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Whatever You Do, Don't Look At The UniCredit Long Bond

Tyler Durden's picture




 

...or else you will figure out not only that there is such a thing as sovereign crisis spillover into financials, but why UniCredit was once again the most active name on Sigma X yesterday, and why earlier today it is rumored that the bank is scrambling for emergency ECB assistance. But such is life when your equity is €14.5 billion and your total holdings of Italian bonds ar... €40 billion! If we were betting people, we would probably out a dollar down that UCG is the next Dexia.

UniCredit 4.75% of 2027 Price:

and Yield:

 

Oh, and guess who again is on top of Sigma X...

 

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Wed, 11/16/2011 - 13:54 | 1883316 GeneMarchbanks
GeneMarchbanks's picture

The horror... the horror

Lloyds, RBS, Barclays, HSBC are up there. BMW also, who knew...

Wed, 11/16/2011 - 14:02 | 1883369 I Told You Secu...
I Told You Securities's picture

bmw? crazy or what?

Wed, 11/16/2011 - 14:08 | 1883391 redpill
redpill's picture

Nurse!  Code blue code blue!

Wed, 11/16/2011 - 14:12 | 1883404 Hard1
Hard1's picture

Still Unicredit is 3-4 notches above investment grade by the big three liars...er ....sorry rating firms.

Wed, 11/16/2011 - 14:20 | 1883439 ltsgt1
ltsgt1's picture

What is crazy is that the market is down by only 50 points.

Wed, 11/16/2011 - 13:51 | 1883319 rambler6421
rambler6421's picture

EndGame Bitchez!

 

libertarian86.blogspot.com

Wed, 11/16/2011 - 13:58 | 1883357 Waffen
Waffen's picture

No, the EndGame is when they round up the free thinkers and execute us all.

Wed, 11/16/2011 - 14:00 | 1883329 kengland
kengland's picture

End game with snp off 4? I haven't a clue as to what is happening over the last two weeks and why the massive divergence, but the market is doing unbelievable under the circumstances.

Also...

The theory of repatriating Euro's makes no sense. That would have to mean the market would fall as the EUR bids higher. So far the, the EUR moves higher and the market moves higher.

Wed, 11/16/2011 - 14:00 | 1883360 Comay Mierda
Comay Mierda's picture

back up the truck and start loading up on vix, faz, etc

Wed, 11/16/2011 - 14:14 | 1883410 msorense
msorense's picture

Dexia failed back in early October - market went higher by 200 S&P points.  Unicredit fails maybe early December - we make new highs?

Wed, 11/16/2011 - 14:19 | 1883421 Comay Mierda
Comay Mierda's picture

technical outlook looked a lot different then +
algos dont trade on fundamentals. if they did spx would be half of what it is now

Wed, 11/16/2011 - 14:29 | 1883463 kengland
kengland's picture

COLLAPSE! SNP about to turn green, If this is what end game feels like, christ, bring it on. Take a break TD. All of the information posted for a while now has been useless.

Wed, 11/16/2011 - 16:09 | 1883973 dcb
dcb's picture

someone besides myself that gets it. you gotta think like an algo to trade in this market and I keep saying it over and over again.

Wed, 11/16/2011 - 14:28 | 1883460 ltsgt1
ltsgt1's picture

I backed up the truck and loaded up on FAZ 3 weeks ago and got burned. I held it for almost 4 days waiting for the market to react to the scam summit. I am still amazed that the market has pretty much ignore what is transpiring in Europe.

I made back half of my lost trading in and out of FAZ, only holding it over night on few occasions. I think it's still too early to load up the truck and wait.

Wed, 11/16/2011 - 15:06 | 1883506 Comay Mierda
Comay Mierda's picture

unfortunately the big banks' stocks were forming bullish patterns at that time.  I also thought that given such weak fundamentals it was unlikely that they would break out to the high side and that the technicals would be wrong just that time.  but since then ive been reminded that in this wolf market NEVER trade on fundamentals only

Wed, 11/16/2011 - 14:07 | 1883385 marcusfenix
marcusfenix's picture

the central planners from the ministry of finical truth hath decreed that no market collapse shall occur on any day...

that ends with a y

Wed, 11/16/2011 - 13:53 | 1883332 slaughterer
slaughterer's picture

No problemo, one of the Mario's will bail out UniCredit.  

Wed, 11/16/2011 - 13:53 | 1883334 astartes09
astartes09's picture

Ruh roh

Wed, 11/16/2011 - 13:54 | 1883336 AngryGerman
AngryGerman's picture

1st graph: percentage of day bunga is sober

2nd graph: money bunga spends on underage hookers per day

Wed, 11/16/2011 - 13:55 | 1883341 HD
HD's picture

Stop telling me not to look at stuff...'cause then I gotta go and look at that stuff.

