Following its disapppointing tumble in July (having missed expectations for 6 of the last 7 months), August ADP printed another miss at 190k against expectations of a 200k rise with last month revised lower. As the energy sectyoir continues to bleed jobs at a rate of 10k per month, ADP's Zandi notes that manufacturing jobs growth is all auto-related (which is extremely worryinmg given the size of inventories). Job groiwth was largely driven by small businesses (85k) as opposed to large business (40k) with Service-producing goods drastically outpacing manufacturing job growth (173k to 17k). Perhaps most notably, ADP jobs data has dropped YoY for the last months
Not exactly escape velocity...
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But the year over year data is ugly...
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Total Employment
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Historical Trend
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Change By Selected Industry
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The full breakdown:
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The breakdown by job type:
- Goods-producing employment rose by 17,000 jobs in August, more than double the 7,000 gained in July. The construction industry added 17,000 jobs in August, up from 15,000 last month. Meanwhile, manufacturing added 7,000 jobs in August, after gaining only 1,000 in July.
- Service-providing employment rose by 173,000 jobs in August, up slightly from 170,000 in July. The ADP National Employment Report indicates that professional/business services contributed 29,000 jobs in August, up 3,000 from July. Trade/transportation/utilities grew by 28,000, down from 34,000 the previous month. The 13,000 new jobs added in financial activities was a gain from last month’s 10,000.
Mark Zandi, chief economist of Moody’s Analytics, said,
“Recent global financial market turmoil has not slowed the U.S. job market, at least not yet. Job growth remains strong and broad-based, except in the energy industry, which continues to shed jobs. Large companies also remain more cautious in their hiring than smaller ones.”
http://www.adpemploymentreport.com/2015/August/NER/images/infographic/ma... [6]" width="598" />Charts: Bloomberg
