A well-known bond expert just blasted the following summary of today's "market positive" and supposedly just completed ECB bond swap.
DOW JONES REPORTS THE ECB GREEK BOND SWAP IS NOW DONE. THIS MEANS THAT EACH AND EVERY EUROPEAN BOND THAT YOU OWN IS NOW SUBORDINATED TO THE ECB AND THE EUROPEAN UNION. IF THEY CAN SWAP THEIR BONDS FOR NEW BONDS WITH DIFFERENT TERMS, NO CAC CLAUSE IN THIS CASE, THEN THEY CAN SWAP THEIR BONDS FOR ANY TERMS AND CONDITIONS THEY LIKE WHILE THE BONDS OF PRIVATE HOLDERS ARE HELD TO THE ORIGINAL INDENTURE. THE EQUITY MARKETS MAY RALLY ON THIS NEWS BECAUSE THEY ARE FOCUSED ON A DEAL GETTING DONE BUT ANYONE IN FIXED INCOME SHOULD NOW CONSIDER RETCHING UNDER THEIR DESKS AS WE ALL JUST TOOK ONE OF THE BIGGEST SCREWINGS OF OUR LIVES THAT MAY WELL NOT BE A SINGULAR EVENT.
Precisely what we said yesterday (here [6]and here [7]) and again today [8].
And remember this from yesterday?
- "[it will take] algos take the required 12-48 hours to figure out what just happened today"
18 hours sounds about right...
courtesy of Peter Tchir