Away from the endless chattering of talking heads proclaiming that "they do not see any recession on the horizon" despite the manufacturing segment of the economy collapsing, JPMorgan notes that in fact the three best leading indicators for recession are: Credit spreads, yield curve shape, and profit margins. Unfortunately for The Fed and its congregation, JPM warns credit spreads are not giving a positive signal.
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Finally, JPMorgan confirms what we have long detailed here, credit typically leads stocks.
Certainly feels that way again...
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