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What Lies In Store For The "Cradle That Rocks The World" - A History Lesson In Crisis

Tyler Durden's picture





 

With the world ever more lethargic daily, as if in silent expectation of something big about to happen (quite visible in daily trading volumes), it is easy to forget that just about a year ago the Mediterranean region was rife with violent revolutions in virtually every country along the North African coast. That these have passed their acute phase does not mean that anything has been resolved. And unfortunately, as BMO's Don Coxe reminds us, it is very likely that the Mediterranean region, flanked on one side by the broke European countries of Greece, Italy, Spain (and implicitly Portugal), and on the other by the unstable powder keg of post-revolutionary Libya and Egypt, will likely become quite active yet again. Only this time, in addition to social and economic upheavals, a religious flavor may also be added to the mix. As Coxe says: "Today, the Mediterranean is two civilizations in simultaneous, rapidly unfolding crises. To date, those crises have been largely unrelated. That may well be about to change." Coxe bases part of his argument on the same Thermidorian reaction which we have warned about since early 2011, namely the power, social and economic vacuum that is unleashed in the aftermath of great social change. But there is much more to his argument, which looks much more intently at the feedback loops formed by the divergent collapsing economies that once were the cradle of civilization, and this time could eventually serve as the opposite. To wit: "The eurocrisis has been front and center for nearly two years, during which time the economic and financial fundamentals have continued to deteriorate. “The Arab Spring” came suddenly, in a series of outbursts of optimism. It may have come at the worst possible time for the beleaguered nations of the North Shore. The Mediterranean has entered one of the stormiest periods in recorded history. It is the major contributor to risk in global equity markets. It is too soon to predict how these crises will end. The Cradle of Civilization is rocking amid an array of winds and storms. “The Arab Spring” ...may have come at the worst possible time for the beleaguered nations of the North Shore."

From Don Coxe

The Mediterranean in History

History buffs would argue that it is impossible to understand the effects on the world from a Mediterranean roiled by crises occurring simultaneously within both the eurozone and the Arab nations today without looking back to the Mediterranean in history.

The "Arab Spring" has focused the world's attention on the South Shore of the Mediterranean. However, most commentators on the successive revolutions supply maps of each of the states, but almost never a map of Mediterranean civilization. This is both non-historical and misleading.

Because none of the city states or countries bordering on the Mediterranean was self-sufficient in everything necessary for a secure and civilized existence—food, wine, weaponry, tools, clothing, papyruses with texts of literature, poetry, military strategy, and agriculture, and the best artefacts for praising the gods—trade was a necessity.

Since ancient times, the states and empires of the Mediterranean region have not just fought and conquered each other—but have traded with, and influenced each other.

The Cradle of Western Civilization—Then and Now

For nearly two millennia, such significance as Greece enjoyed internationally was mostly for its beautiful isles and ruins, and the Romantic dream that the gods, heroes and geniuses embodied in "The Glory That Was Greece" somehow lingered in Olympus, Delphi, and Athens. Recently, it became the source of the Olympic Flame. Even more recently, it became the first of the overindebted underachievers to go broke because of its own profligacy.

In the six centuries before the Christian era, Greece was the leading intellectual and cultural force of the Northern Mediterranean. Alexander the Great spread that influence as far East as the borders of India. His legacy also proved decisive for Egypt.

The Ptolemy dynasty which continued to Egypt after his death until the suicide of Cleopatra, staked its claim to divinity through descent from his mother. In the three centuries of Ptolemaic rule, Alexandria became the intellectual and artistic capital of the Mediterranean and, in its library, the pre-eminent storehouse of Greek culture.

When Julius Caesar's nephew Octavian was given the title of Emperor Augustus, there were three major culture centers—Athens, Alexandria and Rome—of which Rome was the least distinguished. His rule ended the Hellenistic era which had begun with Alexander—the golden age of Grecian cultural dominance of the Mediterranean.

The Romans called the Mediterranean "Mare Nostrum" (Our Sea)—both as an assertion of Rome's ability to project military power across it, and their hope that Poseidon would treat Roman shipping favorably—the Mediterranean being notably storm-tossed, particularly during the winds of winter.

Julius Caesar conquered Britain and Gaul, but could hardly wait to come to Egypt, staying in Alexandria for nearly two years. It was not only the near-divine cultural center of the Mediterranean—but was Rome's biggest grain supplier. Rome hadn't been able to feed its citizens and legions for centuries. It relied on conquests and trade—and trade was usually more reliable.

Rome annexed Egypt when Octavian won the sea battle over Antony and Cleopatra's fleet at Actium in 31 BC. Until then, Rome had to form shifting alliances with the powers in Egypt and the Near East.

Prior to the rise of Islam, the Mediterranean was the center of the known world, and could be described as one huge—albeit diverse—community, which included citizens resident across the region. That was how Saint Paul saw it: when captured, he announced, "Civis Romanus Sum"—gaining the right to trial in Rome. The Catholic Church became the great unifying force across the region when Rome entered decline.

Then Islam swept through the South shore, and West and East shores, being thrown back only after centuries of struggle.

Today, the Mediterranean is two civilizations in simultaneous, rapidly unfolding crises. To date, those crises have been largely unrelated. That may well be about to change.

On the North and West shores, it is a nominally Christian community in which the church is a declining force. On the South and East shores, apart from Israel, it is an Islamic community in which religion is a stronger political and social force than at any time since the Ottoman Empire entered decline.

An equally important divide is demography. Europe is in the middle stages of demographic collapse on the Japanese model, with a fertility rate of approximately 1.3 babies per female—far below the replacement rate of 2.1—each new generation is roughly 60% of its predecessor, making the third generation roughly 40% the size of the first. That loss of the basic dynamism of human progress is an insuperable force for declining economic activity: GDP is output per worker multiplied by the number of workers. During and after the Baby Boom years, this meant annual growth in the number of potential workers and first-time home buyers. Today, that shrinking and aging population is a downward drag on real estate prices and employment opportunities, since home building and servicing are such huge job contributors.

For many years, tourism was the most reliable source of income of Mediterranean PIIGS as their economies became less competitive, but the demographic decline among the Northern European nations and the strong euro have proved painful for hotels, tour operators, sailboat charterers and restaurants. La dolce vita rests on reliable cash flows.

The third major divide within the Mediterranean region is education. On the North shore, literacy is near-universal and higher education trains millions of young people for the jobs global economic growth offers. That so many millions of them are unemployed is due to slow economic growth, guild and union laws, and other over-regulation that stultifies competition and progress.

In the South, education is a double-edged scimitar. Illiteracy is widespread, which means a huge percentage of the population is destitute or on the edge of economic disaster—like the poor Tunisian street vendor whose self immolation launched the most dramatic geopolitical developments in the Mediterranean since a Serbian anarchist killed Austria's Grand-Duke.

However, most of the Arab revolutions were launched by educated young people who could not find worthwhile employment in their largely dysfunctional economies. Cell phones and computers are ubiquitous, but there are few new manufacturing and service industries emerging. Young people envy the fast-developing prosperity of their generation across so many emerging economies, and blame their sclerotic regimes for their lack of opportunities.

Paradoxically, the biggest political winners from the sacrifices of the local youthful educated elites are the parties with no coherent economic growth agenda, just the mantra that "Islam is the answer." These parties were minor contributors to the miracles of Tahrir Square and its neighboring countries. But the dedication and organization of the Islamist parties, including the 8th Century purist version called Salafists, has meant that the divisions among the varying liberal or moderate factions have given power to them in Egypt.

In the Egyptian elections, the Islamists won 72% of the votes, with the Muslim Brotherhood receiving 47% and the Salafists 25%. Although the Brotherhood insists it is pluralist and tolerant, its highest-profile liberals who were so visible in its rise to power are now, according to numerous press reports, losing ground to hard-liners.

