Just out from the sales and trading office at the central-banker incubator at 200 West:
Bottom line: our early flow has been entirely one way: risk-off. Starting to get more much quiet now but have seen zero attempts to buy the dip or fade this move. Quick observations:
- Flow has been nothing but risk off to start - buyer of S&P downside, VIX upside, large selling in financials (mostly long sales) and better for sale in futures. All the options flow is very short-dated.
- If anything, the Street's gamma positioning should exacerbate the risk-off. We think dealers are short S&P strikes below 2050 and short VIX strikes above 20.
- SPX broke the 200-day DMA...currently 7 handles below it.
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So... buy now?