Wed, 11/16/2011 - 13:57 | 1883342 Captain Benny
Captain Benny's picture

Just waiting for the EUR to break down to back up what we're seeing... with it, the SPX finally collapses a good hundred pts.

Wed, 11/16/2011 - 13:56 | 1883343 slaughterer
slaughterer's picture

I wonder if there will ever come a time, maybe even in the next few years, when Italy suddenly realizes that, despite his numerous faults, they were better off with Bunga Bunga. 

Wed, 11/16/2011 - 13:57 | 1883350 Another Texan
Another Texan's picture

Popular like a fat chick in high school.

Wed, 11/16/2011 - 14:02 | 1883371 Stuppy
Stuppy's picture

But when they get to college fat chicks are very popular, especially after bar close

Wed, 11/16/2011 - 13:57 | 1883351 Mark123
Mark123's picture

Off topic, but just had to share this little gem re Gingrich and the rot of our system:

 

Gingrich’s first contract with the mortgage lender was in 1999, five months after he resigned from Congress and as House speaker, according to a Freddie Mac press release.

His primary contact inside the organization was Mitchell Delk, Freddie Mac’s chief lobbyist, and he was paid a self- renewing, monthly retainer of $25,000 to $30,000 between May 1999 until 2002, according to three people familiar with aspects of the business agreement.

During that period, Gingrich consulted with Freddie Mac executives on a program to expand home ownership, an idea Delk said he pitched to President George W. Bush’s White House.

 

“I spent about three hours with him talking about the substance of the issues and the politics of the issues, and he really got it,” said Delk, adding that the two discussed “what the benefits are to communities, what the benefits could be for Republicans and particularly their relationship with Hispanics.”

 

So there you have it...bring in poor Mexicans and then bribe them with sub-prime loans and they will vote for you so you can stay in power and keep feeding from the public trough.  That is treason in my book.

 

Wed, 11/16/2011 - 14:51 | 1883592 haskelslocal
haskelslocal's picture

What if your last paragraph said that the reson to bring in alien residents is to create greater market potential that inevitably increases GDP such that profits are maximized which enhances all U.S. based capital ventures. These guys are trying to find systems that grow opportunities first and second, piggyback on top of those systems for self enrichment. Exporation and globalization of multiple U.S. industries allows a vaccuum to exist. The shrinkage of the babyboomer generation lessens the headcount for future productivity. Because fewer opportunites and a shrinking population are positively coorelated, it creates an opportunity to control money flow by both inventing synthetic financial products and managing incomming alien head count to artificially inflate U.S. based GDP, making up for the loss of real productivity and a smaller, less productive population. 

Wed, 11/16/2011 - 14:00 | 1883359 defn8Dog
defn8Dog's picture

Geez, good thing you can't short the equity!

Wed, 11/16/2011 - 14:01 | 1883365 Mark123
Mark123's picture

First mate "Captain, we have hit an iceberg and are going to sink"

Captain "Not to worry son, my banker has created a synthetic derivative to offset just this sort of thing"

First mate "So that's why you sold the lifeboats?"

Captain "Yep, that was some party we had before we left heh?"

Wed, 11/16/2011 - 14:14 | 1883408 BarracudaBourse
BarracudaBourse's picture

anybody has an idea what the implied default probality is ? 

Wed, 11/16/2011 - 14:22 | 1883444 Comay Mierda
Comay Mierda's picture

100%

Wed, 11/16/2011 - 14:20 | 1883436 The trend is yo...
The trend is your friend's picture

can someone explain sigma X please

Wed, 11/16/2011 - 14:35 | 1883496 haskelslocal
haskelslocal's picture

Pool of "dark" trading activity not visible to market participants and executed outside of view. SigmaX is a Goldman Sachs product that routes orders such that they can be executed within these dark pools which allows customers to greater liquidity; ie. more buyers and sellers offering better prices.

Wed, 11/16/2011 - 15:37 | 1883800 The trend is yo...
The trend is your friend's picture

thx

Wed, 11/16/2011 - 14:33 | 1883474 slewie the pi-rat
slewie the pi-rat's picture

no, it's not getting stock-whacked like yesterday on the sigma chi lawn!

maybe they got the liquidity back-up, but yes, we do have oil-producing gold waiting in the wings for the long-term solution...

...just like dexia...

...just like all the other over-indebted entities, too...

when the prices and the "markets" get real, the problems will really be addressed:  with real money

enjoy the matinee!

Wed, 11/16/2011 - 18:26 | 1884835 sockcutter moto...
sockcutter motorforker's picture

i guess it is safe to assume that all the banks on goldman's dark pool will crash and burn

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