As we wrote in Basic Points while enthusiasm for the Arab Spring was running high across the world, the record for autocratic regimes toppled by idealistic liberals includes all too many tragedies. Examples: the Girondistes and their liberal allies in France lost power—and, in many cases, their heads, to the Jacobins, who were succeeded by Napoleon, who became Emperor; the Mensheviks and other liberals in Russia who seized power from the tsars in February 1917 were deposed in October by Lenin and his Bolsheviks, and were systematically annihilated thereafter.

Among the most conspicuous Egyptian victims of the Fall of Mubarak are the Coptic Christians (nearly 10% of the population), who were well-established in Egypt centuries before Islam was born, and who form a disproportionately large percentage of the educated and business-oriented citizenry. Their churches have been burnt—sometimes with worshippers inside. They have been brutalized by mobs while soldiers watched placidly. The brazen attack on the Israeli embassy in Cairo also appeared to have been organized with support from elements in the army: soldiers stood by until the mob had broken through all the external barriers.

Predictable effect: tourism, Egypt's biggest foreign-currency earner, is collapsing. Foreign direct investment—heavily tourist-oriented—is on hold. Despite its massive problems, Egypt had been making modest economic progress until the army arrested Mubarak and embarked on an erratic program of crisis management, which has triggered double-digit inflation and a sharp fall in the nation’s modest forex reserves. Its decision to reject an IMF loan in June, because the terms were “insulting” has forced the interim government to borrow locally, thereby draining liquidity from the economy. The new Muslim Brotherhood government talks of modernizing the economy, but long-range planning and investment cannot be implemented in a crisis. The Salafists were elected by the poorest of the poor, and they are adamant that the food and energy subsidies that are draining the treasury must continue.

Remarkably, the other big divide between North and South is faith in democracy.

The unifying cry across the South Shore has been the demand for democracy, for which thousands of mostly young and mostly liberal people suffered imprisonment, torture or death.

Such idealism is at bay on the North Shore: the two cradle nations of Mediterranean democracy—Greece and Italy—which were democratic while Spain and Portugal were still dictatorships, have been forced by the eurocrisis to forsake rule by elections. They have fired their top political leaders in favor of elite Eurocrat replacements acceptable to the European Central Bank and Brussels.

Even when Alexander the Great was conquering the eastern Mediterranean and Southern Asia, the lives and fortunes of most people on earth were unaffected.

Not today. The so-called "Cradle of Western Civilization" is rocking amid strong winds from both sides of the sea; if it falls, the economic and geopolitical effects will be enormous.

Conclusion

The eurozone's problems and the Arab Spring have, to date, been discussed in the media as discrete occurrences.

However, for the first time since the Second World War, most of the nations in the region face crises simultaneously, which suggests huge potential instability.

The key reason Italy broke its long, lucrative Libyan relationship, and enthusiastically supported the NATO attacks was the flood of Libyan refugees pouring into Italy. Libya's cash flow problems could be temporary, because its substantial production of light crude oil should shortly resume, but in its attempts at nation-building it faces the same internal conflicts between liberals and Islamists as Egypt. Already, pro-Gadhafi supporters have taken over one town and proclaimed a rebellion.

Sadly, it is almost inevitable that the North Shore will soon face serious refugee problems as the non-oil South Shore nations are torn with internal divisions the dictators had suppressed, and their fragile, uncompetitive economies implode. Iran managed to survive as a brutal Shia theocracy because it inherited a society of well-educated men and women—with a strong agricultural and trading base in which entrepreneurialism flourished—and because of its immense reserves of oil and gas. (Fortunately, Iran is unlikely to be a major meddler in the Mediterranean crises, because the populations are largely Sunni.)

Beleaguered governments frequently resort to distracting their citizenry by blaming foreign enemies. Israel has been blamed for nearly all Mideast problems for decades—by Arab propagandists and by the global Left. It has peace treaties with two neighbors—Jordan and Egypt. The Egyptian Army rulers were careful not to suggest that the Israel treaty should be torn up, as some of the candidates for office were demanding, partly because of American aid. However, it was to be “reviewed”. We saw Jordan’s King Abdullah being interviewed on US TV and he expressed concern about demands from radicals to revoke the Israel treaty, but said that it was crucial that Israel re-start its negotiations with the Palestinians, because the one issue uniting “all Arabs” was insistence on settling that question for once and for all.

Good luck with that.

The eurocrisis has been front and center for nearly two years, during which time the economic and financial fundamentals have continued to deteriorate. “The Arab Spring” came suddenly, in a series of outbursts of optimism. It may have come at the worst possible time for the beleaguered nations of the North Shore.

The Mediterranean has entered one of the stormiest periods in recorded history. It is the major contributor to risk in global equity markets. It is too soon to predict how these crises will end.

The Cradle of Civilization is rocking amid an array of winds and storms.

 


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Thu, 02/02/2012 - 17:40 | Link to Comment markmotive
markmotive's picture

Well said. Societal breakdown throughout the middle east is only leading to greater volatility and uncertainty. Has a revolution ever resulted in more stability? Meanwhile the US is adding to its Persian Gulf military presence.

Beware of these developments, because war with Iran means WWIII

http://www.planbeconomics.com/2012/02/01/%e2%80%98war-in-iran-would-mean-wwiii%e2%80%99/

 

Thu, 02/02/2012 - 17:48 | Link to Comment Gubbmint Cheese
Gubbmint Cheese's picture

I find it interesting that Coxe got a bit more bullish on stocks in this report...

Thu, 02/02/2012 - 18:05 | Link to Comment CPL
CPL's picture

If thinking on energy futures, sure, but if your stock is worth 3000 a share because easy energy is unavailable at any price because the world at that point has gone full mad max.

 

That's sort of what's happening now with people pushing a FIAT print button on a daily basis.

Thu, 02/02/2012 - 19:07 | Link to Comment Spirit Of Truth
Spirit Of Truth's picture

Printing money to inflate mass optimism is all about the audacity of false hope and faith in "Mammon" as your god.

The truth is that the whole scenario foretold in Biblical prophecy is unfolding before the world's eyes, Armageddon is at hand, and Wall Streeters will undoubtedly be the last to "get it".

http://thespiritoftruth.blogspot.com/2012/02/is-armageddon-at-hand.html

http://www.zerohedge.com/comment/reply/443414/2120693

Thu, 02/02/2012 - 19:13 | Link to Comment john39
john39's picture

oh they get it alright...  but they are on the "wrong" side of it.   they have their own outcome in mind.

Thu, 02/02/2012 - 19:29 | Link to Comment Spirit Of Truth
Spirit Of Truth's picture

“How can this be?” Nicodemus asked. [John 3:9] :)

Thu, 02/02/2012 - 19:29 | Link to Comment Spirit Of Truth
Spirit Of Truth's picture

“How can this be?” Nicodemus asked. [John 3:9] :)

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 09:09 | Link to Comment Xkwisetly Paneful
Xkwisetly Paneful's picture

Hoping I can get to an Egyptian soccer game one of these days.

and of course the billionaire tyrantsters would have all fallen without the evil zionistas taking out Hussein just ask one of them.

 

aslam alekem brothers.

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 09:19 | Link to Comment Xkwisetly Paneful
Xkwisetly Paneful's picture

Their own outcome in mind? But the evil zionistas are the greatest threat in the middle not these alternative outcomes.

Make up your mind Achmed. Either continue portraying the moderate radical islamic muzzies as victims or as the perpetrators of their own outcome in mind.

Thu, 02/02/2012 - 22:56 | Link to Comment piceridu
piceridu's picture

down arrow for mentioning the bible in financial discussions...should I mention a quote from The Iliad?

