish66
Irish66's picture

Osbourne is speaking, what is ringfence?

Mon, 12/19/2011 - 12:08 | 1994265 RonBurgundy
RonBurgundy's picture

The Tylers are now quoted by name on the Telegraph's Debt Crisis Live feed!

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/debt-crisis-live/8965011/Debt-crisis-live.html

 

Mon, 12/19/2011 - 12:09 | 1994273 sbenard
sbenard's picture

So just blow up already, Europe! We all know it's going to happen!

Mon, 12/19/2011 - 12:31 | 1994288 Zero Govt
Zero Govt's picture

Well 'Rock On' Count Dracula

..it may be your blood bank is being sucked dry though, you've run out of donars

Mon, 12/19/2011 - 12:15 | 1994293 silver500
silver500's picture

He is actualy being relitivly sensible

 

Mon, 12/19/2011 - 12:24 | 1994316 GMadScientist
GMadScientist's picture

Judge the actions, not the PR campaign.

Mon, 12/19/2011 - 12:17 | 1994297 GMadScientist
GMadScientist's picture

Dude shouldn't play poker; he'd get raped with all those tells.

"A credit crunch that might come..." <flinch>

 

Mon, 12/19/2011 - 12:30 | 1994299 Zero Govt
Zero Govt's picture

Count Dracula just said he wanted to avoid a credit crunch through "lack of liquidity".... a credit crunch comes about from crumbling imploding debt 

this guy wants to stop the fire by spraying petrol

where do they get these nut jobs?

Mon, 12/19/2011 - 12:20 | 1994302 RobotTrader
RobotTrader's picture

10-yr. yield now down to 1.84%

 

Looks like we are getting close to "Animal Spirits" zone where vicious rallies occur.

IWM is way outperforming QQQ and SPY, that'a a heads up.

Mon, 12/19/2011 - 12:28 | 1994324 BurningFuld
BurningFuld's picture

10 year down to 1.84% shows you exactly what your money is worth.

Answer: (in case you did not know) ZERO

Mon, 12/19/2011 - 12:36 | 1994339 TheSilverJournal
TheSilverJournal's picture

The banks and the government have morphed into one animal that protects itself. The government isn’t in the business of “regulating” the banks, the government is in the business of protecting the banks..no matter the cost to tax payers and dollar holders.

TheSilverJournal.com

Mon, 12/19/2011 - 12:50 | 1994346 moonstears
moonstears's picture

The lady asked loosely about austerity earlier, had the CBs helped, and why not default and have countries fix their own economies. His response was that the once austerity is implemented, the EuroZ will have to help, medium term you'll see improvement and matter of factly politicos/banks have helped already via low interest rates, etc. IN HIS MIND, if the banks are ok(I don't believe they REALLY are), then the economy will follow. The banks are such powers that even though they loan to the economy at same old interest rates, at best, there's liquidity because THEY have liquidity at low interest rates. Unreal.

My take on this crass comment:" Austerity first, we'll inject more cash(to the BANKS, and Govts), thus once we make the banks ok,  all's right with the world."

 

Mon, 12/19/2011 - 13:09 | 1994499 eblair
eblair's picture

It's not socialism. It's not capitalism. It's feudalism cloaked in ideology. People feel that in their gut. There will be no return of "confidence."

Mon, 12/19/2011 - 14:12 | 1994748 TheGardener
TheGardener's picture

1000 year Euro - Reich ! Irreversible !

Last time those 1000 years lasted 12 , with the deciding battles lost after 10 years.

Mon, 12/19/2011 - 16:05 | 1995180 msamour
msamour's picture

I was laughing so hard when I read the caption for the article, I chocked on my sandwich...

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