This Is What European Banks' Loan-To-Deposit Ratios Look Like

Tyler Durden's picture

For those who feel like spreading rumors about European deposit insurance, please do. But at least have some sense about what it would entail. European banks already have the highest loan-to-deposit loan-to-deposit ratio in the world. This means they are massively more levered, roughly 3x more, the US banks. In other words, deposit "encumbrance" is already absolutely maxed out. Think the ECB can credibly backstop Europe's €11 trillion deposit market, with Germany's agreement? Good luck.

And incidentally all of this was already previously discussed by Zero Hedge, precisely two months ago, when at the height of the market we made a very clear explanation why A Few Quick Reminders Why NOTHING Has Been Fixed In Europe. Among other things, we said:

Actually, there is one more thing. Deposits, or specifically, the Loan to Deposit Ratios of European banks. The chart [above] explains why not only is Europe's several asset constrained, it is also running out of funding, in the form of depositor cash: the most critical bank liability. Remember: without incremental deposits, banks can not invest in new assets, unless they generate cash from operations, and thus grow shareholder equity. There is a problem: as the final chart below shows, Europe, and especially Scandinavia which has consistently remained off the radar, is literally off the charts when it comes to LTD ratios.


With banks such as Danske, SHB, Swebank, DnB, and Nordea literally at 200% Loan-to-Deposits, but most other European banks too, even the tiniest outflow in deposit cash (ala what is happening in the PIIGS) will send the system into yet another liquidity spasm. Only this time, since what little unencumbered assets remaining have already been pledged to the ECB, there will be no quick LTRO collateral-type fix this time.


And judging by the market's reaction today, more muppets, pardon, people are starting to grasp this.

Alas, we were too quick to judge the muppets, which continue to fall for every BS rumor over and over.

Comment viewing options

Select your preferred way to display the comments and click "Save settings" to activate your changes.
Thomas's picture

You guys worry too much. Buy some FaceBook, follow with a Netflix chaser, and then finish with a Greenmountain coffee.

Thomas's picture

BTW-Keep those Snorgtees ads. That latest is pretty amazing.

Bunga Bunga's picture

I want the Surfer Lady back!

Rubbish's picture

Tyler likes the obese babes.

neidermeyer's picture

The new NISSEN ad is GREAT ,, an underwear ad with hot Japanese models... Whatever metrics got this ad on ZH needs to be bumped up.

Freddie's picture


I mention Snorgtees ads so hopefully the Tyler's bots post those instead of the 2012 Kenyan and his Wookie 2012 banner ads.  I think they need more SnorgTee gals in t shirts and panties like the one chick.

potlatch's picture ftw

jus_lite_reading's picture

You forgot gulping down 500 large of LNKD floating turds at 700 P/E... In about 400 years, they payback what they made in the IPO if they don't dilute the stock anymore... as Schoenberger says, SCREAMING BUY!"


bdc63's picture

There you go again Tyler ... trying to ruin a perfectly good face-ripping 3:00pm rumor with facts.

LeonardoFibonacci's picture

FaceBook,  Netflix chaser, and  Greenmountain coffee,  I actually own all 3 stocks.  WTF are you saying, i won't make any money?  I was hoping on a 50% return just this week. lol

ReactionToClosedMinds's picture

thanks for the belly laugh ... very funny!

potlatch's picture

I'm a fuckin whale when it comes to Tom's of Maine

Stackers's picture

Ia it me or does the word China appear on the right side of that chart the most ......

Joe The Plumber's picture

That is the trouble with deposit insurance

You trade the frequent risk of minor bank runs and small time limited panics into a systemic risk of once in a hundred year total collapse

Forests need to burn every once and a while to keep the levels of combustible materials low. Otherwise you risk that catastrophic burn that destroys the entire ecosystem

blunderdog's picture

Sure, blame deposit insurance.

Here's a better idea: blame the dumbasses who put their money in the banks in the first place. 

It's really all their fault.


Joe The Plumber's picture

It is the classic problem of insurance when attempts are made to insure large numbers of relatively small risks ( such as individual banks in a banking system) but the individual risk units are not independent)

Auto insurance is a good example. There is little risk of all cars in the usa having a wreck at the same time. One group of wrecks does not form a cascade that causes all other vehicles in the usa to crash. Cars, ships, satellites, lives, and lost packages do not correlate closely with each other

Where individual units of a system rise or fall as a whole then insuring individual risk is unwise since no insurance scheme could ever bail out the entire system

Tirpitz's picture

State insurance can -- we saw that in 2008, when the most reckless criminals the world ever has seen got free insurance from their henchmen running the government.

blunderdog's picture

None of this is accidental, though.  This was all done intentionally.

Perhaps you can insure against ACCIDENT--like some bank makes a bad loan and ends up overextended.  You can't insure against institutional fraud--banks making hundreds of thousands of KNOWN-BAD loans because they knew they could sell them off before they failed.