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 01:05 | Link to Comment Spirit Of Truth
Spirit Of Truth's picture

Sure.

I imagine people will "get it" after the "fact": http://spiritoftruth.org/Thesis/Intro/#4d

C'est la vie

 

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 03:12 | Link to Comment brettd
brettd's picture

No down arrow!

Bible is full of economic lessons, many of them counter-intuitive to the point of radical.

Thu, 02/02/2012 - 20:40 | Link to Comment GenX Investor
GenX Investor's picture

This just in from CNBC, we go live to Bob Pisani on the floor of the NYSE, "traders on the floor are saying this is a very bull shit (er...bullish) sign and we are expecting a concerted melt up in the market!!!!  Back to you Trish!

Thu, 02/02/2012 - 19:36 | Link to Comment I am more equal...
I am more equal than others's picture

Alex, I'll take Stable Nations for $1,000

America and France

 

What countries became more stable after their revolutions?

 

You are correct!

 

 

Thu, 02/02/2012 - 17:38 | Link to Comment non_anon
non_anon's picture

in my study of history, the most inconsequential actions can have big percussions

Thu, 02/02/2012 - 18:17 | Link to Comment DoChenRollingBearing
DoChenRollingBearing's picture

I recently finished reading The Great Sea (David Abulafia), a new book on the Mediterranean, its human history for the last 20,000 years.  It's very good.

Thu, 02/02/2012 - 18:28 | Link to Comment non_anon
non_anon's picture

Against Leviathan | Robert Higgs

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=67eelZustMk

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 03:15 | Link to Comment brettd
brettd's picture

Yes...And the headlines of greatness, devolve into tragedy:

French Revolution.

Russion Revolution.

Chinese Cultural Revolution.

All started with a bang and then devolved.

 

Thu, 02/02/2012 - 17:40 | Link to Comment unrulian
unrulian's picture

...much like my marriage

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 02:09 | Link to Comment Socratic Dog
Socratic Dog's picture

Hmm.  Mine too.  Every marriage?

Thu, 02/02/2012 - 17:39 | Link to Comment El Viejo
El Viejo's picture

Revived Roman Empire??

Thu, 02/02/2012 - 18:22 | Link to Comment TorchFire
TorchFire's picture

Yeah...a Neo "Roman" Empire With Goldman Sachs appointed leadership in every "country".

Thu, 02/02/2012 - 21:14 | Link to Comment BLOTTO
BLOTTO's picture

Yes, new Holy Roman Empire... Lead by Germany and its German Pope.

Some EU member nations will get kicked out and be replaced with others. Like perhaps England, fully.

Thats why the EU wont/cant fail.

Thu, 02/02/2012 - 17:41 | Link to Comment john39
john39's picture

some of the fighting is still raging, but MSM does not permit you to see it.  Bahrain for example.  Bloodshed there today by the U.S. government ally, but not a word on CNN, in marked contrast with Syria, where NWO proxies are wreaking havoc while Hillary Clinton blames Assad.  what a shock.

Thu, 02/02/2012 - 18:01 | Link to Comment CPL
CPL's picture

I don't know if the author is missing information, but talking to folks in Egypt on g+ there is some heavy shit going on right now has been for months.

Thu, 02/02/2012 - 18:08 | Link to Comment Schmuck Raker
Schmuck Raker's picture

-1 You lost me at -

".......Syria, where NWO proxies are wreaking havoc......."

Perhaps a link?

Thu, 02/02/2012 - 18:57 | Link to Comment NotApplicable
NotApplicable's picture

Google "Ambassador Ford." He's back home now, but did nothing but stir shit up while in Syria.

Thu, 02/02/2012 - 19:04 | Link to Comment john39
john39's picture

the MO seems self apparent at this point.  that anyone needs someone to hand them a link to the obvious truth is the surprise.

Thu, 02/02/2012 - 20:47 | Link to Comment Schmuck Raker
Schmuck Raker's picture

So you are unwilling, or unable to offer any support for your assertion that 'The Grand Conspiracy Constantly Referred To As The New World Order Because It Sounds Menacing' is the real culprit behind the havoc wrought on the people of Syria, and Mr. Assad is a saintly victim of same. Do I understand you correctly?

Do you prefer to act dismissively and express disdain whenever someone questions your statements?

Thu, 02/02/2012 - 21:07 | Link to Comment john39
john39's picture

not for you, but for anyone who might actually care:

http://youtu.be/5L49L6iZSSg

Thu, 02/02/2012 - 21:56 | Link to Comment Schmuck Raker
Schmuck Raker's picture

Interesting video. Was that so hard?

Thu, 02/02/2012 - 23:57 | Link to Comment Schmuck Raker
Schmuck Raker's picture

While I agree that in general the US MSM is worthless...

 

1. When it comes to Syria, RT is probably no more reliable a source than Fox News.

2. Webster Tarpley, whom RT interviewed, is not someone I was familiar with so I took NotApplicable's advice(sort of) and Googled him:

A) Wiki - first sentence:

Webster Griffin Tarpley (born 1946) is an American conspiracy theorist...

*strike one*

B) Tarpley.net - Biography - first sentence:

Webster Griffin Tarpley – one of the most incisive critics of Anglo-American hegemony. As an activist historian he is best known for his book – George Bush: The Unauthorized Biography (1992), a masterpiece of research which is still a must read.

*strike two(anyone that self-promotional)*

C) Webstertarpley.blogspot.com - I'm not even sure Mr. Tarpley runs, or is in any way associated with this site. I hope not.

Tarpley Tracker blog with other interesting picks..

The first post you see(a video):

Daniel & The Lion's Den - J Kleck

subtitled: Alien Disclosure and Recap

http://youtu.be/eKLWs3tnE48

*strike three(hey, you're judged by the company you keep)*

 

I'm no investigative reporter so I just picked out three of the first seven links Google gave me.

I am not impressed: a suspect media, a questionable source, a tin-foil peer.

I believe that there IS a popular movement to remove Assad. Outside forces surely helped spark the rebellion, as ever throughout history.

But, the basic dynamic at play here is minority rule by Shiites over a Sunni majority, and all the attendant injustices, etc.

 

I could be swayed by better evidence to the contrary.

However, I don't think YOU can provide it.

[edit: Maybe I'll ask my Lebanese neighbor what he thinks is really going on in Syria]

Thu, 02/02/2012 - 23:58 | Link to Comment john39
john39's picture

Do your own homework dumbass.

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 09:16 | Link to Comment Xkwisetly Paneful
Xkwisetly Paneful's picture

Yea come on dumbass. Subscribe to a bunch of fringe deluded mentally deranged whackos that share the same delusions you do consider their output fact despite it being overwhelmingly wrong, then post said links 1000times and hope other mentally deranged whackos adopt same nonsense as gospel.

 

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 00:45 | Link to Comment shokdee
shokdee's picture

Webster Tarpley is an excellent researcher and we owe him a big hug for his outstanding research into the Venetian-Dutch-Anglo system and exposing the key role of Paolo Sarpi in creating Galileo, Descartes and Bacon (and by extension all Empiricism and the Scientific Method). Sarpi and his team introduced Rosicrucianism and Freemasonry to the world and created occult Cabalism, which masquerades as modern Science. "Shakespeare" is part of this grand scheme too.

==== ESSENTIAL READING FOR EVERYONE

Against oligarchy (free book) : http://tarpley.net/online-books/against-oligarchy/

The modern Anglo-Dutch Empire by Robert Ingraham (free book) : http://www.oaklandasp.comcastbiz.net/

=====

If you want more information or to discuss this please contact me at my username at gmail, thanks.

