Precious metals (gold in particular) continue to push higher and along with copper (to the downside) hold 'center-stage' among world commodity markets. As Citi's FX Technicals group notes gold has traded above very strong resistance on the $1,350 to $1,362 range suggestng a test up to $1,434 and the next level at the 200-week moving average at $1,493. Gold is also getting close to the "golden cross" where the 50DMA will cross above the 200DMA. Such a move, if seen, would strongly suggest that the corrective low is in (at $1,182) and that a re-test of the all-time highs at $1,921 and beyond is highly likely.
Via Citi's FX Technicals group,
Gold weekly chart: Is this the breakout week?
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Gold has traded above very good resistance in the $1,350 to $1,362 range
– $1,350: 55 week moving average
– $1,353: Top of channel from the 2012 peak
– $1,362: Peak of bounce seen in October 2013.
A weekly close above this range would open up the way for a test of the pivotal double bottom neckline at $1,434. A weekly close above this latter level would complete the double bottom and suggest extended gains towards $1,680-1,685. Such a move would take us back above both the 200 week moving average at $1,493 and the horizontal resistance (previously support) from 2011-2012 at $1,523-1,527.
Such a move, if seen, would strongly suggest that the corrective low is in (At $1,182) and that a re-test of the all-time highs at $1,921 and beyond is highly likely.
Silver is so far lagging the Gold move
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Surprisingly Silver has, to date, been lagging Gold in this last move higher. Good resistance stands overhead and needs to be broken to signal the next leg higher:
– $21.94: Downward sloping trend line.
– $22.16: 55 week moving average.
A weekly close above this range would open up the way for a test of the double bottom neckline at $25.10.
A weekly close above that latter level would open up the way for gains towards $31+.
Interim resistance is met at:
– $26.08-26.40: Major horizontal supports (Now resistance) in 2011/2012 that gave way in April 2013.
– $28.27: 200 week moving average