Italy's FTSEMIB is up 5% this week, Spain's IBEX +3%, Portuguese government bond spreads are 82bps lower, and EURUSD is 1.25% higher this week - all biggest bull moves in 6 weeks. It would appear that all is well and Europe is saved - who knew? Credit markets are running tighter in a hurry with subordinated financials and XOver leading the way (as uber-high-beta bets are on) and all European financial and corporate credit indices at post-roll tights (lowest risk in 3 weeks). FYI - European bank senior and subordinated credit risk is now at its lowest in a year - and almost 40% lower than its post-LTRO (remember the encumbrance and deposit outflows) highs. EURUSD is close to multi-year highs relative to swap-spreads - but Europe is fixed so that's ok (especially with Merkel popping over to Athens?). One last thing - the majority of all this strength occurred today.
EURUSD is 1.5 sigma rich to swap-spread fair-value as it soars this week...
European stocks surge on the week - though most was today (post-Merkel news)...
and European sovereign bond spreads plunged also...
and just for good measure - Europe's VIX is tracking closely its realized vol...
Charts: Bloomberg