 

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 00:48 | Link to Comment JOYFUL
JOYFUL's picture

Sure, ask for supporting evidence, then work yurself into a sweat to dismiss it! Gosh, it doesn't get much better than this!

Somebody in the peanut gallery calls Webster Tarpley a conspiracy theorist, bingo, he's down on the mat...then he's a 'self promoter' = somebody not on the NSC\CIA\FBI\DHS payroll and therefore left to fend for his own daily bread.  Criminal...just like that muckraker Reggie Middleton! Who cares if he's right, he ruffles the feathers that built my nest...jail em all!!!

Number three on yur list is the best of all!!!!  Guilt by association.....AIPAC organizers and free speech censors like Abe Foxman are known associates of rabbinical organ transplant mafiosos and sex trade kidnappers, who of course contribute heavily to the cause that shields them from scrutiny so well: but hey, that's different, cause they're doin GOD'S WORK! You're not impressed!?!??!? Aw schucks, Schmucks, we all depressed now!!

btw...you believe that there is a popular movement to remove Assad!?! Good on ya! Why don't you put your money where your mouth is, and send a contribution to it's sponors:

Middle East Policy Council
1730 M Street NW, Suite 512
Washington, DC 20036

proudly supported by Chevron, Exxon, munitions manufacturer Raytheon (Tomahawk cruise missile), and Boeing....

 

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 18:53 | Link to Comment Schmuck Raker
Schmuck Raker's picture

"Sure, ask for supporting evidence, then work yurself into a sweat to dismiss it! Gosh, it doesn't get much better than this!

Somebody in the peanut gallery calls Webster Tarpley a conspiracy theorist, bingo, he's down on the mat...then he's a 'self promoter' = somebody not on the NSC\CIA\FBI\DHS payroll and therefore left to fend for his own daily bread. "

Now, that right there is some very reasonable criticism, and justified.

This too...

"Number three on yur list is the best of all!!!!  Guilt by association....."

I must say, I included #3 because it made me laugh, more than it made any valid point.

Thu, 02/02/2012 - 19:46 | Link to Comment Caviar Emptor
Caviar Emptor's picture

There's been media blackout concerning most of the Persian Gulf and the Med region as far as violence. While hundreds were dying weekly in Syria for the past 6 months it was barely covered. Saudi violence was muzzled. And as you say Bahrain. Even UAE and Qatar were not immune. 

The downside to the non-coverage is a complacent blind-spot. And it;s a sure sign that US democracy, as we knew it, is dying and being replaced gradually with authoritarian government. Freedom is a fragile flower, as we're all about to learn. 

Thu, 02/02/2012 - 17:44 | Link to Comment unrulian
unrulian's picture

in my portfolio i'm playing;  gold, lead and tin....."jimmy, am i diversified?"

Thu, 02/02/2012 - 18:26 | Link to Comment Money 4 Nothing
Money 4 Nothing's picture

Aaaare you ready SKiiiiDaddy!

 

May I suggest some Tech stock?  And, there is a wonderful opportunity with a new IPO called Facebook.. Perhaps you've heard about it?

 '

Jim Cramer..

Thu, 02/02/2012 - 17:45 | Link to Comment battle axe
battle axe's picture

IRAN here we come, time to blow more money that we do not have......

Thu, 02/02/2012 - 17:51 | Link to Comment DaveyJones
DaveyJones's picture

time to blow money, laws, lives, loves, and IVs

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 01:14 | Link to Comment GMadScientist
GMadScientist's picture

Why not?

We burn gas we do not have, offshore jobs we do not have, get groped for freedoms we do not have, torture while touting principles we do not have, and romanticize a history we did not have.

Thu, 02/02/2012 - 17:52 | Link to Comment MrBoompi
MrBoompi's picture

According to the thinking of the establishment, you are better off being in our central bank system and being awash in debt, as opposed to being outside of this system and fluch with cash and natural resources.

Debt is the new way to control others.

Thu, 02/02/2012 - 19:47 | Link to Comment Tyranny is Love
Tyranny is Love's picture

Debt is the new way to control others.:

 

Debt is a very old way to control others. This current version just gone digital.

Thu, 02/02/2012 - 17:54 | Link to Comment seanring
seanring's picture

I know this may sound loopy, but I think the "singularity" is money printing.  If the money printing ends, there are no wars that can be financed, no swap lines to the ECB to hold up a broken currency union, and no huge run up in commodities prices - especially in staple foods like grain.  This is where much of the Arab Spring came from.  While I think what the author writes has value, if the central banks didn't blow out the money supply to finance malinvestment (including funding dictatorships like Egypt's), none of this could have happened.  We need to take back the power for the "intelligentsia" and give it back to the people in the form of sound money, low taxes, and the ability to be entrepreneurs without government inference.  And no more damn wars in the Middle East.  Is that too tall an order?  Maybe I'm aiming high...

http://SeanRing.com

Thu, 02/02/2012 - 18:03 | Link to Comment Manthong
Manthong's picture

yes, you are high..

Can I have a hit of that stuff?

Thu, 02/02/2012 - 18:12 | Link to Comment Money 4 Nothing
Money 4 Nothing's picture

In one word.. Gold.

Loopy you be.

Thu, 02/02/2012 - 18:28 | Link to Comment seanring
seanring's picture

*sorry, "from" the intelligentsia...

Thu, 02/02/2012 - 19:51 | Link to Comment Tyranny is Love
Tyranny is Love's picture

If the money printing ends, there are no wars that can be financed

+10

You cant have a war without BOTH sides being able to finance it. Even a small non conventional war requires funds.

If one side loses its source of financing (and cant replace it) then the war ends.

Thu, 02/02/2012 - 17:55 | Link to Comment dAnconia
dAnconia's picture

 

 

    Turning and turning in the widening gyre
    The falcon cannot hear the falconer;
    Things fall apart; the centre cannot hold;
    Mere anarchy is loosed upon the world,
    The blood-dimmed tide is loosed, and everywhere
    The ceremony of innocence is drowned;
    The best lack all conviction, while the worst
    Are full of passionate intensity.

    Surely some revelation is at hand;
    Surely the Second Coming is at hand.
    The Second Coming! Hardly are those words out
    When a vast image out of Spiritus Mundi
    Troubles my sight: a waste of desert sand;
    A shape with lion body and the head of a man,
    A gaze blank and pitiless as the sun,
    Is moving its slow thighs, while all about it
    Wind shadows of the indignant desert birds.

    The darkness drops again but now I know
    That twenty centuries of stony sleep
    Were vexed to nightmare by a rocking cradle,
    And what rough beast, its hour come round at last,
    Slouches towards Bethlehem to be born?

--"The Second Coming," William Butler Yeats

Thu, 02/02/2012 - 22:15 | Link to Comment Ned Zeppelin
Ned Zeppelin's picture

awesome words

Thu, 02/02/2012 - 23:21 | Link to Comment DaveyJones
DaveyJones's picture

Somewhere I heard one of our lying leaders literally say that one reason we need to get aggressive with Iran is that they are getting "overly defensive" by "perceiving threats from the US." Orwell has nothing on these guys.

Thu, 02/02/2012 - 17:55 | Link to Comment Hedgetard55
Hedgetard55's picture

I tell you what, you thought British soccer hooligans were bad? What about those Egyptians? 74 dead, 1,000 injured, and those are the official numbers, real numbers undoubtably higher. Maybe we can send Berspanky over there to officiate a "good will" match between the FED team and the Egyptian central bank team?

Thu, 02/02/2012 - 19:22 | Link to Comment General Decline
General Decline's picture

I just talked to my field engineer who happens to be an Egyptian national in Cairo. He told me the political atmosphere is fine in his area right now - of course I'm sure that's relative. By my sleepy Midwestern standards it's probably a crazy ass shit fest. I am going there Monday to meet a new engineer and deliver his laptop, deliver some other equipment, meet with the customer etc. Frankly I'm a little nervous. Luckily my wife doesn't follow national news very closely. If she knew what I was heading into right now she would flip out. Wish me luck.

