What Do Those Super Smart Stocks Know Again?

Tyler Durden's picture


It's one of those days again. Stocks have decoupled in their inimitable way as hope springs eternal of LTRO3, EFSF, or a friendly-Fed...

and across broader risk-assets - stocks are diverging higher again...

even as Europe's credit markets appear to be positioning for more encumbrance and LTRO3...

Chart: Bloomberg and Capital Context

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Tue, 06/05/2012 - 13:08 | 2496352 mrktwtch2
mrktwtch2's picture

all i know is that this whipsawing is interesting to watch..

Tue, 06/05/2012 - 13:11 | 2496363 CvlDobd
CvlDobd's picture

ES is that annoying kid from high school who thought he was cool enough to sit at the cool kid table during lunch where he was really the butt of every joke.

Tue, 06/05/2012 - 13:17 | 2496376 Killtruck
Killtruck's picture

You mean "Death and Gravity"? He hasn't been spewing his "coolness" since the 9/11 discussion.

Tue, 06/05/2012 - 13:46 | 2496487 Assetman
Assetman's picture

You take that back... ES = "Awesome"

Tue, 06/05/2012 - 14:51 | 2496866 Randall Cabot
Randall Cabot's picture

Mark Hulbert says:

June 5, 2012, 12:02 a.m. EDT

 Correction close to being over

Commentary: Pessimism at levels not seen in nearly two years





Tue, 06/05/2012 - 15:38 | 2497076 Bill Lumbergh
Bill Lumbergh's picture

Personally I would not put much stock in an indicator which is named after the same person who is touting the results.  Looking at Investors Intelligence Advisor Sentiment and Rydex Asset Ratios we are not even close to where we were last October in terms of sentiment or positioning.  Of course the market is oversold and can bounce upon announcement of another rumor of a global bailout with more funny money.

Tue, 06/05/2012 - 13:17 | 2496358 ebworthen
ebworthen's picture

Delusion index - decoupling from reality; years from earth and S&P 666 or DOW 6,666 true value levels.  The daily rumor bumps trips to clouds, the past three years a trip to the stars.


Tue, 06/05/2012 - 13:22 | 2496392 Matt
Matt's picture

If the future looks less horrible than previously anticipated, it is bullish.

If there is no rumors of steps being taken to prevent a calamity, it is bearish.

Any good news at all causes a massive rally.

Welcome to the new normal.

Tue, 06/05/2012 - 13:42 | 2496466 ebworthen
ebworthen's picture

Yes, it's all priced in except true cost and return.

I'd like to see every corporate and stock valuation have our $16 Trillion in debt and $65 Trillion in unfunded liabilities factored into them to get a true valuation.  Zero to a $1 I'd bet, if that.

Tue, 06/05/2012 - 14:40 | 2496798 CPL
CPL's picture

it's 270 trillion in unfunded liabilities from teh Federal level.  California alone has 45 trillion in unfunded liabilities from municipal to state level.


The US doesn't make anything but IOU's.

Tue, 06/05/2012 - 14:09 | 2496610 Soul Train
Soul Train's picture

It's all nuts.

Tue, 06/05/2012 - 13:32 | 2496427 Quinvarius
Quinvarius's picture

Honestly, I am not surprised.  I can only imagine the amount of money that has been passed out in cronzy loans in the last month to save JPM alone.

Tue, 06/05/2012 - 13:10 | 2496361 JackT
JackT's picture

An endless roller coaster at Sux Flags (the spelling of Sux was intentional)

Tue, 06/05/2012 - 13:12 | 2496365 Roland99
Roland99's picture

oooo...look at the big shiny things!  oooo...me buy! me buy!

Tue, 06/05/2012 - 13:15 | 2496372 Joshua_D
Joshua_D's picture

That would be shiny "thingamajigs.'

Tue, 06/05/2012 - 13:13 | 2496370 Killtruck
Killtruck's picture

Bring on that liquidity!

Tue, 06/05/2012 - 13:15 | 2496375 Gringo Viejo
Gringo Viejo's picture

Just one guy's opinion: I look for the PTB to take world markets down right into the election in November to assure (thankfully) Obama's defeat. November 1st, I'm all-in on ANR. Nat King Coal Baby!

Tue, 06/05/2012 - 13:22 | 2496387 whatsinaname
whatsinaname's picture

if they are not bust by then ?

Tue, 06/05/2012 - 13:32 | 2496417 Lucius Corneliu...
Lucius Cornelius Sulla's picture

Of course Obama will be defeated because the Goldman Sachs says so.

Tue, 06/05/2012 - 14:14 | 2496632 Ned Zeppelin
Ned Zeppelin's picture

Didn't Zero Hedge already report Mitt Romney's top 5 contributors are Wall Street Banks?

Nuff said.  Bought and paid for, just like they did with Obama. 

