JPM Head Quant Explains How The Algos Traded The Brexit Crash, And Why He Sees "Elevated Risk"

"As gamma exposure turned significantly short on Monday 6/27, it also contributed to a larger squeeze up on Tuesday and Wednesday (please note, these were even more prominent on 8/26 and 8/27 than this week)... We maintain the view that we have not yet seen the highs of VIX due to Brexit and  related risks. The points discussed above suggest equity markets face elevated risk in the days and weeks ahead."

Bad Earnings, Balance Sheet Rot, & The "Brelief" Rally

Despite mainstream economists hopes that somehow “this time will be different,” the ongoing massaging of economic data through seasonal adjustments to obtain better headlines did not translate into actual prosperity.  Of course, “reality” is a cruel mistress and despite ongoing hopes and overstatements, “fantasy” eventually gives way.

Tesla Tumbles After Fatal "Auto Pilot" Car Crash

"We learned yesterday evening that NHTSA is opening a preliminary evaluation into the performance of Autopilot during a recent fatal crash that occurred in a Model S. This is the first known fatality in just over 130 million miles where Autopilot was activated"

The TARGET2 Chart Shows A Breakdown Of The Central Bank Narrative

Despite the alphabet soup of bail-out facilities provided by the ECB, people still do not trust the system. In our view, the TARGET2 chart is the best way to assess trust in central banks and as it clearly shows, the narrative is failing. It seems impossible for Draghi to reestablish monetary confidence.

14 Signs The World Is On The Verge Of Generational Chaos

It is one of the great ironies of life that each generation believes its experiences are unique. The reality is that we have seen this movie before - with different actors, plot twists, and technological advancements. The basic plot seems to push along a hauntingly familiar path.

Peso Soars To Pre-Brexit Levels As Mexico Raises Rates More Than Expedcted

A day after the most awkward three-way handshake in history between Obama, Trudeau, and Nieto, the latter's central bank just pushed rates higher by a bigger than expected 50bps to 4.25% (exp +25bps). The Peso is surging back (extending its bounce off January lows) retracing all the post-Brexit losses... on what seems like fears of a surge in food inflation.

Oil Bulls Beware: Crude Demand Is About To Slide As China's SPR Is "Close To Capacity"

China has taken the opportunity of lower oil prices since early-2015 to accelerate the strategic petroleum reserve (SPR) builds at c.1mbd, pushing the total oil in stock under SPR to an estimated 400mmbbl, or 53 days of net crude oil import equivalent. This volume might be close to the capacity limit and together with potential teapot utilization pullback and slower-than-expected demand from China could increase near-term risks to global oil prices (c.1.2mbd impact).

S&P Downgrades European Union From AA+ To AA - Full Text

On June 30, 2016, S&P Global Ratings lowered its long-term issuer credit rating on supranational institution, the European Union (EU), to 'AA' from  'AA+'. The 'A-1+' short-term rating was affirmed. The outlook is stable.

What Is Driving Today's Market Surge: JPM Explains

The simple - and only - answer, is of course central banks. But for those who need a more "nuanced" answer to present to their portfolio managers who are watching this market move in stunned silence, here is JPM's Adam Crisafulli with the full breakdown of today's latest 1% move higher.