Thu, 02/02/2012 - 19:24 | Link to Comment Hedgetard55
Hedgetard55's picture

Good luck!

 

Remember "Allah Ackbar".

Thu, 02/02/2012 - 19:24 | Link to Comment Money 4 Nothing
Money 4 Nothing's picture

Luck! You will like there airport screeners much better also. Take and post some great pictures, Egypt is very beautiful.

Thu, 02/02/2012 - 20:03 | Link to Comment pazmaker
pazmaker's picture

stay away from soccer matches.

 

Thu, 02/02/2012 - 20:48 | Link to Comment General Decline
General Decline's picture

Thanks guys. The good news is I hate soccer. So no "football" for me. I do want to go see the pyramids, so I'll have to make a determination of the "vibe" once I'm there. I'm willing to take a reasonable risk to go see them. It can't be much worse than the south side of Chicago. Can it?

Thu, 02/02/2012 - 21:54 | Link to Comment Milestones
Milestones's picture

On Western, south of 129th day or night. Makes a difference.                    Milestones

Thu, 02/02/2012 - 17:56 | Link to Comment q99x2
q99x2's picture

Each country should mint its own currency and have equal weaponry. Then peace and prosperity will return. Until you kick the money-changers out of the temple your lives are going to be hell.

Thu, 02/02/2012 - 19:54 | Link to Comment Tyranny is Love
Tyranny is Love's picture

Only time Jesus got violent

Thu, 02/02/2012 - 21:20 | Link to Comment unrulian
unrulian's picture

...too bad the same can't be said for his church 

Thu, 02/02/2012 - 23:23 | Link to Comment DaveyJones
DaveyJones's picture

he'd probably debate that "his" part

Mon, 02/06/2012 - 16:17 | Link to Comment marathonman
marathonman's picture

After that incident the Pharisees and money changers decided Jesus had to be killed.  As it has been for the powers that take on the money changers throughout history.  Abe Lincoln, JFK, Saddam Hussein, Gaddafi, etc., etc.  The hands that control the money rule the world.

Thu, 02/02/2012 - 17:58 | Link to Comment Vincent Vega
Vincent Vega's picture

From the article: Because none of the city states or countries bordering on the Mediterranean was self-sufficient in everything necessary for a secure and civilized existence—food, wine, weaponry, tools, clothing, papyruses with texts of literature, poetry, military strategy, and agriculture, and the best artefacts for praising the gods—trade was a necessity.

Wise words. Use them to prepare.

Thu, 02/02/2012 - 23:19 | Link to Comment earleflorida
earleflorida's picture

terrible history lesson - in short there was more trading outside the Mediterranean than anytime in history eg. china, africa, etc.

there is an almost equal amount of Sunni's, and Shiite's in the "Inflamed Islam World", period!

s. med is arid and nomadic, whereas the n. med is clusterfucked with enough religion to feed the  entire African continent - oh, excuse me,... they've already done that, and look at the good its done?

jordan or proper jordan is a buffer for israel along with its leader [king abdullah II, and wifey Rania`- he, american educated from grade-school with queen`y being a full-blooded kuwait  dairy-queen --- but not sundanese - why?

poor israel - yeah,... poor israel, the parasitic belial parasite's "Ptolemaic Universe"

junk history - prejudice with cherry-picking topping to the nth degree

better said sub[med]terranean and the battle of good versus evil with the divine theocracy forces of stalactite's sky above, and the shear aberration for the muddied democratic  stalagmite below

lastly --- Sirocco's are natural phenomenon

jmo

Thu, 02/02/2012 - 18:00 | Link to Comment waldo simon
waldo simon's picture

Well written,concise and informative.Excellent article

Thu, 02/02/2012 - 18:05 | Link to Comment Salah
Salah's picture

I lived in the Arab regions for several years as a US ex-pat.  Numerous young Arabs I met & knew well left their native dystopias (i.e. Egypt, Tunisa, Syria, Algeria, Libya, etc) to work in advanced Muslim states that "functioned", like UAE, Oman, Qatar, etc.  My work was primarily in UAE, Qatar, Oman, Turkey.  These young people all had technical specialties in demand, so they could find work in those advanced Arab states; to a perosn they all openly decried the abysmal conditions in their native lands.

If you go to any major European cities on the 'North Rim', like Athens, Palermo, Naples, Barcelona, Marseilles, Malaga, Genoa, etc.  there are enormous refugee camps outside the urban areas.  It's very frightening to the European elites, reminding them of the 1970s era book, 'The Camp of the Saints', where Europe is overwhelmed by refugees. What Europe needs to do is work with the new regimes and help them become places of economic growth.

A shortsighted, defensive view will miss this golden opportunity... unfortunately, Europe is very defensive and short-sighted.  The current crisis validates that.

Thu, 02/02/2012 - 18:13 | Link to Comment Schmuck Raker
Schmuck Raker's picture

Thanks for commenting.

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 00:45 | Link to Comment earleflorida
earleflorida's picture

question --- who is responsible for backing the tyrannical theocracies/ fascist governments of the countries  [others not mentioned] you defined as repressive and backwards. 

please note that the Saudi's are firm believers in "Sharia Law" - in fact, it is the Saudi's, and a couple countries mentioned by your questionable empirical evidence that hate education --- but  solemnly would rather keep their people ignorant, and their woman slaves

ref: "Islam Inflamed" c.1957___ by James Morris - for a dose of real history in the ME, and what seems to be deja vu all over again [alittle Yogi ism] 

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 01:21 | Link to Comment GMadScientist
GMadScientist's picture

Bumpkins are bumpkins...you think your average backwoods baptist is any less fanatical or zealously anti-education?

 

Thu, 02/02/2012 - 18:11 | Link to Comment sidkof
sidkof's picture

my buddy's step-sister makes $68/hour on the internet. She has been without work for 8 months but last month her paycheck was $7255 just working on the internet for a few hours. Go to this web site and read more.. LazyCash9.com

Thu, 02/02/2012 - 18:23 | Link to Comment Poetic injustice
Poetic injustice's picture

Ban this spammy fucker already!

Thu, 02/02/2012 - 19:02 | Link to Comment NotApplicable
NotApplicable's picture

I liked it better yesterday when he used "co-worker's step-aunt." Instant classic!

Thu, 02/02/2012 - 18:17 | Link to Comment geno-econ
geno-econ's picture

What happens within Irag should  war erupt with Iran ? Can limited occupying force control Shiite population with ties to Iran ? Although Iran is  Persian rather than Arab, other Middle East nations would have to take sides in an Arab Spring envioronment and religious divides.  Very little mention of China that now is playing  larger role behind the scenes.  If war leads to higher longterm  oil prices ,not good for China and would insure immediate global economic depression for all.  Entire enterprise sounds like NEOCON SUICIDE

Thu, 02/02/2012 - 18:20 | Link to Comment Sandmann
Sandmann's picture

North Africa is the largest grain importer in the world and probably recjoiced that Goldman, Morgan Stanley and Barcap were finding futures speculation so rewarding. Their joy at higher profits to traders made them find their increased cost of living a reason to rush out and overturn existing regimes and for iran to increase food subsidies. Whereas in Western nations the rejoicing at higher food and energy prices takes the form of praising the incumbent and thanking the banking sector for increasing their bonus pool

Thu, 02/02/2012 - 18:20 | Link to Comment PORTA PORTA
PORTA PORTA's picture

Central Financial Governance.. ! New Dictatorship revealed.. ( evene if we re missing the FINAL Document/Act to be voted by MArch 31st.. ! )

have fun.. its coming your way as well...

