This Is What European Banks' Loan-To-Deposit Ratios Look Like
For those who feel like spreading rumors about European deposit insurance, please do. But at least have some sense about what it would entail. European banks already have the highest loan-to-deposit loan-to-deposit ratio in the world. This means they are massively more levered, roughly 3x more, the US banks. In other words, deposit "encumbrance" is already absolutely maxed out. Think the ECB can credibly backstop Europe's €11 trillion deposit market, with Germany's agreement? Good luck.
And incidentally all of this was already previously discussed by Zero Hedge, precisely two months ago, when at the height of the market we made a very clear explanation why A Few Quick Reminders Why NOTHING Has Been Fixed In Europe. Among other things, we said:
Actually, there is one more thing. Deposits, or specifically, the Loan to Deposit Ratios of European banks. The chart [above] explains why not only is Europe's several asset constrained, it is also running out of funding, in the form of depositor cash: the most critical bank liability. Remember: without incremental deposits, banks can not invest in new assets, unless they generate cash from operations, and thus grow shareholder equity. There is a problem: as the final chart below shows, Europe, and especially Scandinavia which has consistently remained off the radar, is literally off the charts when it comes to LTD ratios.
With banks such as Danske, SHB, Swebank, DnB, and Nordea literally at 200% Loan-to-Deposits, but most other European banks too, even the tiniest outflow in deposit cash (ala what is happening in the PIIGS) will send the system into yet another liquidity spasm. Only this time, since what little unencumbered assets remaining have already been pledged to the ECB, there will be no quick LTRO collateral-type fix this time.
And judging by the market's reaction today, more muppets, pardon, people are starting to grasp this.
Alas, we were too quick to judge the muppets, which continue to fall for every BS rumor over and over.
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