Deposit insurance didn't have anything to do with any of this. 

I dunno, there's nothing to argue about here, you're just making crazy shit up.

LeBalance's picture

parties of thieves require necktie parties.

but I don't see no one throwing no necktie parties.

blunderdog's picture

Delusions of "justice" aside, hanging people doesn't even help.  It just shifts the stolen money to their kids, some of whom have never done anything wrong.

UP Forester's picture

Kinda discourages future bad behavior, doncha tink?

blunderdog's picture

Without sharing my personal take on whether it's a good idea, capital punishment does not appear effective as a deterrent, no.

Since you ask.

It has to do with the human survival psychology.  When a payoff is great enough, threat of future death is too heavily discounted to interfere with behavior.  Very robust finding in the data.

PhilB's picture

Given that Europe had been following US lead since Draghi came into the ECB, I actually think the rumors make sense. The US raised deposit insurance 2.5 times! to 250k USD. Seems Europe is in desperate need of a pan-european deposit insurance. Also, it wouldnt need to cover all 11Trillion of Deposits. It would be geared to the small bank accounts, stopping the plebs from fleeing in panic and rioting. Rumor or not, this would be the equivalent of LTRO3.

Tirpitz's picture

Unconfirmed rumor has it they are already talking to AIG's London branch.

Marco's picture

Just eyeballing it the average for European banks in that graph is about 135 and for US banks about 90 ... where exactly did that 3x come from?

The difference between 135 and 90 is a shit ton of QE and excess reserves ... the EU is just not as far along on that roller coaster ride as the US (and yes, Germany is the main reason for that).

Kayman's picture

Let's see... excess reserves/Federal Reserve/off the reserve. Where is wealth being generated again ?

Oh, yeah. FacePlant.

Day_Of_The_Tentacle's picture

Sorry if this is a stupid question, but is the loan-to-deposit ratio meaningful as a stand alone measure, if you don't know the size of the banks equity at the same time?

Edit: No matter. Tylers update answered my question.

Itch's picture

I'm sure it would go down well with the "electorate".

Rathmullan's picture

And here it comes:

Monti, Hollande Favor Euro-Zone Bonds As Possible Solution, Says Dow Jones-WSJ Source

I think the U.S. should join the euro zone. Why shouldn't we be denied Merkel's tits.

Rathmullan's picture

Oops, dand double negatives. I meant "why should we be denied Merkel's tits".

Marco's picture

US gets on everyone's tits ... when you try weaning it it starts throwing tantrums.

Joe The Plumber's picture

This american loves tits and can never get enough. I guess you are right

Kayman's picture

 Monti and Hollande favor unlimited credit at Deutsche Liebefraumilche.  Frau Merkel says Cash, no more credit.

midgetrannyporn's picture

Just pretend it never happened.

Pretend what never happened?



potlatch's picture

“Four! Five! Four! Anything you like. Only stop it, stop the pain!”

Comay Mierda's picture

Thats a pretty tall house of cards

marketcycles79's picture

Nice clear road map by a trader a respect using cycles and patterns to map out these markets.

Conman's picture

Who cares, just BTFD, it don't matter. Give up and drink the Kool aid. I'm cashing in my bonds to buy me some well .. anything because its all going up right?

Catullus's picture

Sweden has no reserve ratio requirement.

Loan to deposit ratios understate the reality of the liquidity situation. Deposit to Liquid Cash ratio is really the thing to look at when people are pulling deposits. It's great that your haven't loaned the deposits out, but what did you do with the cash instead? Buy treasury bonds (and not call it a loan to the government)?

Joe The Plumber's picture

Reserve requirements in a fiat currency system with an infinite repo backstop is an anachronism. The lender of last resort can monetize anything and everything

It would be an odd world indeed if depositors pulled out every bit of cash in the system but it is possible

falak pema's picture

loan to deposit sharks, all you need is to throw them a leg and they'll go berserk. WHose leg should we throw them to see the mayhem go from red to purple? Maybe a leg of Greek left guy; if he ever makes it to the top of the heap in June, you can see these banks going yellow around the gills. Melon yellow, like lemon green and Limewire blues. 

Hobbleknee's picture

I cut through the lobby of Swedbank daily.  It looks like the unemployment office in there.

ThirdWorldDude's picture

Some of the local branches have even pulled the plug on dealing with paper money... instead you've got deposit + withdrawal ATM's, and for all other purposes you get instructed to use the internet bank or call their operators.


Heck, soon their offices will look like the Greek MoF.

LeBalance's picture

Banzai should put a diving board on that pic and call it MoF Diving.

azzhatter's picture

but....but.... they're going to sign a "growth" compact as opposed to the "non-growth" compact in place now.


All is well

IrishSamurai's picture

Can't believe that Tyler hasn't made a post about the Bernank leaving his calling card ...


Or maybe it was Sack ... either way ... the DEVIL is in the details.