 

http://www.scribd.com/doc/80281305/Treaty-on-Stability-Coordination-and-...

question

Do you know why they call it Permenant Stability Mechanism ? WHY PERMENANT ?? lol.... wait for your ingenius replies..

 

PP

Thu, 02/02/2012 - 18:25 | Link to Comment falak pema
falak pema's picture

the cradle of civilization now torn assunder once again under the ill winds of the pax americana construct; of which the oil patch is the nerve center. 

The three axes of pax americana intersect since sixty years around the Saoud kingdom as its nexus for  energy, reserve currency status and arms bazar supremacy. It all hinges around this golden commodity life line of west since sixty years. Its price now an exorbitant cost that has made risk asset bubble economics unsustainable as peak oil causes the whole system to go out of focus; financial imbalance, economic downturn and energy crunch all converge once again here. The hyperconsumer model, in its asymmetric cumulative debt mountain configuration, is incompatible with more expensive fossil or renewable energy fueled global economic growth; thus denying all other escape routes other than capital deflation for first world to achieve reset with emerging economies. 

As consequence, the oil nexus will slip from America's control as East will dominate west in economic terms, the world paradigm change will accelerate. We are seeing this tipping point change of which the 2008 crisis is the first evidence of 1970 initiated rebalance now accelerating vertinginously. The West has to review its whole strategy for this century and not continue in beggar thy neighbour mode as today; suicidal runaway momentum currently accelerating dangerously. It is a transitory phase that could be mortally dangerous if not remedied fast. The lessons of 1914- 1945 only too vivid as the example not to repeat. Clash of civilizations is verboten amongst men of reason. Will the Oil/trade surplus nations participate in rebalancing asymmetric global balance? If the west is reasonable and politically and economically responsible all remains possible. But this requires a massive change of US hegemony play, which is not reflected in current Oligarchy mindset.

Thu, 02/02/2012 - 18:30 | Link to Comment LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

"If the west is reasonable and politically and economically responsible "

LOL!  If the west was, they would have begun prosecuting the fucking fraud a long time ago.

Thu, 02/02/2012 - 19:04 | Link to Comment falak pema
falak pema's picture

all things come to an end, even Nero's Rome. Maybe we are in the middle of the river of change. Not necessarily something which will occur easily as Nero has a lot of life left in him. 

Thu, 02/02/2012 - 23:19 | Link to Comment CPL
CPL's picture

Nero also made rome swim in blood and the years after him aren't called the dark ages for nothing.

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 01:10 | Link to Comment earleflorida
earleflorida's picture

yes,... Nero, the Great Satanist, creator of "Bread and Circus", but, the dark ages were a great reset --- it brought the enlightenment and shortly after the renaissance --- unfortunately the only WMD's were the "Bubonic Plague" which wiped out much life - whereas today, well?

Quote:  Ralph Waldo Emerson,... the days, he said, "come and go like muffled and veiled figures, sent from a distant friendly party; but they say nothing, and if we do not use the gifts they bring, they carry them silently away"

just saying

Thu, 02/02/2012 - 18:23 | Link to Comment PORTA PORTA
PORTA PORTA's picture

I also have the Lisbon Treaty which is about to be RAPED... in 40 days ! no questions asked. Citizens will not be informed of any changes... we believe... in Rombui we trust.-

FUCK THEM ALL

http://www.scribd.com/doc/80290152/Consolidated-Versions-of-the-LISBON-T...

is ass rape a credit or a debit ?

 

PP

Thu, 02/02/2012 - 19:07 | Link to Comment NotApplicable
NotApplicable's picture

Both! It's a two-party affair. One man's liablity is another man's sore ass(et).

ba-dum tsshh

Thu, 02/02/2012 - 18:27 | Link to Comment falak pema
falak pema's picture

OT/ Have you seen the TG spiel on Financial rebalancing of Wall street? 


Secretary Geithner Just Gave The Complete 'Here's Where We Are And Where We Need To Be Speech' On Wall Street Reform Linette Lopez | 4 minutes ago


Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/secretary-geithner-just-gave-the-complete-heres-where-we-are-and-where-we-need-to-be-speech-on-wall-street-reform-2012-2#ixzz1lGYwKpQ4

Thu, 02/02/2012 - 18:28 | Link to Comment RobotTrader
RobotTrader's picture

Nobody gives a rat's ass about the Middle East.

 

We seem to be swimming in "excess supply" of energy at home, and more and more new cars sold are getting 30 - 40 mpg.

Any wonder why XRT and shopping mall REITs like SPG are still going into Outer Space?

I mean SPG's 3-year chart is breaking more records than Drew Brees or Tom Brady.

http://bigcharts.marketwatch.com/quickchart/quickchart.asp?symb=spg&inst...

 

Thu, 02/02/2012 - 18:32 | Link to Comment AC_Doctor
AC_Doctor's picture

http://www.profilebrand.com/graphics/category/insults/4703_douchebag.gif

RoboRoach doesn't need a car, his Schwinn does fine for his paper route and trips to the 7-11 for Gummie Bears and Fruit Loops.

Thu, 02/02/2012 - 18:28 | Link to Comment LawsofPhysics
LawsofPhysics's picture

A civil society remains civil as long as fraud is prosecuted.  No putting this genie back in the bottle.

Thu, 02/02/2012 - 18:34 | Link to Comment AC_Doctor
AC_Doctor's picture

10-4 no fucking way anything is going to stand in the way of a pissed of genie!  All you have to do is pillage some pocketbooks and your going to wake up the sleeping armed giant...

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 04:27 | Link to Comment Tyranny is Love
Tyranny is Love's picture

I wondered if anyone would pick up on that.

Thu, 02/02/2012 - 19:07 | Link to Comment djudy003
djudy003's picture

I disagree with the idea that events in the middle east were speradic or un planned. In fact, the plans for these changes were kicked into action when the first plane hit the first world trade tower.

Change is never easy. Human civilization has advanced from living in caves to tribes, villages, towns, cities, etc. At every one of these stages of transition there was struggle as the majority resisted and refused to accept the change while the smart ones realize that change is coming and acted in a way to benefit once everyone accepts it. Those who resisted change were simply the sheep to be sacraficed (Heros) to get to the next stage.

With the inevitable conclusion that we are heading for a global society. Today's and tomorrow's events will craft what the structure of that society will be like.

Thu, 02/02/2012 - 19:16 | Link to Comment john39
john39's picture

sorry, change in plans.  The NWO is going to hell, with all those who tried to foist it on the rest of us. 

Thu, 02/02/2012 - 19:33 | Link to Comment rsnoble
rsnoble's picture

I agree, I think it's gotten way messier however they continue to press forward. Because the pieces haven't had time to adhese it's all going to fly apart. No one is safe. But that's the risk they're willing to take. Our opinions don't matter, just them staying on the throne is all that does.

Thu, 02/02/2012 - 19:31 | Link to Comment rsnoble
rsnoble's picture

If full scale nuclear war breaks out there won't be a global society. If it doesn't and everything just goes to hell and the US, Russia and china loft only 1 or 2 nukes then maybe. Gona be interested. Webbot sure says were screwed.

Thu, 02/02/2012 - 19:51 | Link to Comment jusman
jusman's picture

Ah yes, agree completely.  But it will be messy getting there.  10th prophecy?

Thu, 02/02/2012 - 20:58 | Link to Comment BlackholeDivestment
Thu, 02/02/2012 - 19:27 | Link to Comment rsnoble
rsnoble's picture

I live in the US and im not worried because Ben said today that he will protect us from any of the problems in this area mentioned.  LMFAO.

