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Ken Rogoff's Shockingly Simple Advice To Emerging Markets: Hoard Gold

For some time, the rich countries have argued that it is in everyone’s collective interest to demonetize gold. But there is a good case to be made that a shift in emerging markets toward accumulating gold would help the international financial system function more smoothly and benefit everyone.


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When A Nation Is Doomed - A Definition...

Cynics, skeptics, and fiction-peddlers are frowned upon by the Obama administration (and the mainstream media) when it comes to our glorious leader's economic miracle. So we thought a simple litmus test might be useful to judge just how 'doomed' the nation really is...


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"We Expect A Sizeable Sell-Off" - One Hedge Fund's Four Mega-Bearish Trades

From our friends at Fasanara Capital we get their latest contrarian - and very bearish - Investment Outlook, which can be summarized as follows: "Reflation Phase To Be Temporary, More Downside Ahead", and which also contains four key conviction trade ideas over the next 12 months. "The narrative of reflation is today dominant and can continue to propel markets for a while longer. But as we know the narrative changes fast, and when it does we can expect a quick re-pricing. As we re-assess the validity of the underlying risks, we expect a shift in narrative in the few months ahead and a sizeable sell-off."


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"The TTIP Is Doomed" - France Threatens To Reject Obama's Huge Transatlantic Trade Deal

Following this weekend's leak by Greenpeace demonstrating not only that the TTIP is driven entirely by narrow corporate interests, but that Obama is openly willing to reneg on his pro-environment agenda just to pass the Transatlantic Treaty at any cost, the blowback arrived earlier today when France became the first major European nation which threatened to reject the huge free trade deal between the U.S. and the European Union, because according to AP "it's too friendly to U.S. business and probably doomed."


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Meanwhile, Traders Are Getting Angrier With Every Passing Day

"We’re condemned to serial bouts of severe volatility having been trained to dismiss real and knowable risks as just improbable black swans....  Central banks can’t keep giving markets everything they want, or the volatility in the end will be catastrophic"


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A Surprise From JPM: "Pundits Are Urging Investors To Chase Performance; We Believe This Would Be A Mistake"

"Equities had a meaningful rebound from the February lows, and we now find many who didn’t want to add at the time, are looking to enter the market at these levels. Indeed, pundits are urging investors to “chase performance”. We believe that this would be a mistake; complacency has crept into the market again, technicals appear overbought and the upturn in activity appears to be stalling."


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U.S. Gasoline Prices Hit 6 Month High, Keep Rising

The average price of gas in the United States is now at $2.22, up 8 cents over last week, hitting a 6-month high. This, in stark contrast to February’s ultra-low gas prices of $1.68 per gallon - a level that had not been since the end of 2008. The 30% surge off the lows is the largest seasonal spike since 2007...


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Treasury Yields Tumble Most In 3 Months Despite Fed's Williams Warning

Having pushed higher yesterday, it appears 'investors' have had a sudden change of heart and are panic-buying bonds today, despite Fed's Williams warning that: WILLIAMS SAYS U.S. TREASURIES ARE PRICED EXTRAORDINARILY HIGH. Treasury yields are down 5bps (2Y) to 9bps (10Y) with non-stop buying since Europe opened. 30Y yield's 7.5bps drop is the biggest since Feb 18th, pushing the yield back to its 20-day moving average.


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Three Years After Going Public, Fairway Files Chapter 11

Back in April 2013, during the height of the IPO scramble, the NYT gushed about Fairway's just concluded IPO: "Until recently, Fairway was not much more than a popular market on Manhattan’s Upper West Side, where residents went for goods like smoked salmon, medjool dates and cheeses. Today, it is a fast-growing 12-store grocery chain with ambitions of opening 300 outlets across the country." Just over three years later, the once successful IPO is now a distant memory and soon enough, so will the company behind it because overnight Fairway Group Holdings filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection,


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WTI Crude Crumbles To $43 Handle As Demand Fears Grow

Remember when the low oil price was an "over-supply" issue and nothing at all to do with the other side of the same coin - dwindling demand? Well it appears that reality is dawning that a record glut combined with tumbling global growth (confirmed by weakness in China PMI, US PMI, and now EU growth expectations) is sending crude prices lower, back to a $43 handle for the June contract...


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What Goes Up (Slowly On No Volume) Plunges Quickly

Yesterday's 'odd' gains in stocks amid dismal data and weakness across every asset class have been entirely erased this morning... in a hurry...


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Either Reverse All The Perverse Incentives Or The System Will Implode

As you no doubt noticed, every perverse incentive is the cash cow for a vested interest or cartel. That's why the perverse incentives will endure until the system implodes under their pathological weight.


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In Latest Blow To Hedge Funds, AIG Redeems $4 Billion; CALSTRS Says "2 And 20" Model Is "Off The Table"

The pain for hedge funds is only just starting: Chris Ailman, who runs investments at CALSTRS, said in a Bloomberg Television interview from the Milken conference that the hedge fund industry’s two-and-twenty fee model is “broken” and “off the table” for large institutional investors. And then the latest blow to the suddenly struggling industry came overnight from none other than the firm which started the bailout regime, AIG, which following its earnings report announced that the insurer - burned by losses on hedge funds - has submitted notices of redemption for $4.1 billion of those holdings. “As of today, we have received $1.2 billion of proceeds from those redemptions."


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European Stocks Tumble After EU Slashes Growth, Inflation Guesses

Despite unleashing his bazooka, Mario Draghi - like his colleagues at The BoJ - appears to have hit the limit of his impotence as the European Commission cut its outlook for growth and inflation across the Union for 2016 and 2017. Citing the economic slowdown in China and other emerging markets, geopolitical tensions and uncertainty ahead of the U.K. referendum on EU membership, WSJ reports EU’s economists also cautioned that the strength of factors that have been supporting growth in the region, such as low oil prices and a weaker euro, could start to fade. This sparked modest Euro weakness (after a non-stop surge in the last week) dragging down European stocks and darkening the outlook for the banking system further.


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German Coverup Scandal: Ministry Urged Erasing "Rape" From "Monstrous" Cologne Migrant Attack Report

A high-ranking police officer has alleged that his seniors tried to strike the word rape from an internal police report after the mass sexual assaults in Cologne over New Year. A chief superintendent in the Cologne police told the investigative committee established in the wake of the attacks that the interior ministry in North Rhine-Westphalia had sought to influence the investigations.


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