Tue, 06/05/2012 - 14:42 | 2496809 CPL
CPL's picture

Eventually the politico's will want their contribution in gold and silver

Tue, 06/05/2012 - 14:52 | 2496869 Roland99
Roland99's picture

or worse....


"I'll have my bond"!

Tue, 06/05/2012 - 17:35 | 2497489 Gringo Viejo
Gringo Viejo's picture

"My turd is YOUR bond".      ......The Bernanke

Tue, 06/05/2012 - 13:18 | 2496379 mammoth mo
mammoth mo's picture

Flight to quality?

Talking heads have pumped them up as downturn proof.  Now with FED and Europe fleeing cash the HFt's are buying....


With the hope of selling out soon before the crash.

Tue, 06/05/2012 - 13:22 | 2496388 zerotohero
zerotohero's picture

"According to Estulin’s sources, which have been proven highly accurate in the past, Bilderberg is divided on whether to put into motion, “Either a prolonged, agonizing depression that dooms the world to decades of stagnation, decline and poverty… or an intense-but-shorter depression that paves the way for a new sustainable economic world order, with less sovereignty but more efficiency.”

This from the Daily Reckoning this morning - things that make you go HMMMMM.

Tue, 06/05/2012 - 14:15 | 2496639 Ned Zeppelin
Ned Zeppelin's picture

Call in the air strike on their next meeting.

Tue, 06/05/2012 - 13:27 | 2496409 TheCanadianAustrian
TheCanadianAustrian's picture

Germany should take a 1000x leveraged long position on the NOLTRO index and then come out with 2 LTROs. Everybody wins.

Tue, 06/05/2012 - 16:08 | 2497220 Thomas.2012
Thomas.2012's picture

hmm ... what if they already did ...

Tue, 06/05/2012 - 13:32 | 2496424 The Swedish Chef
The Swedish Chef's picture

While gold trades rangebound and silver constantly bumping in to what seems to be resitance at $28.50... Wish I never bought crappy stocks.

Tue, 06/05/2012 - 13:37 | 2496448 VonManstein
VonManstein's picture

silver breakout in less than 24 hours i got my money on it

Tue, 06/05/2012 - 16:05 | 2497210 Thomas.2012
Thomas.2012's picture

nah, you are too early ... it will take a couple of weeks ... still too many paper shorts ...

Tue, 06/05/2012 - 13:48 | 2496495 I Am Not a Copp...
I Am Not a Copper Top's picture

Wish I never bought smart, sexy stocks.  Fixed it for ya.

Tue, 06/05/2012 - 13:35 | 2496439 reader2010
reader2010's picture

Indoctrination is Education, Gold is Relic, Debt is Wealth, War is Peace, and America is the World. Infinite QE to the bitter end. 

Tue, 06/05/2012 - 13:41 | 2496464 razorthin
razorthin's picture

I thought we established that algos know nothing but technical analysis.

Tue, 06/05/2012 - 13:43 | 2496472 disabledvet
disabledvet's picture

I'm convinced when all the various Tylers' Durden are on death's door their last words will be "I knew this day would come. I KNEW it!"

Tue, 06/05/2012 - 14:01 | 2496566 Kayman
Kayman's picture


So, you believe the financial markets are NOT supported by Central Bankers ?

And what follows, is that the real economy, net of Government and Central Bankers, is growing like gangbusters.

Fuck, who can argue with such succinct reasoning.

Tue, 06/05/2012 - 13:48 | 2496486 Boilermaker
Boilermaker's picture

Somebody is sure hijacking the hell out of the IYR today.  Just literally non-stop bidding up all day long.  Once again, gleefully ramrodded about the magic $60 mark.

Amazing.  Criminal, sure.  But, amazing.

Tue, 06/05/2012 - 13:53 | 2496519 geewhiz190
geewhiz190's picture

yesterday's comment-bonds over bought stocks oversold-odds favor a reversal.

Tue, 06/05/2012 - 14:06 | 2496580 Ned Zeppelin
Ned Zeppelin's picture

Well, for Pete's sake, the bullish sell-siders have burst forth, uninvited and en masse, from underneath slimy rocks and put on every radio and TV show proclaiming "NOW IS THE BUYING OPPORTUNITY OF THE CENTURY" and "YOU CAN'T SELL NOW!". Little wonder the market is up in anticipation of the success of this shock 'n awe display of sell-side histrionics and the skill of these shameless shills - hailed as "optimists", as if realism in the face of some cold, hard and disturbing facts is some sort of vile contagion -  in getting the sensible if not justifiably petrified retail trade to suddenly turn their backs on sub 1% returns and jump into stocks. 

Wait.  You mean no one's buying? Back to you, Ned.

Tue, 06/05/2012 - 14:04 | 2496582 junkyardjack
junkyardjack's picture

How about an update on the Shorts chart that usually rolls through, are we poised for a squeeze with record shorts again?

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