You watch.............this entire manipulated sack of shit rally since the lows the theme has been "the stock market is the economy". When this enourmous POS implodes and starts crashing it's going to change to "Stocks are just overvalued in the current climate and need a breather to consolidate, at the moment stocks have no bearing on robust economic growth here in the US.  We'd also like to state that even though we said DOW almost 13k was a great buying opporunity, that anything lower is a firesale and stocks will most certainly revalue themselves accordingly as the business climate improves and are only temporarily not representing the true value of American business."  This will be about the time Ben runs behind the curtain and pushes the quadzillion zero button.

What the hell are money and stocks anyhow?  The dollar is backed by nothing, stocks are some binary horseshit locked away in some mega pc. If tshtf some electrical glitches could bring this entire world to a screaching halt.  Humans aren't nearly smart enough to handle this kind of power/technology.  Look where we were 200 years ago compared to now. That's not enough time to evolve out of stupid fuck.

Thu, 02/02/2012 - 19:35 | Link to Comment Nex
Nex's picture

Complete ignorance of history. Maybe that's the problem.

 

Thu, 02/02/2012 - 19:50 | Link to Comment Yardfarmer
Yardfarmer's picture

stale, and generally worthless academic drivel. here are a few sources that might elucidate this interminably tedious misdirection http://kushmonster.blogspot.com/2011/03/interview-with-libyan-rebel-comm...

Thu, 02/02/2012 - 19:59 | Link to Comment kill switch
Thu, 02/02/2012 - 20:21 | Link to Comment RiverRoad
RiverRoad's picture

And then there's that pesky beast slouching towards Bethlehem.

Thu, 02/02/2012 - 20:36 | Link to Comment nmewn
nmewn's picture

"In the Egyptian elections, the Islamists won 72% of the votes, with the Muslim Brotherhood receiving 47% and the Salafists 25%. Although the Brotherhood insists it is pluralist and tolerant, its highest-profile liberals who were so visible in its rise to power are now, according to numerous press reports, losing ground to hard-liners."

Ain't democracy swell?

Thu, 02/02/2012 - 21:04 | Link to Comment Dapper Dan
Dapper Dan's picture

It's all about the parallel.

Along the 33rd Parallel: A Global Mystery Circle

The number 33 enigmatically stretches as a latitude line across many diverse cultures in many different times. Known in numerology as the Master Teacher, 33 is the most influential of all numbers, indicating selfless devotion to the spiritual progress of humankind. The other two master numbers, 11 (vision) and 22 (vision with action) form the base of a two-dimensional pyramid, and added together equal 33 (guidance to the world), the apex of the pyramid. [1] On the reverse of the Masonically inspired Great Seal of the United States is the pyramid with the all-seeing eye of divine Reason at its apex. According to ritual Freemasonry, XXXIII is considered sacred because in most cases there is no higher degree or level to which a Mason may aspire.

A Brief History of 33

Entering the historical period, we find hovering near the 33rd parallel a number of provocative synchronicities. For instance, the first Supreme Council of the Ancient and Accepted Scottish Rite of Freemasonry, Southern Jurisdiction of the United States, was established in 1801 at Charleston, South Carolina. This charming antebellum port city and hub of southern culture is located less than 15 miles south of the 33rd parallel. Called the Solomon Lodge No. 1, the Masonic meeting place was known as the Mother Lodge of the world. [51]

Shortly before the end of World War II Franklin D. Roosevelt died suddenly of a cerebral hemorrhage at Warm Springs, Georgia, which is less than 10 miles south of 33 degrees latitude. (This town, incidentally, is located about 35 miles northeast of Phenix City, Alabama.) It is noteworthy (no pun intended) that in the mid-30s FDR, a 32nd degree Mason and 32nd President of the U.S., initiated the printing of the reverse side of the Great Seal (the pyramidal eye mentioned at the beginning of this essay) on the legal tender. Roosevelt was succeeded in April of 1945 by 33rd degree Mason Harry S. Truman. (The “S.” supposedly stood for Solomon.) On July 16th of the same year, the first atomic device --the Gadget, as it was called-- was detonated at Trinity Site, New Mexico: 33 degrees 41 minutes North latitude. Spanish explorers originally called this area La Jornada del Muerto, or “The Journey of the Dead,” but now the site is marked by a small stone obelisk erected twenty years or so after the explosion. [52] (Was this monument Masonically inspired?) [53] A few weeks after the explosion at Trinity Site the 33rd president of the United States ordered the annihilation of two Japanese cities by nuclear bombs dropped from B-29 bombers. The 33rd parallel runs exactly between Hiroshima and Nagasaki. Two years after the war ended, the modern “flying saucer” age began in earnest when something crashed near Roswell, New Mexico-- 33 degrees 26 minutes North latitude. http://www.redicecreations.com/specialreports/2006/10oct/33.html

The above is bullshit but intersting, what is really interesting is the Fertile Crescent region (in the 33rd parallel) as it is discussed in the book Guns Germs and Steel by Jared Diamond, W.W.Norton and Co.

 

 

 

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 09:16 | Link to Comment my puppy for prez
my puppy for prez's picture

It may be bullshit to us, but it is VERY important to them!

History is replete with numeric "signatures", such as 9/11.

Thu, 02/02/2012 - 21:07 | Link to Comment Darkness
Darkness's picture

Can we get a Zerohedge podcast already?? I want to hear Tyler preach on my Ipod.

Thu, 02/02/2012 - 21:45 | Link to Comment newengland
newengland's picture

There was only one cradle of civilisation in the 20th Century: the United States of America.

Only American soldiers refused to hand over their Jewish peers to the Nazis.

Only America offered more to blacks, Asians, Arabs...people of every colour, creed and religion.

My family were immigrants to the native Americans land in 1620.

We are grateful, celebrate Thanksgiving; we are unworthy of the generosity bestowed by our American Indian saviours.

It is sick that those who benefit from American ideals now try to excuse their profligacy and political sham by foisting their debts on all, and show no gratitude for the ideals that profited them. The 'baby boomers' forget  noblesse oblige:

The Constitution, and Declaration of Independence.

Defend that or die on your knees.

Thu, 02/02/2012 - 23:20 | Link to Comment Bringin It
Bringin It's picture

Kid, I as a Boomer, I pretty much agree with you except for the Heglian reference to 'baby boomers'.  Don't play that game.   Don't dissipate richteous anger in that waste of time.

You could instead see that 'boomers' were out on the streets throughout the 60's.  [Threatened with the Draft.]  Next someone will tell you that the GreatestGeneration were just useful tools that followed every mandate and allowed all attacks on liberty and the Constitution.

...

Oh, noblesse oblige:?  I'm searching for the pattern to see how that fits in, but I'm not seeing it, the noblesse oblige reference, just FYI.

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 00:33 | Link to Comment toomanyfakecons...
toomanyfakeconservatives's picture

I agree with the first sentence, but that's about it.

Only America was lied into WWI and WWII, and now bombs anyone for any reason.

Only America had a civil war that cost 600,000 lives and caused over 100 years of racial strife and animosity.

Only America genocided millions of indians while waving the flag.

Thanksgiving? A fake holiday created by our first dictatorial President in 1863 to boost lagging morale in the Union army.

You get the idea.

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 03:28 | Link to Comment newengland
newengland's picture

t...

Only America gave the world a place for people of all colours, creeds and religion to congregate in relative peace and prosperity, free from the dogma and hatred in their native lands.

That is Thanksgiving, as true today as ever if you make it so. Walk with me. We go to a better place by our own efforts.

The Constituion and Declaration of Indpendence is good for all. You know it is. Ignore the cynics.

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 08:07 | Link to Comment tim73
tim73's picture

Only to be replaced by income differences. It does not matter whether you are black, white, latino as long as you are in the same income bracket in this closed gate community. USA is now rigid class society, very similar to 17th century Europe.

