Here Is OPEC Production Cut Table, And It Has An "Error"

Shortly after the conclusion of today's Vienna meeting, OPEC released the following table which lays out the breakdown of what the current reference production level is by nation, as well as the proposed adjustment to get to a 1.2 million barrel per day reduction, as well as the "pro forma" production number that will be effective on January 2017.

Nancy Pelosi Retains House Minority Leadership Position

After a long-fought battle between Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) and Tim Ryan (D-OH) for leader of the House minority party, as expected, Pelosi has emerged the victor.  Seems the Democrats learned very little from the 2016 Presidential election cycle.

Oil Soars 9% As OPEC Deal Details Emerge

As the details of the OPEC 'deal' emerge during the press conference, WTI Crude prices have just burst through $49 stops (from 11/22 highs) and are up 9% on the day.

FX Markets Are Turmoiling

The US Dollar index is soaring, up most in a week as OPEC events and the London Fix ripple through FX markets. Yen, Euro, and Aussie Dollar are all plunging...

Wall Street Reacts To Steve Mnuchin Choice For Treasury Secretary

Following the news that Steve Mnuchin would be US Trasury Secretary, Wall Street analysts offered mixed predictions on which policies Donald Trump’s choice for Treasury secretary may pursue, as they have little to go on other than Mnuchin’s background with Goldman, buying/selling the former Indy Mac.

Goldman Raises S&P Target To 2,400 On "Trump Hope"

"Hope" will dominate through 1Q 2017 as S&P 500 climbs by 9% to 2400 according to a just released revised forecast by Goldman Sachs. The firm adds that "instead of our baseline adjusted EPS growth of 5% to $123, growth could accelerate to 11% and reach $130, which would support a P/E multiple above 18x." However, Goldman warns that "Fear" is likely to pervade during 2H and S&P 500 will end 2017 at 2300, roughly 5% above the current level.

Atlanta Fed Slashes Q4 GDP Estimate From 3.6% To 2.4%

When we looked at the latest disappointing spending data this morning, we warned that GDP would likely be weakned, however we had no idea by just how much. The answer was revealed moments ago courtesy of the Atlanta Fed, which updated its GDPNow model and said that its forecast for real GDP growth in the fourth quarter of 2016 is 2.4 percent on November 30, down from 3.6 percent on November 23.

Pending Home Sales Stall Even Before Mortgage Rates Spiked

Pending Home Sales rose just 0.2% YoY in October, among the weakest of the year. This is made more troublesome since these sales occurred before the election, before the mortgage rate exploded higher and before mortgage applications collapsed...

US Savings Rate Surged Pre-Election As Spending Slowed, Weakens Q3 GDP

After an upwardly revised September surge, US personal spending growth slowed to just 0.3% in October and with incomes rising more than expected (+0.6% vs +0.4% exp), it appears Americans were careful heading into the election as the savings rate surged from 5.7% to 6.0%. However, the weaker than expected growth in spending will likely knock Q3 GDP revisions lower.

ADP Employment Report Jumps Most In 5 Months After Trump Win

Following October's disappointment (+147k), November's ADP employment printed a much better than expected 216k (over 170k exp), thanks to a notable downward revision to October to 119k. Goods-producing jobs dropped once again (-11k) with a renewed surge in services employment (+228k). While this November post-Trump spike is noteworthy (highest in 5 months), there continues to be a medium-term trend of weakening job growth in America.