Thu, 02/02/2012 - 21:46 | Link to Comment kevinearick
kevinearick's picture

Virtual Space Time:   General

Open mind, open system, life. Closed mind, closed system, death. Aggregate.

If you are waiting for any public, private, or non-profit corporation to give you fusion, you are waiting for something that is never, ever going to happen; they exist in a closed loop, by design, which may only exist as ponzi reproduction over scarce, attenuating resources, to the end of geographic saturation. We are here; there is nowhere left to hide the losses in this dimension. The algebraic reduction of nature will do the rest.

If you do not take the conformers to space, in ponzi numbers, it’s going to get very, very ugly, and their authorities know it. That much math they know, because they have die-off precedents unwritten in their History. If you are expecting them to change their inbred behavior in real time, however, and negotiate in good faith, you are waiting for something that is never, ever going to happen.

The authorities would rather burn down their own empire than relinquish control, which is exactly what they are doing. They must, because an empire is a breeder reactor, designed to expend any and all resources required to kill anything it cannot control. What does that sound like in physics?

The nucleus accedes to the inevitable, and only to the inevitable. Time/speed/backlash depends upon how long you allow it to assume it may exist as a closed system with ponzi growth. The empire takes a byte out of the back end of the distribution and projects it as “reality” TV. Effective parents take an implicit byte from the front end and present to progeny as starting material. Middle class agency acts as a relay insulator. Time is a perception; life is what you make of it.

Fusion and fission are going on all around you, at any scale you care to examine, but you must remove the communication blinders, the anxiety limit switches, to see it. Not only does the empire naturally fear open source, but fusion applications also present a direct threat to the empire. You can replace the entire empire, and all of its participants, with a fusion machine. Human critters, bred to believe they are somehow a commanding species, do not want to hear that, even though it would free them from prisoners dilemma. You can lead a horse to water…

If you pick transportation up off the ground with distributed energy, you create another dimension, bridge, with relatively infinite opportunities, but what happens to the existing proprietary model? Why would anyone not expect a mindless product like Facebook to go viral under current circumstances, or its games not to result in the domestic “China/Japan/whatever” development model and associated finance system? What, you thought a melting pot wouldn’t behave homogeneously over time? Ever observe nature or Europe?

I like the Rubio comment about America becoming a nation just like the one its ancestors fled. An inelastic legal system only has one outcome. It’s insane by design. You have a bomb and a fuse. What characteristics do you want in each? Did you really think the German Trust accidently designed the periphery to collapse, or that Greece would not have a black/white swan economy ready to go? It’s all noise, the same noise, repeating.

So, you want to design the explicit circuits in your multiplexer to allow a change of course upon backlash coming out of virtual memory. Now, about that kid playing the matching game…It’s like the skating rink phenomenon. Programming intelligence is all about implicit circuitry. What are explicit dc conditionals?

Sometimes, the carnival barker running the shell game loses the pea all together…That would be the Fed.

Thu, 02/02/2012 - 22:21 | Link to Comment SDRII
SDRII's picture

The premise of this article is misguided, ill informed and suitable for the Telegraph. Perhaps Don should spend a little more time combing through the AFRICOM sponsored liberation movements before he gets all choked up about the plight of democracy protestors - some of which now sit curled up in the American Embassy in Cairo for their valorous NGO work (this excludes the dual citizen released back to Israel in a prisoner exchange).  Unless I missed something Egypt is still ruled by the military junta. As for the presidential election, rumor has it El Baradei backed out to secure the western backed former head of the Arab League and Mubarak FM for years. http://www.washingtonpost.com/world/middle_east/moussa-bids-for-presidency-in-a-new-egypt/2011/12/11/gIQAQg74yO_story.html

Yes that is the same Arab League that is working with the NATO/GCC/Sunni axis to expel Syria’s Assad for the twofold goal of rolling back Iran and securing a western backed government that will treat the Golan/water/offshore fields cooperatively.

Don is also obviously unfamiliar with the gun battles raging in Tripoli and the US majors moving in on Kurdistan E&P contracts not to mention the US/Saudi backed insurgents liberators in Syria. Then there is the Boko Haram.

As for: "The key reason Italy broke its long, lucrative Libyan relationship, and enthusiastically supported the NATO attacks was the flood of Libyan refugees pouring into Italy" he is just simply mis-remembering the progression of events. Check your timeline Don and those calls by the Italian FM to an immediate halt to bombing. Also note the timing of the US reserve release and the fervent takedown on Berlusconi, especially the pink paper expose on his close relationship with Putin (and of course there is Sud Streamt o think about and the close ENI relationship). http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/8d9c19f0-f0c6-11e0-aec8-00144feab49a.html

After you are done there, check the BBC documentary about the valor of the SAS and SBS on the shores of Tripoli and the rush for contracts.

Of course the article concludes "Beleaguered governments frequently resort to distracting their citizenry by blaming foreign enemies. Israel has been blamed for nearly all Mideast problems for decades—by Arab propagandists and by the global Left."  The money shot. One wonders if the Israeli editorial pages screamed the same thing after the South Central Tehran drive by?  Perhaps the editorialists were too busy with the massive street protests over the rising cost of living and affordability. Little wonder Bernanke mentor presides over the central Central Bank. The irony of such a comment in the context of the unfolding Israeli media assault on the existential Iranian threat is well Ironic. Makes you wonder: http://www.haaretz.com/print-edition/news/new-idf-unit-to-fight-enemies-...

This article is so filled with inaccuracies and amateurish analysis it is little wonder he was a celebrated strategist. IS that you Stratfor or is this really just this bad. Run don't walk.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 01:07 | Link to Comment JOYFUL
JOYFUL's picture

+1

Don is also obviously unfamiliar with the gun battles raging in Tripoli and the US majors moving in on Kurdistan E&P contracts not to mention the US/Saudi backed insurgents liberators in Syria.

Don is familiar with who butters his bread...that's enough to set the tone.

Bullshit article: "Israel has been blamed for nearly all Mideast problems for decades—by Arab propagandists and by the global Left." zzzzzzzzzzzzzzz

Thu, 02/02/2012 - 23:29 | Link to Comment flyonmywall
flyonmywall's picture

Control is an illusion. The more in control people think they are, the more likely they will lose that control, violently and unexpectedly.

Expect chaos out of the supposed order. War will soon follow. It is the way of the world.

Sleep lightly, and be ready for anything.

 

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 03:30 | Link to Comment New World Chaos
New World Chaos's picture

Amen.  Global system reset within a year.  Massive disclosure of conspiracies after the reset.  The more they crack down, the more institutions will burn, and the more freedom we will have afterwards.  Satan has already sown the seeds of his own destruction.  Only question is, how many people will die for his control-freak bullshit illusions?

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 01:21 | Link to Comment earleflorida
earleflorida's picture

are there any "Caver's" on this board?

thanks

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 03:25 | Link to Comment AnAnonymous
AnAnonymous's picture

Written when?

The pro Gaddafi supporters? This guy is dead.

Really cheap propaganda.

They are pro themselves now.

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 09:20 | Link to Comment my puppy for prez
my puppy for prez's picture

This author obviously doesn't know that the "Arab Spring" had been carefully planned and orchestrated by Wester NGO's and even our State Dept.  It is not hard to prove....ample evidence out there.  

It's an embarrassing error for the author, to say the least.

Fri, 02/03/2012 - 09:29 | Link to Comment BlackVoid
BlackVoid's picture

The underlying real problems reamined untouched.

The global recession today is because we have reached the limits to growth.

And Egypt has 40m2 of productive land per capita.

Not solveable by any kind of stability or revolution.

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